Middle East · resolved market
Will there be Houthi military action against Saudi Arabia by August 15, 2026?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x7ff57d00ef56ca1dbff6bf4bce7d744ec5e25f3f8726c6610cbf35b0f3dc272e
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Middle Eastevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $67,326
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $71,587
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $67,326 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 95 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Middle East is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Middle East | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x67fa…1a08backed No | 2c | 10,305$210 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$210 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.7wins | -0.23per pick | 23cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb413…1cb7backed No | 0c | 10,000$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 11 | 0%0 W · 11 L | -0.4wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5eda…92a7backed Yes | 59c | 3,779$2,212 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,566.95 | 92 | 44.6%41 W · 51 L | +1.2wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf457…ac4ebacked No | 50c | 1,129$565 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$564.6 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.6wins | +0.10per pick | 40cpaid | -17.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdf34…dc86backed No | 58c | 1,093$628 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$628.39 | 11 | 63.6%7 W · 4 L | +0.5wins | +0.05per pick | 59cpaid | +8.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xea41…1c98backed No | 57c | 996.32$565 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$565.03 | 333 | 37.5%125 W · 208 L | +12.2wins | +0.04per pick | 34cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4fff…be78backed Yes | 65c | 950$620 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$329.92 | 59 | 50.8%30 W · 29 L | +2.4wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -18.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0845…6b6fbacked Yes | 40c | 920.89$371 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$550.11 | 204 | 38.7%79 W · 125 L | -2.9wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9453…1a48backed No | 63c | 864.35$542 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$542.18 | 132 | 46.2%61 W · 71 L | +2.5wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xff52…4546backed Yes | 30c | 839.99$252 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$587.99 | 59 | 50.8%30 W · 29 L | +4.5wins | +0.08per pick | 43cpaid | +12.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe738…df65backed Yes | 34c | 785.66$264 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$522.13 | 353 | 55.5%196 W · 157 L | +36.1wins | +0.10per pick | 45cpaid | +20.4%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x89c2…7ce4backed No | 31c | 731.38$224 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$223.6 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | -1.0wins | -0.15per pick | 29cpaid | -76.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2e62…b22ebacked No | 27c | 607.43$162 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$162.01 | 45 | 31.1%14 W · 31 L | +3.0wins | +0.07per pick | 24cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8a65…a3debacked Yes | 58c | 556.55$323 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$233.22 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.42per pick | 58cpaid | +72.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x577a…6c80backed Yes | 61c | 547.14$333 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$213.92 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 20cpaid | -67.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9e1c…e801backed No | 55c | 542.84$298 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$298.2 | 27 | 44.4%12 W · 15 L | +2.4wins | +0.09per pick | 35cpaid | +28.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xff7c…b233backed No | 39c | 467.78$182 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$182.2 | 306 | 35.9%110 W · 196 L | +2.9wins | +0.01per pick | 35cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3a23…0f72backed Yes | 50c | 450$225 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$225 | 113 | 23.9%27 W · 86 L | +5.3wins | +0.05per pick | 19cpaid | -23.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd0a3…962fbacked No | 58c | 439.45$254 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$253.58 | 86 | 44.2%38 W · 48 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | +17.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0437…30f4backed Yes | 67c | 422.62$284 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$138.74 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | -1.7wins | -0.16per pick | 52cpaid | -41.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdc5b…c345backed No | 75c | 416.69$311 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$310.58 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.38per pick | 38cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8792…4174backed No | 43c | 411.67$175 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$175.06 | 16 | 50%8 W · 8 L | -1.7wins | -0.11per pick | 61cpaid | -24.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5a21…9318backed No | 19c | 365.43$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69.88 | 197 | 39.1%77 W · 120 L | +3.8wins | +0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -16.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa9da…aa1cbacked Yes | 66c | 357.42$236 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$121.06 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.3wins | +0.06per pick | 54cpaid | -15.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x67d0…db7abacked Yes | 32c | 347.94$111 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$236.6 | 136 | 17.6%24 W · 112 L | +5.3wins | +0.04per pick | 14cpaid | +58.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3057…0e96backed Yes | 77c | 345.84$266 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$80.1 | 7 | 85.7%6 W · 1 L | +1.0wins | +0.15per pick | 71cpaid | +19%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8d60…4554backed Yes | 73c | 340.3$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$90.3 | 28 | 57.1%16 W · 12 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 58cpaid | +10.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6725…1bf9backed Yes | 24c | 332.11$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$252.11 | 56 | 44.6%25 W · 31 L | +8.7wins | +0.16per pick | 29cpaid | +109.5%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x0711…f03cbacked Yes | 38c | 305.63$115 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$190.85 | 337 | 41.2%139 W · 198 L | +11.6wins | +0.03per pick | 38cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x958d…3501backed No | 69c | 291.63$201 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$201 | 222 | 62.2%138 W · 84 L | +1.2wins | +0.01per pick | 62cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6ead…14f8backed No | 64c | 290.68$186 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$186.01 | 66 | 60.6%40 W · 26 L | +0.9wins | +0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6b1c…5fe8backed No | 36c | 274.76$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.64 | 25 | 4%1 W · 24 L | -5.9wins | -0.24per pick | 28cpaid | -83.5%equal weight | 37-0.12 edge/pick |
