Token Launches · resolved market
Will Kanye launch a coin by March 7?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x034f613066ee95156d1b1a5dbd7444d7453ee9d699168331dfb40540281205e7
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Token Launchesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $414,702
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $367,641
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $414,702 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 121 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Token Launches is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Token Launches | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x1ca8…dc6dbacked Yes | 0c | 70,536$212 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$211.61 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc390…28bdbacked Yes | 6c | 28,434$1,720 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,720.4 | 57 | 5.3%3 W · 54 L | -4.2wins | -0.07per pick | 13cpaid | +48.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xcd11…e918backed Yes | 12c | 12,708$1,510 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,510.46 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.5wins | -0.17per pick | 17cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe118…cba3backed Yes | 12c | 10,070$1,200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,200 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.12per pick | 12cpaid | -100%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3d91…ab35backed Yes | 15c | 6,941$1,053 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,053.37 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.26per pick | 26cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd3ad…ca52backed Yes | 5c | 6,468$349 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$349.24 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.19per pick | 19cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x843a…8070backed Yes | 2c | 6,329$153 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$153.41 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xeef9…b8e8backed Yes | 5c | 5,500$270 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$270 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.24per pick | 26cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xeedd…d0f0backed Yes | 4c | 5,286$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.16per pick | 51cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc20e…0a5ebacked Yes | 5c | 5,168$247 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$247.28 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8f42…b88fbacked Yes | 9c | 5,039$478 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$477.8 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.19per pick | 19cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc1b3…501cbacked Yes | 7c | 4,531$326 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$326.18 | 11 | 18.2%2 W · 9 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 16cpaid | -30.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x42a6…1b64backed Yes | 5c | 4,207$216 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$215.86 | 10 | 20%2 W · 8 L | +0.4wins | +0.04per pick | 16cpaid | -35.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1cfc…2111backed Yes | 11c | 3,893$418 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$417.52 | 134 | 24.6%33 W · 101 L | -14.8wins | -0.11per pick | 36cpaid | -33.9%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x8f7b…154bbacked Yes | 14c | 3,608$515 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$514.64 | 43 | 20.9%9 W · 34 L | -1.1wins | -0.03per pick | 23cpaid | -65.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7c3d…5c6bbacked Yes | 6c | 3,082$198 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$198.4 | 56 | 23.2%13 W · 43 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 24cpaid | -46.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x49fd…0198backed Yes | 10c | 3,000$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 9 | 22.2%2 W · 7 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 20cpaid | -46.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdd22…9ef1backed Yes | 11c | 2,830$311 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$311.32 | 27 | 14.8%4 W · 23 L | -2.1wins | -0.08per pick | 23cpaid | -58.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x477a…2d8ebacked Yes | 16c | 2,605$414 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$413.53 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | +1.9wins | +0.24per pick | 26cpaid | +108.3%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6d9f…9790backed Yes | 6c | 2,514$149 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$148.7 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -2.0wins | -0.25per pick | 50cpaid | -65.1%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa9ee…5a28backed Yes | 11c | 2,497$280 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$279.92 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.19per pick | 19cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6aff…1d0abacked Yes | 9c | 2,248$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.09per pick | 9cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x076a…2cdbbacked Yes | 2c | 2,231$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.15per pick | 15cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf72f…76f0backed Yes | 13c | 2,162$282 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$282.39 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.8wins | -0.25per pick | 25cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbceb…bd96backed Yes | 4c | 2,149$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.6wins | -0.15per pick | 15cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x87a0…4e12backed Yes | 12c | 2,141$263 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$263.5 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.12per pick | 12cpaid | -100%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4818…bf0bbacked Yes | 9c | 1,995$174 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$173.5 | 70 | 21.4%15 W · 55 L | -6.4wins | -0.09per pick | 31cpaid | -44.1%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xd522…3a17backed Yes | 5c | 1,771$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x674a…3e2dbacked Yes | 7c | 1,711$124 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$123.75 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.07per pick | 7cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa1af…d889backed Yes | 4c | 1,650$69 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69.49 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6053…2c5fbacked Yes | 6c | 1,561$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.42per pick | 42cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7830…783fbacked No | 75c | 1,450$1,091 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$359.3 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.28per pick | 72cpaid | +39.