MLB · resolved market
Diamondbacks vs. Athletics
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x334fbfd31735de42470807a560f815b958e06b50513716be6bdd6fad183ca48f
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Diamondbacksof Diamondbacks, Athletics
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $622,852
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $615,163
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $622,852 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 420 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in MLB | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x461f…7a07backed Diamondbacks | 48c | 380,257$181,211 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$199,046.22 | 120 | 43.3%52 W · 68 L | -1.8wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7abe…b47ebacked Athletics | 52c | 119,100$61,932 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61,932 | 228 | 52.2%119 W · 109 L | -6.9wins | -0.03per pick | 55cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7fb7…e33dbacked Athletics | 52c | 63,331$33,004 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33,003.64 | 1,328 | 51.4%682 W · 646 L | +25.0wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe38e…c29dbacked Athletics | 52c | 63,250$32,890 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32,890 | 482 | 54.4%262 W · 220 L | -5.4wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5ef4…412cbacked Athletics | 26c | 58,499$15,210 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15,209.65 | 85 | 40%34 W · 51 L | -1.2wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfba6…375cbacked Athletics | 52c | 29,957$15,578 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15,577.7 | 867 | 51.8%449 W · 418 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0229…ea6cbacked Diamondbacks | 74c | 27,248$20,162 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,086.51 | 417 | 47.2%197 W · 220 L | +15.3wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | +6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x12d6…dbbcbacked Athletics | 53c | 25,000$13,150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13,150 | 245 | 53.5%131 W · 114 L | +10.0wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9267…0f9abacked Athletics | 53c | 20,000$10,600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10,600 | 550 | 53.6%295 W · 255 L | -8.6wins | -0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x94a1…ec2fbacked Athletics | 52c | 20,000$10,400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10,400 | 140 | 48.6%68 W · 72 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5d9d…02c7backed Athletics | 53c | 17,581$9,318 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,317.7 | 359 | 52.4%188 W · 171 L | -5.4wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9c12…1937backed Athletics | 14c | 15,993$2,314 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,313.97 | 384 | 44%169 W · 215 L | -11.7wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4e94…6243backed Athletics | 18c | 15,438$2,829 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,829.27 | 543 | 45.5%247 W · 296 L | +14.1wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xef75…5d78backed Diamondbacks | 74c | 14,201$10,506 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,695.26 | 1,358 | 45.9%624 W · 734 L | +41.5wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf68a…5b1bbacked Athletics | 53c | 14,000$7,380 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,380 | 1,153 | 49.2%567 W · 586 L | -0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1d3a…7b63backed Athletics | 52c | 9,015$4,651 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,651.14 | 1,358 | 50.8%690 W · 668 L | +13.2wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf898…e720backed Athletics | 7c | 8,106$533 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$532.95 | 6,305 | 48.2%3,042 W · 3,263 L | +181.6wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4bd3…8ce0backed Athletics | 49c | 5,511$2,700 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,700.39 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -19.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9716…378abacked Athletics | 52c | 5,345$2,774 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,774.43 | 508 | 52.6%267 W · 241 L | +2.6wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +2%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf0ec…6064backed Diamondbacks | 49c | 5,000$2,450 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,550 | 21 | 23.8%5 W · 16 L | -1.6wins | -0.07per pick | 31cpaid | -51.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3d41…0389backed Athletics | 49c | 4,490$2,200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,200.09 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.49per pick | 49cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Athletics | 53c | 3,978$2,089 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,089.4 | 2,470 | 52.5%1,296 W · 1,174 L | +17.7wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2746…3cffbacked Diamondbacks | 51c | 3,922$2,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,921.78 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.49per pick | 51cpaid | +96.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x98d2…0a4abacked Diamondbacks | 51c | 3,922$2,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,921.78 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.49per pick | 51cpaid | +96.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3cc4…f94fbacked Diamondbacks | 51c | 3,391$1,717 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,673.68 | 34 | 50%17 W · 17 L | -1.4wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -13%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd428…6368backed Diamondbacks | 51c | 2,560$1,296 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,264.43 | 394 | 56.9%224 W · 170 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xebd8…570cbacked Athletics | 22c | 2,167$466 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$466.17 | 439 | 46%202 W · 237 L | +9.2wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2f79…a36fbacked Diamondbacks | 51c | 2,157$1,100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,056.93 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.44per pick | 56cpaid | +78.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Athletics | 50c | 2,032$1,008 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,007.74 | 9,819 | 46.4%4,557 W · 5,262 L | +39.8wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x64b5…7543backed Diamondbacks | 50c | 2,000$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,000 | 717 | 51%366 W · 351 L | +9.9wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x67fd…2b74backed Athletics | 54c | 2,000$1,080 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,079.99 | 166 | 51.8%86 W · 80 L | +4.6wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +9.