Serie A · resolved market
Atalanta BC vs. Udinese Calcio: O/U 1.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x8a48cee1c8bce0b017c38eb0537701053d5e5878ce2b62f20ac9f281647c06a8
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Serie Aevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- Polymarket published no figure
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $71,061
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $71,061 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 62 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Serie A is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Serie A | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 30c | 10,993$3,252 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,252.34 | 2,538 | 45.9%1,164 W · 1,374 L | +13.8wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb44e…c2c6backed Over | 69c | 10,000$6,900 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,100 | 32 | 59.4%19 W · 13 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 59cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd146…9bf0backed Under | 25c | 3,000$750 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$749.92 | 68 | 39.7%27 W · 41 L | +1.1wins | +0.02per pick | 38cpaid | +11.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Under | 13c | 2,459$320 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$319.7 | 310 | 51.6%160 W · 150 L | +4.5wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +28.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0def…4ddbbacked Over | 52c | 2,000$1,040 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$960 | 17 | 41.2%7 W · 10 L | -1.4wins | -0.08per pick | 50cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x08ba…2a30backed Over | 77c | 1,950$1,502 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$448.5 | 45 | 75.6%34 W · 11 L | +5.1wins | +0.11per pick | 64cpaid | +17.3%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xefde…6505backed Under | 24c | 838.96$201 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$201.35 | 260 | 40%104 W · 156 L | -13.4wins | -0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x77bc…b91bbacked Over | 78c | 652.22$512 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$140.31 | 910 | 43.3%394 W · 516 L | -14.1wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -18.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf588…2b81backed Under | 30c | 465.64$141 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$141.19 | 168 | 38.1%64 W · 104 L | -4.4wins | -0.03per pick | 41cpaid | -29.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2dad…a040backed Over | 79c | 450$356 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$94.5 | 112 | 68.8%77 W · 35 L | +4.0wins | +0.04per pick | 65cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0efd…8c4fbacked Over | 68c | 447.61$304 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$143.24 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.32per pick | 68cpaid | +47.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked Under | 23c | 432.18$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.49 | 985 | 44.9%442 W · 543 L | -17.3wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5487…a014backed Over | 76c | 408$310 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$97.92 | 372 | 50.5%188 W · 184 L | +2.0wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Under | 39c | 402.62$156 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$155.57 | 932 | 52%485 W · 447 L | +11.4wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8c30…0ac6backed Over | 80c | 400$320 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$80 | 30 | 50%15 W · 15 L | +0.6wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf971…0a57backed Over | 54c | 393.54$211 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$182.6 | 56 | 32.1%18 W · 38 L | +1.2wins | +0.02per pick | 30cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Under | 14c | 390.48$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.74 | 163 | 40.5%66 W · 97 L | -14.5wins | -0.09per pick | 49cpaid | -25.8%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x6619…703ebacked Over | 77c | 389.61$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$89.61 | 74 | 64.9%48 W · 26 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 66cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4133…5e70backed Over | 76c | 314.14$239 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75.51 | 969 | 42.3%410 W · 559 L | -13.0wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -14.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb51f…b7dbbacked Under | 24c | 255.56$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61.31 | 17 | 41.2%7 W · 10 L | +0.6wins | +0.04per pick | 37cpaid | +4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3123…b44dbacked Under | 43c | 216.74$93 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$92.53 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.5wins | -0.07per pick | 50cpaid | -18.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1a8d…ab7ebacked Under | 13c | 200$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -0.3wins | -0.05per pick | 33cpaid | -33.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5339…9da3backed Over | 77c | 186.75$144 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.19 | 89 | 65.2%58 W · 31 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 65cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x67a1…75abbacked Over | 57c | 175.44$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75.44 | 25 | 56%14 W · 11 L | +0.7wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe76c…1c3cbacked Over | 76c | 131.58$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.58 | 34 | 61.8%21 W · 13 L | +2.1wins | +0.06per pick | 56cpaid | +15.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8ae3…3401backed Over | 78c | 113.86$89 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.05 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.22per pick | 78cpaid | +28.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb1c8…023abacked Over | 65c | 113.85$74 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.85 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | -1.4wins | -0.12per pick | 54cpaid | -20.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9075…cfe8backed Over | 64c | 109.38$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.38 | 180 | 55%99 W · 81 L | +15.9wins | +0.09per pick | 46cpaid | +20.2%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x4760…33f4backed Over | 77c | 103.9$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.9 | 11 | 63.6%7 W · 4 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 62cpaid | +10.