MLB · resolved market
Cubs vs. Reds
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xb2522a094d83978e97a3913757861bd6f4c9aa26a78ac23118694240ce7bf672
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Redsof Cubs, Reds
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $249,927
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $261,275
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $249,927 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a prediction-market account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 98 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in MLB | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xb786…b18dbacked Cubs | 17c | 55,759$9,462 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,461.67 | 1,591 | 50.3%801 W · 790 L | +68.9wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4259…936fbacked Cubs | 52c | 30,000$15,600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15,600 | 18 | 50%9 W · 9 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf980…6528backed Reds | 48c | 23,815$11,399 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12,416.56 | 117 | 46.2%54 W · 63 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | +1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x889e…09e0backed Cubs | 52c | 20,043$10,512 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10,512.36 | 279 | 48.4%135 W · 144 L | -11.1wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1752…7993backed Reds | 74c | 7,807$5,750 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,056.81 | 132 | 62.9%83 W · 49 L | +12.0wins | +0.09per pick | 54cpaid | +93.9%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xa6a8…5009backed Reds | 68c | 5,264$3,577 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,687.07 | 2,274 | 43.2%983 W · 1,291 L | +43.8wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Cubs | 52c | 5,149$2,700 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,700 | 2,470 | 52.5%1,296 W · 1,174 L | +17.7wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdc84…3e67backed Cubs | 39c | 5,131$2,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,000 | 66 | 45.5%30 W · 36 L | -1.0wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1b5e…83f8backed Reds | 48c | 5,092$2,444 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,647.58 | 147 | 47.6%70 W · 77 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf68a…5b1bbacked Reds | 48c | 4,500$2,160 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,339.98 | 1,157 | 49.2%569 W · 588 L | -1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3e04…564dbacked Reds | 48c | 4,029$1,934 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,095.55 | 995 | 49.9%497 W · 498 L | -10.8wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdf2e…ddecbacked Cubs | 37c | 3,637$1,331 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,331.05 | 1,530 | 50.5%772 W · 758 L | +20.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1d3a…7b63backed Reds | 48c | 3,000$1,440 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,560 | 1,359 | 50.8%690 W · 669 L | +12.8wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd12d…d764backed Reds | 66c | 2,893$1,900 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$993.02 | 33 | 51.5%17 W · 16 L | -4.5wins | -0.14per pick | 65cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x24df…e8b2backed Cubs | 49c | 2,552$1,245 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,245.19 | 1,203 | 44.2%532 W · 671 L | +20.5wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2fe6…ab9dbacked Reds | 49c | 1,921$941 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$979.77 | 237 | 52.7%125 W · 112 L | +7.6wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd78d…60bebacked Cubs | 40c | 1,891$756 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$756.35 | 39 | 43.6%17 W · 22 L | +1.8wins | +0.05per pick | 39cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x45ad…7f76backed Cubs | 51c | 1,885$961 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$961.35 | 31 | 45.2%14 W · 17 L | -0.7wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa9e9…0501backed Reds | 49c | 1,860$911 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$948.6 | 30 | 46.7%14 W · 16 L | +1.2wins | +0.04per pick | 43cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1642…5988backed Reds | 67c | 1,852$1,242 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$610.21 | 692 | 49%339 W · 353 L | -9.9wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Cubs | 34c | 1,262$425 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$425.1 | 9,862 | 46.4%4,579 W · 5,283 L | +40.2wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe83c…5e8fbacked Reds | 48c | 1,250$600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$650 | 733 | 52.4%384 W · 349 L | +12.6wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x58d2…46e6backed Cubs | 15c | 1,250$192 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$191.7 | 309 | 28.5%88 W · 221 L | +3.0wins | +0.01per pick | 28cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf7c4…5919backed Cubs | 6c | 1,131$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64.97 | 1,180 | 7.2%85 W · 1,095 L | -13.6wins | -0.01per pick | 8cpaid | -37.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd33b…4e00backed Cubs | 27c | 1,066$285 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$285 | 98 | 54.1%53 W · 45 L | +8.4wins | +0.09per pick | 46cpaid | +15.4%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x12d6…dbbcbacked Reds | 48c | 1,000$480 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$520 | 245 | 53.5%131 W · 114 L | +10.0wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2373…ddfabacked Cubs | 52c | 1,000$520 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$520 | 374 | 46.8%175 W · 199 L | -3.3wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe8e1…77bfbacked Reds | 47c | 1,000$470 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$530 | 155 | 53.5%83 W · 72 L | +11.1wins | +0.07per pick | 46cpaid | +15.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb358…e547backed Reds | 46c | 999.97$460 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$539.99 | 52 | 50%26 W · 26 L | +1.5wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb13d…2e90backed Reds | 55c | 900$491 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$408.6 | 686 | 56.4%387 W · 299 L | +38.0wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | +10%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x023e…d4d2backed Reds | 78c | 865.41$675 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$190.39 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -1.4wins | -0.23per pick | 73cpaid | -34.