Serie A · resolved market
Atalanta BC vs. Udinese Calcio: O/U 3.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x4c802e836ce5e7785aa3624da9ce2f9210a36a548949e61ccae2fbca0f936f48
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Serie Aevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- Polymarket published no figure
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $26,554
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $26,554 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 51 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Serie A is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Serie A | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xf588…2b81backed Under | 53c | 3,103$1,642 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,642.33 | 168 | 38.1%64 W · 104 L | -4.4wins | -0.03per pick | 41cpaid | -29.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x08ba…2a30backed Under | 71c | 2,788$1,979 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,979.48 | 45 | 75.6%34 W · 11 L | +5.1wins | +0.11per pick | 64cpaid | +17.3%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x4133…5e70backed Over | 29c | 2,423$700 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,723.29 | 969 | 42.3%410 W · 559 L | -13.0wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -14.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 66c | 2,246$1,471 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,471.42 | 2,538 | 45.9%1,164 W · 1,374 L | +13.8wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Under | 50c | 726.67$365 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$364.6 | 932 | 52%485 W · 447 L | +11.4wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Under | 12c | 686.46$81 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$81.05 | 467 | 42.8%200 W · 267 L | -1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed Under | 46c | 653$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$299.97 | 498 | 50.6%252 W · 246 L | +10.0wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6562…4e48backed Over | 52c | 650$338 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$312 | 143 | 51%73 W · 70 L | -10.8wins | -0.08per pick | 59cpaid | -15.5%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4cbb…c561backed Over | 24c | 625$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$475 | 22 | 36.4%8 W · 14 L | +1.2wins | +0.06per pick | 31cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4a86…d3e0backed Over | 28c | 500$140 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$360 | 405 | 49.6%201 W · 204 L | -3.9wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4922…34a7backed Over | 25c | 500$125 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$375 | 11 | 18.2%2 W · 9 L | +0.6wins | +0.06per pick | 13cpaid | -38.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x77bc…b91bbacked Over | 38c | 449.37$171 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$278.16 | 910 | 43.3%394 W · 516 L | -14.1wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -18.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5487…a014backed Over | 29c | 373$108 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$264.83 | 372 | 50.5%188 W · 184 L | +2.0wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7d0c…a3b7backed Under | 70c | 250$175 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$175 | 423 | 47.8%202 W · 221 L | +3.5wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9075…cfe8backed Over | 17c | 235.29$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$195.29 | 180 | 55%99 W · 81 L | +15.9wins | +0.09per pick | 46cpaid | +20.2%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xfbb5…2b6abacked Over | 29c | 207.79$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$147.79 | 165 | 26.1%43 W · 122 L | -2.6wins | -0.02per pick | 28cpaid | -26.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x34a9…d343backed Over | 52c | 192.31$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$92.31 | 29 | 37.9%11 W · 18 L | -2.3wins | -0.08per pick | 46cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa178…11a2backed Over | 52c | 192.31$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$92.31 | 193 | 53.9%104 W · 89 L | +1.8wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6bb8…a6fabacked Under | 70c | 190.5$133 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$133.35 | 26 | 88.5%23 W · 3 L | +3.8wins | +0.15per pick | 74cpaid | +20.4%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xcd3d…e7ebbacked Over | 28c | 178.98$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$128.98 | 175 | 38.9%68 W · 107 L | +6.8wins | +0.04per pick | 35cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7e52…00f5backed Over | 52c | 170$88 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$82.11 | 34 | 38.2%13 W · 21 L | +1.5wins | +0.05per pick | 34cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x216b…fe46backed Over | 37c | 155$57 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$98.25 | 69 | 56.5%39 W · 30 L | +6.9wins | +0.10per pick | 47cpaid | +12.1%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x5562…3b41backed Over | 30c | 150$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$105 | 93 | 53.8%50 W · 43 L | +5.1wins | +0.06per pick | 48cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7da4…f0a4backed Under | 17c | 150$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26 | 21 | 23.8%5 W · 16 L | +0.8wins | +0.04per pick | 20cpaid | +79%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc26c…ffddbacked Over | 52c | 135.29$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$64.94 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +1.4wins | +0.18per pick | 45cpaid | +52%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…a9e7backed Under | 71c | 127.12$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$89.63 | 491 | 37.5%184 W · 307 L | -17.0wins | -0.03per pick | 41cpaid | -31.