Token Launches · resolved market
Dogecoin above $0.37 on November 22?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x0f87445ce33ecbffba6b3e93f5c88cde224665416970572146fef09106979b6d
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Token Launchesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $119,580
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $116,478
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $119,580 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 221 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Token Launches is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Token Launches | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xe8ab…c99abacked No | 1c | 13,808$148 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$148.07 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4ee2…46e1backed No | 32c | 7,524$2,398 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,397.74 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +1.6wins | +0.20per pick | 42cpaid | +43.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3061…3684backed No | 25c | 5,667$1,415 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,415.15 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.09per pick | 41cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f9…b3debacked No | 2c | 5,658$104 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$103.85 | 45 | 6.7%3 W · 42 L | +1.7wins | +0.04per pick | 3cpaid | +272.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1997…807dbacked No | 28c | 5,627$1,589 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,589.36 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.28per pick | 28cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3e6a…bee7backed Yes | 80c | 3,127$2,490 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$637.21 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.20per pick | 80cpaid | +25.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaa78…9d21backed No | 9c | 3,000$275 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$274.77 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.09per pick | 9cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2583…0626backed Yes | 20c | 2,935$590 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,344.78 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +1.1wins | +0.36per pick | 30cpaid | +160.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6c16…09b1backed No | 6c | 2,651$158 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$158.5 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.3wins | -0.09per pick | 9cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf311…fe1bbacked No | 23c | 2,604$610 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$609.76 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.23per pick | 23cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5e6c…72fcbacked Yes | 65c | 1,967$1,284 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$683.03 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 62cpaid | -15%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9377…aed8backed Yes | 65c | 1,791$1,166 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$625 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf0b0…8cabbacked No | 21c | 1,776$373 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$373.31 | 333 | 29.7%99 W · 234 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 30cpaid | -42.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6c47…bcb4backed No | 33c | 1,684$548 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$547.82 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.25per pick | 59cpaid | -54.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x617d…fd9fbacked No | 33c | 1,516$496 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$496.35 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.22per pick | 28cpaid | +109.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe1cc…07afbacked Yes | 68c | 1,476$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$476.31 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -3.2wins | -0.40per pick | 65cpaid | -65.7%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x2459…8d76backed No | 41c | 1,464$594 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$593.77 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -0.8wins | -0.13per pick | 29cpaid | -74.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x25d8…a71fbacked No | 2c | 1,310$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.21 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9595…1b16backed Yes | 49c | 1,300$636 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$663.96 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.09per pick | 41cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaa7a…4d23backed No | 1c | 1,039$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.89 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +2.3wins | +0.32per pick | 25cpaid | +270.1%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x80e0…7ffabacked No | 25c | 1,015$258 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$257.79 | 11 | 63.6%7 W · 4 L | +1.5wins | +0.14per pick | 50cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x59d6…54edbacked Yes | 79c | 1,000$790 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$210 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.21per pick | 79cpaid | +26.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf5fd…3348backed No | 19c | 999.97$190 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$190 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.19per pick | 19cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdd0e…3602backed No | 30c | 991.54$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x74f1…36bebacked No | 5c | 925.93$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.7wins | -0.22per pick | 22cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x81ab…d866backed No | 5c | 915.61$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.5 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xab72…1582backed No | 1c | 900$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.8 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2370…0e10backed No | 42c | 622.14$259 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$258.91 | 79 | 19%15 W · 64 L | -6.0wins | -0.08per pick | 27cpaid | -63.4%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8815…e147backed Yes | 60c | 598.08$360 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$238.46 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.1wins | +0.54per pick | 46cpaid | +137.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x808f…87b2backed No | 19c | 597.09$115 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$115.38 | 26 | 42.3%11 W · 15 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6d96…a478backed No | 45c | 582.06$264 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$263.73 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.45per pick | 45cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3a05…2ddabacked Yes | 63c | 578.71$363 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$215.95 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.37per pick | 63cpaid | +59.