TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Serie A · resolved market

Atalanta BC vs. Udinese Calcio: O/U 2.5

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Overof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Serie Aevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
Polymarket published no figure
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$368,193

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $368,193 TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 181 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Serie A is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Serie A
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xee0d…57abbacked Under49c56,744$27,804 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$27,804.358743.7%38 W · 49 L-5.5wins-0.06per pick50cpaid-14.6%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xf19d…276fbacked Over50c48,227$24,088 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$24,139.231747.1%8 W · 9 L-0.5wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-4.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8a6c…0b3fbacked Over50c41,625$21,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20,625.045438.9%21 W · 33 L-2.2wins-0.04per pick43cpaid-7.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x160b…4296backed Over50c19,100$9,565 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9,534.7440447.3%191 W · 213 L+0.6wins0.00per pick47cpaid-8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Under49c16,325$7,972 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7,972.32,53845.9%1,164 W · 1,374 L+13.8wins+0.01per pick45cpaid-12.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6b91…06c4backed Over66c15,038$9,919 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,119.621040%4 W · 6 L+0.2wins+0.02per pick38cpaid+0.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4133…5e70backed Under50c12,398$6,189 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6,189.2596942.3%410 W · 559 L-13.0wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-14.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1ba1…1ce4backed Under52c11,941$6,200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6,2001553.3%8 W · 7 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick53cpaid+1.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf68a…5b1bbacked Over50c10,254$5,147 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,10716045%72 W · 88 L-4.4wins-0.03per pick48cpaid-7.4%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Under50c8,475$4,236 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,236.2533148.6%161 W · 170 L+3.3wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+9.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf588…2b81backed Under38c8,074$3,086 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,085.716838.1%64 W · 104 L-4.4wins-0.03per pick41cpaid-29.2%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x7ea5…de7bbacked Under50c5,238$2,617 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,616.9298544.9%442 W · 543 L-17.3wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-3.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1455…e5cdbacked Under50c4,100$2,032 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,032.3722348.4%108 W · 115 L-10.4wins-0.05per pick53cpaid-7.1%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xd146…9bf0backed Under51c3,000$1,530 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,5306839.7%27 W · 41 L+1.1wins+0.02per pick38cpaid+11.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x050d…2f13backed Over48c2,708$1,300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,408.331100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.52per pick48cpaid+108.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x351e…de8abacked Under50c2,561$1,280 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,280.292161.9%13 W · 8 L+2.6wins+0.12per pick50cpaid+23.6%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked Under44c2,515$1,098 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,097.8693252%485 W · 447 L+11.4wins+0.01per pick51cpaid-4.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9fad…5a9fbacked Under49c2,500$1,236 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,235.7320544.9%92 W · 113 L+0.2wins0.00per pick45cpaid-1.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x90a1…73d6backed Under51c2,500$1,275 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,275837.5%3 W · 5 L-1.3wins-0.16per pick54cpaid-37.4%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x3704…0e84backed Under52c2,417$1,250 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,250.4933.3%3 W · 6 L-2.0wins-0.22per pick55cpaid-39.9%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x8e5a…154cbacked Over51c2,185$1,124 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,061.177552%39 W · 36 L+2.3wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+5.3%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x01c7…e995backed Under33c1,964$649 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$648.9549850.6%252 W · 246 L+10.0wins+0.02per pick49cpaid-12.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf617…80c9backed Over52c1,923$1,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$923.08666.7%4 W · 2 L+1.1wins+0.18per pick49cpaid+38.8%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x0a77…9d74backed Over50c1,500$750 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7506659.1%39 W · 27 L+6.4wins+0.10per pick49cpaid+20.2%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x32e5…8b41backed Over52c1,460$759 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$700.62333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.3wins-0.10per pick43cpaid-35.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4a86…d3e0backed Under49c1,450$715 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$715.2640549.6%201 W · 204 L-3.9wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-2.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4440…f8fdbacked Under50c1,450$725 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7251330.8%4 W · 9 L-2.2wins-0.17per pick48cpaid-36.1%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x77bc…b91bbacked Under45c1,366$610 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$609.7491043.3%394 W · 516 L-14.1wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-18.