Lol · resolved market
LoL: Supernova vs Citadel Gaming (BO3) - North American Challengers League Group Stage
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x967346f00ed7d7429e062450c7189477e0e31065d80cd7e0258ad73c4d343852
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Supernovaof Supernova, Citadel Gaming
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Lolevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $178,535
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $175,908
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $178,535 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a prediction-market account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 177 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Lol is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Lol | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x8c0b…7aa5backed Citadel Gaming | 15c | 23,491$3,524 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,523.65 | 1,638 | 40.2%659 W · 979 L | +49.1wins | +0.03per pick | 37cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x17f1…af18backed Citadel Gaming | 1c | 9,977$115 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$115.32 | 377 | 5.6%21 W · 356 L | +4.0wins | +0.01per pick | 5cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x66d2…4186backed Citadel Gaming | 46c | 8,900$4,077 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,077.12 | 64 | 40.6%26 W · 38 L | -3.1wins | -0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Citadel Gaming | 15c | 6,648$997 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$997.17 | 2,378 | 40.9%973 W · 1,405 L | -56.1wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -11%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8b9f…b921backed Citadel Gaming | 68c | 6,308$4,295 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,295.26 | 12 | 66.7%8 W · 4 L | +2.0wins | +0.17per pick | 50cpaid | +66.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Citadel Gaming | 16c | 6,177$980 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$980.12 | 2,839 | 41.4%1,175 W · 1,664 L | -14.4wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2a35…9015backed Citadel Gaming | 38c | 3,972$1,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,500 | 375 | 43.7%164 W · 211 L | -17.8wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x567e…e8fbbacked Citadel Gaming | 22c | 3,917$853 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$852.71 | 110 | 35.5%39 W · 71 L | -9.4wins | -0.09per pick | 44cpaid | -31%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xbc67…5286backed Citadel Gaming | 35c | 3,536$1,248 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,247.58 | 697 | 56.5%394 W · 303 L | +26.1wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb9b4…75a0backed Supernova | 54c | 2,778$1,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,277.78 | 92 | 45.7%42 W · 50 L | -5.2wins | -0.06per pick | 51cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1071…e39ebacked Citadel Gaming | 4c | 2,705$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100.4 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | +1.0wins | +0.15per pick | 14cpaid | +67.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf638…aa50backed Supernova | 54c | 2,467$1,332 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,134.91 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +2.0wins | +0.40per pick | 40cpaid | +138.6%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xd6dd…c6b6backed Citadel Gaming | 1c | 2,124$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 21 | 14.3%3 W · 18 L | -3.9wins | -0.18per pick | 33cpaid | -74.2%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xf26f…8f93backed Citadel Gaming | 4c | 1,960$69 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68.6 | 24 | 12.5%3 W · 21 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 11cpaid | +149.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3f12…3e35backed Supernova | 54c | 1,805$975 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$830.3 | 376 | 41.8%157 W · 219 L | -18.8wins | -0.05per pick | 47cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8b9b…3de2backed Citadel Gaming | 25c | 1,782$441 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$440.98 | 69 | 36.2%25 W · 44 L | -4.7wins | -0.07per pick | 43cpaid | -21.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7600…4478backed Supernova | 57c | 1,753$999 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$753.98 | 310 | 36.1%112 W · 198 L | -18.3wins | -0.06per pick | 42cpaid | -17.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8f18…9aa7backed Citadel Gaming | 4c | 1,677$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70.3 | 6 | 0%0 W · 6 L | -0.2wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd20f…2f35backed Supernova | 77c | 1,595$1,225 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$370.37 | 94 | 56.4%53 W · 41 L | +2.8wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1f4b…556bbacked Citadel Gaming | 3c | 1,576$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.29 | 14 | 21.4%3 W · 11 L | +2.1wins | +0.15per pick | 7cpaid | +72.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x63bc…4179backed Citadel Gaming | 65c | 1,473$960 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$960 | 25 | 68%17 W · 8 L | +1.7wins | +0.07per pick | 61cpaid | +12.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x490b…eec9backed Citadel Gaming | 22c | 1,396$312 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$311.75 | 91 | 31.9%29 W · 62 L | -5.1wins | -0.06per pick | 37cpaid | -20.