Us Midterms · resolved market
Will Byron Donalds win the Florida Republican Governor primary by at least 40%?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xa4ada0a23e4ae5e86df25562be322a21dbeb5f563820f55ad3f2e086c4ee08bb
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Us Midtermsevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $34,848
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $34,905
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $34,848 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 107 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Us Midterms is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Us Midterms | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xecaa…77a9backed No | 55c | 10,133$5,538 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,594.82 | 166 | 51.2%85 W · 81 L | +1.6wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -16.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5207…686bbacked Yes | 45c | 7,741$3,451 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,451.03 | 19 | 63.2%12 W · 7 L | +4.0wins | +0.21per pick | 42cpaid | +206.2%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x600e…7aacbacked Yes | 46c | 7,296$3,327 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,327.46 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.1wins | -0.23per pick | 43cpaid | -71.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf5e8…9fbdbacked Yes | 1c | 3,300$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.96 | 38 | 0%0 W · 38 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfb24…ac2cbacked No | 60c | 1,317$787 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$529.9 | 13 | 61.5%8 W · 5 L | +0.4wins | +0.03per pick | 59cpaid | +11.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac0…55f3backed No | 49c | 1,295$629 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$665.66 | 15 | 80%12 W · 3 L | +2.4wins | +0.16per pick | 64cpaid | +21%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb1ca…1705backed Yes | 41c | 1,278$518 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$518.2 | 101 | 39.6%40 W · 61 L | +6.1wins | +0.06per pick | 34cpaid | +27.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x22db…190fbacked No | 76c | 1,136$864 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$272.14 | 30 | 60%18 W · 12 L | +1.3wins | +0.04per pick | 56cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8545…ada5backed No | 59c | 793.26$470 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$323.26 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +1.0wins | +0.33per pick | 34cpaid | +42.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4535…4007backed No | 43c | 791.46$340 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$451.72 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.57per pick | 43cpaid | +133%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x24fe…3419backed Yes | 45c | 696.67$312 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$312.43 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +1.2wins | +0.13per pick | 43cpaid | +195%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xeba0…4586backed No | 58c | 500$290 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$210 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | -2.4wins | -0.34per pick | 48cpaid | -75.4%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xc8ab…6418backed Yes | 46c | 399.99$184 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$184 | 346 | 34.7%120 W · 226 L | -12.9wins | -0.04per pick | 38cpaid | -33.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x30fb…7db4backed No | 54c | 368.8$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$168.63 | 127 | 48.8%62 W · 65 L | +4.2wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x21ff…0d71backed No | 58c | 367.53$211 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$156.19 | 357 | 40.1%143 W · 214 L | -5.5wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -26%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1cfc…2111backed No | 48c | 352.03$169 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$183.52 | 180 | 33.9%61 W · 119 L | -8.6wins | -0.05per pick | 39cpaid | -26.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6c2a…b7b5backed No | 76c | 326.95$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$77.27 | 6 | 83.3%5 W · 1 L | +0.7wins | +0.12per pick | 71cpaid | +16.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x52eb…67acbacked No | 59c | 305$180 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$125.05 | 120 | 42.5%51 W · 69 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb23e…829abacked No | 52c | 300$156 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$144 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +0.8wins | +0.16per pick | 64cpaid | +17.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5028…91c5backed No | 52c | 290.9$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$140.65 | 28 | 28.6%8 W · 20 L | +1.1wins | +0.04per pick | 25cpaid | -34.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x268f…bbd7backed Yes | 51c | 231.64$119 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$118.8 | 26 | 50%13 W · 13 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa58d…b9b8backed Yes | 55c | 225.96$125 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$124.66 | 190 | 24.7%47 W · 143 L | -7.5wins | -0.04per pick | 29cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1c14…0869backed No | 55c | 200$110 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$90 | 121 | 38.8%47 W · 74 L | +7.7wins | +0.06per pick | 33cpaid | +40.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc03f…249dbacked Yes | 50c | 200$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 109 | 26.6%29 W · 80 L | -11.2wins | -0.10per pick | 37cpaid | -26%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xab2d…b1aabacked Yes | 54c | 166$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$89.62 | 12 | 16.7%2 W · 10 L | -1.5wins | -0.13per pick | 29cpaid | -73.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6f67…102cbacked No | 56c | 142.74$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.14 | 368 | 22%81 W · 287 L | -27.9wins | -0.08per pick | 30cpaid | -34.2%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xdfcc…3163backed No | 54c | 140$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$64.61 | 8 | 75%6 W · 2 L | +2.1wins | +0.27per pick | 48cpaid | +42.8%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xd5db…9254backed No | 60c | 135$81 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.20per pick | 30cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x14a0…d8e3backed Yes | 57c | 134.19$76 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$76.49 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | -1.4wins | -0.17per pick | 67cpaid | -24.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3c66…76cdbacked Yes | 46c | 131.06$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -20.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xad53…ef24backed No | 49c | 130.08$63 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66.68 | 704 | 15.2%107 W · 597 L | -110.1wins | -0.16per pick | 31cpaid | -65.5%equal weight | 33-0.15 edge/pick |
