Us Midterms · resolved market
Will Chuck Schumer endorse Mamdani?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xfed53b358911a9a331592bc2e0f960730d7c1725d0970cb827e30b751acb2fc1
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Us Midtermsevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $51,170
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $54,381
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $51,170 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 95 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Us Midterms is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Us Midterms | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x993c…6787backed Yes | 31c | 5,744$1,803 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,803.38 | 53 | 28.3%15 W · 38 L | -2.2wins | -0.04per pick | 32cpaid | -32.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc684…2228backed Yes | 32c | 3,883$1,242 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,241.71 | 154 | 45.5%70 W · 84 L | +5.3wins | +0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0303…fcd1backed No | 72c | 3,550$2,547 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,003.49 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | +0.3wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -31.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd039…2532backed Yes | 25c | 3,541$875 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$875.01 | 61 | 32.8%20 W · 41 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -25.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x08c8…1da2backed No | 65c | 3,207$2,070 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,137.23 | 23 | 47.8%11 W · 12 L | +1.0wins | +0.04per pick | 43cpaid | +5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x27b4…4278backed No | 78c | 2,815$2,200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$614.63 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.22per pick | 78cpaid | +27.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xeeb1…bf68backed Yes | 6c | 2,516$146 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$146.15 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 32cpaid | -57.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xaab9…a08dbacked Yes | 28c | 2,457$693 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$693.33 | 48 | 35.4%17 W · 31 L | +1.9wins | +0.04per pick | 31cpaid | +42.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7447…a16dbacked No | 51c | 2,358$1,202 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,156.56 | 22 | 36.4%8 W · 14 L | +2.1wins | +0.10per pick | 27cpaid | +20.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9dd9…08bdbacked Yes | 26c | 2,164$561 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$560.92 | 248 | 61.7%153 W · 95 L | +24.3wins | +0.10per pick | 52cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x11f3…d859backed Yes | 29c | 1,653$475 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$475.05 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 24cpaid | +1,201.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x64c8…73cebacked No | 62c | 1,632$1,012 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$619.85 | 19 | 68.4%13 W · 6 L | +3.7wins | +0.20per pick | 49cpaid | +14.3%equal weight | 59+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x38e5…95e7backed Yes | 29c | 1,506$432 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$432.43 | 210 | 33.3%70 W · 140 L | -2.2wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -20.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbacd…ab35backed Yes | 12c | 1,432$176 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$175.77 | 47 | 44.7%21 W · 26 L | +6.9wins | +0.15per pick | 30cpaid | +12.3%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x4a1f…1a9fbacked Yes | 23c | 1,030$234 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$233.56 | 29 | 24.1%7 W · 22 L | +1.4wins | +0.05per pick | 19cpaid | +54.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x04dc…2387backed Yes | 33c | 1,001$330 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$330.39 | 62 | 35.5%22 W · 40 L | +1.1wins | +0.02per pick | 34cpaid | +11.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5e38…a1dbbacked No | 75c | 932.04$700 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$232.04 | 15 | 46.7%7 W · 8 L | +0.9wins | +0.06per pick | 40cpaid | -19.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9009…59e0backed No | 73c | 825.72$600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$225.72 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -27.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2ab5…1d6ebacked Yes | 2c | 690.38$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.24 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.9wins | -0.30per pick | 30cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed Yes | 15c | 671.84$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.41 | 495 | 11.5%57 W · 438 L | -17.6wins | -0.04per pick | 15cpaid | -27.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x73dc…8d32backed Yes | 32c | 544.06$176 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$175.73 | 21 | 71.4%15 W · 6 L | +2.9wins | +0.14per pick | 58cpaid | +24.8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc6ee…a7f2backed No | 67c | 523.16$350 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$173.43 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | -25.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcc99…e0a3backed No | 61c | 508.65$308 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$200.15 | 12 | 16.7%2 W · 10 L | -1.9wins | -0.16per pick | 32cpaid | -69.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x47f5…934dbacked No | 60c | 500$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$200 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | +0.2wins | +0.04per pick | 36cpaid | -38.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x958d…3501backed No | 72c | 436.62$317 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$120.1 | 14 | 64.3%9 W · 5 L | +0.8wins | +0.05per pick | 59cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x686a…966bbacked Yes | 42c | 348.55$145 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$144.72 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -23.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x71dd…d61cbacked Yes | 42c | 337.07$142 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$142 | 15 | 33.3%5 W · 10 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -28%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xff72…cdaabacked No | 69c | 332.42$229 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$103.17 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | -1.8wins | -0.15per pick | 57cpaid | -35.