Crypto Milestones · resolved market
Bitcoin all time high in June?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x4a1f2d9b45b220c20d8ef3bf53883fd809391d8d75232fb8b7d59e8f35f40d30
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Crypto Milestonesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $97,628
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $76,389
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $97,628 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 73 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Crypto Milestones is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Crypto Milestones | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x30e4…5102backed Yes | 27c | 12,083$3,241 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,241.47 | 30 | 10%3 W · 27 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 10cpaid | -43.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfeb5…a393backed Yes | 52c | 8,887$4,630 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,630.48 | 167 | 61.7%103 W · 64 L | +19.6wins | +0.12per pick | 50cpaid | +36.6%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x0a26…1851backed No | 63c | 7,185$4,528 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,656.51 | 71 | 63.4%45 W · 26 L | +2.7wins | +0.04per pick | 60cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd42f…047dbacked Yes | 12c | 3,712$442 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$442.04 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.3wins | -0.11per pick | 11cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9d84…1344backed Yes | 19c | 3,449$662 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$662.07 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.5wins | +0.17per pick | 16cpaid | +82.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x96c4…bfdebacked Yes | 3c | 2,500$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.09per pick | 9cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa9b4…64edbacked No | 46c | 2,240$1,037 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,202.39 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.54per pick | 46cpaid | +115.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xba07…cbdabacked Yes | 56c | 1,952$1,088 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,088.5 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.56per pick | 56cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd7c0…6b87backed No | 22c | 1,718$384 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,333.2 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.78per pick | 22cpaid | +346.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7c3d…5c6bbacked Yes | 1c | 1,534$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.24 | 37 | 24.3%9 W · 28 L | +2.0wins | +0.05per pick | 19cpaid | -33.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x777f…a1bbbacked Yes | 1c | 1,534$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.34 | 85 | 40%34 W · 51 L | +4.2wins | +0.05per pick | 35cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x867d…3f3bbacked Yes | 15c | 1,218$178 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$178.05 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.5wins | +0.11per pick | 49cpaid | +16.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5f21…b376backed Yes | 42c | 1,132$479 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$479.09 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.42per pick | 42cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8c94…816fbacked Yes | 16c | 1,009$161 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$161.44 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.16per pick | 16cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x80cc…b5a4backed Yes | 1c | 1,000$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 32 | 12.5%4 W · 28 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 11cpaid | -38.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9956…a151backed No | 23c | 860.17$198 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$662.33 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.77per pick | 23cpaid | +334.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc23d…b637backed No | 44c | 792.13$345 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$447.47 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.56per pick | 44cpaid | +129.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe8d2…8e7cbacked Yes | 7c | 650.18$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.17 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.07per pick | 7cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x66a9…307bbacked Yes | 44c | 563.68$248 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$248.12 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | +16.3%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfb4f…0d86backed No | 63c | 524.42$333 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$191.77 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.37per pick | 63cpaid | +57.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf920…145abacked No | 20c | 510$102 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$408 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.80per pick | 20cpaid | +400%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xde06…b58cbacked Yes | 10c | 499.93$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.10per pick | 10cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xad28…16dfbacked No | 23c | 466.33$107 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$359.07 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.77per pick | 23cpaid | +334.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x081d…8c34backed Yes | 69c | 407.2$281 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$280.95 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.37per pick | 37cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3185…7c83backed Yes | 64c | 400$256 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$256 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.9wins | -0.63per pick | 63cpaid | -100%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x46a1…2736backed No | 77c | 399.99$308 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$91.49 | 39 | 69.2%27 W · 12 L | +6.7wins | +0.17per pick | 52cpaid | +48.7%equal weight | 62+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x6572…786bbacked Yes | 23c | 387.8$88 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$88 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.23per pick | 23cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x22db…190fbacked No | 35c | 359.97$124 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$235.68 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.06per pick | 56cpaid | +44.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8225…c4a8backed Yes | 29c | 344.83$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.5wins | -0.16per pick | 16cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0659…c557backed No | 61c | 327.87$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$127.87 | 6 | 83.3%5 W · 1 L | +0.7wins | +0.12per pick | 72cpaid | +19.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc077…dab3backed No | 58c | 307.17$178 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$129.01 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.42per pick | 58cpaid | +72.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2a32…ce3cbacked Yes | 38c | 263.16$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.38per pick | 38cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x65ab…273dbacked Yes | 49c | 204.08$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.13per pick | 63cpaid | -24%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1dc7…4ee5backed Yes | 50c | 201.7$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6b7e…4562backed Yes | 49c | 200.46$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98.89 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.49per pick | 49cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x57c4…d57dbacked No | 45c | 200$90 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$110 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.08per pick | 58cpaid | +11.