MLB · resolved market
Yankees vs. Blue Jays
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xc567e58356c82b97e0f2327a65ad235ed2da9fd6a01a7275197682bcd510dfe2
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Blue Jaysof Yankees, Blue Jays
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $230,550
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $245,583
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $230,550 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 328 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in MLB | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x727b…d1a2backed Blue Jays | 49c | 33,852$16,690 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17,161.83 | 188 | 37.8%71 W · 117 L | -6.5wins | -0.03per pick | 41cpaid | -29.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4dae…f8b2backed Yankees | 52c | 25,000$12,900 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12,899.97 | 133 | 52.6%70 W · 63 L | -6.9wins | -0.05per pick | 58cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf520…0637backed Yankees | 9c | 21,305$1,838 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,838.22 | 979 | 50.2%491 W · 488 L | +49.6wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa7e8…5c8cbacked Blue Jays | 49c | 15,378$7,511 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,866.95 | 110 | 57.3%63 W · 47 L | +6.2wins | +0.06per pick | 52cpaid | +10.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf5f2…0234backed Yankees | 51c | 14,458$7,418 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,418.1 | 269 | 49.4%133 W · 136 L | +1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2ce8…4527backed Blue Jays | 48c | 13,212$6,342 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,870.4 | 444 | 56.5%251 W · 193 L | +21.2wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +10.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7ee1…dae8backed Blue Jays | 49c | 11,392$5,580 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,811.54 | 64 | 56.3%36 W · 28 L | +6.8wins | +0.11per pick | 46cpaid | +27.7%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xf68a…5b1bbacked Yankees | 51c | 6,400$3,264 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,264 | 1,151 | 49.2%566 W · 585 L | -0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0a7e…fce4backed Yankees | 51c | 6,000$3,060 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,059.95 | 65 | 50.8%33 W · 32 L | +2.5wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x88a1…ad45backed Yankees | 52c | 5,058$2,629 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,629.31 | 263 | 55.5%146 W · 117 L | +6.3wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1464…5e75backed Blue Jays | 48c | 4,700$2,256 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,443.98 | 382 | 49.5%189 W · 193 L | -1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Yankees | 51c | 3,525$1,780 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,780.18 | 2,470 | 52.5%1,296 W · 1,174 L | +17.7wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8fba…d08abacked Yankees | 50c | 3,159$1,579 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,579.49 | 531 | 50.5%268 W · 263 L | +19.4wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd1b0…6eaebacked Blue Jays | 49c | 3,112$1,525 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,587.21 | 328 | 52.4%172 W · 156 L | -14.3wins | -0.04per pick | 57cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfba6…375cbacked Blue Jays | 49c | 2,707$1,327 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,380.76 | 867 | 51.8%449 W · 418 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x309f…9282backed Yankees | 52c | 2,552$1,322 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,322 | 28 | 64.3%18 W · 10 L | +1.4wins | +0.05per pick | 59cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2313…3ee6backed Blue Jays | 48c | 2,481$1,200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,280.6 | 51 | 45.1%23 W · 28 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0229…ea6cbacked Yankees | 59c | 2,439$1,439 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,439 | 417 | 47.2%197 W · 220 L | +15.3wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | +6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9db7…dca2backed Blue Jays | 49c | 2,160$1,058 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,101.62 | 9 | 77.8%7 W · 2 L | +2.4wins | +0.27per pick | 51cpaid | +56.5%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xdc5e…bc55backed Yankees | 51c | 2,160$1,102 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,101.6 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | +0.4wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x377c…91aebacked Yankees | 11c | 2,051$216 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$215.66 | 277 | 33.6%93 W · 184 L | +13.5wins | +0.05per pick | 29cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x31bf…6577backed Yankees | 52c | 1,900$988 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$987.99 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.4wins | +0.08per pick | 52cpaid | +21.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9da7…a3f8backed Yankees | 52c | 1,800$936 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$936 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.9wins | +0.22per pick | 54cpaid | +45.