Ncaa Basketball · resolved market
Will South Carolina win the Women's NCAA tournament?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x8035aa884e9d0b4b275ba82dbd8c283bdeb7c5c3944e90b7e7b5bf3284d2eb64
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Ncaa Basketballevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $2,970
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $2,847
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $2,970 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 14 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ncaa Basketball is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x574e…3ef1backed Yes | 58c | 796.75$462 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$334.64 | 32 | 43.8%14 W · 18 L | +1.5wins | +0.05per pick | 39cpaid | +11.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8b3e…662cbacked No | 44c | 600$264 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$264 | 14 | 21.4%3 W · 11 L | -2.1wins | -0.15per pick | 36cpaid | -47.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4c03…0cc1backed No | 42c | 500$210 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$210 | 136 | 9.6%13 W · 123 L | -8.1wins | -0.06per pick | 16cpaid | -78.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6356…1885backed Yes | 58c | 500$290 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$210 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | -0.7wins | -0.07per pick | 52cpaid | -26.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x32f4…c885backed No | 40c | 197.57$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$79.85 | 22 | 18.2%4 W · 18 L | -4.6wins | -0.21per pick | 39cpaid | -62.5%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x5380…28debacked Yes | 65c | 175$113 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | +1.0wins | +0.15per pick | 28cpaid | +48.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6ea6…6d01backed No | 38c | 162.5$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61.75 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -0.5wins | -0.06per pick | 44cpaid | -19.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8a27…d1e3backed Yes | 62c | 136.45$85 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.85 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.37per pick | 63cpaid | +60%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4cc3…7552backed No | 36c | 125$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45 | 45 | 42.2%19 W · 26 L | -3.1wins | -0.07per pick | 49cpaid | -19.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe0db…f44ebacked No | 28c | 118.03$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.05 | 107 | 39.3%42 W · 65 L | -8.5wins | -0.08per pick | 47cpaid | -17%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd279…e09dbacked No | 45c | 100$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45 | 10 | 20%2 W · 8 L | -1.9wins | -0.19per pick | 39cpaid | -40.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x22db…190fbacked No | 43c | 60$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.16per pick | 50cpaid | -50.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9d84…1344backed No | 41c | 46.74$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.97 | 24 | 12.5%3 W · 21 L | -4.6wins | -0.19per pick | 31cpaid | -68.4%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xea03…0aa1backed Yes | 57c | 40$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.2 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.43per pick | 57cpaid | +75.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will South Carolina win the Women's NCAA tournament?this page
- Will LSU win the Women's NCAA tournament?No won
- Will Uconn win the Women's NCAA tournament?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.