CS2 · resolved market
Will MOUZ win the IEM Dallas tournament?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x96af9bf7221fe94cacc6606c26ca574c8763206505dc7bc5fceef7263acedd76
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $32,519
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $29,531
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $32,519 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 57 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in CS2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xc8a2…c590backed Yes | 11c | 6,567$733 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$733 | 143 | 32.2%46 W · 97 L | +5.0wins | +0.03per pick | 29cpaid | -33.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x97ae…82bdbacked Yes | 11c | 3,475$389 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$388.75 | 160 | 33.8%54 W · 106 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 34cpaid | -8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf520…0637backed Yes | 30c | 1,619$478 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$477.98 | 103 | 48.5%50 W · 53 L | +4.7wins | +0.05per pick | 44cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0dc3…b266backed Yes | 27c | 1,248$341 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$341.43 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.25per pick | 25cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc657…9f83backed Yes | 16c | 1,138$179 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$179.29 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.11per pick | 39cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x167f…1f51backed Yes | 27c | 1,104$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.5wins | +0.12per pick | 38cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8fc0…d2cebacked Yes | 15c | 981.36$152 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$151.79 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.15per pick | 15cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4409…bc0bbacked Yes | 12c | 919.68$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110.26 | 38 | 21.1%8 W · 30 L | -1.2wins | -0.03per pick | 24cpaid | -47.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb8c5…0166backed Yes | 11c | 889.07$102 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$102.16 | 53 | 26.4%14 W · 39 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 27cpaid | -39.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf0dc…84e0backed Yes | 12c | 745.5$89 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$89.05 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -0.4wins | -0.09per pick | 9cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfc04…a7abbacked Yes | 29c | 700.83$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.17per pick | 51cpaid | -29.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf0b0…8cabbacked Yes | 13c | 573.38$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75.4 | 295 | 47.8%141 W · 154 L | +10.7wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcced…9ffebacked No | 80c | 521.97$417 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$104.74 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.8wins | -0.13per pick | 46cpaid | -57.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdeb6…8f5dbacked Yes | 12c | 520.2$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60.68 | 11 | 9.1%1 W · 10 L | -1.6wins | -0.15per pick | 24cpaid | -81.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd34b…0004backed No | 70c | 476.81$334 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$143.04 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | +0.3wins | +0.03per pick | 37cpaid | -17.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6fcd…8dd0backed Yes | 35c | 471.33$165 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$165.24 | 172 | 43%74 W · 98 L | -2.7wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4aef…9337backed No | 78c | 443.75$346 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$98.11 | 61 | 44.3%27 W · 34 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfb09…0f04backed Yes | 30c | 430$129 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$129 | 132 | 23.5%31 W · 101 L | -10.5wins | -0.08per pick | 31cpaid | -25.5%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x0494…a1d4backed Yes | 12c | 427.24$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.12per pick | 12cpaid | -100%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9f2d…6ae3backed Yes | 16c | 400.09$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64.29 | 25 | 40%10 W · 15 L | -0.8wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -25.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4149…adf7backed Yes | 27c | 391.43$106 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$105.68 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.5wins | -0.11per pick | 36cpaid | -63.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x26e9…4a51backed Yes | 11c | 360.37$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 62 | 48.4%30 W · 32 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed Yes | 16c | 346$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.89 | 1,500 | 9.9%148 W · 1,352 L | -15.8wins | -0.01per pick | 11cpaid | -55.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3d77…55c4backed Yes | 29c | 344.83$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -0.3wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -35.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcd82…6adcbacked Yes | 31c | 310.87$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96.37 | 13 | 23.1%3 W · 10 L | -0.7wins | -0.05per pick | 28cpaid | -35%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x51de…c4d1backed No | 74c | 303.99$224 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$79.63 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6328…1375backed Yes | 35c | 289.75$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 21 | 47.6%10 W · 11 L | -1.7wins | -0.08per pick | 56cpaid | -23.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8f69…7df1backed Yes | 29c | 284$82 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$81.95 | 754 | 50.5%381 W · 373 L | +17.0wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5b4e…b385backed No | 73c | 275.19$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75.19 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.7wins | -0.14per pick | 54cpaid | -24.