AI · resolved market
Will NVIDIA be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on November 30?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x9ef9a688d8b51ac42dd632c9bdc000071c4f8beffa4f2356b3bd8f3dc22af905
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- AIevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $434,339
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $232,897
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $434,339 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 90 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in AI is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in AI | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x4181…de86backed Yes | 3c | 35,388$1,219 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,219.09 | 88 | 15.9%14 W · 74 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 15cpaid | -34.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7d8d…8f77backed Yes | 2c | 22,017$416 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$415.79 | 24 | 4.2%1 W · 23 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 5cpaid | -88.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf503…39e2backed Yes | 2c | 20,808$362 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$362.14 | 42 | 21.4%9 W · 33 L | -0.8wins | -0.02per pick | 23cpaid | -54.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8648…2241backed Yes | 0c | 20,000$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 15 | 0%0 W · 15 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8a81…58b0backed Yes | 0c | 20,000$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 24 | 0%0 W · 24 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6910…1779backed Yes | 2c | 11,659$244 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$244.05 | 12 | 16.7%2 W · 10 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 16cpaid | -60.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed Yes | 3c | 11,518$294 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$293.74 | 1,363 | 6.8%93 W · 1,270 L | -20.2wins | -0.01per pick | 8cpaid | -59.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd40d…5652backed Yes | 2c | 10,687$215 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$214.65 | 7 | 0%0 W · 7 L | -0.2wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbc8c…273fbacked Yes | 0c | 10,000$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe3ff…fe1abacked Yes | 1c | 9,566$139 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$138.63 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x807c…f1e3backed Yes | 1c | 9,001$88 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$87.54 | 31 | 9.7%3 W · 28 L | -1.0wins | -0.03per pick | 13cpaid | -57%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7ab6…fa77backed Yes | 5c | 8,726$401 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$401.27 | 256 | 0.8%2 W · 254 L | -8.9wins | -0.03per pick | 4cpaid | -97.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x07d4…8991backed Yes | 2c | 8,052$131 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$131.1 | 629 | 1.3%8 W · 621 L | -7.1wins | -0.01per pick | 2cpaid | -88.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5b30…29a4backed Yes | 12c | 7,500$930 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$929.9 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -36.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe8a6…644bbacked Yes | 3c | 6,325$197 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$196.79 | 96 | 32.3%31 W · 65 L | +4.5wins | +0.05per pick | 28cpaid | -21.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x777f…a1bbbacked Yes | 22c | 5,759$1,280 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,280.36 | 58 | 32.8%19 W · 39 L | -1.1wins | -0.02per pick | 35cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x16f3…617abacked Yes | 1c | 5,528$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$71.87 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf050…5404backed Yes | 1c | 5,470$77 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$76.58 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6993…c79abacked Yes | 1c | 4,385$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.71 | 29 | 0%0 W · 29 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4146…82fdbacked Yes | 3c | 4,294$135 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$134.86 | 9 | 0%0 W · 9 L | -1.0wins | -0.11per pick | 11cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1fc9…ace5backed Yes | 2c | 4,127$84 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$84.15 | 211 | 0.9%2 W · 209 L | -12.0wins | -0.06per pick | 7cpaid | -85.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xff7c…b233backed Yes | 4c | 3,995$179 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$179 | 39 | 23.1%9 W · 30 L | -2.0wins | -0.05per pick | 28cpaid | -59.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xef94…f8c4backed Yes | 5c | 3,258$160 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$160 | 9 | 22.2%2 W · 7 L | -0.6wins | -0.07per pick | 29cpaid | -67%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xda48…30fcbacked Yes | 2c | 3,200$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7656…194bbacked Yes | 1c | 3,158$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.01 | 50 | 26%13 W · 37 L | +4.3wins | +0.09per pick | 17cpaid | +44.7%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xaf17…9c04backed Yes | 2c | 2,428$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe4ec…646dbacked Yes | 2c | 2,382$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4517…f700backed Yes | 1c | 2,041$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9876…38e6backed Yes | 1c | 2,039$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x28c4…6024backed Yes | 1c | 2,000$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.2wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc3aa…bddcbacked Yes | 1c | 1,892$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.28 | 14 | 14.3%2 W · 12 L | +0.5wins | +0.04per pick | 11cpaid | -54%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xce60…6705backed Yes | 16c | 1,863$302 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$302.4 | 48 | 37.5%18 W · 30 L | -1.0wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -18.