TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Tennis · resolved market

US Open: Fritz vs. Tiafoe

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Fritzof Fritz, Tiafoe
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$81,388
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$86,033

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $81,388 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 91 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Tennis
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x2a14…0762backed Fritz44c8,557$3,792 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,765.36683.3%5 W · 1 L+2.2wins+0.36per pick47cpaid+65.4%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xf1e0…0f73backed Tiafoe2c8,437$151 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$150.7810%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.02per pick2cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xee00…cea1backed Fritz60c5,221$3,133 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,088.1414345.5%65 W · 78 L+7.8wins+0.05per pick40cpaid+0.4%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x76e4…c5aebacked Tiafoe29c5,025$1,452 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,451.67520%1 W · 4 L-0.6wins-0.12per pick32cpaid-60.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x01e8…ce3bbacked Tiafoe74c3,399$2,509 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,509.08366.7%2 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.05per pick72cpaid-6.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0a12…01cebacked Tiafoe60c3,348$1,993 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,993.052245.5%10 W · 12 L-1.7wins-0.08per pick53cpaid-28.3%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xd31c…b93fbacked Tiafoe25c2,250$563 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$562.5520%1 W · 4 L-0.3wins-0.07per pick27cpaid-60%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd028…75f5backed Fritz74c2,191$1,614 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$576.553100%3 W · 0 L+0.7wins+0.23per pick77cpaid+29.5%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x1dbd…af92backed Fritz71c2,102$1,493 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$609.622045%9 W · 11 L-0.3wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-15.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3a69…a466backed Tiafoe58c2,090$1,222 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,222.2333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.9wins-0.29per pick62cpaid-57.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xc7ed…6c8bbacked Tiafoe27c2,003$541 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$540.823729.7%11 W · 26 L+0.3wins+0.01per pick29cpaid-35.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa9b4…64edbacked Tiafoe27c1,831$498 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$497.5510%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.27per pick27cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x63dd…c15fbacked Tiafoe67c1,493$1,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,00030%0 W · 3 L-1.4wins-0.48per pick48cpaid-100%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x3168…6734backed Fritz54c1,436$776 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$660.481241.7%5 W · 7 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick43cpaid-27.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6c6c…9047backed Fritz42c1,424$600 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$824.54850%4 W · 4 L+0.9wins+0.12per pick38cpaid-12.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xb438…b113backed Fritz63c1,334$845 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$489.24537.8%17 W · 28 L-3.4wins-0.08per pick45cpaid-34.4%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x1a20…101cbacked Tiafoe3c1,166$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$34.9820%0 W · 2 L-0.1wins-0.05per pick5cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xfd13…e6f1backed Tiafoe3c1,166$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$34.9830%0 W · 3 L-0.1wins-0.04per pick4cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x685e…bb41backed Fritz42c1,042$435 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$606.282128.6%6 W · 15 L+0.3wins+0.02per pick27cpaid-36.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc6fe…b77fbacked Tiafoe27c1,008$275 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$275.023542.9%15 W · 20 L+1.4wins+0.04per pick39cpaid-7.6%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xa2c5…70d9backed Tiafoe57c765.73$436 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$436.47540%2 W · 3 L-0.1wins-0.02per pick42cpaid-33.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xbf49…2debbacked Tiafoe20c677$135 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$135.410%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.20per pick20cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xcc50…4c82backed Tiafoe28c600$168 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16810%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.28per pick28cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf4e1…0b47backed Tiafoe41c571$231 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$231.43475%3 W · 1 L+0.6wins+0.16per pick59cpaid+17.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x42aa…3cf1backed Fritz73c506.85$370 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$136.85250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-31.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7a22…dd3bbacked Fritz73c479.45$350 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$129.452100%2 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.29per pick71cpaid+39.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x002e…ab83backed Fritz67c456.79$308 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$149.26785.7%6 W · 1 L+1.9wins+0.27per pick58cpaid+31.8%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x1642…5988backed Tiafoe44c420$183 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$183.411956.3%67 W · 52 L+4.1wins+0.03per pick53cpaid+5.