CS2 · resolved market
Will Vitality win the IEM Dallas tournament?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x7c929d88bb9534ee8f0bfded3762f9f7529ef9c10f728c1df016b022c6a551fa
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $135,305
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $135,715
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $135,305 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 121 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in CS2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x0273…f0cbbacked Yes | 60c | 30,545$18,327 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12,218 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.40per pick | 60cpaid | +66.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8055…8931backed No | 40c | 30,545$12,218 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12,218 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.40per pick | 40cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x47b1…1306backed Yes | 72c | 9,128$6,600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,528.35 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.28per pick | 72cpaid | +39%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x93bc…8ca3backed No | 25c | 8,031$1,981 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,981.25 | 1,259 | 42.5%535 W · 724 L | +20.6wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x71a3…93babacked Yes | 71c | 6,332$4,492 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,839.66 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.25per pick | 75cpaid | -29.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc8a2…c590backed No | 8c | 3,897$308 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$307.65 | 143 | 32.2%46 W · 97 L | +5.0wins | +0.03per pick | 29cpaid | -33.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8f69…7df1backed No | 33c | 3,346$1,097 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,097.29 | 754 | 50.5%381 W · 373 L | +17.0wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf520…0637backed No | 27c | 2,184$594 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$593.94 | 103 | 48.5%50 W · 53 L | +4.7wins | +0.05per pick | 44cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3c5b…50c9backed No | 28c | 2,130$596 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$596.39 | 47 | 36.2%17 W · 30 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 36cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdbb9…ed8dbacked No | 48c | 2,065$994 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$994.32 | 89 | 44.9%40 W · 49 L | -4.7wins | -0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +29.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x889d…19bcbacked Yes | 73c | 2,043$1,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$542.78 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | +0.2wins | +0.03per pick | 64cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdc6d…10fabacked No | 19c | 1,861$354 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$353.61 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.19per pick | 19cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x906f…54c8backed Yes | 70c | 1,707$1,200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$506.79 | 34 | 52.9%18 W · 16 L | -1.6wins | -0.05per pick | 58cpaid | -13.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9f9a…06d0backed Yes | 63c | 1,670$1,050 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$619.98 | 43 | 69.8%30 W · 13 L | +1.4wins | +0.03per pick | 67cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6fcd…8dd0backed No | 19c | 1,580$295 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$294.93 | 172 | 43%74 W · 98 L | -2.7wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe38e…c29dbacked Yes | 74c | 1,422$1,050 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$371.79 | 8 | 75%6 W · 2 L | +0.4wins | +0.05per pick | 70cpaid | +13.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4455…98e5backed Yes | 74c | 1,393$1,032 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$361.13 | 15 | 60%9 W · 6 L | +1.6wins | +0.10per pick | 50cpaid | +23.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0564…ce95backed Yes | 74c | 1,354$1,002 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$351.93 | 39 | 41%16 W · 23 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | +16%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1285…6a2fbacked Yes | 51c | 1,319$679 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$639.62 | 16 | 43.8%7 W · 9 L | -0.4wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6a6f…4999backed Yes | 73c | 1,307$954 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$352.85 | 48 | 62.5%30 W · 18 L | +1.4wins | +0.03per pick | 60cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4a6f…6b82backed Yes | 72c | 1,227$885 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$341.66 | 42 | 57.1%24 W · 18 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x746e…4238backed Yes | 61c | 1,001$610 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$391.02 | 12 | 33.3%4 W · 8 L | -0.5wins | -0.04per pick | 37cpaid | -28.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9825…f8e8backed Yes | 64c | 936.48$602 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$334.48 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.36per pick | 64cpaid | +55.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x14c5…866bbacked No | 45c | 925$416 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$416.25 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.08per pick | 58cpaid | -29.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4591…d19ebacked Yes | 60c | 895.15$533 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$362.27 | 119 | 49.6%59 W · 60 L | -2.7wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x40f8…327dbacked Yes | 70c | 867.52$607 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$260.26 | 86 | 54.7%47 W · 39 L | +4.8wins | +0.06per pick | 49cpaid | +8.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb8c5…0166backed No | 2c | 800$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.2 | 53 | 26.4%14 W · 39 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 27cpaid | -39.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x288a…4275backed Yes | 59c | 721.15$426 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$295.22 | 43 | 51.2%22 W · 21 L | +2.2wins | +0.05per pick | 46cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8c3b…e573backed Yes | 74c | 669.64$496 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$174.11 | 34 | 47.1%16 W · 18 L | -2.3wins | -0.07per pick | 54cpaid | -23.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3435…1913backed No | 29c | 600$174 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$174 | 99 | 54.5%54 W · 45 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8e87…784fbacked Yes | 55c | 575$316 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$258.75 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.45per pick | 55cpaid | +81.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xee03…3eeabacked No | 29c | 559.89$164 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$163.62 | 62 | 64.5%40 W · 22 L | +5.7wins | +0.09per pick | 55cpaid | +9.4%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xd0de…a9fcbacked Yes | 73c | 500.48$363 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$137.48 | 12 | 75%9 W · 3 L | +1.1wins | +0.09per pick | 66cpaid | +9.