F1 · resolved market
Will Lando Norris win the 2025 Miami GP pole?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x0da09207521bd6b49f6e1f9cef3f2afafcdede2b09e7e8a6d7824873d2c4691a
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- F1every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $249,742
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $249,260
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $249,742 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 22 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in F1 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in F1 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x99ee…dd52backed No | 66c | 53,523$35,325 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18,197.82 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.34per pick | 66cpaid | +51.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x751e…3b9dbacked Yes | 34c | 53,523$18,198 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18,197.82 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.34per pick | 34cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x521e…5739backed Yes | 34c | 35,238$11,981 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11,980.92 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.34per pick | 34cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa791…8b9dbacked No | 66c | 35,238$23,257 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11,980.92 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.34per pick | 66cpaid | +51.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe841…d8a4backed No | 62c | 33,213$20,592 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12,620.94 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.50per pick | 51cpaid | +108.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x418e…481ebacked Yes | 38c | 33,213$12,621 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12,620.94 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.38per pick | 38cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7023…d5e1backed Yes | 1c | 2,414$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.76 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | +0.6wins | +0.06per pick | 24cpaid | +17.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6485…be05backed Yes | 33c | 499.98$165 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$164.99 | 62 | 25.8%16 W · 46 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 26cpaid | +4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe742…7559backed Yes | 37c | 328.55$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | +1.1wins | +0.12per pick | 32cpaid | +15.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdbb9…ed8dbacked No | 64c | 273.15$174 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$99.23 | 68 | 66.2%45 W · 23 L | +10.7wins | +0.16per pick | 50cpaid | +26.2%equal weight | 63+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x727b…d1a2backed Yes | 21c | 180$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.12 | 92 | 19.6%18 W · 74 L | -3.0wins | -0.03per pick | 23cpaid | -32.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x20e2…d67cbacked Yes | 50c | 139.19$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6332…6128backed No | 69c | 134.78$93 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.78 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -1.0wins | -0.13per pick | 50cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc774…b6e8backed Yes | 13c | 102.2$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13 | 59 | 22%13 W · 46 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 21cpaid | +16.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5c47…9b02backed Yes | 45c | 100$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | +0.2wins | +0.03per pick | 30cpaid | +9.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xeb99…8c33backed No | 66c | 79.46$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.97 | 21 | 52.4%11 W · 10 L | +0.5wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x57c3…3201backed Yes | 38c | 66.03$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 25 | 48%12 W · 13 L | -0.9wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcc97…85d0backed Yes | 36c | 55.56$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.36per pick | 36cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5fe5…8b99backed Yes | 31c | 49.87$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.46 | 29 | 44.8%13 W · 16 L | -0.5wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -13%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb7ad…d11dbacked Yes | 31c | 43.34$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.44 | 51 | 37.3%19 W · 32 L | +1.7wins | +0.03per pick | 34cpaid | +26.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1eb7…29a3backed Yes | 36c | 29.43$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.73 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.36per pick | 36cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x22db…190fbacked No | 62c | 19.99$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.6 | 35 | 37.1%13 W · 22 L | -2.2wins | -0.06per pick | 43cpaid | -32.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in F1 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 9 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Lando Norris win the 2025 Miami GP pole?this page
- Will Andrea Antonelli win the 2025 Miami GP pole?No won
- Will Charles Leclerc win the 2025 Miami GP pole?No won
- Will Gabriel Bortoleto win the 2025 Miami GP pole?No won
- Will George Russell win the 2025 Miami GP pole?No won
- Will Lewis Hamilton win the 2025 Miami GP pole?No won
- Will Max Verstappen win the 2025 Miami GP pole?Yes won
- Will Nico Hülkenberg win the 2025 Miami GP pole?No won
- Will Oscar Piastri win the 2025 Miami GP pole?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.