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xfb51…742dbacked Fritz68c406.33$275 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$130.9515860.8%96 W · 62 L+4.8wins+0.03per pick58cpaid-2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x851b…13c4backed Tiafoe28c369.53$104 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10410%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.28per pick28cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe8b5…e05cbacked Tiafoe42c349.86$147 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$146.6140%0 W · 4 L-0.9wins-0.22per pick22cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xfcb6…1b65backed Tiafoe29c333.76$97 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$96.79650%3 W · 3 L+0.8wins+0.14per pick36cpaid+33.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xbb60…56f8backed Tiafoe74c323.08$239 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$239.08425%1 W · 3 L-0.5wins-0.12per pick37cpaid-10.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x480d…f219backed Tiafoe32c315.63$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10073147.9%350 W · 381 L-16.9wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-7.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2d46…cefbbacked Fritz75c310.34$234 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$76.34450%2 W · 2 L-0.4wins-0.10per pick60cpaid-35.6%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x1388…339abacked Tiafoe40c300$120 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12022737.4%85 W · 142 L+2.8wins+0.01per pick36cpaid-9.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf587…e3b2backed Tiafoe58c292.18$170 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17010%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.58per pick58cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xfe91…70ffbacked Fritz72c270$194 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$75.6742.9%3 W · 4 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-16.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5697…cddfbacked Fritz73c253.59$185 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$68.472100%2 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.26per pick74cpaid+34.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xaeb5…58e2backed Tiafoe29c236.53$69 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$68.5981938.9%319 W · 500 L-4.5wins-0.01per pick39cpaid-8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x22db…190fbacked Tiafoe31c230$70 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$70.4540%2 W · 3 L0.0wins0.00per pick40cpaid-42.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x645e…d120backed Tiafoe51c225$115 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$115450%2 W · 2 L+0.1wins+0.03per pick47cpaid-25.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9193…c86cbacked Fritz54c200$108 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$921145.5%5 W · 6 L+0.9wins+0.08per pick37cpaid-11.3%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x1bbb…a8fbbacked Fritz70c200$139 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$61757.1%4 W · 3 L+0.1wins+0.02per pick55cpaid+1.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x93d0…0c2ebacked Fritz73c200$146 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$54922.2%2 W · 7 L-1.7wins-0.19per pick41cpaid-69.6%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x2765…7ee4backed Tiafoe20c164.05$32 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$32.0718740.6%76 W · 111 L+13.2wins+0.07per pick34cpaid+2.7%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x204e…4236backed Tiafoe29c150$44 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$43.570%0 W · 7 L-0.6wins-0.09per pick9cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5d4c…ff37backed Fritz72c138.89$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$38.89580%4 W · 1 L+1.2wins+0.25per pick55cpaid+32.3%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xb33b…092fbacked Fritz37c131$48 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$82.53250%1 W · 1 L+0.3wins+0.14per pick36cpaid+35.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6116…f247backed Fritz37c122.98$46 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$77.48333.3%1 W · 2 L+0.4wins+0.13per pick21cpaid-9.9%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x9e00…14ecbacked Fritz71c114.3$81 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$33475%3 W · 1 L+0.5wins+0.13per pick62cpaid+1.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa3e2…fdf8backed Fritz49c100.46$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$50.853534.3%12 W · 23 L-2.5wins-0.07per pick41cpaid-37.6%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x09af…d337backed Fritz70c100$70 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$30666.7%4 W · 2 L+1.3wins+0.22per pick45cpaid+45.3%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x0fa2…0204backed Tiafoe28c100$28 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28728.6%2 W · 5 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick30cpaid+0.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4d3a…e7bdbacked Fritz51c100$51 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$49520%1 W · 4 L-0.3wins-0.06per pick26cpaid-60.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb895…ffe4backed Tiafoe58c100$58 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$58250%1 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.18per pick68cpaid-35.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xbca0…a3efbacked Fritz72c99.99$72 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$28366.7%2 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.08per pick75cpaid-9.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xbea9…02f9backed Fritz73c99.97$73 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$26.99475%3 W · 1 L0.0wins+0.01per pick74cpaid+1.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x40e3…0787backed Fritz72c88.61$64 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$24.81366.7%2 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.07per pick74cpaid-6.