Serie A · resolved market
Spread: Udinese Calcio (-1.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x401d52ac3847dfe27def067ded8ebeafd818f619c7866768ed4c800774361d4d
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Atalanta BCof Udinese Calcio, Atalanta BC
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Serie Aevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- Polymarket published no figure
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $7,931
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $7,931 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 14 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Serie A is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Serie A | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xc142…0f64backed Udinese Calcio | 5c | 1,461$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75.18 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6203…5544backed Udinese Calcio | 9c | 1,000$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90 | 21 | 33.3%7 W · 14 L | -2.4wins | -0.11per pick | 45cpaid | -30.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf715…bbf0backed Udinese Calcio | 5c | 505.99$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.3 | 18 | 11.1%2 W · 16 L | -0.6wins | -0.04per pick | 15cpaid | +119%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4133…5e70backed Udinese Calcio | 5c | 412.35$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.62 | 969 | 42.3%410 W · 559 L | -13.0wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -14.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa8ce…a568backed Udinese Calcio | 5c | 355.6$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.85 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd983…d92dbacked Atalanta BC | 46c | 108.77$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.77 | 17 | 35.3%6 W · 11 L | +1.7wins | +0.10per pick | 25cpaid | +14.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0742…86a0backed Udinese Calcio | 14c | 71.94$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 33 | 30.3%10 W · 23 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 31cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Atalanta BC | 75c | 66.04$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.26 | 310 | 51.6%160 W · 150 L | +4.5wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +28.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x997b…801ebacked Atalanta BC | 45c | 63.86$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.12 | 94 | 40.4%38 W · 56 L | +1.3wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -11%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf4f8…5bf1backed Udinese Calcio | 23c | 59.99$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.8 | 96 | 61.5%59 W · 37 L | +10.2wins | +0.11per pick | 51cpaid | +26.1%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed Atalanta BC | 77c | 53.5$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.31 | 498 | 50.6%252 W · 246 L | +10.0wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Udinese Calcio | 55c | 47.86$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.32 | 163 | 40.5%66 W · 97 L | -14.5wins | -0.09per pick | 49cpaid | -25.8%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x435e…96c1backed Udinese Calcio | 25c | 40$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.05per pick | 29cpaid | -40.5%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7f2d…fbf5backed Udinese Calcio | 29c | 39.92$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.61 | 63 | 49.2%31 W · 32 L | -1.9wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -17.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Serie A and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 9 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spread: Udinese Calcio (-1.5)this page
- Atalanta BC vs. Udinese Calcio: Both Teams to ScoreYes won
- Atalanta BC vs. Udinese Calcio: O/U 1.5Over won
- Atalanta BC vs. Udinese Calcio: O/U 2.5Over won
- Atalanta BC vs. Udinese Calcio: O/U 3.5Over won
- Atalanta BC vs. Udinese Calcio: O/U 4.5Under won
- Spread: Atalanta BC (-1.5)Udinese Calcio won
- Spread: Atalanta BC (-2.5)Udinese Calcio won
- Spread: Udinese Calcio (-2.5)Atalanta BC won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.