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcf07…f33dbacked Yes | 79c | 568.05$452 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$116.54 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.13per pick | 63cpaid | -37.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2836…a0cdbacked No | 12c | 564.66$69 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68.7 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.16per pick | 49cpaid | -48.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0e91…ea34backed Yes | 65c | 500$325 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$175 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | -0.7wins | -0.09per pick | 59cpaid | -27.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3a91…ac8fbacked No | 35c | 499.99$175 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$175 | 37 | 75.7%28 W · 9 L | +7.8wins | +0.21per pick | 55cpaid | +25.2%equal weight | 64+0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x9bc1…bd3bbacked No | 10c | 477.07$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.71 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.10per pick | 10cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0a86…5664backed No | 14c | 468.28$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65.4 | 8 | 12.5%1 W · 7 L | -0.9wins | -0.11per pick | 23cpaid | -74.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xffb1…573ebacked No | 45c | 461.99$210 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$209.91 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.45per pick | 45cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2591…7560backed No | 39c | 460.02$180 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$180 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.39per pick | 39cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1912…3a08backed Yes | 67c | 405.43$271 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$134.66 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.7wins | +0.16per pick | 59cpaid | +26.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x098e…f289backed No | 25c | 399.28$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.25per pick | 25cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd06f…d4a6backed No | 18c | 389.91$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70.18 | 24 | 50%12 W · 12 L | +1.1wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -27.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x97eb…a1d2backed Yes | 77c | 363.29$281 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$82.57 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.23per pick | 77cpaid | +29.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x29ef…e136backed No | 14c | 362.72$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.21 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.28per pick | 22cpaid | +62.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x892d…7c7dbacked No | 13c | 355.55$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.02 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.13per pick | 13cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4469…87d6backed Yes | 57c | 349.32$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$149.32 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.16per pick | 66cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf1f8…f4cbbacked No | 10c | 342.35$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.46 | 10 | 10%1 W · 9 L | -1.7wins | -0.17per pick | 27cpaid | -75.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6e09…c03abacked Yes | 70c | 336.24$237 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$99.6 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.30per pick | 70cpaid | +42.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x725f…06c2backed Yes | 61c | 329.28$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$129.28 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -17.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7de7…d31dbacked No | 19c | 315.33$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.78 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.19per pick | 19cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3933…4babbacked Yes | 66c | 301.84$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$101.84 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.34per pick | 66cpaid | +50.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2045…4b9fbacked Yes | 60c | 300$180 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$120 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.40per pick | 60cpaid | +66.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x48da…0419backed No | 43c | 300$129 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$128.87 | 19 | 68.4%13 W · 6 L | +3.8wins | +0.20per pick | 49cpaid | +46.2%equal weight | 59+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x0c6f…7cdabacked Yes | 75c | 287.25$216 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$71.18 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.25per pick | 75cpaid | +32.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x310d…812bbacked No | 18c | 281.15$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.18per pick | 18cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xed41…49edbacked No | 53c | 272.92$145 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$145.43 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.19per pick | 48cpaid | +66.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9178…a2b2backed Yes | 63c | 270$170 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$99.6 | 15 | 33.3%5 W · 10 L | +0.7wins | +0.05per pick | 29cpaid | +113.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x02dc…dc31backed Yes | 58c | 248.1$145 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$103.24 | 9 | 22.2%2 W · 7 L | -1.6wins | -0.17per pick | 40cpaid | -65.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x33dc…9661backed Yes | 58c | 240.44$139 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$101.79 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.0wins | -0.24per pick | 49cpaid | -56.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa607…3181backed No | 43c | 232.78$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.18per pick | 51cpaid | -52%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x17eb…3951backed No | 22c | 223.37$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.19per pick | 19cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7327…151abacked No | 10c | 222$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.2 | 6 | 0%0 W · 6 L | -0.8wins | -0.13per pick | 13cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xad28…1354backed No | 45c | 220.14$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.3wins | -0.44per pick | 44cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x91f8…62d9backed Yes | 75c | 220.03$165 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.01 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.14per pick | 53cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xef29…2388backed No | 33c | 214.41$71 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70.79 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.15per pick | 35cpaid | +37.