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x11aa…ad15backed Tiafoe29c86.21$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2520%0 W · 2 L-0.4wins-0.22per pick22cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe411…04c5backed Tiafoe50c75$38 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$37.756136.1%22 W · 39 L-2.4wins-0.04per pick40cpaid-7.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x37c1…e0c9backed Fritz50c75$38 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$37.5850%4 W · 4 L+1.0wins+0.13per pick37cpaid+17.3%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x1b88…7b00backed Fritz73c71$52 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19.17683.3%5 W · 1 L+1.2wins+0.20per pick63cpaid+38.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x25d0…a114backed Tiafoe28c64.3$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1820%0 W · 2 L-0.8wins-0.41per pick41cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x3cb5…14b1backed Tiafoe60c64.27$39 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$38.73616.7%1 W · 5 L-0.9wins-0.14per pick31cpaid-68.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x2686…7a67backed Fritz73c64.21$47 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17.34887.5%7 W · 1 L+1.7wins+0.21per pick66cpaid+39.8%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xc964…8411backed Tiafoe29c61.72$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.910%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.29per pick29cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x70fa…196dbacked Fritz34c60$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$39.8250%1 W · 1 L+0.5wins+0.26per pick24cpaid+48.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x74f1…16a8backed Tiafoe48c51.36$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.415639.3%22 W · 34 L+4.1wins+0.07per pick32cpaid+145.6%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x01f7…02dfbacked Tiafoe66c50$33 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$33425%1 W · 3 L-0.6wins-0.14per pick39cpaid-49.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x30fb…1711backed Tiafoe35c50$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.510%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.35per pick35cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3cdf…2f73backed Fritz74c50$37 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$131100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.26per pick74cpaid+35.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4132…a5a5backed Fritz45c49.69$22 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$27.45151%26 W · 25 L+2.4wins+0.05per pick46cpaid-2%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x315f…80b3backed Tiafoe28c46.43$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1320%0 W · 2 L-0.6wins-0.29per pick29cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0da5…5adfbacked Fritz72c41.67$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11.671580%12 W · 3 L+2.5wins+0.16per pick64cpaid+28.1%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x0232…9391backed Fritz72c38.27$28 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10.721050%5 W · 5 L0.0wins0.00per pick50cpaid-2.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x65d8…946cbacked Fritz73c34.25$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9.25757.1%4 W · 3 L+0.2wins+0.03per pick54cpaid+8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xfa58…030bbacked Tiafoe40c30$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12933.3%3 W · 6 L-0.3wins-0.04per pick37cpaid-20.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd5db…ee3dbacked Fritz73c27.4$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7.41100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.27per pick73cpaid+37%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xee2c…55cfbacked Fritz73c27.4$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7.42100%2 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.24per pick76cpaid+31%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xcd3b…c3e2backed Fritz69c27.38$19 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8.45850%4 W · 4 L+0.8wins+0.10per pick40cpaid-12.2%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x6b7e…4562backed Fritz71c22.71$16 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6.591136.4%4 W · 7 L-0.8wins-0.08per pick44cpaid-30.3%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x168a…130dbacked Fritz73c20.99$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5.672100%2 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.26per pick74cpaid+35.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xbcfd…c364backed Fritz73c20.55$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5.55771.4%5 W · 2 L+0.3wins+0.04per pick67cpaid-0.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2710…a28fbacked Tiafoe64c20$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.820%0 W · 2 L-1.4wins-0.70per pick70cpaid-100%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xbb2e…4d83backed Tiafoe52c20$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.42560%15 W · 10 L+0.4wins+0.01per pick59cpaid+3.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x86b8…6feebacked Fritz73c18.12$13 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4.891100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.27per pick73cpaid+37%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x64fb…01ddbacked Fritz73c17.81$13 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4.814100%4 W · 0 L+1.9wins+0.48per pick52cpaid+101.4%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0x67b5…9f1ebacked Tiafoe59c17$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.03580%4 W · 1 L+0.3wins+0.07per pick73cpaid+4.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x032e…2e17backed Fritz73c14.22$10 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3.84366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.2wins+0.08per pick59cpaid+12.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4f2e…8b5dbacked Fritz73c14$10 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3.78475%3 W · 1 L+0.2wins+0.06per pick69cpaid+21.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.