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3cf3…87b3backed No | 71c | 180.68$128 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.4 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.29per pick | 71cpaid | +40.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3d4e…b6ddbacked No | 70c | 172.07$120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.42 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -25%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc89b…c273backed Yes | 62c | 161.29$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.62per pick | 62cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x032c…6d9dbacked No | 75c | 149.59$113 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.89 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.25per pick | 75cpaid | +32.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x60fc…d28ebacked No | 67c | 149.25$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.25 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.33per pick | 67cpaid | +49.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa622…e9b1backed No | 22c | 136.36$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$106.36 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.78per pick | 22cpaid | +354.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd53f…2332backed No | 67c | 119.4$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.4 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.33per pick | 67cpaid | +49.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5ab2…6435backed No | 63c | 111.11$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.11 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.37per pick | 63cpaid | +58.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd22f…d8a8backed No | 46c | 108.7$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.7 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.54per pick | 46cpaid | +117.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3ae2…e50fbacked No | 60c | 100$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.40per pick | 60cpaid | +66.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1e5a…d56ebacked Yes | 11c | 99.97$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 56 | 17.9%10 W · 46 L | +3.1wins | +0.05per pick | 12cpaid | -32.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd62f…d898backed Yes | 24c | 96.45$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.96 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.24per pick | 24cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbae4…c085backed No | 35c | 94.1$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.1 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.65per pick | 35cpaid | +185.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6e23…f09abacked Yes | 38c | 92.11$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.38per pick | 38cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf2a0…d7a5backed No | 68c | 88.4$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.27 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.7wins | +0.18per pick | 57cpaid | +68.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7fd3…e662backed No | 21c | 87.18$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$68.83 | 38 | 13.2%5 W · 33 L | -1.0wins | -0.03per pick | 16cpaid | -48.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf86c…ba99backed No | 55c | 87.03$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.8 | 30 | 66.7%20 W · 10 L | +4.9wins | +0.16per pick | 50cpaid | +22.5%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xe7fe…3e9ebacked Yes | 23c | 86.93$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.8 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.21per pick | 21cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x896e…7b00backed No | 64c | 84.25$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.25 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.36per pick | 64cpaid | +56%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe5a6…f334backed No | 57c | 83.69$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.69 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.43per pick | 57cpaid | +74.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4cb5…8b87backed Yes | 60c | 73.33$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44 | 30 | 23.3%7 W · 23 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 22cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x11ea…03d0backed No | 43c | 63.79$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.36 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.57per pick | 43cpaid | +132.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x057b…8aa1backed No | 79c | 63.29$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.29 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.21per pick | 79cpaid | +26.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf612…5700backed Yes | 73c | 60.37$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.79 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.73per pick | 73cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc6fd…b171backed No | 61c | 51.45$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.84 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.39per pick | 61cpaid | +62.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9a08…2523backed Yes | 61c | 47.54$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.9wins | -0.43per pick | 43cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x240c…4764backed No | 64c | 46.88$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.88 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.36per pick | 64cpaid | +56.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x811d…e4b8backed No | 43c | 46.51$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.51 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.57per pick | 43cpaid | +132.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2091…889fbacked No | 74c | 44.81$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.81 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.26per pick | 74cpaid | +35.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb289…16a5backed No | 46c | 43.48$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.48 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.54per pick | 46cpaid | +117.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xad20…c9a5backed Yes | 52c | 38.46$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.52per pick | 52cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6bb4…e31fbacked Yes | 80c | 37.5$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.8wins | -0.80per pick | 80cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x22c9…381fbacked No | 60c | 33.33$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.33 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.40per pick | 60cpaid | +66.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x73df…945bbacked No | 66c | 30.3$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.3 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.34per pick | 66cpaid | +51.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2ddd…7220backed No | 53c | 29.27$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.83 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.47per pick | 53cpaid | +89.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x36cc…da0dbacked No | 73c | 28.77$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.77 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.27per pick | 73cpaid | +37%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xde3c…342abacked Yes | 57c | 20.49$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.68 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.57per pick | 57cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Crypto Milestones and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.