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x01a9…a962backed No | 24c | 212.71$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.24per pick | 24cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9488…6802backed No | 23c | 200.24$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.94 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.13per pick | 13cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc174…6941backed Yes | 76c | 199.99$152 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +0.8wins | +0.10per pick | 53cpaid | +18.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5971…bec3backed No | 42c | 199.99$84 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$84 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.29per pick | 29cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x96b5…f5e7backed Yes | 62c | 199.99$124 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75.99 | 18 | 44.4%8 W · 10 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -13.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd2ae…f36bbacked Yes | 60c | 196.77$119 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$77.74 | 21 | 33.3%7 W · 14 L | -3.2wins | -0.15per pick | 49cpaid | -43.6%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x7921…4f39backed Yes | 54c | 195.14$104 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$90.74 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.46per pick | 54cpaid | +86.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb801…9c97backed Yes | 67c | 191.48$128 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.87 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.33per pick | 67cpaid | +50%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9ce3…9236backed Yes | 52c | 190$98 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$92.1 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.48per pick | 52cpaid | +94.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc7b8…2c1fbacked No | 53c | 186.38$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98.09 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | +0.7wins | +0.07per pick | 53cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf1d2…6a31backed No | 27c | 182.36$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.27per pick | 27cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x46a2…5e47backed No | 33c | 174.55$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.77 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.33per pick | 33cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9dfe…b3ddbacked No | 42c | 172$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72.24 | 104 | 62.5%65 W · 39 L | +13.4wins | +0.13per pick | 50cpaid | +22.1%equal weight | 62+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x2b30…7cf1backed No | 24c | 169.23$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.24per pick | 24cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x40ca…c9e8backed Yes | 54c | 168.03$91 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$76.79 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.46per pick | 54cpaid | +84.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6cb0…0834backed Yes | 80c | 165.06$132 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.51 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.20per pick | 80cpaid | +25.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x95b5…0cfabacked No | 21c | 164.8$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.07 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.21per pick | 21cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd6ea…7776backed Yes | 54c | 150$81 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.46per pick | 54cpaid | +85.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3978…2f24backed No | 18c | 149.74$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.36 | 36 | 38.9%14 W · 22 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -23.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd3eb…0829backed Yes | 68c | 147.06$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.06 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.32per pick | 68cpaid | +47.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7961…2da2backed Yes | 66c | 146.99$96 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.66 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.34per pick | 66cpaid | +52.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe182…e767backed No | 28c | 145.64$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.78 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.28per pick | 28cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe6a0…f57dbacked Yes | 69c | 145.61$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.61 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.31per pick | 69cpaid | +45.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0973…8986backed Yes | 58c | 141.26$82 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59.33 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.8wins | -0.17per pick | 57cpaid | -36.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa3e2…fdf8backed No | 35c | 138.76$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.15 | 212 | 40.6%86 W · 126 L | -9.2wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xadc9…33f7backed Yes | 50c | 136$68 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$68 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.50per pick | 50cpaid | +100%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7cb6…8f8bbacked Yes | 75c | 134$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.30per pick | 70cpaid | +42.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa3b7…520dbacked No | 45c | 130.52$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -0.4wins | -0.07per pick | 23cpaid | -45.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfe84…9fe9backed Yes | 62c | 113.98$71 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.34 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.38per pick | 62cpaid | +61.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x407a…491abacked No | 30c | 111.18$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.92 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.30per pick | 30cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc095…1656backed Yes | 63c | 110.26$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.26 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.13per pick | 63cpaid | -21.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8e33…6849backed No | 47c | 106.38$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.47per pick | 47cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf93a…c509backed No | 19c | 105.26$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.19per pick | 19cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb702…e291backed No | 22c | 105$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +1.2wins | +0.25per pick | 35cpaid | +195.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Token Launches and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.