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x32cc…390fbacked Yes | 16c | 247.06$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.53 | 23 | 30.4%7 W · 16 L | -1.9wins | -0.08per pick | 39cpaid | -43.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xccc3…b9f6backed Yes | 9c | 224.99$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.04per pick | 29cpaid | -62.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1797…baa7backed Yes | 21c | 210.41$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.92 | 25 | 32%8 W · 17 L | -0.8wins | -0.03per pick | 35cpaid | -40%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd7eb…00a4backed Yes | 13c | 192.95$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.3 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.5wins | +0.12per pick | 38cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xde53…e5bebacked Yes | 11c | 191.4$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.05 | 1,262 | 46.9%592 W · 670 L | -34.1wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x40d5…bfe9backed No | 67c | 187.99$126 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62.04 | 633 | 45.2%286 W · 347 L | -3.2wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3c5b…50c9backed Yes | 27c | 186.19$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.27 | 47 | 36.2%17 W · 30 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 36cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x476b…8a58backed Yes | 29c | 163.51$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.15 | 420 | 57.1%240 W · 180 L | +6.5wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa378…1927backed Yes | 18c | 161.95$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.4 | 14 | 85.7%12 W · 2 L | +3.7wins | +0.27per pick | 59cpaid | +39.6%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x247a…608cbacked Yes | 23c | 150.58$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.94 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +1.0wins | +0.34per pick | 33cpaid | +78.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6b3a…2841backed No | 70c | 145.99$103 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.44 | 105 | 46.7%49 W · 56 L | +1.4wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x575e…5b86backed Yes | 29c | 137.93$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.29per pick | 29cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8035…c57fbacked Yes | 12c | 137.19$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.7wins | +0.17per pick | 33cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5c4f…150cbacked Yes | 30c | 126.47$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.94 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.36per pick | 36cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6952…f84fbacked Yes | 29c | 119.38$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.62 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -31.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5da0…8612backed No | 77c | 116.02$90 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.27 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.23per pick | 77cpaid | +29.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5110…2695backed Yes | 14c | 110.51$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +0.6wins | +0.07per pick | 49cpaid | -12%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb8af…4900backed Yes | 34c | 110$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.9 | 145 | 40.7%59 W · 86 L | -10.6wins | -0.07per pick | 48cpaid | -15.2%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf5c2…f864backed Yes | 20c | 108$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.6 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.14per pick | 14cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6fb6…ec60backed Yes | 24c | 104.17$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 107 | 38.3%41 W · 66 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x17e0…1e88backed Yes | 19c | 99.41$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.99 | 12 | 33.3%4 W · 8 L | -0.5wins | -0.05per pick | 38cpaid | -22.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaa2b…adcfbacked Yes | 30c | 89.4$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.82 | 172 | 36.6%63 W · 109 L | -8.2wins | -0.05per pick | 41cpaid | -18.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfc85…4d43backed Yes | 29c | 81.64$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.28 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -21%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4591…d19ebacked Yes | 14c | 72$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.08 | 119 | 49.6%59 W · 60 L | -2.7wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1326…4289backed Yes | 26c | 70$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.6wins | -0.13per pick | 53cpaid | -28%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa2ee…c6f0backed Yes | 33c | 60.61$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 14 | 14.3%2 W · 12 L | -1.8wins | -0.13per pick | 27cpaid | -75%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3cbb…fc88backed Yes | 30c | 53.33$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16 | 81 | 37%30 W · 51 L | -6.9wins | -0.09per pick | 46cpaid | -29.8%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x1f55…9ddbbacked No | 73c | 27.4$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.4 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.27per pick | 73cpaid | +37%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 9 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will MOUZ win the IEM Dallas tournament?this page
- Will Aurora win the IEM Dallas tournament?No won
- Will FaZe win the IEM Dallas tournament?No won
- Will Falcons win the IEM Dallas tournament?No won
- Will G2 win the IEM Dallas tournament?No won
- Will GamerLegion win the IEM Dallas tournament?No won
- Will Liquid win the IEM Dallas tournament?No won
- Will The MongolZ win the IEM Dallas tournament?No won
- Will Vitality win the IEM Dallas tournament?Yes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.