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xbc0a…6fc4backed No | 62c | 300.2$185 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$115.22 | 15 | 33.3%5 W · 10 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -42%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa15b…30f1backed Yes | 36c | 300$109 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$109 | 18 | 44.4%8 W · 10 L | +1.7wins | +0.10per pick | 35cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd5b9…e44ebacked Yes | 38c | 300$114 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$114 | 15 | 53.3%8 W · 7 L | +1.0wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | -14.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x63b4…7e30backed Yes | 42c | 273.94$114 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$114.11 | 14 | 35.7%5 W · 9 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 36cpaid | -15.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0b7d…79cebacked Yes | 4c | 271$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.84 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc981…a75dbacked Yes | 30c | 249.99$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75 | 19 | 15.8%3 W · 16 L | -1.2wins | -0.06per pick | 22cpaid | -68.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb1e1…293abacked No | 62c | 240.18$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$90.18 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | +0.4wins | +0.05per pick | 33cpaid | +15.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfdfc…288cbacked No | 53c | 230.4$122 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$108.29 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | +0.8wins | +0.10per pick | 40cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcc77…c035backed No | 73c | 225.02$165 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59.65 | 27 | 55.6%15 W · 12 L | +1.0wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd0d2…c042backed Yes | 25c | 214.08$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.05 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.25per pick | 25cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5d2f…24debacked No | 68c | 196.49$133 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.23 | 10 | 70%7 W · 3 L | +2.0wins | +0.20per pick | 50cpaid | +11.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3f4f…b4b3backed Yes | 18c | 183.48$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.17 | 45 | 20%9 W · 36 L | -3.2wins | -0.07per pick | 27cpaid | -53.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0767…9054backed No | 63c | 159.25$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59.25 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 28cpaid | -60.2%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcdbf…1926backed No | 49c | 159.2$79 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$80.6 | 272 | 22.1%60 W · 212 L | -15.0wins | -0.06per pick | 28cpaid | -44.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x43f7…35e5backed No | 64c | 157.99$101 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.54 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.2wins | +0.58per pick | 42cpaid | +227.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdfaa…79a7backed Yes | 29c | 147.09$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.38 | 41 | 31.7%13 W · 28 L | +2.3wins | +0.06per pick | 26cpaid | +14.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcacb…350fbacked No | 74c | 135.58$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.58 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.26per pick | 74cpaid | +35.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8b44…63fbbacked Yes | 32c | 123.72$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.98 | 81 | 14.8%12 W · 69 L | -6.6wins | -0.08per pick | 23cpaid | -39.6%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa314…5ba7backed No | 64c | 122.54$78 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.25 | 29 | 55.2%16 W · 13 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9048…2759backed Yes | 9c | 120.44$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.84 | 13 | 69.2%9 W · 4 L | +2.9wins | +0.22per pick | 47cpaid | +38.6%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xd5db…3c45backed No | 50c | 120$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -0.9wins | -0.15per pick | 32cpaid | -66.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7e55…97e7backed No | 64c | 118.46$76 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.77 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.43per pick | 57cpaid | +78.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf8b6…ca40backed No | 70c | 116.81$82 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.18 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -28.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa557…d95cbacked No | 73c | 109.96$81 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.44 | 26 | 65.4%17 W · 9 L | +1.2wins | +0.05per pick | 61cpaid | +13.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x225b…422abacked Yes | 38c | 103.9$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.31 | 17 | 11.8%2 W · 15 L | -2.5wins | -0.15per pick | 26cpaid | -37.4%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5c29…d822backed Yes | 29c | 101.01$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.47 | 10 | 10%1 W · 9 L | -2.5wins | -0.25per pick | 35cpaid | -84.7%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x9780…6255backed Yes | 50c | 100$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 12 | 33.3%4 W · 8 L | +0.4wins | +0.03per pick | 30cpaid | +11.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9aeb…2729backed No | 68c | 100$68 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32 | 16 | 25%4 W · 12 L | -2.2wins | -0.14per pick | 39cpaid | -58.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x063c…7767backed No | 68c | 99.99$68 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.26per pick | 74cpaid | +36.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x74e6…99e8backed No | 61c | 99.83$61 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.93 | 17 | 47.1%8 W · 9 L | +0.9wins | +0.05per pick | 42cpaid | +8.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0655…475dbacked No | 76c | 99.03$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.02 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.15per pick | 48cpaid | -56%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc624…ee24backed Yes | 36c | 97.27$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.3 | 63 | 55.6%35 W · 28 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 56cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x143a…49bfbacked No | 72c | 96.63$69 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.28 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.10per pick | 56cpaid | -11.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb72c…653ebacked No | 72c | 83.65$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.65 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.26per pick | 59cpaid | -53.