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4722…2abfbacked Citadel Gaming | 5c | 1,300$71 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$71 | 13 | 15.4%2 W · 11 L | +0.5wins | +0.04per pick | 12cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfafb…27eabacked Citadel Gaming | 8c | 1,300$102 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$102 | 83 | 45.8%38 W · 45 L | +4.7wins | +0.06per pick | 40cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd7e4…15eebacked Citadel Gaming | 4c | 1,000$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.57 | 44 | 18.2%8 W · 36 L | +2.8wins | +0.06per pick | 12cpaid | +135.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4ec3…34a7backed Citadel Gaming | 15c | 981.85$152 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$151.74 | 742 | 50.5%375 W · 367 L | -1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe9f6…55aabacked Citadel Gaming | 5c | 900$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.64 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | +0.2wins | +0.04per pick | 13cpaid | +30.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc4db…7e0cbacked Supernova | 56c | 899.99$504 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$396 | 1,368 | 37.7%516 W · 852 L | -6.8wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | -4%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf8a8…48c0backed Citadel Gaming | 24c | 899.98$215 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$215 | 25 | 48%12 W · 13 L | +1.4wins | +0.05per pick | 43cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Citadel Gaming | 45c | 838.23$377 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$377.38 | 1,231 | 48.2%593 W · 638 L | +25.9wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6a06…31d8backed Citadel Gaming | 41c | 819.96$338 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$338 | 485 | 53.4%259 W · 226 L | -19.9wins | -0.04per pick | 58cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x949e…20afbacked Citadel Gaming | 19c | 799.79$155 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$154.58 | 379 | 33.5%127 W · 252 L | -3.5wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x243f…2915backed Citadel Gaming | 26c | 779.69$205 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$205 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | -0.5wins | -0.06per pick | 56cpaid | -16%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x395f…dcacbacked Citadel Gaming | 39c | 768.58$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 262 | 45.8%120 W · 142 L | -3.1wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x86c8…fc02backed Citadel Gaming | 36c | 749.02$267 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$266.86 | 505 | 49.3%249 W · 256 L | +2.1wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x13e5…1ea5backed Citadel Gaming | 16c | 738.64$117 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$117.35 | 199 | 48.2%96 W · 103 L | -5.9wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe308…25cdbacked Supernova | 54c | 720.44$392 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$328.71 | 664 | 37.2%247 W · 417 L | -12.8wins | -0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x929e…1715backed Citadel Gaming | 3c | 700$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21 | 7 | 0%0 W · 7 L | -0.6wins | -0.09per pick | 9cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe4a4…ebccbacked Citadel Gaming | 3c | 700$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21 | 9 | 0%0 W · 9 L | -0.7wins | -0.08per pick | 8cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xab30…379fbacked Citadel Gaming | 9c | 671.11$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.63 | 113 | 16.8%19 W · 94 L | +6.6wins | +0.06per pick | 11cpaid | +65.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5625…6c2abacked Citadel Gaming | 15c | 666.67$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 185 | 42.2%78 W · 107 L | -10.4wins | -0.06per pick | 48cpaid | -21.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdf06…c9ffbacked Citadel Gaming | 27c | 653.37$179 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$179.46 | 637 | 51.8%330 W · 307 L | +38.8wins | +0.06per pick | 46cpaid | +22.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x62c6…ab7bbacked Citadel Gaming | 46c | 649$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 846 | 60.8%514 W · 332 L | +44.9wins | +0.05per pick | 55cpaid | +8.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd37a…2358backed Citadel Gaming | 42c | 628.35$265 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$265.15 | 302 | 47%142 W · 160 L | -0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +7.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xed8f…5aa7backed Citadel Gaming | 16c | 580.53$92 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$92.28 | 188 | 29.8%56 W · 132 L | -11.1wins | -0.06per pick | 36cpaid | -17.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2f1f…aa39backed Citadel Gaming | 46c | 562.83$259 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$258.9 | 461 | 53.6%247 W · 214 L | -24.4wins | -0.05per pick | 59cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7a57…968cbacked Citadel Gaming | 43c | 548.99$235 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$235.42 | 563 | 41%231 W · 332 L | -3.5wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | 0%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcb5b…f243backed Supernova | 49c | 540.92$267 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$274.06 | 1,731 | 44.2%765 W · 966 L | -28.4wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -15.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6dc0…699abacked Citadel Gaming | 22c | 533.33$115 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$115 | 563 | 17.2%97 W · 466 L | -16.4wins | -0.03per pick | 20cpaid | -17.