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xaacf…5f84backed No | 29c | 500$145 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$145 | 589 | 61.3%361 W · 228 L | -1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 62cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb950…4dd4backed No | 2c | 500$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 567 | 38.8%220 W · 347 L | -4.0wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4abf…2fcdbacked No | 48c | 406.11$197 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$196.57 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.48per pick | 48cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf031…89b5backed No | 38c | 394.83$152 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$151.62 | 11 | 18.2%2 W · 9 L | -0.3wins | -0.03per pick | 21cpaid | -31.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8761…7936backed Yes | 66c | 392.45$261 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$131.85 | 21 | 38.1%8 W · 13 L | -2.2wins | -0.11per pick | 49cpaid | -26.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc2fe…71d6backed No | 29c | 358.29$104 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$103.9 | 90 | 48.9%44 W · 46 L | +1.8wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +10.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5ca1…8c73backed No | 18c | 350$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.18per pick | 18cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd474…32babacked Yes | 55c | 345$190 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$155.25 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.45per pick | 55cpaid | +81.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe48f…02a2backed No | 44c | 318.18$140 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$140 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.11per pick | 61cpaid | -36.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1bdd…31acbacked No | 49c | 306.12$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.10per pick | 60cpaid | -29.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x51de…c4d1backed No | 26c | 303.97$78 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$78.18 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd14f…186ebacked No | 29c | 300$87 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$87 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -33.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6c43…fb9bbacked No | 35c | 299.99$106 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$106.5 | 249 | 43.8%109 W · 140 L | -1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5717…1842backed No | 34c | 289.99$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.7 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.34per pick | 34cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6b3a…2841backed Yes | 51c | 284$146 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$137.8 | 105 | 46.7%49 W · 56 L | +1.4wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd34b…0004backed No | 37c | 248.28$91 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$91.18 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | +0.3wins | +0.03per pick | 37cpaid | -17.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb8c3…d36cbacked Yes | 65c | 242.15$157 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$84.75 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.35per pick | 65cpaid | +53.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2765…7ee4backed Yes | 55c | 238.62$132 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$106.39 | 645 | 52.9%341 W · 304 L | +27.2wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +9.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x22c7…ca3ebacked No | 32c | 237.05$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$74.72 | 20 | 35%7 W · 13 L | -0.9wins | -0.05per pick | 40cpaid | -41.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0286…eb6cbacked No | 44c | 227.27$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.8wins | -0.12per pick | 55cpaid | -35.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0f50…4db9backed No | 34c | 224.95$76 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$76.48 | 14 | 42.9%6 W · 8 L | +1.3wins | +0.10per pick | 33cpaid | +48.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xaa7b…892dbacked Yes | 74c | 224.32$166 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.32 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | -0.4wins | -0.06per pick | 63cpaid | -18.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8756…b36cbacked Yes | 55c | 206.94$114 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$93.12 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.2wins | +0.39per pick | 61cpaid | +68.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcced…9ffebacked No | 23c | 204.99$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.15 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.8wins | -0.13per pick | 46cpaid | -57.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf385…4864backed No | 45c | 181.87$82 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$81.88 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.2wins | -0.41per pick | 41cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6dee…f4e6backed No | 45c | 175.99$79 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$78.66 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | -1.6wins | -0.13per pick | 55cpaid | -38.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x941b…039bbacked Yes | 59c | 169.49$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69.49 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -16%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7514…49bebacked Yes | 60c | 165.58$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$65.58 | 317 | 58%184 W · 133 L | -2.7wins | -0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8035…c57fbacked Yes | 52c | 154.38$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$74.38 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.7wins | +0.17per pick | 33cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2f8f…df31backed Yes | 65c | 152.83$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.83 | 33 | 66.7%22 W · 11 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 65cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe955…47d8backed No | 10c | 151$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.1 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.10per pick | 40cpaid | -29.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x501f…f746backed Yes | 68c | 150$102 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.32per pick | 68cpaid | +47.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcc0a…4fe1backed No | 29c | 150$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.5 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.1wins | -0.54per pick | 54cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x17fc…82a3backed Yes | 66c | 114.35$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.88 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +1.0wins | +0.20per pick | 40cpaid | -4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x22db…190fbacked Yes | 58c | 110$64 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.84 | 20 | 30%6 W · 14 L | +0.6wins | +0.03per pick | 27cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf804…7747backed Yes | 71c | 100$71 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.34per pick | 66cpaid | +52.