Token Launches · resolved market
Will Andrew Tate burn all his $DADDY by Friday?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x52bc1527cecdb1a0a8c3f26be2a2a57375dcb5525acde9a192177abdf9875530
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Token Launchesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $12,760
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $14,068
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $12,760 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 23 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Token Launches is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Token Launches | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xc23d…b637backed Yes | 15c | 2,092$307 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,784.89 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | +0.7wins | +0.09per pick | 19cpaid | +16.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9d84…1344backed No | 49c | 1,786$870 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$869.91 | 67 | 13.4%9 W · 58 L | -2.8wins | -0.04per pick | 18cpaid | -74.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x495c…6685backed No | 78c | 1,337$1,047 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,046.76 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.8wins | -0.78per pick | 78cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf33f…085cbacked Yes | 31c | 923.4$285 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$637.93 | 22 | 18.2%4 W · 18 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 19cpaid | -58.3%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8d37…3107backed Yes | 28c | 825.43$229 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$596.04 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.72per pick | 28cpaid | +259.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf189…8e47backed Yes | 28c | 629.99$176 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$453.89 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.7wins | +0.33per pick | 17cpaid | +78.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6fc9…95d5backed No | 70c | 602.19$423 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$422.77 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.9wins | -0.30per pick | 30cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6b7e…4562backed No | 64c | 498.43$318 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$317.87 | 26 | 46.2%12 W · 14 L | +1.2wins | +0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -25.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc0ee…ec14backed No | 61c | 328.07$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200.25 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.0wins | -0.25per pick | 50cpaid | -68.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x15ce…0d20backed Yes | 7c | 270.47$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$250.47 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.93per pick | 7cpaid | +1,252.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6880…8abebacked No | 66c | 256.82$171 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$170.66 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.1wins | -0.35per pick | 35cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2cc6…bfd9backed Yes | 21c | 254.76$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$200.4 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.79per pick | 21cpaid | +368.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbcdb…eadfbacked Yes | 43c | 233.26$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$133.26 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.57per pick | 43cpaid | +133.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe25b…0f1bbacked No | 65c | 193.68$126 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$126.3 | 29 | 31%9 W · 20 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 32cpaid | -28.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x22db…190fbacked Yes | 25c | 190$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$142.8 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | +0.6wins | +0.07per pick | 60cpaid | +21.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7e70…9047backed Yes | 22c | 165.71$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$128.93 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 34cpaid | +50.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x827b…01cebacked No | 68c | 154.45$105 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$104.93 | 12 | 33.3%4 W · 8 L | -0.3wins | -0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -47.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x55e5…120fbacked Yes | 40c | 125$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.60per pick | 40cpaid | +150%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb8db…cd3cbacked No | 65c | 71.92$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.75 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.65per pick | 65cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0276…48e9backed Yes | 44c | 47.73$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.73 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.56per pick | 44cpaid | +127.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4337…8882backed No | 68c | 39.86$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.16 | 118 | 33.9%40 W · 78 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 34cpaid | -36.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbb2e…4d83backed No | 56c | 30$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.9 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.0wins | -0.25per pick | 50cpaid | -39%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1820…e3f7backed No | 57c | 23.12$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.15 | 9 | 11.1%1 W · 8 L | -1.8wins | -0.20per pick | 31cpaid | -83.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Token Launches and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.