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x269e…47aebacked Blue Jays | 48c | 1,750$840 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$910 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.1wins | +0.57per pick | 44cpaid | +132.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9c12…1937backed Blue Jays | 41c | 1,690$696 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$993.92 | 384 | 44%169 W · 215 L | -11.7wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8753…85adbacked Yankees | 51c | 1,630$831 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$831.3 | 1,909 | 53.5%1,021 W · 888 L | +29.1wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4732…3b86backed Blue Jays | 48c | 1,600$768 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$832 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +1.2wins | +0.15per pick | 47cpaid | +37%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa6a8…5009backed Yankees | 33c | 1,520$505 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$505.5 | 2,274 | 43.2%983 W · 1,291 L | +43.8wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2373…ddfabacked Yankees | 51c | 1,500$765 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$765 | 374 | 46.8%175 W · 199 L | -3.3wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xadf0…00fbbacked Yankees | 51c | 1,467$748 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$748.14 | 492 | 50.4%248 W · 244 L | +8.6wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xebd8…570cbacked Yankees | 8c | 1,377$104 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$103.63 | 439 | 46%202 W · 237 L | +9.2wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xecbe…42ffbacked Yankees | 10c | 1,376$138 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$138.47 | 167 | 25.1%42 W · 125 L | +4.7wins | +0.03per pick | 22cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4103…9b9ebacked Yankees | 28c | 1,250$354 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$353.7 | 308 | 42.9%132 W · 176 L | -10.3wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x76c8…ba09backed Yankees | 8c | 1,241$101 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100.91 | 179 | 27.9%50 W · 129 L | -15.3wins | -0.09per pick | 36cpaid | -50.3%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x1f51…097ebacked Blue Jays | 49c | 1,200$588 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$612 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | -0.4wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xff34…694bbacked Yankees | 50c | 1,114$557 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$557.04 | 5,234 | 56.8%2,971 W · 2,263 L | +130.4wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbf75…7352backed Yankees | 51c | 1,100$561 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$561 | 10 | 20%2 W · 8 L | -2.8wins | -0.29per pick | 49cpaid | -61%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xee73…18e6backed Yankees | 52c | 1,100$572 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$572 | 9 | 22.2%2 W · 7 L | -2.7wins | -0.30per pick | 52cpaid | -60.7%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x4924…f328backed Yankees | 50c | 1,079$540 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$539.65 | 192 | 39.1%75 W · 117 L | -10.8wins | -0.06per pick | 45cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0fae…3488backed Blue Jays | 57c | 1,055$601 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$454.54 | 183 | 49.2%90 W · 93 L | +1.1wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5523…51e9backed Yankees | 51c | 1,007$513 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$513.16 | 114 | 49.1%56 W · 58 L | -2.4wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcf7f…00c2backed Blue Jays | 48c | 1,000$480 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$520 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +1.5wins | +0.21per pick | 50cpaid | +32.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6de4…aa6dbacked Yankees | 51c | 1,000$510 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$510 | 12 | 16.7%2 W · 10 L | -4.3wins | -0.36per pick | 52cpaid | -73.5%equal weight | 37-0.12 edge/pick |
| 0xe959…7c7abacked Blue Jays | 50c | 1,000$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$500 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.5wins | +0.07per pick | 50cpaid | +14.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x351b…4d06backed Yankees | 51c | 999.99$510 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$510 | 129 | 39.5%51 W · 78 L | -6.1wins | -0.05per pick | 44cpaid | -19.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf7f2…39f2backed Yankees | 51c | 980.93$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500.27 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.5wins | -0.07per pick | 50cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x79dc…ca77backed Blue Jays | 47c | 934.17$441 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$493.01 | 43 | 32.6%14 W · 29 L | -2.9wins | -0.07per pick | 39cpaid | -34.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x781c…db68backed Yankees | 27c | 909.97$242 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$242 | 961 | 33.9%326 W · 635 L | -38.9wins | -0.04per pick | 38cpaid | -31.