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa62d…92e0backed Under50c1,200$600 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6006829.4%20 W · 48 L-3.0wins-0.04per pick34cpaid0%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xec92…98f5backed Over50c1,000$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5008463.1%53 W · 31 L+5.8wins+0.07per pick56cpaid+5.6%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x08ba…2a30backed Over51c888$453 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$435.124575.6%34 W · 11 L+5.1wins+0.11per pick64cpaid+17.3%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x6562…4e48backed Over73c885.33$650 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$235.3314351%73 W · 70 L-10.8wins-0.08per pick59cpaid-15.5%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x6bb3…758ebacked Under49c867.99$425 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$425.322951.7%15 W · 14 L-0.2wins-0.01per pick52cpaid+9.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1b4d…e246backed Over52c795.96$414 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$382.062552%13 W · 12 L+1.8wins+0.07per pick45cpaid+19.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x1263…fddcbacked Over50c700$350 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3501546.7%7 W · 8 L+1.2wins+0.08per pick38cpaid+6.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x8165…97b8backed Over54c688.61$375 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$313.613675%27 W · 9 L+6.5wins+0.18per pick57cpaid+28.1%equal weight62+0.11 edge/pick
0xd092…342abacked Over50c660$330 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3308757.5%50 W · 37 L-0.9wins-0.01per pick59cpaid-1.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7299…31f3backed Over33c606.06$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$406.065939%23 W · 36 L0.0wins0.00per pick39cpaid-2.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8c0d…b612backed Over50c600$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$30015459.7%92 W · 62 L+1.4wins+0.01per pick59cpaid+1.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4c16…a5e3backed Over52c582.21$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$282.213860.5%23 W · 15 L+4.8wins+0.13per pick48cpaid+29.7%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xd91a…211cbacked Over43c581.77$250 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$331.616328.6%18 W · 45 L-2.6wins-0.04per pick33cpaid-18.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x3880…ab7dbacked Over48c520.83$250 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$270.8317058.2%99 W · 71 L+2.8wins+0.02per pick57cpaid+3%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x1a8d…ab7ebacked Under48c500$240 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$240728.6%2 W · 5 L-0.3wins-0.05per pick33cpaid-33.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7e52…00f5backed Over51c499.99$255 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2453438.2%13 W · 21 L+1.5wins+0.05per pick34cpaid+0.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xb6da…2b66backed Under4c499.96$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20468.7%4 W · 42 L-0.4wins-0.01per pick10cpaid+126%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xefde…6505backed Under49c483.27$237 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$236.826040%104 W · 156 L-13.4wins-0.05per pick45cpaid-12.5%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xf971…0a57backed Over28c477.46$133 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$344.965632.1%18 W · 38 L+1.2wins+0.02per pick30cpaid+1.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x34a9…d343backed Over55c420$231 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1892937.9%11 W · 18 L-2.3wins-0.08per pick46cpaid-13.9%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xa35f…b58fbacked Over37c389.08$143 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$245.659937.4%37 W · 62 L+2.0wins+0.02per pick35cpaid+8.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3a51…b2b6backed Over50c346.47$174 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$172.031952.6%10 W · 9 L+0.2wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf38c…d9f2backed Over45c312$140 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$171.611547.8%55 W · 60 L-1.8wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-2.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa578…6702backed Under51c310$158 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$158.067646.1%35 W · 41 L-2.7wins-0.04per pick50cpaid-5.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x96b4…c2f1backed Over50c300.21$150 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$150.216937.7%26 W · 43 L-2.9wins-0.04per pick42cpaid-14.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x9db0…0f6abacked Over40c300$120 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18015042%63 W · 87 L-3.2wins-0.02per pick44cpaid-9.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7b2c…af48backed Under50c300$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15045547%214 W · 241 L+5.3wins+0.01per pick46cpaid+2.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe550…4ebbbacked Over34c294.12$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$194.1213826.1%36 W · 102 L-5.7wins-0.04per pick30cpaid-18.2%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x8d61…303dbacked Over51c281.53$144 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$137.95250%1 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.03per pick47cpaid-2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x782e…b317backed Over63c265.08$167 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$98.084553.3%24 W · 21 L+1.4wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+9.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2cf0…df85backed Over51c254.9$130 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$124.92035%7 W · 13 L-0.1wins0.00per pick35cpaid-13.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd01c…7f9dbacked Under49c250$123 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$122.538547.8%184 W · 201 L+7.0wins+0.02per pick46cpaid+3.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7d0c…a3b7backed Under49c249.97$122 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$122.4942347.8%202 W · 221 L+3.5wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1f62…76f6backed Under49c249.14$122 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$122.0846047.4%218 W · 242 L+10.6wins+0.02per pick45cpaid+1.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0a0c…0beebacked Over55c249.09$137 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$112.091145.5%5 W · 6 L+1.6wins+0.14per pick31cpaid+32.3%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x865d…47aabacked Under52c247.88$128 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$128.42757.1%4 W · 3 L+0.5wins+0.07per pick50cpaid+8.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x140d…a937backed Over41c243.9$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$143.91090%9 W · 1 L+4.8wins+0.48per pick42cpaid+123.5%equal weight65+0.14 edge/pick
