NBA · resolved market
Magic vs. Kings
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xc0625ad91ab0702cfd6769f9daa51f105216c1b8f78a87db1ad69535536fa5cc
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Magicof Magic, Kings
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $387,828
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $381,083
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $387,828 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 311 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xf482…d3c3backed Kings | 10c | 24,073$2,294 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,294.37 | 95 | 34.7%33 W · 62 L | +7.9wins | +0.08per pick | 26cpaid | +9.6%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x84fe…183bbacked Kings | 0c | 22,000$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0d81…be28backed Kings | 0c | 22,000$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x24b8…5471backed Kings | 0c | 20,000$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4853…0365backed Kings | 0c | 19,000$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa6a8…5009backed Magic | 50c | 18,199$9,028 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9,171.36 | 3,995 | 48.9%1,952 W · 2,043 L | +101.9wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1a47…5a94backed Kings | 0c | 18,000$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5fe2…4954backed Kings | 0c | 15,000$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa9db…5bebbacked Kings | 0c | 15,000$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe96a…fae0backed Kings | 0c | 14,000$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc542…231bbacked Kings | 0c | 10,628$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.51 | 28 | 10.7%3 W · 25 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 12cpaid | -52%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x719d…4e73backed Magic | 39c | 8,657$3,376 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,280.56 | 118 | 34.7%41 W · 77 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 35cpaid | +12.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xaeb5…58e2backed Kings | 2c | 8,000$145 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$145 | 1,090 | 35.8%390 W · 700 L | +40.1wins | +0.04per pick | 32cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x997b…801ebacked Magic | 34c | 7,667$2,594 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,072.58 | 461 | 31%143 W · 318 L | +15.6wins | +0.03per pick | 28cpaid | +10.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x24b9…bcb1backed Kings | 1c | 7,655$101 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$101 | 370 | 11.4%42 W · 328 L | -6.2wins | -0.02per pick | 13cpaid | -35.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbd88…1ca6backed Kings | 60c | 7,118$4,271 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,270.78 | 194 | 51.5%100 W · 94 L | -17.8wins | -0.09per pick | 61cpaid | -17.4%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x4c03…0cc1backed Kings | 1c | 6,356$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63.56 | 1,602 | 11.8%189 W · 1,413 L | -4.8wins | 0.00per pick | 12cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x88db…3843backed Kings | 60c | 5,710$3,410 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,410.14 | 175 | 46.3%81 W · 94 L | +2.2wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa27b…5d5cbacked Kings | 14c | 5,000$700 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$700 | 204 | 47.1%96 W · 108 L | -6.7wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5fe0…d994backed Kings | 66c | 4,363$2,878 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,877.91 | 374 | 48.7%182 W · 192 L | +11.8wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0360…7be1backed Kings | 62c | 4,274$2,650 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,649.67 | 119 | 52.9%63 W · 56 L | +2.8wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +12%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x067f…e041backed Magic | 50c | 4,000$2,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,000 | 1,269 | 44.5%565 W · 704 L | +32.4wins | +0.03per pick | 42cpaid | +4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa315…cabbbacked Kings | 61c | 3,717$2,282 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,281.58 | 623 | 51.4%320 W · 303 L | -13.7wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xecbe…42ffbacked Kings | 20c | 2,727$538 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$538.21 | 190 | 33.7%64 W · 126 L | +8.3wins | +0.04per pick | 29cpaid | +32.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x93bc…8ca3backed Magic | 45c | 2,438$1,098 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,340.34 | 1,752 | 40.6%712 W · 1,040 L | -3.3wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5c57…5b16backed Kings | 64c | 2,185$1,398 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,398.14 | 730 | 51.8%378 W · 352 L | -2.4wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x480d…f219backed Kings | 60c | 2,110$1,271 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,270.59 | 1,290 | 44%567 W · 723 L | +35.0wins | +0.03per pick | 41cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa5e3…4d7ebacked Magic | 39c | 2,005$782 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,222.76 | 258 | 45%116 W · 142 L | -10.0wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x19d8…1691backed Kings | 50c | 2,000$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 722 | 41.4%299 W · 423 L | +2.7wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd692…8b9abacked Kings | 7c | 1,892$132 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$132.47 | 262 | 35.9%94 W · 168 L | +1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 35cpaid | -19.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xad18…0b4fbacked Kings | 35c | 1,800$622 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$622 | 531 | 34.7%184 W · 347 L | -11.7wins | -0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x721c…9bfcbacked Magic | 40c | 1,750$700 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,050 | 63 | 47.6%30 W · 33 L | -1.1wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdf43…ae9abacked Kings | 57c | 1,737$990 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$990 | 296 | 52.7%156 W · 140 L | -8.7wins | -0.03per pick | 56cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6b7d…f776backed Magic | 48c | 1,656$800 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$856.12 | 21 | 47.6%10 W · 11 L | -1.4wins | -0.07per pick | 54cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd0ad…5176backed Magic | 34c | 1,520$517 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,003.2 | 304 | 40.5%123 W · 181 L | +12.4wins | +0.04per pick | 36cpaid | +15.