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4556…2271backed Yes | 7c | 1,286$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.07per pick | 7cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcea3…011cbacked Yes | 17c | 1,192$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.11per pick | 11cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfd1d…a68fbacked Yes | 7c | 1,100$73 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$73.1 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.07per pick | 7cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x683a…3b03backed Yes | 9c | 1,080$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 25 | 44%11 W · 14 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -23.7%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x241f…ef50backed Yes | 7c | 1,042$73 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$73.14 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.09per pick | 9cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaee8…6eebbacked Yes | 7c | 1,009$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.07per pick | 7cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6e6a…2720backed Yes | 11c | 1,007$116 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$115.7 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.21per pick | 21cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7bdd…d56bbacked Yes | 4c | 984.57$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x81b1…dd89backed Yes | 13c | 901.15$118 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$118.2 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.13per pick | 13cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8795…7544backed Yes | 8c | 900$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.08per pick | 8cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x09c3…a81ebacked Yes | 6c | 873.85$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.86 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3f4f…b4b3backed Yes | 9c | 813.25$74 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$74.15 | 169 | 27.8%47 W · 122 L | +1.5wins | +0.01per pick | 27cpaid | +8.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2574…9189backed Yes | 10c | 811$81 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$81.1 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.10per pick | 10cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe6a3…fc02backed Yes | 11c | 764.61$86 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$85.62 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | -1.8wins | -0.26per pick | 41cpaid | -82%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf0b0…8cabbacked Yes | 5c | 714.97$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.04 | 333 | 29.7%99 W · 234 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 30cpaid | -42.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf37a…2171backed Yes | 6c | 705.14$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.57 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0fb0…abf8backed Yes | 2c | 675$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.15 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x631e…c5a9backed Yes | 2c | 670$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.15 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6f7a…c585backed Yes | 14c | 621.31$87 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$87.15 | 8 | 12.5%1 W · 7 L | -0.3wins | -0.03per pick | 16cpaid | -27.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8837…f23abacked Yes | 18c | 599.72$107 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$107.35 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.4wins | -0.12per pick | 12cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x804f…5eb1backed Yes | 15c | 584.97$91 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90.6 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.4wins | -0.11per pick | 11cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0037…be55backed Yes | 10c | 561.66$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.17 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.08per pick | 8cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd431…87c1backed Yes | 6c | 540.75$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -15.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe2b1…7d2abacked No | 76c | 500$380 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$120 | 8 | 75%6 W · 2 L | +2.3wins | +0.28per pick | 47cpaid | +93.2%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x53cd…2c39backed Yes | 3c | 499.88$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe3cb…56b5backed Yes | 15c | 499.48$77 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$76.67 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.15per pick | 15cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xff4b…d019backed Yes | 9c | 482.5$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.18per pick | 18cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x45d9…f84bbacked Yes | 24c | 480$115 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$115.2 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -34.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x21b2…b602backed Yes | 8c | 475$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38 | 59 | 42.4%25 W · 34 L | +1.1wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | +32.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf215…9114backed No | 78c | 424.32$333 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$91.32 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.29per pick | 71cpaid | +42.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7db3…5aeebacked Yes | 17c | 420.17$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69.96 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.17per pick | 17cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x06ec…f845backed Yes | 13c | 412$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.79 | 36 | 16.7%6 W · 30 L | +2.5wins | +0.07per pick | 10cpaid | -45.