La Liga · resolved market
FC Barcelona vs. Villarreal CF: O/U 4.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x1dbb0e9466de48c59fb31d292257bf21c6129f94d885dbb1c6f7f9f1b41d232b
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- La Ligaevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $76,127
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $85,311
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $76,127 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 143 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in La Liga is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in La Liga | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x0ee4…276fbacked Under | 78c | 10,000$7,800 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,800 | 18 | 61.1%11 W · 7 L | -1.1wins | -0.06per pick | 67cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Over | 31c | 5,006$1,574 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,432.5 | 4,740 | 47%2,230 W · 2,510 L | -23.9wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3e73…c4ecbacked Under | 1c | 5,000$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 46 | 21.7%10 W · 36 L | +1.0wins | +0.02per pick | 20cpaid | -46.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xefa3…d08bbacked Under | 64c | 3,892$2,480 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,479.77 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.9wins | -0.64per pick | 64cpaid | -100%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xf5d1…cdc9backed Under | 44c | 2,277$991 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$990.74 | 31 | 38.7%12 W · 19 L | -1.2wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -20.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Over | 45c | 1,625$738 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$887.92 | 3,449 | 43%1,484 W · 1,965 L | +32.1wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Over | 40c | 1,622$653 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$968.92 | 1,798 | 51.4%924 W · 874 L | +6.3wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x46e6…d4cdbacked Under | 30c | 1,350$405 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$405.05 | 227 | 53.3%121 W · 106 L | +9.7wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +19.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x12f9…74babacked Over | 70c | 1,171$820 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$351.3 | 80 | 75%60 W · 20 L | +13.9wins | +0.17per pick | 58cpaid | +39.8%equal weight | 65+0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x9cb4…8285backed Over | 70c | 1,136$795 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$340.91 | 744 | 57.5%428 W · 316 L | +22.4wins | +0.03per pick | 55cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5fef…5840backed Over | 38c | 961.65$363 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$598.15 | 16 | 62.5%10 W · 6 L | +0.7wins | +0.05per pick | 58cpaid | +12.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8873…09fcbacked Over | 54c | 919.67$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$419.67 | 14 | 42.9%6 W · 8 L | -1.0wins | -0.07per pick | 50cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x782e…b317backed Under | 45c | 858.27$386 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$385.72 | 29 | 34.5%10 W · 19 L | -3.4wins | -0.12per pick | 46cpaid | -17.4%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xbce0…7432backed Under | 69c | 806.9$557 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$556.76 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.69per pick | 69cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6395…d69dbacked Under | 71c | 745.64$529 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$529.4 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +0.6wins | +0.11per pick | 56cpaid | +36.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x478a…2deabacked Under | 45c | 728.33$328 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$328.36 | 29 | 48.3%14 W · 15 L | -2.9wins | -0.10per pick | 58cpaid | -26.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0f21…3d6ebacked Over | 38c | 714.86$273 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$441.74 | 109 | 38.5%42 W · 67 L | +6.4wins | +0.06per pick | 33cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x160b…4296backed Under | 63c | 694.81$438 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$437.73 | 504 | 49.8%251 W · 253 L | +7.5wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5028…91c5backed Over | 35c | 649.14$230 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$419.14 | 113 | 36.3%41 W · 72 L | +1.9wins | +0.02per pick | 35cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Over | 80c | 546.33$437 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$109.73 | 839 | 39.8%334 W · 505 L | -21.0wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xceb7…391ebacked Over | 70c | 500$350 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$150 | 40 | 77.5%31 W · 9 L | +7.2wins | +0.18per pick | 60cpaid | +43.9%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x6ab4…a81bbacked Under | 20c | 500$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | +2.0wins | +0.18per pick | 36cpaid | +895.1%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8de5…2b04backed Under | 39c | 500$195 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$195 | 59 | 42.4%25 W · 34 L | -2.2wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa99a…388ebacked Over | 80c | 500$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100 | 21 | 61.9%13 W · 8 L | +2.9wins | +0.14per pick | 48cpaid | +56%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xdf1e…5d9bbacked Over | 67c | 500$334 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$165.65 | 30 | 70%21 W · 9 L | +6.0wins | +0.20per pick | 50cpaid | +69.5%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x5487…6c3abacked Under | 4c | 500$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd91a…211cbacked Over | 51c | 490.18$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$240.19 | 74 | 40.5%30 W · 44 L | +2.8wins | +0.04per pick | 37cpaid | +15.