| 0xe397…bfcbbacked Yes | 51c | 260.03$133 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$127.42 | 107 | 47.7%51 W · 56 L | +6.6wins | +0.06per pick | 41cpaid | +26%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x74e6…99e8backed Yes | 39c | 241$94 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$147.13 | 100 | 41%41 W · 59 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | +30.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xba8c…e77dbacked Yes | 50c | 240.02$120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$119.89 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.37per pick | 63cpaid | +65%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb085…7b10backed Yes | 68c | 239.61$162 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$77.62 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -26%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xac76…9359backed No | 45c | 225.94$101 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$101.21 | 267 | 56.2%150 W · 117 L | +12.3wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc91b…93bdbacked No | 35c | 215.87$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$74.62 | 77 | 45.5%35 W · 42 L | +1.7wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7b84…a13ebacked Yes | 70c | 215.81$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$65.78 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.15per pick | 35cpaid | -28.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa65c…7997backed Yes | 63c | 210$132 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78 | 44 | 50%22 W · 22 L | +2.8wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | -5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x738a…5996backed Yes | 59c | 203.76$121 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$82.76 | 94 | 54.3%51 W · 43 L | +12.6wins | +0.13per pick | 41cpaid | +52.5%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x8765…ed81backed No | 26c | 201.23$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.46 | 492 | 8.7%43 W · 449 L | +8.5wins | +0.02per pick | 7cpaid | -25.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc0b6…3a92backed No | 40c | 200.12$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$79.7 | 78 | 56.4%44 W · 34 L | +13.0wins | +0.17per pick | 40cpaid | +75.1%equal weight | 64+0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x9a3f…914abacked No | 49c | 200$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98 | 135 | 44.4%60 W · 75 L | +8.1wins | +0.06per pick | 38cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf1ff…5b03backed Yes | 10c | 200$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$179.8 | 93 | 35.5%33 W · 60 L | +2.9wins | +0.03per pick | 32cpaid | +33.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb87f…f7d4backed Yes | 37c | 180.51$67 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$113.77 | 25 | 40%10 W · 15 L | +1.9wins | +0.08per pick | 32cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x816b…9ec7backed Yes | 56c | 179.76$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$79.76 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.14per pick | 64cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9238…b73ebacked Yes | 13c | 175$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$152 | 223 | 33.2%74 W · 149 L | +12.9wins | +0.06per pick | 27cpaid | +12.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x22db…190fbacked Yes | 72c | 168.36$122 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.37 | 217 | 51.6%112 W · 105 L | +8.0wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb40e…7cc9backed No | 37c | 162$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60.23 | 344 | 32.3%111 W · 233 L | -31.8wins | -0.09per pick | 42cpaid | -36.5%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xda91…9ffdbacked No | 38c | 160.56$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61.53 | 72 | 48.6%35 W · 37 L | +2.2wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +19.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb23e…829abacked No | 42c | 153.08$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64.31 | 16 | 62.5%10 W · 6 L | +1.8wins | +0.11per pick | 51cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4bf3…369dbacked Yes | 60c | 152.4$92 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60.78 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +0.8wins | +0.10per pick | 53cpaid | +41.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe827…5209backed No | 46c | 136$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62.82 | 86 | 36%31 W · 55 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -20.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdc83…37efbacked Yes | 65c | 135$87 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.69 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | +0.3wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0619…d801backed No | 24c | 130.73$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.34 | 148 | 27%40 W · 108 L | -2.8wins | -0.02per pick | 29cpaid | -34.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2ef8…b0f4backed No | 39c | 129.98$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.58 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.17per pick | 50cpaid | -53.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1d08…3f18backed No | 42c | 108.1$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.37per pick | 37cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xad53…ef24backed No | 46c | 103.45$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.16 | 857 | 25.2%216 W · 641 L | -115.1wins | -0.13per pick | 39cpaid | -43.7%equal weight | 35-0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x8f0b…8be2backed No | 78c | 100$78 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$78 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.7wins | -0.43per pick | 68cpaid | -55.4%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf453…a674backed Yes | 61c | 99.73$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.23 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.7wins | +0.23per pick | 44cpaid | +43.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1ff3…eb39backed No | 58c | 93.55$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.9 | 43 | 60.5%26 W · 17 L | +2.0wins | +0.05per pick | 56cpaid | +12.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe43e…97c2backed Yes | 62c | 92.66$57 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.54 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.34per pick | 66cpaid | +51.