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x481b…74c1backed Reds | 64c | 835.74$538 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$297.25 | 797 | 40.4%322 W · 475 L | -19.1wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf520…0637backed Reds | 57c | 817$463 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$353.76 | 979 | 50.2%491 W · 488 L | +49.6wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9304…f693backed Cubs | 15c | 792.66$116 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$115.85 | 85 | 30.6%26 W · 59 L | -7.7wins | -0.09per pick | 40cpaid | -27.3%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xd386…1887backed Cubs | 18c | 776.46$140 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$140 | 192 | 33.3%64 W · 128 L | -1.8wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -14.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7f65…d7aebacked Cubs | 41c | 731.71$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 959 | 30%288 W · 671 L | -24.4wins | -0.03per pick | 33cpaid | -15.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0b1a…ccb1backed Cubs | 7c | 625.45$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.8 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xde04…fa37backed Cubs | 27c | 608$165 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$164.93 | 1,510 | 39%589 W · 921 L | -16.5wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -17.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1208…0160backed Cubs | 8c | 600$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45 | 329 | 32.2%106 W · 223 L | -6.0wins | -0.02per pick | 34cpaid | -25.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8290…7fa3backed Cubs | 54c | 541.96$293 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$292.66 | 16 | 68.8%11 W · 5 L | +0.6wins | +0.04per pick | 65cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe544…3cfcbacked Cubs | 37c | 536.13$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 76 | 50%38 W · 38 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x363d…fe75backed Cubs | 38c | 526.32$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 212 | 42.5%90 W · 122 L | -13.7wins | -0.06per pick | 49cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x067f…e041backed Reds | 47c | 500$235 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$265 | 932 | 40.5%377 W · 555 L | +14.2wins | +0.02per pick | 39cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x14e3…ce1fbacked Reds | 48c | 480.77$231 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$250 | 53 | 49.1%26 W · 27 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcacf…35ffbacked Cubs | 4c | 400$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16 | 505 | 3.8%19 W · 486 L | +4.1wins | +0.01per pick | 3cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xca38…460bbacked Cubs | 31c | 339.09$106 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$106 | 340 | 51.2%174 W · 166 L | +6.8wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xeb26…94ddbacked Cubs | 5c | 330.01$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.5 | 123 | 14.6%18 W · 105 L | +3.5wins | +0.03per pick | 12cpaid | +83.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xef75…5d78backed Reds | 67c | 311.94$209 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$102.94 | 1,358 | 45.9%624 W · 734 L | +41.5wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfa5c…be69backed Reds | 49c | 306.22$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$156.22 | 140 | 47.9%67 W · 73 L | +3.9wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc684…2228backed Cubs | 24c | 300$73 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72.5 | 387 | 41.1%159 W · 228 L | +7.3wins | +0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7ce6…e1b0backed Cubs | 53c | 300$158 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$158 | 41 | 46.3%19 W · 22 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | +24%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8214…ef72backed Cubs | 41c | 243.7$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.85 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | -0.7wins | -0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb58d…818ebacked Reds | 74c | 215.1$158 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57 | 41 | 46.3%19 W · 22 L | -1.0wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -19.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdc4b…5a92backed Reds | 47c | 213$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$112.89 | 2,267 | 53.3%1,208 W · 1,059 L | -12.4wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2934…0b51backed Reds | 47c | 212.77$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$112.77 | 1,012 | 51.2%518 W · 494 L | +37.0wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xff34…694bbacked Cubs | 53c | 205.12$109 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$108.71 | 5,235 | 56.8%2,972 W · 2,263 L | +130.6wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfe1d…c011backed Cubs | 48c | 200$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96 | 138 | 48.6%67 W · 71 L | +1.7wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2354…20d0backed Cubs | 10c | 191.29$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 404 | 3.5%14 W · 390 L | -19.4wins | -0.05per pick | 8cpaid | -59.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf2ce…bca1backed Cubs | 54c | 185.19$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 201 | 50.2%101 W · 100 L | -6.8wins | -0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5ae7…91debacked Cubs | 54c | 185.19$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 26 | 57.7%15 W · 11 L | +1.1wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8b7e…6a9fbacked Cubs | 54c | 184.15$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 2,033 | 52.4%1,066 W · 967 L | -35.5wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1de1…6b5abacked Cubs | 55c | 182.27$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | -1.2wins | -0.10per pick | 52cpaid | -18.