TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

MLB · resolved market

Padres vs. Marlins

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Marlinsof Padres, Marlins
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$1,117,924
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$1,169,200

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $1,117,924 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 253 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in MLB
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x7ee1…dae8backed Padres47c864,789$407,556 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$407,556.086456.3%36 W · 28 L+6.8wins+0.11per pick46cpaid+27.7%equal weight58+0.08 edge/pick
0x7abe…b47ebacked Marlins53c161,500$85,169 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$76,33122852.2%119 W · 109 L-6.9wins-0.03per pick55cpaid-4.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x7fb7…e33dbacked Marlins53c150,676$79,583 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$71,093.611,32851.4%682 W · 646 L+25.0wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+4.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x61bf…647ebacked Marlins54c147,387$79,589 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$67,797.836642.4%28 W · 38 L-6.4wins-0.10per pick52cpaid-13.1%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xfba6…375cbacked Marlins53c124,286$65,327 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$58,959.0386751.8%449 W · 418 L-0.6wins0.00per pick52cpaid-5.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe38e…c29dbacked Marlins52c85,000$44,500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$40,50048254.4%262 W · 220 L-5.4wins-0.01per pick55cpaid-2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc8b4…f05dbacked Marlins53c70,021$37,011 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$33,01041850%209 W · 209 L+6.4wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+2.4%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x94a1…ec2fbacked Marlins52c30,000$15,600 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14,40014048.6%68 W · 72 L-0.2wins0.00per pick49cpaid+3.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb083…b3f0backed Marlins54c24,222$13,080 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11,142.1260249.5%298 W · 304 L+10.1wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+2.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x36da…e646backed Marlins53c23,650$12,535 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11,115.523545.1%106 W · 129 L-1.4wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8fba…d08abacked Padres48c20,000$9,600 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9,60053150.5%268 W · 263 L+19.4wins+0.04per pick47cpaid+7.2%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x1d3a…7b63backed Marlins52c17,237$8,963 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8,273.561,35250.8%687 W · 665 L+13.3wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+2.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xee03…3eeabacked Marlins53c16,500$8,745 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7,7559749.5%48 W · 49 L-1.1wins-0.01per pick51cpaid+94.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1117…3532backed Marlins54c13,849$7,479 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6,370.5960451%308 W · 296 L-2.3wins0.00per pick51cpaid0%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf520…0637backed Marlins62c12,551$7,748 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,803.4397950.2%491 W · 488 L+49.6wins+0.05per pick45cpaid+2.8%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xf68a…5b1bbacked Marlins53c12,500$6,575 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,9251,15149.2%566 W · 585 L-0.9wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x727b…d1a2backed Padres35c11,633$4,016 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,015.7818837.8%71 W · 117 L-6.5wins-0.03per pick41cpaid-29.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xe401…7b88backed Marlins60c10,248$6,149 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,098.859,72846.3%4,506 W · 5,222 L+32.8wins0.00per pick46cpaid-8.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xbde3…4a49backed Padres46c10,000$4,600 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,60014648.6%71 W · 75 L+0.9wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+1.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9c12…1937backed Marlins54c9,017$4,913 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,104.0138444%169 W · 215 L-11.7wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-13.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Marlins55c7,867$4,321 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,546.322,47052.5%1,296 W · 1,174 L+17.7wins+0.01per pick52cpaid+2.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd6f4…0566backed Marlins70c7,188$4,998 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,189.9354941%225 W · 324 L-15.1wins-0.03per pick44cpaid-22.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x187b…26bfbacked Marlins53c5,705$3,024 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,681.55352.8%28 W · 25 L+3.0wins+0.06per pick47cpaid+12.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x0a7e…fce4backed Padres46c5,262$2,444 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,444.026550.8%33 W · 32 L+2.5wins+0.04per pick47cpaid+7.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xa6a8…5009backed Marlins65c4,642$2,999 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,643.612,27443.2%983 W · 1,291 L+43.8wins+0.02per pick41cpaid-8.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1cbe…12bcbacked Marlins52c3,519$1,836 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,682.931,13248.9%553 W · 579 L-16.6wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-3.1%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x8753…85adbacked Marlins54c3,440$1,841 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,599.41,90953.5%1,021 W · 888 L+29.1wins+0.02per pick52cpaid+3.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9716…378abacked Marlins54c3,309$1,771 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,537.2550852.6%267 W · 241 L+2.6wins+0.01per pick52cpaid+2%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x88a1…ad45backed Marlins54c3,294$1,778 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,515.8126355.5%146 W · 117 L+6.3wins+0.02per pick53cpaid+6.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x067f…e041backed Padres22c3,000$650 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$65093240.5%377 W · 555 L+14.2wins+0.02per pick39cpaid+2.5%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x1867…92cabacked Marlins53c3,000$1,590 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,41026453.8%142 W · 122 L+9.5wins+0.04per pick50cpaid+9.2%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x1464…5e75backed Marlins54c3,000$1,620 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,38038249.5%189 W · 193 L-1.3wins0.00per pick50cpaid+0.