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa6d9…3c37backed Yankees | 52c | 904$470 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$470.08 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.52per pick | 52cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfb22…c471backed Yankees | 52c | 900$468 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$468 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | +1.4wins | +0.16per pick | 51cpaid | +30.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1231…fbfdbacked Blue Jays | 49c | 900$441 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$459 | 13 | 53.8%7 W · 6 L | +0.5wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +8.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6105…21eebacked Yankees | 52c | 846$440 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$439.92 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.52per pick | 52cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2209…823ebacked Yankees | 52c | 813.46$423 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$423 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | -0.8wins | -0.08per pick | 48cpaid | -11.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcf7e…0fbfbacked Blue Jays | 49c | 810.2$397 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$413.2 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | +0.8wins | +0.08per pick | 52cpaid | +19.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2934…0b51backed Blue Jays | 49c | 800$392 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$408 | 1,010 | 51.2%517 W · 493 L | +36.9wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xeefa…d1a2backed Blue Jays | 48c | 800$384 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$416 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +0.6wins | +0.10per pick | 57cpaid | +13.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7b3c…ffc7backed Yankees | 53c | 754.72$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400 | 885 | 49.7%440 W · 445 L | +11.9wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4180…cf9cbacked Yankees | 51c | 752.83$387 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$387.32 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -1.1wins | -0.14per pick | 52cpaid | -31.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe063…8a04backed Yankees | 9c | 655.13$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.26 | 50 | 28%14 W · 36 L | -1.5wins | -0.03per pick | 31cpaid | -19.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd73b…70adbacked Yankees | 52c | 600$312 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$312 | 144 | 53.5%77 W · 67 L | -6.6wins | -0.05per pick | 58cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8511…4a6bbacked Yankees | 51c | 510$260 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$260.1 | 436 | 54.8%239 W · 197 L | +8.6wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb033…bedbbacked Yankees | 47c | 500$235 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$235 | 133 | 59.4%79 W · 54 L | -2.8wins | -0.02per pick | 62cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe780…d32dbacked Blue Jays | 48c | 499.99$240 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$259.99 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.7wins | +0.18per pick | 57cpaid | +31.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfcdc…15cabacked Yankees | 51c | 489.94$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$249.87 | 78 | 47.4%37 W · 41 L | -2.7wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x25cc…3601backed Yankees | 52c | 487.9$254 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$253.71 | 105 | 50.5%53 W · 52 L | -2.1wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x95ec…4b7ebacked Blue Jays | 79c | 475.82$375 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100.82 | 387 | 43.2%167 W · 220 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd9e0…05f2backed Yankees | 33c | 462.82$152 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$151.84 | 4,169 | 50.2%2,093 W · 2,076 L | +92.5wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x64b5…7543backed Blue Jays | 47c | 454.94$214 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$241.12 | 717 | 51%366 W · 351 L | +9.9wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x991a…2411backed Blue Jays | 54c | 452.91$246 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$207.31 | 44 | 59.1%26 W · 18 L | +2.0wins | +0.05per pick | 55cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb853…0d33backed Blue Jays | 49c | 408.16$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$208.16 | 630 | 52.7%332 W · 298 L | +13.9wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaab0…7720backed Blue Jays | 48c | 400$192 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$208 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7322…bb35backed Blue Jays | 48c | 399.99$192 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$208 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.4wins | -0.06per pick | 49cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5adf…a5e7backed Blue Jays | 47c | 388$182 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$205.64 | 1,289 | 47.2%609 W · 680 L | -18.8wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x90ca…5830backed Yankees | 52c | 384.62$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.22per pick | 55cpaid | -51%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd680…2251backed Yankees | 59c | 357.49$210 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$210 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -0.6wins | -0.07per pick | 40cpaid | -27.