CS2 · resolved market
Will Falcons win the IEM Dallas tournament?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xb9c03b3ee1f7497480f8ffb0a369b005a20836f54dae5408500dd5b0781874fd
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $11,630
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $10,107
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $11,630 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 24 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in CS2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed Yes | 1c | 4,986$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.65 | 1,500 | 9.9%148 W · 1,352 L | -15.8wins | -0.01per pick | 11cpaid | -55.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf0dc…84e0backed Yes | 20c | 805.05$161 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$161.01 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -0.4wins | -0.09per pick | 9cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf031…89b5backed Yes | 19c | 620.94$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$119.97 | 11 | 18.2%2 W · 9 L | -0.3wins | -0.03per pick | 21cpaid | -31.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4409…bc0bbacked Yes | 16c | 594.65$95 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$94.66 | 38 | 21.1%8 W · 30 L | -1.2wins | -0.03per pick | 24cpaid | -47.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe216…cd12backed Yes | 17c | 400.02$69 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69.49 | 42 | 50%21 W · 21 L | +0.7wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -20.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4aef…9337backed Yes | 8c | 399.7$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.71 | 61 | 44.3%27 W · 34 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x746e…4238backed Yes | 18c | 338.71$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 12 | 33.3%4 W · 8 L | -0.5wins | -0.04per pick | 37cpaid | -28.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x32cc…390fbacked Yes | 20c | 289.98$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58 | 23 | 30.4%7 W · 16 L | -1.9wins | -0.08per pick | 39cpaid | -43.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf0b0…8cabbacked Yes | 20c | 261.43$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.52 | 295 | 47.8%141 W · 154 L | +10.7wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x87ed…0055backed Yes | 20c | 225$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.91 | 178 | 47.8%85 W · 93 L | +12.8wins | +0.07per pick | 41cpaid | +11%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6c43…fb9bbacked Yes | 14c | 219.61$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.35 | 252 | 43.3%109 W · 143 L | -1.4wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8035…c57fbacked Yes | 19c | 210.53$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.7wins | +0.17per pick | 33cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x40d5…bfe9backed Yes | 12c | 199.99$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24 | 634 | 45.3%287 W · 347 L | -2.8wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc8a2…c590backed Yes | 16c | 152.43$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.39 | 143 | 32.2%46 W · 97 L | +5.0wins | +0.03per pick | 29cpaid | -33.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x97e1…017bbacked Yes | 19c | 126.96$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.7 | 263 | 51.3%135 W · 128 L | +7.0wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbcbf…1eb6backed Yes | 25c | 100$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.0wins | -0.19per pick | 39cpaid | -70.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x22db…190fbacked Yes | 22c | 100$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22 | 20 | 30%6 W · 14 L | +0.6wins | +0.03per pick | 27cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xccc3…b9f6backed Yes | 28c | 100$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.04per pick | 29cpaid | -62.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6dee…f4e6backed No | 79c | 81.17$64 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.45 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | -1.6wins | -0.13per pick | 55cpaid | -38.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd7eb…00a4backed Yes | 25c | 80$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.5wins | +0.12per pick | 38cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x53ab…65aabacked Yes | 17c | 71.99$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.24 | 1,146 | 49.4%566 W · 580 L | +17.0wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf407…653dbacked Yes | 28c | 71.59$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.10per pick | 40cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa72f…ada8backed Yes | 22c | 68.18$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 13 | 30.8%4 W · 9 L | -3.1wins | -0.24per pick | 55cpaid | -48%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xc86b…c364backed Yes | 21c | 50$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.5 | 29 | 34.5%10 W · 19 L | -1.3wins | -0.04per pick | 39cpaid | -20.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 9 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Falcons win the IEM Dallas tournament?this page
- Will Aurora win the IEM Dallas tournament?No won
- Will FaZe win the IEM Dallas tournament?No won
- Will G2 win the IEM Dallas tournament?No won
- Will GamerLegion win the IEM Dallas tournament?No won
- Will Liquid win the IEM Dallas tournament?No won
- Will MOUZ win the IEM Dallas tournament?No won
- Will The MongolZ win the IEM Dallas tournament?No won
- Will Vitality win the IEM Dallas tournament?Yes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.