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x016e…c700backed Padres35c2,857$1,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,00024154.4%131 W · 110 L-3.6wins-0.01per pick56cpaid-4%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x578d…fbb3backed Padres37c2,598$952 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$952.4433845.9%155 W · 183 L-15.3wins-0.05per pick50cpaid-11%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x497c…d54ebacked Padres43c2,571$1,097 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,097.4324248.8%118 W · 124 L+8.3wins+0.03per pick45cpaid+9.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x6561…6f9dbacked Padres50c2,120$1,060 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,060633.3%2 W · 4 L-0.6wins-0.10per pick43cpaid-34.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4114…e826backed Padres49c2,050$1,005 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,005944.4%4 W · 5 L-0.8wins-0.09per pick53cpaid-18.2%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x10e1…5d54backed Marlins51c2,050$1,045 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,004.941181.8%9 W · 2 L+3.4wins+0.31per pick51cpaid+61.7%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0x9700…0e70backed Marlins53c2,000$1,060 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$94014446.5%67 W · 77 L-4.5wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-7.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x311f…70fbbacked Padres49c2,000$980 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$980837.5%3 W · 5 L-1.4wins-0.17per pick55cpaid-40.1%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xf5f2…0234backed Marlins54c1,969$1,063 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$905.7426949.4%133 W · 136 L+1.0wins0.00per pick49cpaid+1.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe83c…5e8fbacked Marlins52c1,923$1,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$923.0473352.4%384 W · 349 L+12.6wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+4.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3e04…564dbacked Marlins51c1,872$955 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$917.198149.8%489 W · 492 L-12.4wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-3.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4732…3b86backed Marlins50c1,700$850 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$850862.5%5 W · 3 L+1.2wins+0.15per pick47cpaid+37%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xebd8…570cbacked Padres26c1,684$440 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$439.943946%202 W · 237 L+9.2wins+0.02per pick44cpaid-1.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xdf2e…ddecbacked Padres17c1,615$275 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$274.551,53050.5%772 W · 758 L+20.8wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-0.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x81a0…dd29backed Padres50c1,500$750 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7501136.4%4 W · 7 L-1.2wins-0.11per pick47cpaid-9.7%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xef75…5d78backed Marlins65c1,429$924 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5051,35845.9%624 W · 734 L+41.5wins+0.03per pick43cpaid-3.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x6966…7a8dbacked Marlins53c1,416$750 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$665.524045%18 W · 22 L-3.2wins-0.08per pick53cpaid-10.9%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x517a…6491backed Marlins75c1,333$1,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$333.339354.8%51 W · 42 L-0.5wins-0.01per pick55cpaid-2.6%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x3c92…1b05backed Padres50c1,306$653 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$653.1510%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.50per pick50cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5103…88b9backed Padres50c1,300$650 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6501050%5 W · 5 L-0.2wins-0.02per pick52cpaid+0.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1b07…8e5ebacked Marlins51c1,300$663 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$637944.4%4 W · 5 L-1.0wins-0.11per pick55cpaid-24.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x1e52…91d6backed Padres34c1,296$442 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$442.2414235.9%51 W · 91 L-3.3wins-0.02per pick38cpaid-14.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x65df…8397backed Padres49c1,200$588 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$588922.2%2 W · 7 L-2.4wins-0.27per pick49cpaid-54.4%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x92fd…0ad5backed Marlins51c1,137$580 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$557.13650%3 W · 3 L-0.2wins-0.03per pick53cpaid-10.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x86e9…fa1dbacked Marlins63c1,112$700 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$411.726154.1%33 W · 28 L-1.4wins-0.02per pick56cpaid-4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe112…15e5backed Marlins50c1,100$550 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$550785.7%6 W · 1 L+2.0wins+0.29per pick57cpaid+56.9%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xb786…b18dbacked Padres5c1,100$53 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$531,59150.3%801 W · 790 L+68.9wins+0.04per pick46cpaid+1.4%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x1f51…097ebacked Marlins50c1,100$550 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5501250%6 W · 6 L-0.4wins-0.03per pick53cpaid-0.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7da9…2238backed Marlins50c1,020$510 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$510771.4%5 W · 2 L+1.2wins+0.17per pick54cpaid+35%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xb142…cd11backed Marlins50c1,002$501 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$500.8718748.1%90 W · 97 L+5.6wins+0.03per pick45cpaid+5.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xae0e…6527backed Padres28c1,000$280 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2802948.3%14 W · 15 L+1.4wins+0.05per pick43cpaid+6.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xee73…18e6backed Padres49c1,000$490 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$490922.2%2 W · 7 L-2.7wins-0.30per pick52cpaid-60.7%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x5e5b…590dbacked Padres39c917.94$355 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$35566645.5%303 W · 363 L-4.8wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-0.