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1e52…91d6backed Yes | 4c | 1,771$77 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$77.46 | 54 | 20.4%11 W · 43 L | -1.1wins | -0.02per pick | 22cpaid | -31.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9bde…33d3backed Yes | 18c | 1,510$265 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$265 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.5wins | -0.16per pick | 16cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x250c…2774backed Yes | 1c | 1,400$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.6 | 200 | 3.5%7 W · 193 L | +5.1wins | +0.03per pick | 1cpaid | +42.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xada4…48babacked Yes | 3c | 1,326$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.6 | 20 | 0%0 W · 20 L | -2.7wins | -0.13per pick | 13cpaid | -100%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd5f6…7d33backed Yes | 1c | 1,254$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.47 | 26 | 0%0 W · 26 L | -1.9wins | -0.07per pick | 7cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2808…16babacked Yes | 4c | 1,200$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.81 | 9 | 11.1%1 W · 8 L | -1.5wins | -0.16per pick | 27cpaid | -70.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0dd1…1ad1backed Yes | 4c | 1,138$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9034…f7dfbacked Yes | 1c | 1,051$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.51 | 9 | 0%0 W · 9 L | -0.9wins | -0.10per pick | 10cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd187…c8b1backed Yes | 3c | 1,015$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.71 | 10 | 0%0 W · 10 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcd03…af6bbacked Yes | 2c | 1,000$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17 | 8 | 0%0 W · 8 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0049…3a9abacked Yes | 5c | 999.99$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.55 | 8 | 0%0 W · 8 L | -0.3wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2fc4…72dcbacked Yes | 1c | 999.99$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x84f9…5d85backed Yes | 4c | 951.03$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | +0.2wins | +0.04per pick | 16cpaid | -71.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc778…e52fbacked Yes | 2c | 914.25$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.4 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9746…c31cbacked Yes | 3c | 800$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.8 | 9 | 0%0 W · 9 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1fb7…61e9backed Yes | 4c | 776.93$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.59 | 11 | 18.2%2 W · 9 L | +0.4wins | +0.04per pick | 14cpaid | -39.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc810…9d2ebacked Yes | 5c | 775.72$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -54.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa97c…55b2backed Yes | 1c | 739.14$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 9 | 0%0 W · 9 L | -0.3wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8351…adbcbacked Yes | 3c | 734.07$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.45 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbdd1…0c4fbacked Yes | 2c | 717.45$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.8 | 26 | 26.9%7 W · 19 L | -1.2wins | -0.05per pick | 32cpaid | -54.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdc0d…8bcabacked Yes | 3c | 712.83$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 6 | 0%0 W · 6 L | -0.7wins | -0.11per pick | 11cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5def…1283backed Yes | 2c | 700$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14 | 22 | 22.7%5 W · 17 L | -1.7wins | -0.08per pick | 30cpaid | -30.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb74e…e0a6backed Yes | 6c | 609.05$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.3wins | -0.09per pick | 9cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x58c0…1c8ebacked Yes | 17c | 580.2$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.57 | 82 | 41.5%34 W · 48 L | +6.5wins | +0.08per pick | 34cpaid | +14.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa899…f68dbacked Yes | 9c | 541.41$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.12 | 40 | 17.5%7 W · 33 L | -2.6wins | -0.06per pick | 24cpaid | -51.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x668d…97d2backed Yes | 15c | 514.94$79 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$78.7 | 49 | 44.9%22 W · 27 L | +2.9wins | +0.06per pick | 39cpaid | +23.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6899…18dbbacked Yes | 2c | 499.99$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.4wins | -0.09per pick | 9cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa3e4…ca09backed No | 80c | 491$392 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$98.65 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.20per pick | 80cpaid | +25.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbe71…48d1backed Yes | 3c | 482.76$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0ad9…410abacked Yes | 4c | 451.4$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.11 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.3wins | -0.11per pick | 11cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8d34…17e8backed Yes | 3c | 430.64$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.14 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4706…286ebacked Yes | 3c | 406.16$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.78 | 71 | 2.8%2 W · 69 L | -1.4wins | -0.02per pick | 5cpaid | -66.