AI · resolved market
Will Oracle be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on November 30?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x9fc5f3444686be3d0f8e41b6a6d7c0cb656da8f479ae578a387c247d05dd2637
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- AIevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $3,208,738
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $95,858
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $3,208,738 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 107 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in AI is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in AI | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xd74a…fae4backed Yes | 0c | 54,335$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.34 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x29be…e6c2backed Yes | 0c | 53,335$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.34 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbef0…9d85backed Yes | 0c | 52,803$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.8 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf277…c680backed Yes | 0c | 52,748$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.75 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1a52…85e1backed Yes | 0c | 52,030$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.03 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf062…69dbbacked Yes | 0c | 51,531$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.53 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc448…dc31backed Yes | 0c | 51,335$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.34 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5f43…f121backed Yes | 0c | 51,335$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.34 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4d78…a7b6backed Yes | 0c | 51,335$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.34 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd76d…ccc0backed Yes | 0c | 51,264$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.26 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9269…7165backed Yes | 0c | 50,978$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.98 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3e1a…42dbbacked Yes | 0c | 50,950$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.95 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7992…955bbacked Yes | 0c | 50,869$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.87 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6e77…e0a7backed Yes | 0c | 50,756$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.76 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x42d9…4147backed Yes | 0c | 50,687$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.69 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb3d0…e98bbacked Yes | 0c | 50,669$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.67 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8174…28f3backed Yes | 0c | 50,599$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.6 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x12ed…e568backed Yes | 0c | 50,575$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.58 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x32a3…a412backed Yes | 0c | 50,472$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.47 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa5b0…caddbacked Yes | 0c | 50,360$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.36 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x20a3…f478backed Yes | 0c | 50,335$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.34 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8460…c2fabacked Yes | 0c | 50,303$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.3 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x35cd…9b5fbacked Yes | 0c | 50,270$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.27 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6404…427abacked Yes | 0c | 50,010$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.01 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd20b…6c2abacked Yes | 0c | 49,928$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.93 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7104…5c05backed Yes | 0c | 49,660$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.66 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8665…8952backed Yes | 0c | 49,222$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.22 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbc7f…0d7abacked Yes | 0c | 48,898$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.9 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xea33…5509backed Yes | 0c | 48,659$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.66 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb1d9…8706backed Yes | 0c | 48,230$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.23 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8a81…58b0backed Yes | 0c | 39,999$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 24 | 0%0 W · 24 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x285a…fd1bbacked Yes | 0c | 37,000$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37 | 27 | 0%0 W · 27 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc497…2005backed Yes | 0c | 36,980$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.98 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd6ae…d668backed Yes | 0c | 36,920$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.92 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5cfd…cbd7backed Yes | 0c | 36,920$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.92 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x441c…683ebacked Yes | 0c | 36,890$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.89 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3188…8711backed Yes | 0c | 35,920$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.92 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5e58…8051backed Yes | 0c | 35,920$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.92 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa4d6…04c1backed Yes | 0c | 34,980$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.98 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfc42…ddd6backed Yes | 0c | 34,920$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.92 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4010…ab4abacked Yes | 0c | 34,920$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.92 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xab1b…eb17backed Yes | 0c | 34,920$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.92 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x17ec…f39abacked Yes | 0c | 20,789$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.79 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x750f…f2c5backed Yes | 0c | 20,565$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.57 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7c1a…b949backed Yes | 0c | 20,531$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.53 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6d64…39eabacked Yes | 0c | 20,486$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.49 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8d52…a725backed Yes | 0c | 20,435$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.44 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7981…a258backed Yes | 0c | 20,385$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.39 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8c6a…51e2backed Yes | 0c | 20,320$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.32 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x561c…0c7cbacked Yes | 0c | 20,287$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.29 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xba4d…e9e9backed Yes | 0c | 20,223$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.22 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1c9b…34ebbacked Yes | 0c | 20,151$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.15 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x825f…dd54backed Yes | 0c | 20,118$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.12 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6ffa…361fbacked Yes | 0c | 20,081$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.08 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x053f…f2b3backed Yes | 0c | 20,044$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.04 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9343…65a8backed Yes | 0c | 19,979$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.98 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x67c1…4badbacked Yes | 0c | 19,948$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.95 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf6c1…a7b3backed Yes | 0c | 19,886$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.89 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x36d2…1c25backed Yes | 0c | 19,811$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.81 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1dd9…a663backed Yes | 0c | 19,758$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.76 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc2bc…a9bfbacked Yes | 0c | 19,697$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.7 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1c8b…a0e8backed Yes | 0c | 19,653$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.65 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe376…e4a6backed Yes | 0c | 19,611$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.61 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe1a9…13aebacked Yes | 0c | 19,552$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.55 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2660…c2e6backed Yes | 0c | 19,496$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.5 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x319b…544dbacked Yes | 0c | 19,427$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.43 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa89b…c029backed Yes | 0c | 19,392$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.39 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1817…460cbacked Yes | 0c | 19,360$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.36 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa4da…c44bbacked Yes | 0c | 19,307$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.31 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd861…1df8backed Yes | 0c | 19,238$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.24 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb188…7a77backed Yes | 0c | 19,205$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.21 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf125…4d1dbacked Yes | 0c | 19,157$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.16 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x270e…9197backed Yes | 0c | 19,116$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.12 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3e76…2af9backed Yes | 0c | 19,075$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.08 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5c2b…ca6ebacked Yes | 0c | 19,010$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.01 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5565…fd47backed Yes | 0c | 18,943$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.94 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4177…e654backed Yes | 0c | 18,900$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.9 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd4fc…0f29backed Yes | 0c | 18,841$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.84 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4b0e…32c2backed Yes | 0c | 18,796$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.8 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd087…9e67backed Yes | 0c | 18,756$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.76 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd08c…580ebacked Yes | 0c | 18,697$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.7 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xee50…b557backed Yes | 0c | 18,659$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.66 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x564c…949abacked Yes | 0c | 18,616$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.62 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe46d…b481backed Yes | 0c | 18,574$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.57 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf73b…37f9backed Yes | 0c | 18,458$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.46 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x73b5…d7f3backed Yes | 0c | 18,339$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.34 | 6 | 0%0 W · 6 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6314…36b0backed Yes | 0c | 18,275$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.28 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x41bc…6ec2backed Yes | 0c | 18,196$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.2 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xebea…9caebacked Yes | 0c | 18,153$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.15 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5d0d…5844backed Yes | 0c | 18,087$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.09 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x744d…31cabacked Yes | 0c | 18,018$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.02 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb508…6751backed Yes | 0c | 17,933$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.93 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xacab…8e8fbacked Yes | 0c | 17,885$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.89 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1762…77b4backed Yes | 0c | 17,802$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.8 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x79f6…6fbabacked Yes | 0c | 17,755$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.76 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xea81…180ebacked Yes | 0c | 17,667$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.67 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0b33…b546backed Yes | 0c | 17,625$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.63 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xda80…1931backed Yes | 0c | 17,566$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.57 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x94f9…70b6backed Yes | 0c | 17,534$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.53 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6697…7d7dbacked Yes | 0c | 17,493$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.49 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in AI and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 8 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Oracle be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on November 30?this page
- Will Alphabet be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on November 30?No won
- Will Amazon be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on November 30?No won
- Will Apple be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on November 30?Yes won
- Will Microsoft be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on November 30?No won
- Will NVIDIA be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on November 30?No won
- Will Saudi Aramco be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on November 30?No won
- Will Tesla be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on November 30?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.