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf8d6…0062backed Padres32c917.27$298 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$297.66746.3%31 W · 36 L+1.3wins+0.02per pick44cpaid-3.9%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xfb22…c471backed Marlins51c900$459 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$441966.7%6 W · 3 L+1.4wins+0.16per pick51cpaid+30.1%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x5adf…a5e7backed Padres47c899.98$420 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$419.991,28947.2%609 W · 680 L-18.8wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-2.3%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x996c…d8b9backed Padres29c889.23$256 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$256.474146.3%19 W · 22 L-0.5wins-0.01per pick48cpaid+1.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0602…6677backed Marlins51c863$440 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$422.87785.7%6 W · 1 L+2.3wins+0.33per pick52cpaid+64%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xcf7e…0fbfbacked Marlins56c805.36$451 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$354.361060%6 W · 4 L+0.8wins+0.08per pick52cpaid+19.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2209…823ebacked Padres45c802.22$361 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3611040%4 W · 6 L-0.8wins-0.08per pick48cpaid-11.9%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xc922…2618backed Marlins50c800$400 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$40033852.1%176 W · 162 L+15.2wins+0.04per pick48cpaid+11.7%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x2934…0b51backed Padres50c800$400 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4001,01051.2%517 W · 493 L+36.9wins+0.04per pick48cpaid+7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x10b0…8525backed Padres45c706.35$315 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$314.8395850%479 W · 479 L+4.6wins0.00per pick50cpaid+2.5%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x4d9a…4e25backed Padres47c638$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$299.8615944%70 W · 89 L-6.3wins-0.04per pick48cpaid-7.4%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xe5f4…55c1backed Padres27c609.59$164 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$163.956417.2%11 W · 53 L-5.4wins-0.08per pick26cpaid-44.9%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x7f65…d7aebacked Marlins56c488.34$273 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$214.8795930%288 W · 671 L-24.4wins-0.03per pick33cpaid-15.7%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xd9e0…05f2backed Marlins73c476.84$347 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$129.594,16950.2%2,093 W · 2,076 L+92.5wins+0.02per pick48cpaid-11.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf898…e720backed Marlins61c436.39$265 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$170.926,30348.2%3,041 W · 3,262 L+181.4wins+0.03per pick45cpaid+0.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xc3ec…e987backed Padres17c400$68 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6861346.3%284 W · 329 L+7.3wins+0.01per pick45cpaid-5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x11d7…52e1backed Marlins75c400$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10080955.5%449 W · 360 L+12.4wins+0.02per pick54cpaid+1.2%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xd727…eccebacked Marlins64c399.85$258 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$142.243,29146.2%1,521 W · 1,770 L+20.9wins+0.01per pick46cpaid+2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6c82…6150backed Marlins52c386.08$201 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$185.322835.7%10 W · 18 L-5.9wins-0.21per pick57cpaid-37.9%equal weight38-0.11 edge/pick
0xd164…d0abbacked Padres45c377.78$170 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$170742.9%3 W · 4 L-1.4wins-0.20per pick63cpaid-39.5%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xff34…694bbacked Marlins49c307.88$151 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$157.025,23456.8%2,971 W · 2,263 L+130.4wins+0.02per pick54cpaid+2.3%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x7879…4345backed Marlins52c295.83$154 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14218848.4%91 W · 97 L-6.8wins-0.04per pick52cpaid-6.7%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x8b7e…6a9fbacked Padres45c222.22$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1002,03352.4%1,066 W · 967 L-35.5wins-0.02per pick54cpaid-3.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x480d…f219backed Padres45c222.22$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1001,25052.2%653 W · 597 L-5.0wins0.00per pick53cpaid-1.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd610…4c9abacked Marlins52c220.57$114 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$106.572,26145.4%1,026 W · 1,235 L+57.4wins+0.03per pick43cpaid+6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xca8f…d963backed Marlins53c220.1$116 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$104.361,36044.3%602 W · 758 L+45.8wins+0.03per pick41cpaid+8%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xdc4b…5a92backed Padres46c217.39$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1002,26753.3%1,208 W · 1,059 L-12.4wins-0.01per pick54cpaid-1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1bf8…ba0dbacked Padres46c217.39$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1008052.5%42 W · 38 L+0.5wins+0.01per pick52cpaid-0.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8097…8a5fbacked Padres51c215.69$110 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11011748.7%57 W · 60 L-0.7wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-0.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xead1…c76abacked Marlins52c211$109 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$101.541,02951.2%527 W · 502 L-6.2wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-0.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3df4…57dfbacked Padres49c204.95$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100.4331347.9%150 W · 163 L+5.7wins+0.02per pick46cpaid+6.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6983…5d9cbacked Marlins50c200$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1001100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.50per pick50cpaid+100%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x433f…a0dcbacked Padres45c200$90 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9015644.9%70 W · 86 L+11.7wins+0.08per pick37cpaid+25.9%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xbed0…3c7dbacked Padres25c200$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$501,20348.5%584 W · 619 L-8.7wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-3.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xcc09…9d12backed Padres44c200$88 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$888253.7%44 W · 38 L+1.0wins+0.01per pick52cpaid+4.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.