Tennis · resolved market
Will Iga Swiatek win the 2024 French Open Women's Singles?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xb80c8a1243fe3feffbf525d44a6e5e5692d880fb352fb28a4606a030ae6e2c84
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $21,314
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $23,852
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $21,314 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 14 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tennis | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x9716…378abacked No | 6c | 8,891$533 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$533.44 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | +2.2wins | +0.22per pick | 38cpaid | +8.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb0d7…f9fabacked No | 37c | 1,853$687 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$686.7 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -0.9wins | -0.10per pick | 43cpaid | -46.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8f69…7df1backed No | 41c | 871.25$357 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$357.2 | 9 | 22.2%2 W · 7 L | -2.2wins | -0.25per pick | 47cpaid | -63.8%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x3b9f…d2b9backed Yes | 60c | 450$269 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$180.9 | 52 | 55.8%29 W · 23 L | +2.6wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb1fc…013ebacked Yes | 68c | 305.04$208 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$97.11 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.32per pick | 68cpaid | +46.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9ac5…6a3dbacked No | 38c | 246.05$93 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$93.49 | 40 | 47.5%19 W · 21 L | +0.9wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc3ef…3d1ebacked Yes | 67c | 149.25$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.25 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | -0.3wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -28.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcb11…e93fbacked No | 21c | 130$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.2 | 31 | 54.8%17 W · 14 L | +0.9wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6b55…02f8backed No | 10c | 98.51$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.14 | 30 | 50%15 W · 15 L | +2.7wins | +0.09per pick | 41cpaid | +10.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xee20…5b37backed Yes | 59c | 79.66$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.66 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.32per pick | 68cpaid | +48.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc5cc…3f0fbacked Yes | 63c | 79.37$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.37 | 26 | 57.7%15 W · 11 L | +1.5wins | +0.06per pick | 52cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbae4…c085backed No | 42c | 71.43$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -0.5wins | -0.06per pick | 31cpaid | -34.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x22db…190fbacked Yes | 62c | 50$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -42.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8607…f4d1backed Yes | 61c | 32.79$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.79 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.2wins | +0.38per pick | 62cpaid | +63.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 8 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Iga Swiatek win the 2024 French Open Women's Singles?this page
- Will Aryna Sabalenka win the 2024 French Open Women's Singles?No won
- Will Coco Gauff win the 2024 French Open Women's Singles?No won
- Will Danielle Collins win the 2024 French Open Women's Singles?No won
- Will Elena Rybakina win the 2024 French Open Women's Singles?No won
- Will Jelena Ostapenko win the 2024 French Open Women's Singles?No won
- Will Mira Andreeva win the 2024 French Open Women's Singles?No won
- Will another player win the 2024 French Open Women's Singles?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.