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0e4f…b01abacked Yes | 26c | 377.49$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.32per pick | 32cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x91fb…2771backed Yes | 28c | 351.01$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.28per pick | 28cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x79ad…a9f1backed Yes | 16c | 343.27$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.06 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.1wins | -0.36per pick | 36cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc00a…c76ebacked No | 67c | 332.34$223 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$109.6 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.34per pick | 66cpaid | +51.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa1ae…3327backed Yes | 30c | 323.14$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96.48 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.15per pick | 15cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x247d…7d27backed Yes | 16c | 318.61$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.09per pick | 41cpaid | -25.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcbc7…8f89backed Yes | 4c | 303.17$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.06 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | +3.4wins | +0.31per pick | 24cpaid | +331.2%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x1f68…62abbacked No | 76c | 300$228 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.24per pick | 76cpaid | +31.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfed9…2dc6backed No | 76c | 300$228 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.24per pick | 76cpaid | +31.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1589…a55fbacked Yes | 5c | 291.5$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.8 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5ae6…79e7backed Yes | 7c | 284.57$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.92 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.07per pick | 7cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2e94…7745backed No | 75c | 279.72$210 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69.72 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.25per pick | 75cpaid | +33.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x745a…64e8backed Yes | 19c | 274.99$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.67 | 23 | 8.7%2 W · 21 L | -3.7wins | -0.16per pick | 25cpaid | -61.9%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x7c5e…c96dbacked Yes | 15c | 273.33$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.15per pick | 15cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd65e…2692backed Yes | 29c | 260$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75.4 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.29per pick | 29cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6a61…0285backed Yes | 8c | 240.02$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.22per pick | 28cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf04f…a8c4backed Yes | 13c | 239$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.83 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.4wins | -0.14per pick | 14cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x05a0…d86cbacked Yes | 8c | 230.88$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.47 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.08per pick | 8cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2741…0865backed Yes | 15c | 214.11$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.16 | 43 | 16.3%7 W · 36 L | -5.3wins | -0.12per pick | 29cpaid | -55.2%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x5754…e515backed Yes | 15c | 200$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 20 | 20%4 W · 16 L | -2.0wins | -0.10per pick | 30cpaid | -64.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb7ed…e6b7backed Yes | 11c | 200$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.09per pick | 41cpaid | -30.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2545…8e07backed Yes | 10c | 200$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.10per pick | 10cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x866c…35f6backed Yes | 13c | 200$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.13per pick | 13cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xad25…7678backed No | 75c | 200$149 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.26per pick | 75cpaid | +34.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3e77…e626backed No | 78c | 200$156 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +0.9wins | +0.15per pick | 52cpaid | +8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xee0c…fba3backed Yes | 10c | 200$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.20per pick | 20cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd95f…486abacked Yes | 11c | 190.91$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.09per pick | 9cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9118…e9dabacked Yes | 10c | 187.14$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.34 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | -1.3wins | -0.19per pick | 33cpaid | -62.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa6af…d83fbacked No | 65c | 167.93$109 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.57 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.35per pick | 65cpaid | +53.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc5a6…6db3backed Yes | 13c | 151.43$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.6wins | -0.22per pick | 22cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf9c8…e402backed No | 79c | 150$119 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.5 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.21per pick | 79cpaid | +26.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x30f9…fbfcbacked Yes | 10c | 145$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.15 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | +0.8wins | +0.17per pick | 23cpaid | +49.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfceb…37dabacked Yes | 33c | 139.45$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.82 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.7wins | -0.22per pick | 22cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8ada…51bcbacked No | 77c | 129.87$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.87 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.23per pick | 77cpaid | +29.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdfaa…79a7backed Yes | 21c | 110.48$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.7 | 204 | 22.1%45 W · 159 L | -10.9wins | -0.05per pick | 27cpaid | -27.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x768f…d08cbacked Yes | 25c | 100$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 11 | 18.2%2 W · 9 L | -0.7wins | -0.07per pick | 25cpaid | -22.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Token Launches and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.