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x33a7…e607backed Under | 41c | 488.3$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 63 | 52.4%33 W · 30 L | +2.1wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Under | 62c | 462.93$287 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$287.02 | 501 | 49.5%248 W · 253 L | +4.7wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbff9…009dbacked Under | 70c | 428.57$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 29 | 55.2%16 W · 13 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 56cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2bdf…56f5backed Over | 54c | 414.88$224 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$190.85 | 25 | 48%12 W · 13 L | +1.4wins | +0.06per pick | 42cpaid | +15%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0b22…a210backed Over | 49c | 408.16$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$208.16 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9f9e…4c57backed Over | 42c | 404.76$170 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$234.76 | 47 | 19.1%9 W · 38 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 19cpaid | -29.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x00fa…9af5backed Under | 66c | 400$264 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$264 | 11 | 81.8%9 W · 2 L | +2.2wins | +0.20per pick | 62cpaid | +35.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0a0c…0beebacked Over | 47c | 291.49$137 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$154.49 | 49 | 42.9%21 W · 28 L | +6.8wins | +0.14per pick | 29cpaid | +88.6%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xacb5…d643backed Under | 65c | 290.76$189 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$188.99 | 67 | 56.7%38 W · 29 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7bdf…2f97backed Under | 65c | 288.88$187 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$186.52 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.14per pick | 64cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7418…ab9fbacked Under | 66c | 271.24$178 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$177.89 | 20 | 35%7 W · 13 L | -0.9wins | -0.05per pick | 40cpaid | +9.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x26d3…8a20backed Over | 78c | 240.06$187 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.4 | 21 | 61.9%13 W · 8 L | +0.4wins | +0.02per pick | 60cpaid | -4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9cf7…e5a5backed Over | 43c | 232.56$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$132.56 | 154 | 51.3%79 W · 75 L | +14.2wins | +0.09per pick | 42cpaid | +24%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xd92a…8936backed Under | 9c | 214.99$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.6 | 23 | 21.7%5 W · 18 L | +2.6wins | +0.11per pick | 10cpaid | +212.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa60b…c728backed Over | 49c | 204.49$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$104.39 | 176 | 48.3%85 W · 91 L | -6.4wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc4b2…c5cdbacked Under | 66c | 200$132 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$132 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.16per pick | 49cpaid | -46.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4ca9…37d8backed Under | 65c | 174.15$113 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$113.15 | 14 | 71.4%10 W · 4 L | +0.3wins | +0.02per pick | 69cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0a76…b30fbacked Over | 59c | 171.03$101 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70.12 | 153 | 44.4%68 W · 85 L | +2.1wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5e30…acbfbacked Over | 34c | 167.44$57 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$110.51 | 201 | 59.2%119 W · 82 L | +5.3wins | +0.03per pick | 57cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf497…5ce0backed Over | 41c | 157.16$65 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$92.16 | 387 | 48.1%186 W · 201 L | +17.0wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd164…f17bbacked Under | 71c | 154.17$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | -1.0wins | -0.09per pick | 63cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf3f2…fe1bbacked Under | 65c | 153.85$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.9wins | -0.29per pick | 62cpaid | -55%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x216b…fe46backed Over | 57c | 138.05$79 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59.52 | 67 | 52.2%35 W · 32 L | +3.5wins | +0.05per pick | 47cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0aa0…be2dbacked Over | 37c | 136.6$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$86.6 | 14 | 35.7%5 W · 9 L | -2.3wins | -0.16per pick | 52cpaid | -22.8%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9637…a576backed Over | 37c | 135.14$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$85.14 | 492 | 28.9%142 W · 350 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 29cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x447d…630cbacked Over | 51c | 131.92$67 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$64.42 | 17 | 47.1%8 W · 9 L | -1.0wins | -0.06per pick | 53cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf158…aa4bbacked Over | 38c | 127.59$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$79.66 | 22 | 68.2%15 W · 7 L | +3.0wins | +0.14per pick | 55cpaid | +32%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa97e…7753backed Over | 57c | 115.25$65 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.1 | 114 | 48.2%55 W · 59 L | -5.3wins | -0.05per pick | 53cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc2b4…74dcbacked Under | 64c | 110$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70.4 | 26 | 65.4%17 W · 9 L | -1.1wins | -0.04per pick | 70cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2ad5…b3edbacked Over | 46c | 108.7$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.7 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9f6d…bfc5backed Over | 48c | 105.54$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.88 | 12 | 8.3%1 W · 11 L | -4.7wins | -0.39per pick | 48cpaid | -82.6%equal weight | 36-0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x60c2…8052backed Over | 37c | 100$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63 | 55 | 36.4%20 W · 35 L | -1.8wins | -0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -17%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1a87…4e00backed Under | 63c | 100$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63 | 29 | 24.1%7 W · 22 L | -3.2wins | -0.11per pick | 35cpaid | -29.5%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8804…a3a7backed Over | 50c | 100$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50 | 13 | 69.2%9 W · 4 L | +3.4wins | +0.26per pick | 43cpaid | +33.1%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x760b…6dc8backed Under | 50c | 99.98$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.99 | 29 | 44.8%13 W · 16 L | -2.8wins | -0.10per pick | 54cpaid | -22.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xbf57…ecc4backed Over | 49c | 97.81$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.13 | 113 | 54.9%62 W · 51 L | +1.8wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x635f…6be6backed Under | 41c | 97.56$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | -0.3wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -22.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2c93…0fb8backed Over | 48c | 94.34$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.77 | 81 | 55.6%45 W · 36 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 56cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x19ca…83ddbacked Under | 64c | 90.63$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -1.2wins | -0.20per pick | 54cpaid | -33.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x35e7…ef3abacked Over | 57c | 87.72$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.72 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +0.9wins | +0.12per pick | 51cpaid | +42.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb239…80b4backed Under | 43c | 87.01$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.85 | 24 | 50%12 W · 12 L | -1.1wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4986…aacbbacked Over | 37c | 86.49$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.49 | 60 | 45%27 W · 33 L | +3.1wins | +0.05per pick | 40cpaid | +42.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2ae3…af5dbacked Under | 64c | 86.38$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.28 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.64per pick | 64cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x70db…dba8backed Under | 59c | 84.67$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 30 | 40%12 W · 18 L | -1.7wins | -0.06per pick | 46cpaid | -26.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9132…fcf3backed Under | 65c | 82.43$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.58 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.32per pick | 65cpaid | -44.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0d54…6c91backed Over | 50c | 80.71$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.71 | 19 | 68.4%13 W · 6 L | +3.6wins | +0.19per pick | 50cpaid | +36.4%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xf232…4fc6backed Over | 40c | 80$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48 | 12 | 58.3%7 W · 5 L | +0.5wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +15.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x61ec…838fbacked Under | 77c | 77.92$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 50 | 52%26 W · 24 L | -8.1wins | -0.16per pick | 68cpaid | -24.6%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed Over | 36c | 77.29$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.75 | 1,566 | 51.6%808 W · 758 L | -8.8wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xefff…c0efbacked Under | 65c | 76.92$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 16 | 68.8%11 W · 5 L | +1.2wins | +0.08per pick | 61cpaid | +9.