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x43e8…af56backed Under | 17c | 117.72$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 37 | 32.4%12 W · 25 L | -1.0wins | -0.03per pick | 35cpaid | -26.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3d7e…6be6backed Under | 46c | 108.7$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 72 | 40.3%29 W · 43 L | -2.8wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x418b…a741backed Over | 52c | 96.15$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.15 | 179 | 58.7%105 W · 74 L | -6.9wins | -0.04per pick | 63cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd9c0…7fc1backed Over | 36c | 86.44$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.62 | 114 | 60.5%69 W · 45 L | +14.9wins | +0.13per pick | 47cpaid | +27.8%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xefde…6505backed Over | 30c | 85.73$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60.01 | 260 | 40%104 W · 156 L | -13.4wins | -0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xbaa2…1973backed Over | 30c | 83.33$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.33 | 78 | 37.2%29 W · 49 L | +2.7wins | +0.03per pick | 34cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x97e0…8194backed Over | 29c | 82.55$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.61 | 142 | 49.3%70 W · 72 L | +5.0wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed Over | 28c | 80$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57.7 | 652 | 54.1%353 W · 299 L | +19.2wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7c16…c36fbacked Over | 28c | 69.99$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.39 | 17 | 47.1%8 W · 9 L | +3.9wins | +0.23per pick | 24cpaid | +44.2%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x49ca…5944backed Under | 73c | 68.49$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 76 | 57.9%44 W · 32 L | -3.5wins | -0.05per pick | 62cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb18c…df51backed Over | 32c | 62.5$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.5 | 45 | 51.1%23 W · 22 L | +2.2wins | +0.05per pick | 46cpaid | +16%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6b23…04a3backed Over | 38c | 58.95$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.75 | 77 | 42.9%33 W · 44 L | -1.3wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -13.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0644…05debacked Over | 30c | 52.06$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.44 | 42 | 61.9%26 W · 16 L | +5.2wins | +0.12per pick | 50cpaid | +29.3%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x4c4d…884bbacked Under | 77c | 51.95$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -1.7wins | -0.35per pick | 75cpaid | -49%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5f33…0d47backed Over | 63c | 51$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.87 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd01c…7f9dbacked Under | 70c | 50.52$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.36 | 385 | 47.8%184 W · 201 L | +7.0wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2512…9030backed Over | 35c | 50$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.5 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 32cpaid | -26.2%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0d20…f812backed Over | 51c | 49.02$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.02 | 387 | 39.8%154 W · 233 L | -1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked Over | 54c | 46.58$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.43 | 233 | 45.1%105 W · 128 L | -2.1wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -15.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xeb76…7ffebacked Over | 30c | 36$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.2 | 32 | 68.8%22 W · 10 L | +8.6wins | +0.27per pick | 42cpaid | +81.2%equal weight | 67+0.15 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffd…7821backed Over | 61c | 32$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.4 | 107 | 59.8%64 W · 43 L | +5.1wins | +0.05per pick | 55cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf0b0…8cabbacked Over | 45c | 25$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.68 | 69 | 60.9%42 W · 27 L | +6.3wins | +0.09per pick | 52cpaid | +11.9%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x6229…1743backed Over | 50c | 20$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.50per pick | 51cpaid | +98%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa658…f93ebacked Under | 75c | 20$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 22 | 72.7%16 W · 6 L | +0.4wins | +0.02per pick | 71cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0056…a7f7backed Under | 72c | 15.42$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.1 | 41 | 58.5%24 W · 17 L | +2.3wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | +18.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Serie A and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 9 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Atalanta BC vs. Udinese Calcio: O/U 3.5this page
- Atalanta BC vs. Udinese Calcio: Both Teams to ScoreYes won
- Atalanta BC vs. Udinese Calcio: O/U 1.5Over won
- Atalanta BC vs. Udinese Calcio: O/U 2.5Over won
- Atalanta BC vs. Udinese Calcio: O/U 4.5Under won
- Spread: Atalanta BC (-1.5)Udinese Calcio won
- Spread: Atalanta BC (-2.5)Udinese Calcio won
- Spread: Udinese Calcio (-1.5)Atalanta BC won
- Spread: Udinese Calcio (-2.5)Atalanta BC won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.