0x4861…4fcabacked Under13c201$27 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$27.054151.2%21 W · 20 L-0.5wins-0.01per pick53cpaid+0.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6340…1bd0backed Under49c200$98 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9811127%30 W · 81 L-4.3wins-0.04per pick31cpaid-19.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xcc00…79f8backed Over43c200$86 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1141656.3%9 W · 7 L+0.9wins+0.06per pick51cpaid+9.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x94b5…1225backed Over50c197.51$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$97.781100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.50per pick50cpaid+98%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe911…3d4ebacked Over68c185.69$126 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$59.4246742.8%200 W · 267 L-1.1wins0.00per pick43cpaid-12.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6619…703ebacked Over53c169.81$90 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$79.817464.9%48 W · 26 L-1.0wins-0.01per pick66cpaid+1.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9075…cfe8backed Over36c166.67$60 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$106.6718055%99 W · 81 L+15.9wins+0.09per pick46cpaid+20.2%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xbefe…2d45backed Over61c163.93$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$63.931464.3%9 W · 5 L+1.4wins+0.10per pick55cpaid+16.7%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x6814…a9e7backed Over50c158.2$79 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$79.2449137.5%184 W · 307 L-17.0wins-0.03per pick41cpaid-31.1%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x5df4…4eacbacked Under50c150$75 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7560%0 W · 6 L-3.1wins-0.52per pick52cpaid-100%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
0xa388…9b20backed Over50c149$74 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$74.6250%1 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.07per pick43cpaid+0.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3999…c2bbbacked Over51c147.06$75 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$72.064134.1%14 W · 27 L-6.3wins-0.15per pick50cpaid-37%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
0xa18f…073fbacked Over67c137.61$92 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$45.41742.9%3 W · 4 L-1.5wins-0.21per pick64cpaid-35.7%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x0f08…57bcbacked Over75c133.73$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$33.73862.5%5 W · 3 L+1.0wins+0.12per pick50cpaid-2.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x50e9…5efebacked Over52c130$67 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$62.99257.6%53 W · 39 L+5.9wins+0.06per pick51cpaid+13.3%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x63c5…1ecbbacked Under51c130$66 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$66.37740.3%31 W · 46 L-5.6wins-0.07per pick48cpaid-18.5%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xfbb5…2b6abacked Over43c127.91$55 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$72.9116526.1%43 W · 122 L-2.6wins-0.02per pick28cpaid-26.6%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x997b…801ebacked Under28c125.64$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$359440.4%38 W · 56 L+1.3wins+0.01per pick39cpaid-11%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xcd3d…e7ebbacked Over49c102.04$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$52.0417538.9%68 W · 107 L+6.8wins+0.04per pick35cpaid+7.7%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x9f7e…c230backed Over49c102.04$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$52.0411348.7%55 W · 58 L+4.8wins+0.04per pick44cpaid+12.6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x98c1…3d1ebacked Over51c101.96$52 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$49.96922.2%2 W · 7 L-2.5wins-0.28per pick51cpaid-56.4%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x1cb5…6be6backed Over52c100$52 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$482240.9%9 W · 13 L+0.1wins0.00per pick41cpaid-16.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc0fb…ec4fbacked Over49c100$49 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$514235.7%15 W · 27 L0.0wins0.00per pick36cpaid+7.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8c30…0ac6backed Over43c100$43 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$573050%15 W · 15 L+0.6wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9ca7…0c48backed Under50c100$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50944.4%4 W · 5 L-0.4wins-0.05per pick49cpaid-5.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4a4b…bbcabacked Over50c100$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5034553.9%186 W · 159 L+7.0wins+0.02per pick52cpaid+4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0d20…f812backed Over52c96.15$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$46.1538739.8%154 W · 233 L-1.9wins0.00per pick40cpaid-7.3%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x85d3…0698backed Over52c96.15$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$46.153253.1%17 W · 15 L-1.2wins-0.04per pick57cpaid-9.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2e31…a753backed Over45c94.16$42 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$52.162152.4%11 W · 10 L+3.1wins+0.15per pick38cpaid+28.5%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0x403d…2709backed Over50c80$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$401353.8%7 W · 6 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick53cpaid-10.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1c77…8f06backed Over50c80$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$402576%19 W · 6 L+3.6wins+0.15per pick61cpaid+29%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x97b2…1c44backed Over59c70$41 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$29.052142.9%9 W · 12 L-2.2wins-0.11per pick54cpaid-22.8%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x216b…fe46backed Over62c69$43 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$25.976956.5%39 W · 30 L+6.9wins+0.10per pick47cpaid+12.1%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xd9c0…7fc1backed Over58c65$38 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$27.2511460.5%69 W · 45 L+14.9wins+0.13per pick47cpaid+27.8%equal weight62+0.11 edge/pick
0xa64f…e598backed Under50c60.8$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30.351656.3%9 W · 7 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick56cpaid-8.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Serie A and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 9 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.