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf39d…3bcabacked Cubs | 12c | 166.67$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 48 | 56.3%27 W · 21 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 56cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4010…9236backed Cubs | 52c | 164.27$85 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$85.42 | 37 | 43.2%16 W · 21 L | -4.2wins | -0.11per pick | 55cpaid | -23.1%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x0905…e5c0backed Cubs | 15c | 155.52$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.02 | 1,661 | 43.5%722 W · 939 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfcfe…d420backed Cubs | 52c | 148.08$77 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$77 | 218 | 53.2%116 W · 102 L | -2.6wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x72fe…e2cebacked Cubs | 50c | 146$73 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$73 | 519 | 55.3%287 W · 232 L | -2.7wins | -0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe216…7448backed Cubs | 35c | 140.88$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 1,219 | 40.4%493 W · 726 L | -33.3wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x60a1…a8e1backed Cubs | 51c | 121$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61.71 | 159 | 49.7%79 W · 80 L | -1.3wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2920…80bebacked Cubs | 53c | 113.21$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 238 | 52.9%126 W · 112 L | -0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd9e0…05f2backed Reds | 75c | 105.43$79 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.11 | 4,197 | 50.2%2,106 W · 2,091 L | +94.0wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x46a6…8c21backed Cubs | 50c | 100$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 204 | 48%98 W · 106 L | +6.0wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x399d…01dabacked Cubs | 51c | 100$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51 | 117 | 57.3%67 W · 50 L | +9.5wins | +0.08per pick | 49cpaid | +21.9%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x88b0…b118backed Reds | 48c | 99.99$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52 | 242 | 50.8%123 W · 119 L | +14.9wins | +0.06per pick | 45cpaid | +16.1%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf0b0…8cabbacked Cubs | 33c | 91.52$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.97 | 639 | 42.7%273 W · 366 L | +4.0wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9418…4f2abacked Reds | 50c | 80$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40 | 493 | 48.3%238 W · 255 L | +15.7wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x498c…9b68backed Cubs | 50c | 75$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.5 | 35 | 40%14 W · 21 L | -1.6wins | -0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6b3a…2841backed Cubs | 54c | 70$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.8 | 494 | 50%247 W · 247 L | +9.2wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9938…c7e8backed Cubs | 52c | 66.42$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.54 | 108 | 58.3%63 W · 45 L | -1.7wins | -0.02per pick | 60cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5e42…9003backed Cubs | 18c | 66.24$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.96 | 432 | 50.7%219 W · 213 L | +10.9wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9599…be88backed Cubs | 36c | 55.56$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 255 | 11.8%30 W · 225 L | -3.8wins | -0.01per pick | 13cpaid | -48.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfbdb…b037backed Reds | 49c | 52.04$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.54 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x742f…d673backed Reds | 61c | 50$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.7 | 417 | 51.3%214 W · 203 L | +14.7wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4ca2…55e4backed Cubs | 32c | 49.88$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.96 | 71 | 54.9%39 W · 32 L | +8.6wins | +0.12per pick | 43cpaid | +19.5%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xd523…0aa4backed Reds | 49c | 47$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.97 | 1,293 | 46.6%603 W · 690 L | +14.9wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x60ab…d681backed Cubs | 54c | 46.3$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 743 | 56.9%423 W · 320 L | -12.0wins | -0.02per pick | 59cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa337…9e54backed Cubs | 54c | 46.3$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 944 | 55.3%522 W · 422 L | -2.9wins | 0.00per pick | 56cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3b92…8bb4backed Cubs | 25c | 40$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 32 | 31.3%10 W · 22 L | +1.1wins | +0.03per pick | 28cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x792b…0775backed Cubs | 55c | 40$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22 | 41 | 58.5%24 W · 17 L | -1.3wins | -0.03per pick | 62cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8e7e…54ddbacked Cubs | 52c | 38.46$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 19 | 47.4%9 W · 10 L | -0.6wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4447…4f5abacked Reds | 59c | 30$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.3 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | -0.5wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -22.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf0bd…ce39backed Cubs | 53c | 29.34$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.55 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -13%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x71c1…e358backed Cubs | 52c | 28.85$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 382 | 45.5%174 W · 208 L | -6.5wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3078…0389backed Reds | 48c | 28$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.56 | 1,466 | 44.1%647 W · 819 L | +44.0wins | +0.03per pick | 41cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9bc9…7e5bbacked Cubs | 55c | 23.64$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13 | 189 | 51.3%97 W · 92 L | +4.9wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe8a0…e5ccbacked Cubs | 53c | 22.83$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.1 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.6wins | -0.55per pick | 55cpaid | -100%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xca8f…d963backed Reds | 46c | 21.82$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.8 | 1,360 | 44.3%602 W · 758 L | +45.8wins | +0.03per pick | 41cpaid | +8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd0ad…5176backed Cubs | 51c | 20$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.3 | 435 | 42.1%183 W · 252 L | -6.9wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.