World Politics · resolved market
Will Trump lower tariffs on Canada by July 31?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x52fdf1fe5f8f59fafc28f9d5d5d354f46a13efecfb13071dbdb1c61b29e7a8bf
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- World Politicsevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $172,949
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $185,833
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $172,949 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 175 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in World Politics is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in World Politics | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x5a38…2904backed No | 48c | 35,256$16,923 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18,333.12 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.49per pick | 52cpaid | +95.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc12b…0ed6backed Yes | 52c | 35,256$18,333 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18,333.12 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.06per pick | 56cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4fad…1480backed Yes | 0c | 10,269$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.97 | 293 | 9.2%27 W · 266 L | -3.3wins | -0.01per pick | 10cpaid | +25.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc417…3ca6backed Yes | 1c | 5,964$69 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69.28 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | +1.3wins | +0.18per pick | 24cpaid | +70%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x654b…c791backed Yes | 39c | 2,787$1,073 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,073.14 | 8 | 12.5%1 W · 7 L | -0.4wins | -0.05per pick | 17cpaid | -76.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa486…25d4backed No | 73c | 2,598$1,900 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$698.07 | 23 | 26.1%6 W · 17 L | +1.4wins | +0.06per pick | 20cpaid | -17.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x08ce…f301backed Yes | 41c | 2,512$1,041 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,040.78 | 39 | 17.9%7 W · 32 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 19cpaid | +63.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfb46…f68bbacked No | 55c | 2,183$1,199 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$983.82 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.5wins | +0.51per pick | 49cpaid | +110.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x63bf…e319backed Yes | 39c | 2,160$847 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$847.4 | 16 | 18.8%3 W · 13 L | -1.2wins | -0.07per pick | 26cpaid | +77.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x68c2…1711backed Yes | 44c | 1,855$813 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$812.96 | 121 | 33.1%40 W · 81 L | +4.6wins | +0.04per pick | 29cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xface…0572backed Yes | 27c | 1,695$460 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$460.3 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.8wins | +0.27per pick | 39cpaid | +47.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2027…6d60backed Yes | 39c | 1,376$535 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$535.25 | 78 | 34.6%27 W · 51 L | -6.7wins | -0.09per pick | 43cpaid | -39.5%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5754…e515backed Yes | 55c | 1,287$704 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$703.62 | 76 | 25%19 W · 57 L | -7.3wins | -0.10per pick | 35cpaid | -18.2%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x02e5…1ad6backed Yes | 16c | 1,276$203 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$202.64 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.3wins | -0.09per pick | 9cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x61c7…82cebacked Yes | 2c | 1,156$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.17 | 24 | 16.7%4 W · 20 L | -2.1wins | -0.09per pick | 25cpaid | -47.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x516d…03e5backed No | 60c | 1,080$648 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$432.28 | 72 | 54.2%39 W · 33 L | +2.4wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +10.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2032…d577backed No | 38c | 1,026$390 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$636.3 | 97 | 50.5%49 W · 48 L | +2.4wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xda23…080ebacked No | 71c | 1,000$715 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$285.55 | 27 | 29.6%8 W · 19 L | -0.4wins | -0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -33.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa0bc…d428backed No | 48c | 887.38$428 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$459.13 | 25 | 36%9 W · 16 L | +1.6wins | +0.06per pick | 30cpaid | +27.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x77c4…3e4ebacked Yes | 8c | 864.72$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68.48 | 15 | 33.3%5 W · 10 L | +3.2wins | +0.21per pick | 12cpaid | +312.4%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x2f33…89cfbacked No | 35c | 864.64$307 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$558.07 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | +0.3wins | +0.03per pick | 41cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4f22…fdd3backed Yes | 29c | 861.97$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$249.97 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.30per pick | 30cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc8ab…6418backed Yes | 44c | 854.69$374 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$373.94 | 549 | 34.6%190 W · 359 L | -37.0wins | -0.07per pick | 41cpaid | -27.6%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xcc99…e0a3backed Yes | 27c | 757.69$206 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$206.47 | 29 | 44.8%13 W · 16 L | +0.6wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | +3,440.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe785…1180backed No | 63c | 720.18$455 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$265.17 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -20.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9833…0b32backed Yes | 4c | 659.14$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.34 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.16per pick | 16cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0e78…e415backed No | 55c | 642.02$350 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$292.02 | 56 | 28.6%16 W · 40 L | +3.3wins | +0.06per pick | 23cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8fae…1675backed No | 71c | 610.61$432 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$178.27 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.29per pick | 71cpaid | +41.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbe10…8d89backed No | 67c | 555.82$370 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$185.82 | 4 | 100%4 W · 0 L | +1.5wins | +0.38per pick | 62cpaid | +63.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7a61…af24backed No | 24c | 554.17$133 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$421.17 | 118 | 50.8%60 W · 58 L | +29.2wins | +0.25per pick | 26cpaid | +132.4%equal weight | 73+0.20 edge/pick |