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5a23…4e9fbacked Blue Jays | 48c | 350$168 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$182 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -1.0wins | -0.16per pick | 49cpaid | -34.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x22c7…ca3ebacked Yankees | 8c | 347.67$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.01 | 60 | 38.3%23 W · 37 L | +0.9wins | +0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -17.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2336…ec73backed Yankees | 53c | 328.95$173 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$173.2 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.53per pick | 53cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5482…b6eebacked Yankees | 5c | 324.25$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.81 | 876 | 2.9%25 W · 851 L | +5.5wins | +0.01per pick | 2cpaid | +19.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa8f3…e544backed Blue Jays | 48c | 315$151 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$163.8 | 1,435 | 50%717 W · 718 L | +25.8wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x250e…e864backed Yankees | 52c | 315$164 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$163.8 | 25 | 56%14 W · 11 L | +2.0wins | +0.08per pick | 48cpaid | +11.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x89ca…5b45backed Blue Jays | 48c | 281.25$135 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$146.25 | 70 | 65.7%46 W · 24 L | +2.6wins | +0.04per pick | 62cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xde04…fa37backed Yankees | 52c | 275$143 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$143 | 1,510 | 39%589 W · 921 L | -16.5wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -17.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5e5b…590dbacked Yankees | 28c | 270.82$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75 | 666 | 45.5%303 W · 363 L | -4.8wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x248c…d914backed Yankees | 51c | 260.04$133 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$132.62 | 242 | 53.7%130 W · 112 L | +1.5wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xff24…76c1backed Yankees | 52c | 257.69$134 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$134 | 93 | 32.3%30 W · 63 L | -16.8wins | -0.18per pick | 50cpaid | -36.1%equal weight | 34-0.14 edge/pick |
| 0x481d…48cfbacked Yankees | 8c | 250$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 14 | 35.7%5 W · 9 L | +0.5wins | +0.04per pick | 32cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf898…e720backed Yankees | 41c | 246.92$101 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$101.43 | 6,303 | 48.2%3,041 W · 3,262 L | +181.4wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xead1…c76abacked Yankees | 52c | 220$114 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$114.4 | 1,029 | 51.2%527 W · 502 L | -6.2wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7db1…e434backed Yankees | 45c | 208.62$93 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$93.38 | 38 | 36.8%14 W · 24 L | -2.1wins | -0.06per pick | 42cpaid | -22.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1bf8…ba0dbacked Blue Jays | 49c | 205.02$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$105.02 | 80 | 52.5%42 W · 38 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa717…8919backed Yankees | 51c | 205$105 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$104.55 | 405 | 48.9%198 W · 207 L | +13.2wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +9.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xce6d…28b5backed Blue Jays | 47c | 200$94 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$106 | 1,483 | 50.2%745 W · 738 L | +5.4wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2b9f…8483backed Yankees | 51c | 200$102 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$102 | 18 | 44.4%8 W · 10 L | -1.1wins | -0.06per pick | 51cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa0c2…0705backed Blue Jays | 49c | 200$98 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$102 | 35 | 48.6%17 W · 18 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5322…6b5fbacked Yankees | 51c | 200$102 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$102 | 19 | 31.6%6 W · 13 L | -3.8wins | -0.20per pick | 51cpaid | -39.7%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x5070…0039backed Blue Jays | 49c | 200$98 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$102 | 36 | 58.3%21 W · 15 L | +3.3wins | +0.09per pick | 49cpaid | +19.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9752…bd2ebacked Blue Jays | 49c | 200$98 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$102 | 32 | 71.9%23 W · 9 L | +7.0wins | +0.22per pick | 50cpaid | +46.4%equal weight | 64+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x5b4f…2737backed Blue Jays | 49c | 200$98 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$102 | 32 | 50%16 W · 16 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x90df…18cfbacked Blue Jays | 49c | 200$98 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$102 | 33 | 48.5%16 W · 17 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.