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6e82…752cbacked Kings | 66c | 1,431$944 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$944.29 | 1,204 | 55.3%666 W · 538 L | +52.0wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +12.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x58a3…279fbacked Magic | 47c | 1,353$634 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$719.15 | 71 | 63.4%45 W · 26 L | +7.2wins | +0.10per pick | 53cpaid | +29.9%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xa418…90c8backed Kings | 29c | 1,283$373 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$373 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.09per pick | 59cpaid | -32.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x78ab…c5f7backed Magic | 38c | 1,180$449 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$731.87 | 19 | 47.4%9 W · 10 L | +0.3wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2fe6…ab9dbacked Kings | 54c | 1,167$630 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$630.05 | 498 | 49.4%246 W · 252 L | -3.4wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x377c…91aebacked Kings | 10c | 1,050$102 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$101.5 | 475 | 35.8%170 W · 305 L | +41.1wins | +0.09per pick | 27cpaid | +26.7%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x994e…9cf5backed Magic | 36c | 1,038$373 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$664.61 | 613 | 45.5%279 W · 334 L | -8.4wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9fe8…56a3backed Magic | 36c | 1,000$360 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$640 | 321 | 30.2%97 W · 224 L | -0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 30cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x97ae…82bdbacked Magic | 35c | 1,000$350 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$650 | 308 | 26.6%82 W · 226 L | +2.1wins | +0.01per pick | 26cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…bbcbbacked Kings | 65c | 999.9$650 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$649.93 | 15 | 46.7%7 W · 8 L | -0.4wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -15.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x089b…2193backed Kings | 50c | 999.05$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$499.53 | 277 | 31.4%87 W · 190 L | -7.7wins | -0.03per pick | 34cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf98e…40a5backed Magic | 34c | 997.55$339 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$658.38 | 16 | 56.3%9 W · 7 L | +1.4wins | +0.09per pick | 48cpaid | +9.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc990…dfe7backed Kings | 65c | 984.62$640 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$640 | 8 | 12.5%1 W · 7 L | -2.2wins | -0.28per pick | 40cpaid | -82.4%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x309f…9282backed Magic | 54c | 970.33$524 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$446.03 | 98 | 52%51 W · 47 L | -3.8wins | -0.04per pick | 56cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3bdc…3a4ebacked Kings | 60c | 900$540 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$540 | 199 | 43.7%87 W · 112 L | -4.6wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x325f…d8acbacked Kings | 14c | 884.99$124 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$124.37 | 706 | 40.8%288 W · 418 L | +7.8wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfe4f…5241backed Magic | 67c | 874.39$583 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$291.79 | 153 | 41.8%64 W · 89 L | -7.0wins | -0.05per pick | 46cpaid | -18.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9353…cdbebacked Kings | 16c | 800$128 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$128 | 686 | 42.1%289 W · 397 L | +9.9wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdbd9…2fc2backed Kings | 8c | 771.99$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60.26 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.7wins | -0.22per pick | 22cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4673…d99bbacked Magic | 36c | 749.91$270 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$479.94 | 379 | 54.1%205 W · 174 L | -5.7wins | -0.01per pick | 56cpaid | 0%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8fe7…4f20backed Magic | 33c | 690.88$228 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$462.89 | 406 | 27.8%113 W · 293 L | -2.9wins | -0.01per pick | 29cpaid | -4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb786…b18dbacked Magic | 38c | 687.84$261 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$426.76 | 1,316 | 50.5%664 W · 652 L | +42.4wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfd6c…42b2backed Kings | 62c | 674.61$418 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$418.26 | 91 | 54.9%50 W · 41 L | +3.4wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa9d3…9d4bbacked Kings | 64c | 674.44$434 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$434.22 | 1,028 | 48.5%499 W · 529 L | +27.1wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd1ad…b747backed Magic | 36c | 666.94$240 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$426.84 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | +1.5wins | +0.15per pick | 35cpaid | +35.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf10f…004dbacked Magic | 69c | 659.22$455 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$204.36 | 273 | 48.7%133 W · 140 L | -5.3wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbf40…1bd2backed Kings | 56c | 624.59$350 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$349.77 | 122 | 32%39 W · 83 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x51e5…e26cbacked Magic | 46c | 615.46$283 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$332.35 | 126 | 51.6%65 W · 61 L | -1.7wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xec5c…ce46backed Kings | 33c | 610.08$203 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$202.82 | 451 | 35%158 W · 293 L | -6.9wins | -0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -18%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x817b…3c25backed Kings | 65c | 599.92$388 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$387.95 | 1,048 | 41.1%431 W · 617 L | +23.6wins | +0.02per pick | 39cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf00f…711abacked Kings | 65c | 574.82$374 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$373.63 | 170 | 47.1%80 W · 90 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb5e7…3c1abacked Kings | 64c | 565.97$362 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$362.22 | 577 | 60.5%349 W · 228 L | -4.9wins | -0.01per pick | 61cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x854f…00a7backed Kings | 18c | 552.12$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97.83 | 472 | 29.4%139 W · 333 L | -33.1wins | -0.07per pick | 36cpaid | -37.2%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Kings | 60c | 512.64$309 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$309.11 | 5,844 | 46.7%2,728 W · 3,116 L | +32.7wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe27b…858fbacked Magic | 36c | 500.01$179 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$320.55 | 855 | 42%359 W · 496 L | +10.0wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc42e…edbdbacked Kings | 65c | 499.98$325 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$324.99 | 350 | 46%161 W · 189 L | +14.3wins | +0.04per pick | 42cpaid | +11.