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd269…8055backed Diamondbacks | 50c | 1,550$780 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$770.48 | 709 | 46.1%327 W · 382 L | -6.8wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9700…0e70backed Athletics | 53c | 1,500$795 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$795 | 145 | 46.2%67 W · 78 L | -4.5wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x497c…d54ebacked Diamondbacks | 47c | 1,500$705 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$795 | 242 | 48.8%118 W · 124 L | +8.3wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +9.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1cbe…12bcbacked Athletics | 50c | 1,053$523 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$522.73 | 1,132 | 48.9%553 W · 579 L | -16.6wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1275…5b87backed Athletics | 15c | 1,038$161 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$160.52 | 129 | 24.8%32 W · 97 L | -11.6wins | -0.09per pick | 34cpaid | -36.7%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x80e9…5105backed Diamondbacks | 48c | 999.99$480 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$520 | 41 | 51.2%21 W · 20 L | +2.8wins | +0.07per pick | 44cpaid | +15.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0bbd…606cbacked Diamondbacks | 67c | 977.57$651 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$326.99 | 92 | 37%34 W · 58 L | -5.1wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -18%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1fcf…48e1backed Athletics | 35c | 898.17$313 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$313.34 | 156 | 42.9%67 W · 89 L | +5.4wins | +0.03per pick | 39cpaid | +11.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbccd…6aeebacked Athletics | 53c | 860.69$460 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$460 | 40 | 45%18 W · 22 L | -4.8wins | -0.12per pick | 57cpaid | -23.4%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xe6d7…b646backed Athletics | 21c | 860.06$183 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$182.85 | 182 | 36.3%66 W · 116 L | -4.1wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf7f2…39f2backed Diamondbacks | 50c | 800$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$400 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.5wins | -0.07per pick | 50cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe959…7c7abacked Athletics | 50c | 800$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.5wins | +0.07per pick | 50cpaid | +14.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd9e0…05f2backed Athletics | 31c | 509.59$157 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$157.3 | 4,187 | 50.2%2,102 W · 2,085 L | +94.3wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x79cb…331ebacked Athletics | 7c | 500.39$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.12 | 475 | 4.4%21 W · 454 L | -20.9wins | -0.04per pick | 9cpaid | -72.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe3ce…d9dfbacked Diamondbacks | 48c | 500$240 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$260 | 308 | 50%154 W · 154 L | +12.0wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +11.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x248c…d914backed Athletics | 50c | 476$238 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$238 | 242 | 53.7%130 W · 112 L | +1.5wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb61f…9958backed Athletics | 19c | 431.58$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80 | 272 | 13.6%37 W · 235 L | +4.2wins | +0.02per pick | 12cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa6a8…5009backed Athletics | 21c | 425.7$89 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$88.82 | 2,274 | 43.2%983 W · 1,291 L | +43.8wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x781c…db68backed Diamondbacks | 65c | 420$273 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$147 | 961 | 33.9%326 W · 635 L | -38.9wins | -0.04per pick | 38cpaid | -31.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xaaef…472abacked Diamondbacks | 74c | 408.92$304 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$104.95 | 327 | 54.7%179 W · 148 L | +6.8wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe87a…6d01backed Athletics | 23c | 408$94 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$93.84 | 50 | 50%25 W · 25 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xca38…460bbacked Diamondbacks | 46c | 400$184 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$216 | 340 | 51.2%174 W · 166 L | +6.8wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2a7d…0a62backed Athletics | 52c | 386.54$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 57 | 64.9%37 W · 20 L | +3.7wins | +0.06per pick | 58cpaid | +12.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7db1…e434backed Athletics | 32c | 379.99$122 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$122.1 | 38 | 36.8%14 W · 24 L | -2.1wins | -0.06per pick | 42cpaid | -22.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3dd4…1b50backed Athletics | 51c | 371$189 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$189.21 | 2,050 | 53.8%1,103 W · 947 L | +33.1wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x25cc…3601backed Diamondbacks | 46c | 365.29$168 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$197.26 | 105 | 50.5%53 W · 52 L | -2.1wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3d64…01fabacked Diamondbacks | 48c | 350$168 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$182 | 513 | 47%241 W · 272 L | +32.0wins | +0.06per pick | 41cpaid | +14.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xca8f…d963backed Diamondbacks | 47c | 350$165 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$185.5 | 1,360 | 44.3%602 W · 758 L | +45.8wins | +0.03per pick | 41cpaid | +8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb786…b18dbacked Athletics | 26c | 301.19$78 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$78.14 | 1,591 | 50.3%801 W · 790 L | +68.9wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd610…4c9abacked Athletics | 49c | 300$147 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$147 | 2,261 | 45.4%1,026 W · 1,235 L | +57.4wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | +6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xacdf…0ec4backed Athletics | 36c | 293.45$106 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$105.64 | 194 | 52.6%102 W · 92 L | -10.9wins | -0.06per pick | 58cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0e3b…14fcbacked Athletics | 25c | 284.09$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70.2 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -0.9wins | -0.10per pick | 43cpaid | -48.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd523…0aa4backed Diamondbacks | 50c | 260$130 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$130 | 1,293 | 46.6%603 W · 690 L | +14.9wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9a7f…4b5dbacked Athletics | 51c | 257.08$131 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$131.11 | 432 | 47.2%204 W · 228 L | -10.1wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x05a4…1e85backed Diamondbacks | 73c | 248.86$180 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$68.37 | 806 | 80%645 W · 161 L | +173.6wins | +0.22per pick | 58cpaid | +34.7%equal weight | 73+0.21 edge/pick |