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbd04…a64abacked Supernova | 54c | 527.34$284 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$243.01 | 119 | 59.7%71 W · 48 L | +2.4wins | +0.02per pick | 58cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0341…a679backed Citadel Gaming | 15c | 526$79 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$78.9 | 190 | 42.1%80 W · 110 L | -6.7wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -11.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x24de…53e7backed Citadel Gaming | 5c | 500$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 11 | 27.3%3 W · 8 L | +2.1wins | +0.19per pick | 8cpaid | +282.8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb80d…0ac1backed Citadel Gaming | 31c | 500$153 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$152.5 | 505 | 47.7%241 W · 264 L | +4.2wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xea58…930fbacked Supernova | 57c | 499.98$285 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$214.99 | 1,216 | 44.4%540 W · 676 L | -12.7wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x200e…e21dbacked Citadel Gaming | 42c | 470.62$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 1,024 | 46.7%478 W · 546 L | -10.1wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4f9b…cdeebacked Citadel Gaming | 19c | 463.52$87 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$87.33 | 331 | 24.2%80 W · 251 L | -33.2wins | -0.10per pick | 34cpaid | -43.6%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x36d8…c7c7backed Citadel Gaming | 25c | 444.7$113 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$113.12 | 325 | 42.2%137 W · 188 L | -5.6wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0b95…07e5backed Citadel Gaming | 17c | 442.86$76 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75.57 | 61 | 26.2%16 W · 45 L | -7.2wins | -0.12per pick | 38cpaid | -38.8%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xc3f6…bab8backed Supernova | 53c | 440$233 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$206.8 | 21 | 57.1%12 W · 9 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x28a3…f681backed Citadel Gaming | 14c | 430.53$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60.27 | 370 | 39.5%146 W · 224 L | -3.5wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x24bb…3e49backed Citadel Gaming | 18c | 409.39$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$71.77 | 421 | 24.7%104 W · 317 L | -51.1wins | -0.12per pick | 37cpaid | -47%equal weight | 37-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x4f2d…318bbacked Citadel Gaming | 4c | 400$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16 | 109 | 5.5%6 W · 103 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 6cpaid | -67.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1cff…3984backed Supernova | 54c | 372.29$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$172.29 | 109 | 47.7%52 W · 57 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9738backed Supernova | 58c | 345.34$201 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$144.24 | 600 | 53.2%319 W · 281 L | +15.3wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x47c6…2fe4backed Supernova | 58c | 340$197 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$142.8 | 566 | 50%283 W · 283 L | -14.5wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x755a…6da6backed Citadel Gaming | 15c | 333.33$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 186 | 33.3%62 W · 124 L | -4.1wins | -0.02per pick | 36cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8384…1af4backed Citadel Gaming | 22c | 326.75$73 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72.79 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.4wins | +0.08per pick | 52cpaid | +11.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2387…2a96backed Citadel Gaming | 17c | 326.73$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55 | 116 | 31%36 W · 80 L | +2.6wins | +0.02per pick | 29cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc221…fe97backed Citadel Gaming | 13c | 309.23$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.09 | 51 | 54.9%28 W · 23 L | +6.6wins | +0.13per pick | 42cpaid | +37.9%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xce5f…ab17backed Supernova | 35c | 300$104 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$196.2 | 387 | 43.9%170 W · 217 L | +3.1wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbde7…cf8abacked Citadel Gaming | 11c | 300$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33 | 92 | 27.2%25 W · 67 L | +10.0wins | +0.11per pick | 16cpaid | +36.1%equal weight | 59+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xfc38…d22bbacked Supernova | 57c | 300$171 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$129 | 13 | 61.5%8 W · 5 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 63cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8e79…8e7ebacked Supernova | 59c | 299.99$177 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$123 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.41per pick | 59cpaid | +69.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf3c8…e340backed Citadel Gaming | 18c | 286.04$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.41 | 572 | 22.7%130 W · 442 L | -48.9wins | -0.09per pick | 31cpaid | -35.9%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x2aa5…ff32backed Supernova | 59c | 283.5$166 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$117.27 | 1,243 | 49.7%618 W · 625 L | +16.6wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5aba…ebd6backed Supernova | 53c | 283.02$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$133.02 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | +0.7wins | +0.08per pick | 29cpaid | +28.