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd04d…d0e5backed Kings | 64c | 485.33$311 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$310.61 | 1,164 | 49.6%577 W · 587 L | +7.1wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4fb4…831abacked Magic | 42c | 478.71$199 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$279.52 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.21per pick | 46cpaid | +47.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x93e6…aa45backed Kings | 55c | 477.98$263 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$262.89 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -2.2wins | -0.32per pick | 61cpaid | -54%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x3697…f189backed Magic | 46c | 476.09$219 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$257.09 | 652 | 18.4%120 W · 532 L | +12.0wins | +0.02per pick | 17cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2ff0…46e3backed Kings | 47c | 460.08$217 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$216.82 | 476 | 56.5%269 W · 207 L | +6.0wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3e04…564dbacked Kings | 66c | 451.42$298 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$297.93 | 168 | 44%74 W · 94 L | -11.8wins | -0.07per pick | 51cpaid | -10%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd99e…9ddbbacked Kings | 64c | 445.26$285 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$284.97 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | -2.0wins | -0.20per pick | 60cpaid | -35%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x641b…6116backed Magic | 56c | 443.68$248 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$195.22 | 73 | 49.3%36 W · 37 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x873c…ac48backed Kings | 57c | 430.62$244 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$243.59 | 258 | 33.7%87 W · 171 L | -3.3wins | -0.01per pick | 35cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x40e3…0787backed Magic | 54c | 422.22$228 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$194.47 | 345 | 32.8%113 W · 232 L | -16.9wins | -0.05per pick | 38cpaid | -35.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4d22…ec35backed Kings | 14c | 410$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.4 | 51 | 45.1%23 W · 28 L | -1.1wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc745…9499backed Kings | 28c | 400$112 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$112 | 164 | 40.9%67 W · 97 L | -11.0wins | -0.07per pick | 48cpaid | -27.5%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x73f0…3d28backed Magic | 35c | 399.98$140 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$259.98 | 364 | 34.9%127 W · 237 L | -3.0wins | -0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -13.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8134…bf1abacked Kings | 64c | 386.21$247 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$247.17 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +0.7wins | +0.12per pick | 55cpaid | +58.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1396…b149backed Magic | 54c | 370.37$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$170.37 | 42 | 54.8%23 W · 19 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | -4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd569…ff3bbacked Kings | 14c | 357.14$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 49 | 28.6%14 W · 35 L | +1.7wins | +0.03per pick | 25cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7bbf…2760backed Kings | 58c | 354.83$205 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$204.66 | 319 | 35.1%112 W · 207 L | -7.8wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -18.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7ccf…2fedbacked Kings | 59c | 350.12$206 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$205.98 | 145 | 63.4%92 W · 53 L | +5.0wins | +0.03per pick | 60cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5314…910cbacked Magic | 51c | 341.93$176 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$166.43 | 339 | 31.9%108 W · 231 L | -28.5wins | -0.08per pick | 40cpaid | -37.7%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x9e87…8befbacked Kings | 66c | 333.33$220 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$220 | 127 | 59.8%76 W · 51 L | -3.2wins | -0.03per pick | 62cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7990…c870backed Magic | 52c | 320$166 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$153.6 | 48 | 47.9%23 W · 25 L | -3.4wins | -0.07per pick | 55cpaid | -14.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7d33…ffdbbacked Magic | 36c | 316.67$114 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$202.67 | 17 | 58.8%10 W · 7 L | +1.7wins | +0.10per pick | 49cpaid | +12.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8189…7b6ebacked Kings | 64c | 306.11$196 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$195.91 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.17per pick | 50cpaid | +38.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3f6d…a13fbacked Magic | 66c | 302.39$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$102.39 | 25 | 72%18 W · 7 L | +0.5wins | +0.02per pick | 70cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x42ee…7501backed Kings | 65c | 300$195 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$195 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.12per pick | 54cpaid | +36%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb337…5589backed Magic | 36c | 297.52$106 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$191.02 | 366 | 43.2%158 W · 208 L | -3.1wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x72fe…2a60backed Kings | 57c | 296.36$168 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$167.6 | 456 | 47.8%218 W · 238 L | +6.9wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2920…80bebacked Magic | 35c | 294.53$104 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$190.53 | 306 | 48.7%149 W · 157 L | -3.8wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0152…418fbacked Magic | 35c | 290$102 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$188.5 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -1.4wins | -0.20per pick | 48cpaid | -17.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.