| 0x2779…239abacked No | 41c | 127.05$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75.11 | 21 | 19%4 W · 17 L | -2.0wins | -0.09per pick | 29cpaid | -68.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfe41…9f23backed No | 60c | 124$74 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.6 | 52 | 34.6%18 W · 34 L | -5.9wins | -0.11per pick | 46cpaid | -40%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x5e55…9a76backed No | 54c | 120$65 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.2 | 4 | 100%4 W · 0 L | +1.8wins | +0.44per pick | 56cpaid | +81%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3d60…6df2backed No | 55c | 109.67$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.67 | 29 | 62.1%18 W · 11 L | +1.6wins | +0.05per pick | 57cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe0cd…d931backed No | 58c | 105$61 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.91 | 20 | 60%12 W · 8 L | +1.6wins | +0.08per pick | 52cpaid | +27.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x98db…bf6cbacked Yes | 46c | 100.57$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.26 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.2wins | +0.03per pick | 57cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf379…c1cabacked No | 55c | 100$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 34cpaid | -48.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1e71…39cebacked Yes | 53c | 94.34$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 18 | 66.7%12 W · 6 L | +4.0wins | +0.22per pick | 44cpaid | +51.7%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x5b63…11a4backed No | 59c | 78.92$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.22 | 43 | 34.9%15 W · 28 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -28.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd9fe…db0dbacked No | 54c | 78.3$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.15 | 46 | 54.3%25 W · 21 L | +3.3wins | +0.07per pick | 47cpaid | +27%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xbd14…76b4backed No | 60c | 76$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.29 | 179 | 30.7%55 W · 124 L | -7.9wins | -0.04per pick | 35cpaid | -19.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x764b…6badbacked No | 80c | 70$56 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.16 | 125 | 48%60 W · 65 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1c4f…e321backed No | 54c | 69.61$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.02 | 27 | 59.3%16 W · 11 L | +2.6wins | +0.10per pick | 49cpaid | +13.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xeed8…35f0backed No | 54c | 69$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.02 | 41 | 56.1%23 W · 18 L | +3.5wins | +0.09per pick | 47cpaid | +14.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x40c2…b2fcbacked Yes | 45c | 65.28$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.29 | 16 | 75%12 W · 4 L | +3.1wins | +0.19per pick | 56cpaid | +39.3%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x7495…7fcfbacked No | 52c | 62.47$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.99 | 123 | 22.8%28 W · 95 L | +2.6wins | +0.02per pick | 21cpaid | -22.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2b34…b202backed Yes | 42c | 60$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.4 | 32 | 34.4%11 W · 21 L | -1.7wins | -0.05per pick | 40cpaid | -42.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbcd6…f3c8backed Yes | 38c | 57.46$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.83 | 46 | 56.5%26 W · 20 L | +3.9wins | +0.08per pick | 48cpaid | +12.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3ad1…b4c5backed Yes | 42c | 56.56$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.76 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.2wins | -0.31per pick | 55cpaid | -51%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe40a…e4a2backed No | 47c | 54.6$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.08 | 60 | 48.3%29 W · 31 L | -0.9wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -28%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2405…427bbacked Yes | 45c | 51$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.95 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.45per pick | 45cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6b49…2e46backed Yes | 52c | 50.83$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.43 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -1.0wins | -0.20per pick | 60cpaid | -36.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x118d…67a8backed No | 57c | 50.02$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.37 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | -0.6wins | -0.06per pick | 46cpaid | -33.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd5a3…c6e8backed Yes | 50c | 50$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x28bf…4a4ebacked No | 48c | 50$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.11 | 196 | 41.8%82 W · 114 L | -8.2wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -27%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3cd2…c545backed No | 58c | 50$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | +0.4wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +15%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfd55…f905backed No | 62c | 48$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.02 | 138 | 47.1%65 W · 73 L | +2.4wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xebf8…b94abacked No | 56c | 47$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.68 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.44per pick | 56cpaid | +78.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xac4a…bf1ebacked Yes | 47c | 46.98$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.08 | 159 | 25.8%41 W · 118 L | -3.2wins | -0.02per pick | 28cpaid | -32.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe8fc…0d3bbacked No | 56c | 44.62$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.63 | 59 | 57.6%34 W · 25 L | +5.6wins | +0.09per pick | 48cpaid | +15.2%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x1ca4…6aa2backed No | 44c | 44.23$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.67 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +1.7wins | +0.33per pick | 47cpaid | +164.9%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xfbd8…4027backed No | 52c | 43$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.46 | 128 | 52.3%67 W · 61 L | +4.0wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x510f…a43cbacked No | 66c | 40$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.59 | 161 | 45.3%73 W · 88 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcf15…91c5backed No | 53c | 40$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.8 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +1.7wins | +0.34per pick | 46cpaid | +70.5%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xecd9…5565backed No | 58c | 38.9$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.48 | 19 | 57.9%11 W · 8 L | +1.4wins | +0.07per pick | 50cpaid | +21%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xeaa9…1737backed Yes | 59c | 38$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.42 | 95 | 31.6%30 W · 65 L | -10.1wins | -0.11per pick | 42cpaid | -34.3%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x9dd4…b303backed No | 57c | 35.09$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.09 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.43per pick | 57cpaid | +75.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe457…5ab3backed No | 55c | 34.5$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.61 | 120 | 34.2%41 W · 79 L | -4.8wins | -0.04per pick | 38cpaid | -22.