AI · resolved market
Will Saudi Aramco be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on November 30?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x4b00857d5007f57e490f15186efaa6d6258280231f27eab57ed0de7057170b99
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- AIevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $6,341,732
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $123,007
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $6,341,732 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a prediction-market account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 183 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in AI is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in AI | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x285a…fd1bbacked Yes | 0c | 107,782$108 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$107.78 | 27 | 0%0 W · 27 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc4c3…10c2backed Yes | 0c | 65,620$78 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$77.89 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xacdc…345ebacked Yes | 0c | 65,487$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65.49 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6c23…9523backed Yes | 0c | 65,310$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65.31 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc248…3ca9backed Yes | 0c | 64,620$73 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72.54 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5ddc…0fc0backed Yes | 0c | 63,487$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63.49 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x71cf…4070backed Yes | 0c | 63,392$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$71.66 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1ded…ee7cbacked Yes | 0c | 62,936$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62.94 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x98ab…00e7backed Yes | 0c | 61,858$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61.86 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe635…d5f4backed Yes | 0c | 61,178$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61.18 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0837…e1dbbacked Yes | 0c | 60,978$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60.98 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x464f…f4e0backed Yes | 0c | 60,658$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60.66 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x873f…b1ecbacked Yes | 0c | 59,858$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.86 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7616…5d86backed Yes | 0c | 59,620$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64.12 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5e6b…5defbacked Yes | 0c | 59,620$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65.44 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa5fd…69eebacked Yes | 0c | 59,159$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64.88 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x268d…a6d6backed Yes | 0c | 57,958$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.96 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x127d…41e6backed Yes | 0c | 57,167$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.17 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe0e6…39d7backed Yes | 0c | 57,159$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65.16 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x56a1…51c4backed Yes | 0c | 56,892$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63.71 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xec05…44f2backed Yes | 0c | 56,620$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62.92 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf69e…1e5bbacked Yes | 0c | 56,158$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.16 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9a12…2897backed Yes | 0c | 55,392$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62.21 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8140…6478backed Yes | 0c | 54,439$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.76 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8782…514dbacked Yes | 0c | 53,407$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.41 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4c56…660cbacked Yes | 0c | 53,295$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.3 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3dfa…e8e0backed Yes | 0c | 52,846$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.85 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf054…3b2fbacked Yes | 0c | 52,669$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.39 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x885f…bcbdbacked Yes | 0c | 52,275$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.28 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc72f…27a5backed Yes | 0c | 52,038$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.04 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8ac2…0a05backed Yes | 0c | 51,937$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.94 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x55ed…db5bbacked Yes | 0c | 51,832$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.83 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5f55…af7dbacked Yes | 0c | 51,819$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.82 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6f5c…c985backed Yes | 0c | 51,793$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.79 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe1ae…8ae7backed Yes | 0c | 51,689$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.79 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x046a…1b22backed Yes | 0c | 51,498$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.5 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xefa7…23b9backed Yes | 0c | 51,477$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.48 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2714…89afbacked Yes | 0c | 51,242$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.74 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4c25…2384backed Yes | 0c | 50,609$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.61 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe5be…8deabacked Yes | 0c | 50,349$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.35 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0fb7…f9b4backed Yes | 0c | 50,259$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.46 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5e4a…7389backed Yes | 0c | 49,899$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.9 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb719…dbb0backed Yes | 0c | 49,892$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.1 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x92af…63e9backed Yes | 0c | 49,890$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.89 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf702…fcc0backed Yes | 0c | 49,731$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.73 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x30be…245dbacked Yes | 0c | 49,227$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.43 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa875…584ebacked Yes | 0c | 49,203$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.2 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0b31…e50ebacked Yes | 0c | 49,158$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.68 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9e6d…ca26backed Yes | 0c | 49,114$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.11 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x90e6…538bbacked Yes | 0c | 48,838$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.84 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3a27…2381backed Yes | 0c | 48,756$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.76 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd37f…62cebacked Yes | 0c | 48,439$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.36 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe672…049cbacked Yes | 0c | 48,265$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.27 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1de5…be52backed Yes | 0c | 47,789$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.79 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7a80…1dd1backed Yes | 0c | 47,478$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.48 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x15d3…ee26backed Yes | 0c | 46,113$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.11 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x45f9…7d24backed Yes | 0c | 45,439$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.44 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf07b…d62dbacked Yes | 0c | 40,599$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.37 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc904…b4f0backed Yes | 0c | 40,556$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.56 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd5e2…bf0dbacked Yes | 0c | 40,514$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.32 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x65c0…eebfbacked Yes | 0c | 40,514$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.01 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xea6e…0b8fbacked Yes | 0c | 40,144$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.71 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2aaa…6298backed Yes | 0c | 40,144$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.46 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf08d…ce96backed Yes | 0c | 39,514$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.31 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd361…f67fbacked Yes | 0c | 39,234$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.9 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6140…f0ccbacked Yes | 0c | 38,514$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.41 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x68b2…9567backed Yes | 0c | 38,507$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.93 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb1f4…e758backed Yes | 0c | 37,670$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.67 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0a01…70f9backed Yes | 0c | 37,600$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.9 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf5a0…707ebacked Yes | 0c | 37,499$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.15 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe7a2…b281backed Yes | 0c | 37,257$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.07 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5ace…f2a7backed Yes | 0c | 36,257$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.06 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x859b…e7edbacked Yes | 0c | 35,557$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.95 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7694…085fbacked Yes | 0c | 35,549$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.36 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7c16…d99bbacked Yes | 0c | 35,194$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.74 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb2b3…c3b7backed Yes | 0c | 35,149$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.22 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x91ab…8312backed Yes | 0c | 34,819$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.32 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1e7b…89ccbacked Yes | 0c | 34,814$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.81 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3a1b…8e02backed Yes | 0c | 34,631$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.43 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7a0a…9097backed Yes | 0c | 34,507$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.91 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2b9d…798cbacked Yes | 0c | 34,483$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.48 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7919…414abacked Yes | 0c | 34,330$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.05 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf04f…00d5backed Yes | 0c | 34,257$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.18 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd077…98d4backed Yes | 0c | 34,195$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.2 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x93ad…d3eebacked Yes | 0c | 33,922$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.92 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb642…bccfbacked Yes | 0c | 33,887$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.1 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x258d…9640backed Yes | 0c | 33,569$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.57 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfb32…f6a1backed Yes | 0c | 32,757$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.01 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8f18…fe74backed Yes | 0c | 31,299$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.35 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x53fc…f487backed Yes | 0c | 30,830$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.83 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd5b3…fbf5backed Yes | 0c | 30,514$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.85 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x552e…726cbacked Yes | 0c | 30,265$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.02 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe7e8…3ff1backed Yes | 0c | 29,849$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.07 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9455…a968backed Yes | 0c | 29,357$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.36 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xee0a…476fbacked Yes | 0c | 29,138$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.83 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x55c5…8730backed Yes | 0c | 28,599$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.3 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd523…3daabacked Yes | 0c | 28,540$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.3 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5155…cf3abacked Yes | 0c | 28,257$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.78 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9604…5fe6backed Yes | 0c | 28,057$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.31 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x41fb…b0a1backed Yes | 0c | 28,040$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.11 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in AI and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 8 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Saudi Aramco be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on November 30?this page
- Will Alphabet be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on November 30?No won
- Will Amazon be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on November 30?No won
- Will Apple be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on November 30?Yes won
- Will Microsoft be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on November 30?No won
- Will NVIDIA be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on November 30?No won
- Will Oracle be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on November 30?No won
- Will Tesla be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on November 30?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.