Us Midterms · resolved market
Cuomo x Mamdani debate before election?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x522495024263f66fa017f9400cc9f3f684f14ba1c06c4442ba700e8c1ed2652b
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Us Midtermsevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $34,195
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $33,665
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $34,195 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 28 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Us Midterms is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Us Midterms | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x9dd9…08bdbacked No | 9c | 2,242$193 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$192.63 | 248 | 61.7%153 W · 95 L | +24.3wins | +0.10per pick | 52cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xa58d…b9b8backed No | 11c | 1,475$158 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$157.99 | 181 | 26%47 W · 134 L | -5.1wins | -0.03per pick | 29cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe4da…1772backed No | 14c | 1,437$201 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$201.18 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.5wins | -0.11per pick | 11cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7a16…2ec4backed No | 1c | 1,191$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdc4b…5a92backed No | 9c | 1,007$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90.21 | 16 | 25%4 W · 12 L | -3.4wins | -0.21per pick | 46cpaid | -61.5%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xc406…07d9backed No | 13c | 887.88$116 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$115.62 | 14 | 35.7%5 W · 9 L | -1.4wins | -0.10per pick | 45cpaid | -42.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe25b…0f1bbacked No | 14c | 812.57$112 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$111.56 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | -0.6wins | -0.06per pick | 51cpaid | -34.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x04dc…2387backed No | 9c | 791.7$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72.17 | 62 | 35.5%22 W · 40 L | +1.1wins | +0.02per pick | 34cpaid | +11.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9d84…1344backed No | 10c | 734.92$76 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75.54 | 81 | 33.3%27 W · 54 L | +2.2wins | +0.03per pick | 31cpaid | -31.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed No | 6c | 593.63$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.87 | 497 | 11.5%57 W · 440 L | -17.8wins | -0.04per pick | 15cpaid | -28.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf0b0…8cabbacked No | 12c | 411.29$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.03 | 341 | 29.3%100 W · 241 L | -11.3wins | -0.03per pick | 33cpaid | -25.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa815…9cbebacked No | 10c | 406.42$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.88 | 182 | 3.8%7 W · 175 L | -4.7wins | -0.03per pick | 6cpaid | -50%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa2f8…2752backed No | 10c | 275.55$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.56 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.09per pick | 9cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe8b9…2c1fbacked No | 10c | 273$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.3 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.10per pick | 10cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x03ac…4f55backed No | 16c | 234.13$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.97 | 16 | 43.8%7 W · 9 L | +1.2wins | +0.07per pick | 37cpaid | -25.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xaa13…9c9abacked No | 9c | 211.47$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.5wins | +0.15per pick | 18cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xffd3…c80fbacked No | 10c | 205.16$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.10per pick | 10cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2cc7…5536backed No | 9c | 181$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.59 | 30 | 26.7%8 W · 22 L | -1.3wins | -0.04per pick | 31cpaid | -36.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb02e…25e5backed No | 8c | 160.46$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.84 | 10 | 10%1 W · 9 L | -0.7wins | -0.07per pick | 17cpaid | -80.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe4ca…1383backed No | 14c | 139.63$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.75 | 87 | 18.4%16 W · 71 L | -8.5wins | -0.10per pick | 28cpaid | -38.7%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x37a4…a487backed No | 16c | 126.56$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.2 | 18 | 22.2%4 W · 14 L | -4.7wins | -0.26per pick | 48cpaid | -63.2%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xd930…2787backed No | 14c | 112.43$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.34 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.14per pick | 14cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf933…52fbbacked No | 14c | 100$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | +0.4wins | +0.04per pick | 41cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x726e…9dc9backed No | 16c | 95$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.33per pick | 33cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc8b2…7c84backed No | 15c | 85.69$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.85 | 29 | 48.3%14 W · 15 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +24.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcf36…94e8backed Yes | 75c | 65$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.25 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.9wins | -0.13per pick | 56cpaid | -38.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa3e2…fdf8backed No | 22c | 50$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 450 | 35.1%158 W · 292 L | -37.8wins | -0.08per pick | 44cpaid | -26.5%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xc3bf…762dbacked No | 25c | 40$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.25per pick | 25cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Us Midterms and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.