| 0x21ff…0d71backed Yes | 41c | 543.27$221 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$221.31 | 884 | 48.5%429 W · 455 L | -2.4wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe781…5e52backed No | 47c | 522.12$248 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$274.12 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | +0.9wins | +0.09per pick | 41cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe0f1…c4bdbacked No | 35c | 513.19$180 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$333.13 | 25 | 60%15 W · 10 L | +3.3wins | +0.13per pick | 47cpaid | +58.5%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x7c3d…5c6bbacked Yes | 76c | 500$380 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$379.79 | 88 | 38.6%34 W · 54 L | +1.2wins | +0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -16.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2de1…5decbacked Yes | 20c | 500$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +1.1wins | +0.38per pick | 29cpaid | +138.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2525…b919backed Yes | 59c | 405.99$241 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$241.43 | 33 | 57.6%19 W · 14 L | +3.9wins | +0.12per pick | 46cpaid | +58.8%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xdde1…ea9bbacked Yes | 52c | 395.52$206 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$206.47 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | +0.2wins | +0.06per pick | 19cpaid | +85.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7853…36d8backed No | 30c | 392.75$118 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$274.33 | 278 | 28.1%78 W · 200 L | -6.9wins | -0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -32.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcdbf…1926backed Yes | 68c | 391$265 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$264.69 | 380 | 23.9%91 W · 289 L | +5.2wins | +0.01per pick | 23cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaf9d…a540backed Yes | 50c | 378.79$189 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$188.76 | 18 | 44.4%8 W · 10 L | -2.2wins | -0.12per pick | 57cpaid | -36.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7832…6cd7backed No | 72c | 362.17$259 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$103.19 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.11per pick | 39cpaid | -30.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2e9e…c4efbacked No | 53c | 358.25$192 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$166.68 | 35 | 45.7%16 W · 19 L | +4.6wins | +0.13per pick | 33cpaid | +15.7%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x3b93…9ec4backed No | 42c | 350$147 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$203.5 | 70 | 47.1%33 W · 37 L | +5.5wins | +0.08per pick | 39cpaid | +46.1%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xab95…c8cfbacked No | 73c | 342.88$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$92.88 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.27per pick | 73cpaid | +37.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb2a0…ca0cbacked No | 76c | 334.41$255 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$79.11 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.25per pick | 75cpaid | +34%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x779f…c35cbacked No | 79c | 332.79$263 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69.58 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.21per pick | 79cpaid | +26.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6f3d…2adbbacked Yes | 65c | 295.61$192 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$192.09 | 19 | 26.3%5 W · 14 L | -5.6wins | -0.30per pick | 56cpaid | -48.1%equal weight | 36-0.13 edge/pick |
| 0xe809…039bbacked Yes | 41c | 290$119 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$118.7 | 17 | 29.4%5 W · 12 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 30cpaid | +57.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa4ba…c5d8backed No | 75c | 282.99$213 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69.59 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | +0.9wins | +0.07per pick | 39cpaid | +17.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x40ac…ee4bbacked No | 74c | 276.06$204 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$71.71 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +0.7wins | +0.09per pick | 54cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x78fe…f9cbbacked No | 74c | 271.14$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$71.14 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.26per pick | 74cpaid | +35.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1419…72fdbacked No | 79c | 260$205 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.6 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.22per pick | 78cpaid | +28.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa069…1e59backed No | 39c | 256.54$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$156.54 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.5wins | +0.76per pick | 24cpaid | +569.8%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa82b…5220backed Yes | 58c | 253$146 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$145.74 | 80 | 35%28 W · 52 L | -5.6wins | -0.07per pick | 42cpaid | -31.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4ba4…8a89backed Yes | 61c | 242$147 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$146.7 | 26 | 34.6%9 W · 17 L | -2.4wins | -0.09per pick | 44cpaid | -31.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xcebd…3769backed Yes | 29c | 233.1$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67.6 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | +0.3wins | +0.05per pick | 38cpaid | -32.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe732…898fbacked Yes | 21c | 219$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.99 | 65 | 38.5%25 W · 40 L | +2.1wins | +0.03per pick | 35cpaid | -18.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb01b…e951backed No | 46c | 216.71$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$116.71 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.3wins | -0.06per pick | 31cpaid | -45.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa9d1…88d0backed No | 46c | 215.43$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$115.43 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.54per pick | 46cpaid | +115.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x51cc…c6c9backed Yes | 60c | 208.95$125 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$125 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | -2.4wins | -0.35per pick | 49cpaid | -80.9%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x6cbb…89abbacked Yes | 47c | 201.19$95 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$94.84 | 33 | 18.2%6 W · 27 L | -2.7wins | -0.08per pick | 26cpaid | -55.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf0b0…8cabbacked No | 36c | 200$72 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$128 | 1,022 | 28%286 W · 736 L | +1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 28cpaid | -34.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcc80…2bc1backed No | 32c | 200$64 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$136 | 81 | 23.5%19 W · 62 L | +6.3wins | +0.08per pick | 16cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x42b7…e330backed No | 72c | 200$144 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56 | 28 | 42.9%12 W · 16 L | +1.1wins | +0.04per pick | 39cpaid | +40.