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf0b0…8cabbacked Yes | 21c | 400$83 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$83.1 | 574 | 26.8%154 W · 420 L | -11.5wins | -0.02per pick | 29cpaid | -45.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x62bf…d9cfbacked Yes | 3c | 399.99$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.4 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x098c…815abacked Yes | 5c | 397.23$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.2 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.11per pick | 39cpaid | -31.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xefc3…081fbacked Yes | 6c | 360.09$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.09per pick | 9cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x60d5…e846backed Yes | 4c | 355.23$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.2 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.03per pick | 30cpaid | -58.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa323…64cabacked Yes | 8c | 342.42$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.68 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -0.6wins | -0.13per pick | 13cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5a0d…c6bebacked Yes | 3c | 334.05$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.49 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -0.4wins | -0.07per pick | 27cpaid | -68.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6db9…4ab5backed Yes | 12c | 328$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.01 | 20 | 5%1 W · 19 L | -1.7wins | -0.09per pick | 14cpaid | -84.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x808d…ebfdbacked No | 77c | 259.22$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59.22 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -1.8wins | -0.20per pick | 53cpaid | -55.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4ebe…c5a8backed Yes | 6c | 257.13$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.42 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.5wins | -0.12per pick | 12cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x875d…25cfbacked Yes | 6c | 224.95$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.94 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.5wins | -0.16per pick | 16cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x724d…3d91backed Yes | 9c | 203.25$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.97 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.5wins | -0.16per pick | 16cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaa83…1021backed Yes | 7c | 185.47$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.3 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.07per pick | 7cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd9c5…016abacked Yes | 25c | 180$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -35.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd776…31e2backed Yes | 31c | 162.67$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -24.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xaa31…5cc1backed Yes | 12c | 162.31$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.6wins | -0.16per pick | 16cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6b2a…819bbacked Yes | 32c | 156.25$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.25per pick | 25cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0f98…e49abacked Yes | 13c | 149.61$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.12per pick | 38cpaid | -20.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3078…0389backed Yes | 14c | 148.75$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.49 | 407 | 12.3%50 W · 357 L | -35.7wins | -0.09per pick | 21cpaid | -48.3%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xbc26…6cd5backed Yes | 12c | 140.07$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.6 | 12 | 16.7%2 W · 10 L | -2.0wins | -0.16per pick | 33cpaid | -69%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6bca…b60abacked Yes | 14c | 127.32$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.33 | 11 | 27.3%3 W · 8 L | +0.4wins | +0.04per pick | 23cpaid | +121.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6c4c…ea0cbacked Yes | 60c | 110$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66 | 42 | 33.3%14 W · 28 L | +0.7wins | +0.02per pick | 32cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcd04…dda0backed Yes | 21c | 95.86$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.29per pick | 29cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0769…0c14backed No | 69c | 85.67$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.56 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.14per pick | 53cpaid | +11.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7f06…39c7backed Yes | 23c | 48.5$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.2 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.23per pick | 23cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5b06…9076backed No | 75c | 20$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5 | 24 | 54.2%13 W · 11 L | +1.2wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in AI and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 8 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will NVIDIA be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on November 30?this page
- Will Alphabet be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on November 30?No won
- Will Amazon be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on November 30?No won
- Will Apple be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on November 30?Yes won
- Will Microsoft be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on November 30?No won
- Will Oracle be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on November 30?No won
- Will Saudi Aramco be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on November 30?No won
- Will Tesla be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on November 30?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.