Boxing · resolved market
BitBoy vs. Smic - Crypto Fight Night
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x5d3fa58095b0e8932154f6865a5b0314e7e6a27be690d3f2a1e406d7a9b9bffa
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- BitBoyof BitBoy, Smic
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Boxingevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $3,765
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $3,691
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $3,765 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 20 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Boxing is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Boxing | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x8c94…816fbacked BitBoy | 45c | 297.92$134 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$163.86 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | +0.5wins | +0.10per pick | 30cpaid | -15.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1574…64c9backed BitBoy | 40c | 279.75$112 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$167.85 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.2wins | +0.07per pick | 26cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9230…07d4backed BitBoy | 50c | 263.72$132 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$131.86 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.50per pick | 50cpaid | +100%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1dbd…af92backed Smic | 57c | 250$143 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$142.5 | 13 | 15.4%2 W · 11 L | -2.4wins | -0.19per pick | 34cpaid | -29.5%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x88e2…2018backed Smic | 60c | 230$137 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$137.16 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.60per pick | 60cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe25b…0f1bbacked Smic | 56c | 219$123 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$122.64 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.9wins | -0.15per pick | 49cpaid | -25.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9d84…1344backed Smic | 33c | 206.96$69 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69.31 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -0.3wins | -0.04per pick | 32cpaid | -24.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7c59…fba0backed Smic | 55c | 181.82$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.3wins | -0.65per pick | 65cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc2cd…d0b5backed Smic | 57c | 100$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.57per pick | 57cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe824…8644backed BitBoy | 45c | 100$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.55per pick | 45cpaid | +122.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb2d3…20e3backed BitBoy | 45c | 100$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.55per pick | 45cpaid | +122.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4b65…0704backed Smic | 57c | 96.49$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.57per pick | 57cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x22db…190fbacked BitBoy | 44c | 51$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.73 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -27.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7e70…9047backed BitBoy | 45c | 50$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.5 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.2wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +9.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfc21…113bbacked Smic | 61c | 32.79$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.61per pick | 61cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x31b2…d6a0backed BitBoy | 42c | 30.95$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.95 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +19%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2bc8…b144backed BitBoy | 50c | 30$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.50per pick | 50cpaid | +100%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf612…5700backed BitBoy | 39c | 28.4$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.32 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +1.2wins | +0.15per pick | 47cpaid | +22.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x651c…8669backed Smic | 60c | 25$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.60per pick | 60cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf581…e0c3backed BitBoy | 50c | 20$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.50per pick | 50cpaid | +100%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Boxing and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.