Serie A · resolved market
Spread: Atalanta BC (-1.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xc98a355cb04ddf45303fea0c55dee2158b8a7c05074ff4a43a8d1b3a98c301fe
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Udinese Calcioof Atalanta BC, Udinese Calcio
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Serie Aevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- Polymarket published no figure
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $33,546
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $33,546 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 26 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Serie A is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Serie A | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x87a1…b6babacked Udinese Calcio | 68c | 14,626$10,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,626.27 | 40 | 70%28 W · 12 L | +4.2wins | +0.11per pick | 59cpaid | +15.2%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4133…5e70backed Atalanta BC | 32c | 9,294$2,930 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,929.98 | 969 | 42.3%410 W · 559 L | -13.0wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -14.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Atalanta BC | 32c | 8,095$2,555 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,555.28 | 331 | 48.6%161 W · 170 L | +3.3wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +9.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x78ad…45ccbacked Udinese Calcio | 73c | 7,418$5,442 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,976.13 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | -2.2wins | -0.20per pick | 65cpaid | -36.2%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3e6a…5b18backed Udinese Calcio | 69c | 5,750$3,968 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,782.51 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.4wins | +0.45per pick | 55cpaid | +89.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf588…2b81backed Atalanta BC | 27c | 3,349$892 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$891.72 | 168 | 38.1%64 W · 104 L | -4.4wins | -0.03per pick | 41cpaid | -29.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Atalanta BC | 30c | 3,317$982 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$982.25 | 2,538 | 45.9%1,164 W · 1,374 L | +13.8wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed Atalanta BC | 26c | 1,933$496 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$496.26 | 498 | 50.6%252 W · 246 L | +10.0wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4a86…d3e0backed Atalanta BC | 31c | 900$283 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$283 | 405 | 49.6%201 W · 204 L | -3.9wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1455…e5cdbacked Atalanta BC | 33c | 755$247 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$247.32 | 223 | 48.4%108 W · 115 L | -10.4wins | -0.05per pick | 53cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xefde…6505backed Udinese Calcio | 69c | 558.87$386 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$173.36 | 260 | 40%104 W · 156 L | -13.4wins | -0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4cbb…c561backed Atalanta BC | 30c | 500$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 22 | 36.4%8 W · 14 L | +1.2wins | +0.06per pick | 31cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb503…7552backed Atalanta BC | 31c | 300$93 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$93 | 25 | 28%7 W · 18 L | -2.1wins | -0.09per pick | 37cpaid | -18%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7b2c…af48backed Udinese Calcio | 67c | 200$134 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66 | 455 | 47%214 W · 241 L | +5.3wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbaa2…1973backed Atalanta BC | 33c | 106.36$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 78 | 37.2%29 W · 49 L | +2.7wins | +0.03per pick | 34cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5d9e…e0e3backed Udinese Calcio | 68c | 100$68 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32 | 152 | 59.9%91 W · 61 L | +7.0wins | +0.05per pick | 55cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6008…a80bbacked Udinese Calcio | 68c | 73.52$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.52 | 331 | 44.7%148 W · 183 L | -8.7wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x14e4…eabbbacked Udinese Calcio | 69c | 72.47$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.47 | 37 | 37.8%14 W · 23 L | -3.2wins | -0.09per pick | 46cpaid | -20.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7299…31f3backed Atalanta BC | 29c | 68.97$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 59 | 39%23 W · 36 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd37a…2358backed Atalanta BC | 32c | 66.65$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.33 | 418 | 54.8%229 W · 189 L | +2.9wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x97c7…dddfbacked Udinese Calcio | 68c | 58.14$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.89 | 12 | 33.3%4 W · 8 L | -1.4wins | -0.12per pick | 45cpaid | -38.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked Atalanta BC | 33c | 42.26$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.95 | 985 | 44.9%442 W · 543 L | -17.3wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x03f5…3047backed Udinese Calcio | 67c | 29.85$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.85 | 49 | 63.3%31 W · 18 L | +1.0wins | +0.02per pick | 61cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x38a1…4cf7backed Udinese Calcio | 68c | 29.16$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.33 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.32per pick | 68cpaid | +47.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x85c7…6a5bbacked Udinese Calcio | 69c | 21.74$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.74 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.33per pick | 67cpaid | +49.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbf57…ecc4backed Udinese Calcio | 71c | 14.59$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.23 | 97 | 50.5%49 W · 48 L | -1.9wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Serie A and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 9 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spread: Atalanta BC (-1.5)this page
- Atalanta BC vs. Udinese Calcio: Both Teams to ScoreYes won
- Atalanta BC vs. Udinese Calcio: O/U 1.5Over won
- Atalanta BC vs. Udinese Calcio: O/U 2.5Over won
- Atalanta BC vs. Udinese Calcio: O/U 3.5Over won
- Atalanta BC vs. Udinese Calcio: O/U 4.5Under won
- Spread: Atalanta BC (-2.5)Udinese Calcio won
- Spread: Udinese Calcio (-1.5)Atalanta BC won
- Spread: Udinese Calcio (-2.5)Atalanta BC won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.