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5de7…5417backed Under | 13c | 100$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.4wins | -0.09per pick | 34cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7d8f…2b46backed Over | 76c | 99$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.95 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 73cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbd0f…48fdbacked Over | 76c | 90$68 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.6 | 28 | 57.1%16 W · 12 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 57cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbf57…ecc4backed Over | 76c | 87.46$66 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.99 | 97 | 50.5%49 W · 48 L | -1.9wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2b78…c6b5backed Under | 31c | 84.43$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.82 | 87 | 52.9%46 W · 41 L | -1.7wins | -0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4a4b…bbcabacked Over | 58c | 80$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.6 | 345 | 53.9%186 W · 159 L | +7.0wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4a86…d3e0backed Under | 22c | 67.36$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.82 | 405 | 49.6%201 W · 204 L | -3.9wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2c93…0fb8backed Over | 76c | 64.94$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.59 | 62 | 45.2%28 W · 34 L | -4.7wins | -0.08per pick | 53cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0d20…f812backed Over | 55c | 58.18$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.18 | 387 | 39.8%154 W · 233 L | -1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf2ba…4028backed Over | 61c | 50$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.5 | 267 | 47.2%126 W · 141 L | +7.7wins | +0.03per pick | 44cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc26c…ffddbacked Over | 60c | 49.99$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +1.4wins | +0.18per pick | 45cpaid | +52%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9f89…ccf7backed Over | 77c | 43$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.89 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.23per pick | 77cpaid | +29.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xeb76…7ffebacked Under | 25c | 41$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.25 | 32 | 68.8%22 W · 10 L | +8.6wins | +0.27per pick | 42cpaid | +81.2%equal weight | 67+0.15 edge/pick |
| 0xda35…b894backed Over | 75c | 40.89$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.22 | 48 | 56.3%27 W · 21 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 57cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa66f…f5a3backed Under | 25c | 40$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 171 | 42.7%73 W · 98 L | +6.4wins | +0.04per pick | 39cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe562…4fa9backed Over | 64c | 40$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.4 | 43 | 34.9%15 W · 28 L | -3.1wins | -0.07per pick | 42cpaid | -20%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa559…6dbbbacked Over | 54c | 40$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.4 | 74 | 62.2%46 W · 28 L | +7.2wins | +0.10per pick | 52cpaid | +11.6%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x6f7c…a489backed Over | 54c | 36.93$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.99 | 37 | 40.5%15 W · 22 L | -2.9wins | -0.08per pick | 48cpaid | -14.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x397e…3d84backed Over | 54c | 34.42$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.97 | 298 | 62.4%186 W · 112 L | +34.5wins | +0.12per pick | 51cpaid | +31.8%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x4868…c8d1backed Over | 80c | 31.39$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.39 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.06per pick | 61cpaid | +8.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3c69…4622backed Over | 59c | 30$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.3 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 65cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…a9e7backed Over | 75c | 28.45$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.11 | 491 | 37.5%184 W · 307 L | -17.0wins | -0.03per pick | 41cpaid | -31.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe824…65b4backed Over | 77c | 27.1$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.23 | 47 | 51.1%24 W · 23 L | -1.4wins | -0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +11.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9856…7014backed Over | 76c | 26.3$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.31 | 31 | 80.6%25 W · 6 L | +6.5wins | +0.21per pick | 60cpaid | +42.8%equal weight | 63+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0xab08…37fabacked Over | 58c | 25$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.5 | 12 | 58.3%7 W · 5 L | +1.1wins | +0.09per pick | 49cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0911…e626backed Over | 62c | 24.26$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.22 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.38per pick | 62cpaid | +61.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0644…05debacked Over | 77c | 22.52$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.13 | 42 | 61.9%26 W · 16 L | +5.2wins | +0.12per pick | 50cpaid | +29.3%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xc8e6…d96bbacked Over | 52c | 20$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.6 | 94 | 40.4%38 W · 56 L | +2.9wins | +0.03per pick | 37cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffd…7821backed Over | 62c | 20$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.7 | 107 | 59.8%64 W · 43 L | +5.1wins | +0.05per pick | 55cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xef20…2646backed Over | 71c | 20$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.8 | 20 | 80%16 W · 4 L | +3.3wins | +0.17per pick | 63cpaid | +25.2%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x6b14…b151backed Over | 76c | 19.74$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.74 | 24 | 75%18 W · 6 L | +4.2wins | +0.17per pick | 58cpaid | +32.8%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x435e…96c1backed Over | 56c | 17.89$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.87 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.05per pick | 29cpaid | -40.5%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4644…4dfcbacked Over | 76c | 14.64$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.51 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.20per pick | 70cpaid | -27.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Serie A and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 9 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Atalanta BC vs. Udinese Calcio: O/U 1.5this page
- Atalanta BC vs. Udinese Calcio: Both Teams to ScoreYes won
- Atalanta BC vs. Udinese Calcio: O/U 2.5Over won
- Atalanta BC vs. Udinese Calcio: O/U 3.5Over won
- Atalanta BC vs. Udinese Calcio: O/U 4.5Under won
- Spread: Atalanta BC (-1.5)Udinese Calcio won
- Spread: Atalanta BC (-2.5)Udinese Calcio won
- Spread: Udinese Calcio (-1.5)Atalanta BC won
- Spread: Udinese Calcio (-2.5)Atalanta BC won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.