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2be6…e054backed Over | 32c | 71.13$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.27 | 20 | 40%8 W · 12 L | +2.6wins | +0.13per pick | 27cpaid | +43.3%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x33af…288abacked Over | 43c | 69.77$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.77 | 160 | 40%64 W · 96 L | +3.2wins | +0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xec82…04b5backed Over | 80c | 69$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.8 | 7 | 85.7%6 W · 1 L | +2.2wins | +0.32per pick | 54cpaid | +64.2%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x27cf…979abacked Over | 25c | 66.58$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.96 | 22 | 59.1%13 W · 9 L | +1.8wins | +0.08per pick | 51cpaid | +30.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1985…8cbdbacked Under | 62c | 65.6$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41 | 54 | 55.6%30 W · 24 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5ba0…e885backed Under | 65c | 64.61$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.85 | 17 | 29.4%5 W · 12 L | -3.3wins | -0.19per pick | 49cpaid | -45%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xc884…a4e6backed Under | 64c | 62.5$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.3 | 38 | 50%19 W · 19 L | -0.6wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6562…4e48backed Over | 65c | 61.54$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.54 | 192 | 58.9%113 W · 79 L | +4.6wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe20c…bf55backed Over | 68c | 58.82$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.82 | 14 | 85.7%12 W · 2 L | +2.9wins | +0.21per pick | 65cpaid | +29.6%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x69ee…6e35backed Over | 36c | 57.48$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.91 | 276 | 53.6%148 W · 128 L | +1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7e1a…d5a3backed Over | 43c | 54.79$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.21 | 32 | 25%8 W · 24 L | -2.3wins | -0.07per pick | 32cpaid | -41.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xda4f…65babacked Under | 80c | 52$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.4 | 35 | 45.7%16 W · 19 L | -0.7wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb308…840bbacked Under | 77c | 50.36$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.78 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.07per pick | 73cpaid | -8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x397e…3d84backed Over | 29c | 50.08$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.33 | 490 | 57.1%280 W · 210 L | +26.6wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +11.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xed37…5748backed Over | 60c | 50$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | -1.3wins | -0.13per pick | 43cpaid | -51.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x576c…f218backed Under | 63c | 50$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.5 | 95 | 71.6%68 W · 27 L | +6.7wins | +0.07per pick | 64cpaid | +14%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3991…b6c7backed Over | 35c | 49.99$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.49 | 28 | 57.1%16 W · 12 L | +2.4wins | +0.09per pick | 48cpaid | +13.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7c21…12bdbacked Over | 36c | 49.7$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.71 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.0wins | -0.25per pick | 50cpaid | -30.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf4f8…5bf1backed Under | 43c | 48$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.78 | 192 | 47.4%91 W · 101 L | +2.1wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5aad…4d6ebacked Over | 53c | 47.79$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.46 | 85 | 49.4%42 W · 43 L | +1.1wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0095…42c1backed Under | 65c | 46.38$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 221 | 57%126 W · 95 L | +6.2wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x909d…82c6backed Over | 37c | 45.95$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.95 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +0.3wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +11.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa12c…b9ecbacked Over | 57c | 43.86$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.86 | 34 | 61.8%21 W · 13 L | +6.0wins | +0.18per pick | 44cpaid | +43.3%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in La Liga and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 9 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- FC Barcelona vs. Villarreal CF: O/U 4.5this page
- FC Barcelona vs. Villarreal CF: Both Teams to ScoreYes won
- FC Barcelona vs. Villarreal CF: O/U 1.5Over won
- FC Barcelona vs. Villarreal CF: O/U 2.5Over won
- FC Barcelona vs. Villarreal CF: O/U 3.5Over won
- Spread: FC Barcelona (-1.5)FC Barcelona won
- Spread: FC Barcelona (-2.5)FC Barcelona won
- Spread: Villarreal CF (-1.5)FC Barcelona won
- Spread: Villarreal CF (-2.5)FC Barcelona won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.