| 0xf744…7392backed Diamondbacks | 72c | 230.78$166 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$64.34 | 181 | 55.8%101 W · 80 L | -11.4wins | -0.06per pick | 62cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6e9a…d9d7backed Diamondbacks | 51c | 218.97$112 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$107.3 | 65 | 53.8%35 W · 30 L | +3.3wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +13.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x84db…aeebbacked Diamondbacks | 46c | 216$99 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$116.64 | 260 | 56.5%147 W · 113 L | +13.1wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +9.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2885…486cbacked Diamondbacks | 49c | 211.92$104 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$108 | 41 | 36.6%15 W · 26 L | -3.1wins | -0.07per pick | 44cpaid | -17%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xbe52…8d34backed Diamondbacks | 50c | 200$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100 | 51 | 41.2%21 W · 30 L | -3.3wins | -0.07per pick | 48cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe9a5…6751backed Athletics | 50c | 200$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 53 | 58.5%31 W · 22 L | +3.5wins | +0.07per pick | 52cpaid | +12.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd5ad…afb5backed Diamondbacks | 50c | 200$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100 | 53 | 39.6%21 W · 32 L | -3.6wins | -0.07per pick | 46cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5936…4c34backed Athletics | 50c | 200$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 52 | 50%26 W · 26 L | -1.9wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6ec0…8ee3backed Diamondbacks | 50c | 200$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100 | 50 | 52%26 W · 24 L | +1.5wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd769…9969backed Diamondbacks | 50c | 200$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100 | 50 | 60%30 W · 20 L | +5.3wins | +0.11per pick | 49cpaid | +22.5%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xfe09…d95cbacked Athletics | 50c | 200$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 52 | 48.1%25 W · 27 L | -2.7wins | -0.05per pick | 53cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x27ed…ca51backed Diamondbacks | 50c | 200$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100 | 54 | 53.7%29 W · 25 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6204…cc30backed Diamondbacks | 50c | 200$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100 | 52 | 51.9%27 W · 25 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x634a…af2cbacked Diamondbacks | 50c | 200$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100 | 50 | 44%22 W · 28 L | -2.4wins | -0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x79d7…a553backed Diamondbacks | 50c | 200$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100 | 51 | 39.2%20 W · 31 L | -4.5wins | -0.09per pick | 48cpaid | -17.2%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x597e…d24cbacked Diamondbacks | 50c | 200$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100 | 52 | 48.1%25 W · 27 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbcf3…b281backed Diamondbacks | 50c | 200$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100 | 51 | 43.1%22 W · 29 L | -2.2wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfd08…1e7abacked Athletics | 50c | 200$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 54 | 50%27 W · 27 L | +1.4wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaee1…a478backed Diamondbacks | 50c | 200$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100 | 54 | 57.4%31 W · 23 L | +4.7wins | +0.09per pick | 49cpaid | +19.8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0900…ced0backed Diamondbacks | 50c | 200$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100 | 53 | 54.7%29 W · 24 L | +4.4wins | +0.08per pick | 46cpaid | +19.2%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe96b…3394backed Diamondbacks | 50c | 200$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100 | 50 | 62%31 W · 19 L | +7.4wins | +0.15per pick | 47cpaid | +32.3%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x4582…70c6backed Diamondbacks | 50c | 200$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100 | 52 | 55.8%29 W · 23 L | +3.9wins | +0.07per pick | 48cpaid | +17.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x33d6…e499backed Athletics | 50c | 200$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 51 | 49%25 W · 26 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9e7f…8250backed Diamondbacks | 50c | 200$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100 | 51 | 41.2%21 W · 30 L | -2.8wins | -0.06per pick | 47cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0570…752cbacked Athletics | 50c | 200$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 51 | 52.9%27 W · 24 L | +3.1wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +15.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfd69…8706backed Athletics | 50c | 200$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 51 | 41.2%21 W · 30 L | -4.2wins | -0.08per pick | 49cpaid | -15.6%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6248…32d7backed Diamondbacks | 50c | 200$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100 | 50 | 50%25 W · 25 L | +1.7wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +9.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5fd3…be9dbacked Diamondbacks | 50c | 200$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100 | 53 | 49.1%26 W · 27 L | +1.1wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3896…5e61backed Diamondbacks | 50c | 200$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100 | 53 | 49.1%26 W · 27 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb913…f8f3backed Diamondbacks | 50c | 200$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100 | 52 | 50%26 W · 26 L | +1.5wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1449…780fbacked Diamondbacks | 50c | 200$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100 | 50 | 46%23 W · 27 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3c2b…e2dbbacked Diamondbacks | 50c | 200$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100 | 52 | 48.1%25 W · 27 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3b3a…b30ebacked Diamondbacks | 50c | 200$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100 | 53 | 49.1%26 W · 27 L | +0.9wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7673…0047backed Diamondbacks | 50c | 200$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100 | 52 | 42.3%22 W · 30 L | -2.3wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.