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x210c…2edabacked No | 79c | 78$61 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.53 | 15 | 60%9 W · 6 L | +0.5wins | +0.04per pick | 56cpaid | -3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x516d…03e5backed No | 71c | 70$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.3 | 64 | 31.3%20 W · 44 L | -10.4wins | -0.16per pick | 47cpaid | -52%equal weight | 37-0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x756d…75e6backed Yes | 32c | 68.06$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.78 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +1.7wins | +0.25per pick | 32cpaid | +174.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x79e3…d1febacked No | 74c | 67.89$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.89 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -14%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa218…94cdbacked No | 58c | 57.2$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.82 | 33 | 48.5%16 W · 17 L | +1.8wins | +0.05per pick | 43cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8f40…7598backed No | 55c | 54.9$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.9 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.13per pick | 37cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe7d5…9e42backed No | 66c | 52.73$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.93 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.14per pick | 36cpaid | -24.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x66a3…f56bbacked No | 73c | 50.53$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.53 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -32.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0970…5ae4backed Yes | 45c | 50$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.5 | 21 | 23.8%5 W · 16 L | +0.8wins | +0.04per pick | 20cpaid | +19.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9119…d179backed Yes | 32c | 46.41$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.85 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 28cpaid | +108.3%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6869…21e8backed No | 52c | 46.13$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.23 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.48per pick | 52cpaid | +93%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xff7c…b233backed No | 69c | 45.05$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.97 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | +2.8wins | +0.23per pick | 27cpaid | +230.4%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xe4ca…1383backed Yes | 23c | 44.45$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.09 | 87 | 18.4%16 W · 71 L | -8.5wins | -0.10per pick | 28cpaid | -38.7%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x22db…190fbacked Yes | 51c | 40$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.4 | 26 | 53.8%14 W · 12 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x51aa…10dabacked No | 50c | 40$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.50per pick | 50cpaid | +100%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd9f5…ccbbbacked No | 63c | 39.94$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.78 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.37per pick | 63cpaid | +58.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaeb5…649cbacked Yes | 31c | 39$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.09 | 17 | 5.9%1 W · 16 L | -4.8wins | -0.28per pick | 34cpaid | -89.5%equal weight | 37-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x62d5…78d1backed No | 66c | 38$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.92 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.09per pick | 58cpaid | +24.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa497…63c4backed No | 56c | 33.84$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.89 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.44per pick | 56cpaid | +78.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x23d8…728bbacked No | 75c | 33.43$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.41 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.25per pick | 75cpaid | +33.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8607…2ccdbacked No | 60c | 33.13$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.13 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -22.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb282…3254backed No | 65c | 30.77$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.77 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.35per pick | 65cpaid | +53.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1983…eb99backed No | 74c | 30$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.8 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.26per pick | 74cpaid | +35.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2783…8321backed No | 68c | 29.13$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.23 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -28.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc238…d690backed No | 71c | 28.17$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.17 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.2wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x35f2…c035backed No | 71c | 28.09$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.09 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.29per pick | 71cpaid | +40.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9a10…c80fbacked No | 71c | 28$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.12per pick | 38cpaid | -30%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8ffe…b69dbacked No | 72c | 27.78$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.78 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.3wins | +0.07per pick | 43cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2a56…216dbacked No | 73c | 27.4$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.4 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 27cpaid | -65.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf75f…0988backed No | 74c | 27.03$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.03 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.26per pick | 74cpaid | +35.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4e88…caf0backed No | 63c | 27$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.99 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.37per pick | 63cpaid | +58.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3c61…7402backed No | 72c | 20.83$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.83 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.28per pick | 72cpaid | +38.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf8f0…b401backed No | 72c | 18.82$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.27 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.28per pick | 72cpaid | +38.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Us Midterms and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.