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfa4e…5973backed Citadel Gaming | 24c | 253.73$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 557 | 44%245 W · 312 L | -17.4wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc397…bb3bbacked Supernova | 80c | 251.53$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.53 | 1,688 | 59.5%1,004 W · 684 L | +99.7wins | +0.06per pick | 54cpaid | +10.2%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5929…4684backed Citadel Gaming | 15c | 250$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.5 | 1,549 | 43.8%679 W · 870 L | -27.1wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x20f6…0f69backed Supernova | 59c | 250$148 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$102.5 | 24 | 66.7%16 W · 8 L | +4.1wins | +0.17per pick | 50cpaid | +38.9%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x0e1b…ecafbacked Citadel Gaming | 20c | 246.47$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.25 | 820 | 44%361 W · 459 L | +0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x51db…f9b3backed Supernova | 62c | 234.88$146 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$88.54 | 2,915 | 38.5%1,122 W · 1,793 L | -120.3wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -27.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2051…f9f1backed Citadel Gaming | 48c | 228.29$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110 | 492 | 53.5%263 W · 229 L | -15.9wins | -0.03per pick | 57cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2718…780bbacked Citadel Gaming | 29c | 206.9$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.19per pick | 47cpaid | +35.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7771…009fbacked Supernova | 56c | 200$112 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$88 | 1,010 | 48.1%486 W · 524 L | +7.1wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe550…2c8bbacked Supernova | 59c | 192.72$114 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$79.16 | 323 | 45.8%148 W · 175 L | -11.2wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd816…a60ebacked Supernova | 53c | 188.68$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$88.68 | 15 | 40%6 W · 9 L | +1.1wins | +0.07per pick | 33cpaid | +37.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6d2d…6b23backed Supernova | 70c | 188.5$133 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.75 | 23 | 52.2%12 W · 11 L | -1.3wins | -0.06per pick | 58cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xae60…1f06backed Supernova | 53c | 184.92$98 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$86.91 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | -1.3wins | -0.12per pick | 57cpaid | -32.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x276b…c0c8backed Supernova | 15c | 182.35$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$155 | 11 | 27.3%3 W · 8 L | +1.6wins | +0.15per pick | 13cpaid | +74.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdf6e…c865backed Supernova | 54c | 177.2$96 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$81.51 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.09per pick | 58cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf740…cf50backed Supernova | 57c | 175.44$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75.44 | 95 | 46.3%44 W · 51 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -16.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb98d…c479backed Supernova | 32c | 170.4$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$115.89 | 95 | 37.9%36 W · 59 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | -19.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd89c…2d1fbacked Citadel Gaming | 60c | 167$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 181 | 59.1%107 W · 74 L | +8.8wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | +11.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x089b…c619backed Citadel Gaming | 15c | 166.67$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 236 | 43.6%103 W · 133 L | +7.6wins | +0.03per pick | 40cpaid | +9.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa900…5acebacked Supernova | 35c | 160$56 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$104.46 | 140 | 32.1%45 W · 95 L | -7.9wins | -0.06per pick | 38cpaid | -32.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2099…3024backed Citadel Gaming | 19c | 159.84$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.04 | 65 | 30.8%20 W · 45 L | +1.3wins | +0.02per pick | 29cpaid | -19.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x73a2…3b68backed Citadel Gaming | 16c | 155.87$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.56 | 762 | 49.5%377 W · 385 L | +10.0wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4091…3d09backed Citadel Gaming | 33c | 155$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.77 | 39 | 43.6%17 W · 22 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | +25%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x99f7…1a59backed Citadel Gaming | 18c | 154$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.47 | 497 | 39.4%196 W · 301 L | +2.2wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Lol and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- LoL: Supernova vs Citadel Gaming (BO3) - North American Challengers League Group Stagethis page
- Game 3: Any Player Quadra Kill?Yes won
- Games Total: O/U 2.5Over won
- LoL: Supernova vs Citadel Gaming - Game 1 WinnerSupernova won
- LoL: Supernova vs Citadel Gaming - Game 2 WinnerCitadel Gaming won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.