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe49e…55e3backed Yes | 72c | 100$72 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.30per pick | 71cpaid | +41.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xccc3…b9f6backed Yes | 66c | 100$66 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.04per pick | 29cpaid | -62.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x85fe…01f7backed Yes | 60c | 100$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.08per pick | 42cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb8af…4900backed No | 28c | 100$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.5 | 145 | 40.7%59 W · 86 L | -10.6wins | -0.07per pick | 48cpaid | -15.2%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xcfe4…18a6backed Yes | 55c | 87.71$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.68 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +1.2wins | +0.17per pick | 55cpaid | +25.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x063b…7d47backed Yes | 58c | 86.63$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.63 | 29 | 72.4%21 W · 8 L | +2.4wins | +0.08per pick | 64cpaid | +10.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3c8b…0108backed Yes | 72c | 85.82$62 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.03 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.28per pick | 72cpaid | +38.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x17e0…1e88backed No | 29c | 84.17$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.41 | 12 | 33.3%4 W · 8 L | -0.5wins | -0.05per pick | 38cpaid | -22.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa378…1927backed Yes | 78c | 82.99$65 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.19 | 14 | 85.7%12 W · 2 L | +3.7wins | +0.27per pick | 59cpaid | +39.6%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x4341…2c3abacked Yes | 62c | 81.22$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.23 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.39per pick | 61cpaid | +63.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x81a6…431cbacked No | 18c | 80$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.4 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.18per pick | 18cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd637…d4c1backed No | 45c | 75$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.75 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.45per pick | 45cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5327…3b80backed No | 28c | 72.14$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.51 | 38 | 39.5%15 W · 23 L | -2.4wins | -0.06per pick | 46cpaid | -23%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa5ab…c3acbacked Yes | 72c | 69.44$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.44 | 68 | 50%34 W · 34 L | +2.7wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +16%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4ca2…55e4backed No | 27c | 69$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.63 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.10per pick | 56cpaid | -6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb58a…b840backed Yes | 58c | 68.38$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.38 | 59 | 49.2%29 W · 30 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf817…6ceabacked Yes | 65c | 67.17$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.51 | 7 | 85.7%6 W · 1 L | +1.4wins | +0.19per pick | 66cpaid | +27.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa2ee…c6f0backed Yes | 64c | 66.54$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.07 | 14 | 14.3%2 W · 12 L | -1.8wins | -0.13per pick | 27cpaid | -75%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3078…0389backed No | 42c | 58$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.52 | 317 | 35.6%113 W · 204 L | +10.0wins | +0.03per pick | 32cpaid | +8.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd7eb…00a4backed Yes | 54c | 56$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.86 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.5wins | +0.12per pick | 38cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xad9d…9b95backed No | 41c | 50$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.5 | 163 | 45.4%74 W · 89 L | -8.7wins | -0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfc85…4d43backed Yes | 60c | 49.98$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.99 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -21%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdd4a…fed9backed Yes | 59c | 46.17$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.86 | 8 | 12.5%1 W · 7 L | -1.2wins | -0.16per pick | 28cpaid | -78.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x14a0…22bbbacked Yes | 57c | 45$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.2 | 1,393 | 65.9%918 W · 475 L | +26.8wins | +0.02per pick | 64cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7beb…70aebacked Yes | 71c | 44$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.76 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.29per pick | 71cpaid | +40.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4076…04acbacked Yes | 72c | 43.08$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.08 | 18 | 66.7%12 W · 6 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 66cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6952…f84fbacked Yes | 73c | 41.73$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.27 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -31.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5ee2…6473backed Yes | 61c | 41.3$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.3 | 18 | 50%9 W · 9 L | -2.5wins | -0.14per pick | 64cpaid | -26.3%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xadae…058abacked No | 40c | 40$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.40per pick | 40cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbe98…0befbacked Yes | 51c | 39.22$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.22 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.49per pick | 51cpaid | +96.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x49c8…6bd8backed Yes | 71c | 38$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.02 | 7 | 85.7%6 W · 1 L | +1.8wins | +0.26per pick | 60cpaid | +52.4%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 9 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Vitality win the IEM Dallas tournament?this page
- Will Aurora win the IEM Dallas tournament?No won
- Will FaZe win the IEM Dallas tournament?No won
- Will Falcons win the IEM Dallas tournament?No won
- Will G2 win the IEM Dallas tournament?No won
- Will GamerLegion win the IEM Dallas tournament?No won
- Will Liquid win the IEM Dallas tournament?No won
- Will MOUZ win the IEM Dallas tournament?No won
- Will The MongolZ win the IEM Dallas tournament?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.