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9ccf…ef8abacked Yes | 56c | 88.95$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.95 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.44per pick | 56cpaid | +77.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc8ab…6418backed Yes | 71c | 64.94$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.64 | 643 | 39.3%253 W · 390 L | -59.4wins | -0.09per pick | 49cpaid | +8.8%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x381f…bc99backed Yes | 68c | 59.05$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.05 | 18 | 72.2%13 W · 5 L | +2.0wins | +0.11per pick | 61cpaid | +14.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0f18…5b28backed Yes | 20c | 50.05$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.04 | 84 | 56%47 W · 37 L | +1.4wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1c3d…2ff5backed No | 55c | 50$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.5 | 128 | 43%55 W · 73 L | +6.1wins | +0.05per pick | 38cpaid | +24.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd0a3…5a2fbacked Yes | 25c | 50$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.5 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -0.9wins | -0.13per pick | 42cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb17d…59aebacked No | 51c | 50$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.6 | 79 | 48.1%38 W · 41 L | +5.9wins | +0.07per pick | 41cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x04f6…311abacked Yes | 62c | 48.62$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.62 | 37 | 45.9%17 W · 20 L | -0.8wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -24.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa9b7…f43cbacked No | 22c | 48.52$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.58 | 53 | 49.1%26 W · 27 L | +6.6wins | +0.13per pick | 37cpaid | +31.2%equal weight | 59+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xf3c2…1398backed Yes | 63c | 47.61$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.72 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.08per pick | 42cpaid | -46.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3517…dab5backed Yes | 56c | 45$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.8 | 67 | 25.4%17 W · 50 L | -5.4wins | -0.08per pick | 33cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2035…dc1cbacked No | 46c | 43.74$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.46per pick | 46cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5c94…0af1backed Yes | 57c | 43.53$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.53 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -1.5wins | -0.19per pick | 56cpaid | -42.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb220…5f71backed No | 69c | 40$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.6 | 121 | 55.4%67 W · 54 L | -7.4wins | -0.06per pick | 61cpaid | -14.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2db7…8f9bbacked No | 46c | 40$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.2 | 63 | 39.7%25 W · 38 L | +1.7wins | +0.03per pick | 37cpaid | +24.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed Yes | 32c | 37.39$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.56 | 1,558 | 7.2%112 W · 1,446 L | -35.1wins | -0.02per pick | 9cpaid | -42.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfe8e…cfaabacked No | 61c | 37.13$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.61 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.61per pick | 61cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd677…a495backed No | 67c | 37.06$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 87 | 44.8%39 W · 48 L | +3.5wins | +0.04per pick | 41cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x90be…c800backed No | 55c | 36.87$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.31 | 153 | 31.4%48 W · 105 L | -7.4wins | -0.05per pick | 36cpaid | -33.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x392a…262dbacked No | 67c | 36$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.12 | 74 | 45.9%34 W · 40 L | -3.7wins | -0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4b19…3ee1backed Yes | 30c | 34.76$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.41 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.7wins | +0.33per pick | 17cpaid | +68%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x93f9…8688backed Yes | 35c | 33.16$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.55 | 21 | 23.8%5 W · 16 L | -1.2wins | -0.06per pick | 29cpaid | -43.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0785…ecb4backed No | 70c | 31.43$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22 | 55 | 50.9%28 W · 27 L | +3.0wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4351…9060backed No | 35c | 31.16$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.91 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.25per pick | 25cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb2ab…534dbacked No | 68c | 30.95$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.4wins | -0.46per pick | 46cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2f9b…a68cbacked Yes | 44c | 29$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.24 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.20per pick | 46cpaid | +36.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x619d…b31cbacked No | 48c | 28.99$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14 | 38 | 47.4%18 W · 20 L | +2.6wins | +0.07per pick | 40cpaid | -13.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1f70…0f8bbacked No | 69c | 28.99$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.04per pick | 71cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0c93…aafabacked No | 56c | 25.88$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.48 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.3wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -12%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9935…a6b4backed Yes | 61c | 24.71$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.71 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.39per pick | 61cpaid | +64.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe7e9…b434backed Yes | 61c | 19.93$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.83 | 7 | 85.7%6 W · 1 L | +2.7wins | +0.39per pick | 47cpaid | +112.3%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xa904…6a36backed No | 70c | 18.29$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.8 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.70per pick | 70cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Middle East and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 2 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will there be Houthi military action against Saudi Arabia by August 15, 2026?this page
- Will there be Houthi military action against Saudi Arabia by August 31, 2026?Yes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.