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xea41…1c98backed Yes | 35c | 199.99$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70 | 55 | 32.7%18 W · 37 L | +1.3wins | +0.02per pick | 30cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x08ec…b5fcbacked No | 51c | 193.97$99 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$94.83 | 14 | 57.1%8 W · 6 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x64f7…5bd7backed Yes | 10c | 192$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.65 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.25per pick | 25cpaid | +25%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9907…d5f1backed No | 58c | 191.59$111 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$80.47 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.33per pick | 67cpaid | -42.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4e25…d7a7backed No | 39c | 188.14$73 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$115.07 | 43 | 34.9%15 W · 28 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 35cpaid | -42.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb6be…fcfebacked No | 37c | 174.76$64 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$110.97 | 140 | 33.6%47 W · 93 L | -3.1wins | -0.02per pick | 36cpaid | -27.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe38e…c29dbacked No | 57c | 160$92 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$68.4 | 35 | 51.4%18 W · 17 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7987…e367backed No | 69c | 159.71$110 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.71 | 20 | 20%4 W · 16 L | -1.7wins | -0.08per pick | 28cpaid | -17.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa3e5…b7e6backed No | 75c | 158$119 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.5 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.25per pick | 75cpaid | +33.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfd19…0f4abacked Yes | 65c | 154.44$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.24per pick | 57cpaid | -56.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xff9a…22fdbacked Yes | 44c | 153.08$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67.18 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.44per pick | 44cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x92c7…c136backed No | 60c | 150$90 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60 | 129 | 20.9%27 W · 102 L | -4.1wins | -0.03per pick | 24cpaid | +18.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x502b…a1d5backed Yes | 52c | 149.99$78 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$77.99 | 48 | 47.9%23 W · 25 L | +5.4wins | +0.11per pick | 37cpaid | +18.1%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x06ec…f845backed Yes | 20c | 148.61$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.48 | 14 | 35.7%5 W · 9 L | +1.4wins | +0.10per pick | 26cpaid | +49.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x052c…3136backed Yes | 57c | 148.35$85 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$85.17 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.57per pick | 57cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcf21…18debacked No | 71c | 140.85$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.85 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.34per pick | 66cpaid | +52.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4529…9b8dbacked No | 67c | 136.74$91 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.74 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.09per pick | 59cpaid | -24.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6c92…1322backed Yes | 56c | 135$76 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75.6 | 31 | 32.3%10 W · 21 L | -1.0wins | -0.03per pick | 35cpaid | -30.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd098…3307backed No | 38c | 133.3$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$83.3 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | +3.3wins | +0.30per pick | 25cpaid | +166.1%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x91e1…1282backed No | 71c | 122.38$87 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.79 | 28 | 32.1%9 W · 19 L | -3.9wins | -0.14per pick | 46cpaid | -49.6%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xa01b…fca8backed No | 61c | 118.1$73 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.57 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.39per pick | 61cpaid | +62.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7018…05acbacked Yes | 27c | 114.81$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.09per pick | 42cpaid | -39.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe6a8…00c7backed Yes | 40c | 114.16$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.41 | 72 | 38.9%28 W · 44 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 38cpaid | +10.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x960e…bd12backed No | 79c | 113.86$90 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.86 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.21per pick | 79cpaid | +26.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe0a2…a349backed No | 61c | 112.95$69 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.98 | 80 | 48.8%39 W · 41 L | +1.8wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +16.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2586…f4b1backed Yes | 21c | 111.73$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.86 | 16 | 31.3%5 W · 11 L | -1.4wins | -0.09per pick | 40cpaid | -41.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1cfc…2111backed Yes | 61c | 102.67$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63.01 | 576 | 36.3%209 W · 367 L | -27.2wins | -0.05per pick | 41cpaid | -28.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xca75…b071backed Yes | 68c | 102.33$69 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69.32 | 20 | 35%7 W · 13 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf639…5838backed Yes | 52c | 100$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52 | 48 | 22.9%11 W · 37 L | -1.3wins | -0.03per pick | 26cpaid | -13%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc009…9561backed No | 51c | 100$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.37per pick | 63cpaid | +64.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb277…d809backed No | 49c | 100$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51 | 25 | 32%8 W · 17 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 31cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1088…b813backed No | 31c | 100$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$68.8 | 136 | 39%53 W · 83 L | +7.0wins | +0.05per pick | 34cpaid | +10.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa7fa…16cbbacked No | 43c | 100$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57 | 27 | 44.4%12 W · 15 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1d69…8f9ebacked No | 73c | 100$73 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.8wins | -0.20per pick | 45cpaid | -65.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4ca8…ecd4backed No | 32c | 93.71$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.71 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.8wins | +0.11per pick | 46cpaid | +140.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3e72…9938backed No | 42c | 93$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.94 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | +1.3wins | +0.17per pick | 21cpaid | +21.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in World Politics and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Trump lower tariffs on Canada by July 31?this page
- Will Trump lower tariffs on Canada by December 31?No won
- Will Trump lower tariffs on Canada by May 31?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.