F1 · resolved market
Will Oscar Piastri win the 2025 Miami GP pole?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x3739b96314542d772d15c0d0958b36ed62ba2dea0dd0c4b5394b05d13f080acd
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- F1every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $6,013
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $2,857
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $6,013 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 14 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in F1 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in F1 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xdbb9…ed8dbacked No | 64c | 645.11$415 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$229.87 | 68 | 66.2%45 W · 23 L | +10.7wins | +0.16per pick | 50cpaid | +26.2%equal weight | 63+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x727b…d1a2backed Yes | 36c | 599.78$218 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$217.89 | 92 | 19.6%18 W · 74 L | -3.0wins | -0.03per pick | 23cpaid | -32.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6485…be05backed Yes | 33c | 400.45$132 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$132.15 | 62 | 25.8%16 W · 46 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 26cpaid | +4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4b7a…4817backed Yes | 33c | 120.6$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.8 | 68 | 45.6%31 W · 37 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5c2c…e459backed No | 67c | 110$74 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.3 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -48.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9810…f117backed Yes | 38c | 80$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.4 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -2.4wins | -0.48per pick | 48cpaid | -100%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xde12…a72abacked Yes | 34c | 50$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.34per pick | 34cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5e37…03d2backed Yes | 34c | 44.12$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 65 | 47.7%31 W · 34 L | +7.0wins | +0.11per pick | 37cpaid | +43.5%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x9c66…6b66backed No | 40c | 41.67$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25 | 28 | 3.6%1 W · 27 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 4cpaid | -91.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0ded…9025backed Yes | 60c | 41.67$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 18 | 33.3%6 W · 12 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 32cpaid | +41.3%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x76dc…17b4backed No | 59c | 34.93$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.35 | 126 | 46.8%59 W · 67 L | +10.3wins | +0.08per pick | 39cpaid | +35.9%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xd46c…f641backed No | 62c | 30$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.4 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | +1.3wins | +0.13per pick | 47cpaid | +32.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xae20…245abacked Yes | 37c | 29.99$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.1 | 8 | 0%0 W · 8 L | -2.2wins | -0.27per pick | 27cpaid | -100%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x3763…9d3abacked Yes | 39c | 29.56$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.53 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.39per pick | 39cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in F1 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 9 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Oscar Piastri win the 2025 Miami GP pole?this page
- Will Andrea Antonelli win the 2025 Miami GP pole?No won
- Will Charles Leclerc win the 2025 Miami GP pole?No won
- Will Gabriel Bortoleto win the 2025 Miami GP pole?No won
- Will George Russell win the 2025 Miami GP pole?No won
- Will Lando Norris win the 2025 Miami GP pole?No won
- Will Lewis Hamilton win the 2025 Miami GP pole?No won
- Will Max Verstappen win the 2025 Miami GP pole?Yes won
- Will Nico Hülkenberg win the 2025 Miami GP pole?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.