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe7e9…99e6backed No | 59c | 33.9$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.9 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | -0.8wins | -0.08per pick | 38cpaid | -49.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x86f0…610cbacked No | 58c | 33.89$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.18 | 16 | 75%12 W · 4 L | +3.3wins | +0.21per pick | 54cpaid | +55.3%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xf143…4ef2backed Yes | 52c | 32.58$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.94 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.07per pick | 60cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa0d3…08fabacked Yes | 44c | 31.73$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.44per pick | 44cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb0c8…fe7fbacked No | 45c | 30$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.6 | 114 | 37.7%43 W · 71 L | -2.4wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -35.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdb97…eee8backed No | 56c | 30$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.3 | 76 | 44.7%34 W · 42 L | -1.9wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -11%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb451…467bbacked Yes | 53c | 29.56$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.67 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | -1.4wins | -0.14per pick | 54cpaid | -35.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xca1f…d282backed No | 50c | 29$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.5 | 42 | 50%21 W · 21 L | +1.6wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0265…4aadbacked No | 51c | 28.85$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.14 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.49per pick | 51cpaid | +96.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf26c…d5c5backed No | 60c | 28.68$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.47 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | +0.8wins | +0.09per pick | 36cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1b9c…aa50backed No | 49c | 26.4$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.46 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.7wins | +0.24per pick | 43cpaid | +71.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x079c…363fbacked Yes | 46c | 25.43$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.7 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.1wins | -0.22per pick | 42cpaid | -74.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3ec9…30e5backed Yes | 46c | 25$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.5 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.46per pick | 46cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaa40…4629backed No | 60c | 25$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.40per pick | 60cpaid | +66.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4f1d…8de2backed No | 55c | 25$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.25 | 92 | 47.8%44 W · 48 L | +1.9wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -15.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd1a6…1507backed No | 60c | 24.43$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.84 | 41 | 56.1%23 W · 18 L | +2.6wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0d6f…f28fbacked Yes | 46c | 22$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.12 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.46per pick | 46cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8833…3ea1backed No | 53c | 21$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.87 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.47per pick | 53cpaid | +88.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x22c1…8cd6backed Yes | 53c | 20.47$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.85 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.08per pick | 58cpaid | -19.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc518…2594backed No | 55c | 20.38$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.17 | 119 | 44.5%53 W · 66 L | +0.9wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -21.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1491…fd70backed No | 51c | 20.1$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.85 | 16 | 50%8 W · 8 L | -1.5wins | -0.09per pick | 59cpaid | -24.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3d70…e9b0backed Yes | 57c | 20$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.4 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.57per pick | 57cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8e43…5a67backed Yes | 58c | 20$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.6 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.58per pick | 58cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x29ed…a8dabacked No | 61c | 20$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.8 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.32per pick | 69cpaid | +47.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc723…664ebacked Yes | 58c | 20$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.6 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.4wins | -0.46per pick | 46cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd356…963dbacked Yes | 60c | 20$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.9wins | -0.23per pick | 48cpaid | -36.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd322…8503backed No | 54c | 20$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.3 | 38 | 47.4%18 W · 20 L | +0.9wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9629…ee15backed No | 50c | 20$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.50per pick | 50cpaid | +100%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x46b0…dcdebacked Yes | 54c | 20$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.8 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.54per pick | 54cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3008…3c76backed No | 51c | 20$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.8 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | +0.7wins | +0.07per pick | 53cpaid | +14.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa86f…022cbacked No | 58c | 20$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.4 | 65 | 40%26 W · 39 L | -4.7wins | -0.07per pick | 47cpaid | -33.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Us Midterms and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 9 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Byron Donalds win the Florida Republican Governor primary by at least 40%?this page
- Will Byron Donalds win the Florida Republican Governor primary by 10–15%?No won
- Will Byron Donalds win the Florida Republican Governor primary by 15–20%?No won
- Will Byron Donalds win the Florida Republican Governor primary by 20–25%?Yes won
- Will Byron Donalds win the Florida Republican Governor primary by 25–30%?No won
- Will Byron Donalds win the Florida Republican Governor primary by 30–35%?No won
- Will Byron Donalds win the Florida Republican Governor primary by 35–40%?No won
- Will Byron Donalds win the Florida Republican Governor primary by 5–10%?No won
- Will Byron Donalds win the Florida Republican Governor primary by less than 5%?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.