F1 · resolved market
Will McLaren have the highest Constructor score at the 2025 Italian Grand Prix?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x50c99faad3410d7a0ba8b126764949a4d49fb4bd9c5888f07898f2ae40755ed7
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- F1every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $15,405
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $17,257
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $15,405 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 21 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in F1 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in F1 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xc9c8…44fbbacked No | 14c | 1,359$190 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$190.01 | 74 | 33.8%25 W · 49 L | +1.5wins | +0.02per pick | 32cpaid | -34.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xec2c…1b20backed No | 15c | 1,257$191 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$191.21 | 44 | 31.8%14 W · 30 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 32cpaid | -30.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0f58…0ff0backed No | 1c | 1,065$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.65 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | +1.1wins | +0.14per pick | 24cpaid | +1,196.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x93bc…8ca3backed No | 13c | 1,001$130 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$130.12 | 83 | 30.1%25 W · 58 L | +1.2wins | +0.01per pick | 29cpaid | -27.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xee89…edacbacked No | 15c | 533.87$79 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$78.6 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.15per pick | 15cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x49ef…2dc0backed No | 21c | 476.23$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.5wins | -0.12per pick | 12cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdc9b…7faabacked No | 22c | 360$79 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$79.2 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.05per pick | 30cpaid | -46.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf031…89b5backed No | 16c | 207.12$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.28 | 13 | 23.1%3 W · 10 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 22cpaid | -35.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe38e…c29dbacked Yes | 78c | 206.69$160 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.48 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.18per pick | 49cpaid | +63.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1cfc…2111backed Yes | 79c | 202.12$159 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.15 | 54 | 42.6%23 W · 31 L | -3.7wins | -0.07per pick | 49cpaid | -22.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf385…4864backed No | 16c | 142.99$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.08 | 17 | 64.7%11 W · 6 L | +1.7wins | +0.10per pick | 55cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6dee…f4e6backed No | 18c | 126.16$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.79 | 18 | 61.1%11 W · 7 L | +0.4wins | +0.02per pick | 59cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xca36…7914backed Yes | 78c | 106.99$83 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.54 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 59cpaid | -20.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x72aa…3b8bbacked Yes | 79c | 100$79 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.05per pick | 72cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xeb99…8c33backed No | 16c | 98.61$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.71 | 21 | 52.4%11 W · 10 L | +0.5wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x102d…e701backed No | 22c | 90.91$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.22per pick | 22cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4440…5f67backed No | 16c | 63.1$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.1 | 12 | 33.3%4 W · 8 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 32cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2707…0afabacked Yes | 80c | 50$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.15 | 125 | 23.2%29 W · 96 L | -5.4wins | -0.04per pick | 28cpaid | -30.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x22db…190fbacked Yes | 80c | 50$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10 | 35 | 37.1%13 W · 22 L | -2.2wins | -0.06per pick | 43cpaid | -32.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x866f…db8abacked Yes | 78c | 25.01$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.5 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.22per pick | 78cpaid | +28.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6dab…1e96backed Yes | 78c | 19.23$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.23 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in F1 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 8 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will McLaren have the highest Constructor score at the 2025 Italian Grand Prix?this page
- Will Alpine have the highest Constructor score at the 2025 Italian Grand Prix?No won
- Will Aston Martin have the highest Constructor score at the 2025 Italian Grand Prix?No won
- Will Ferrari have the highest Constructor score at the 2025 Italian Grand Prix?No won
- Will Mercedes have the highest Constructor score at the 2025 Italian Grand Prix?No won
- Will Red Bull have the highest Constructor score at the 2025 Italian Grand Prix?No won
- Will Sauber have the highest Constructor score at the 2025 Italian Grand Prix?No won
- Will another team have the highest Constructor score at the 2025 Italian Grand Prix?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.