F1 · resolved market
Will Max Verstappen win the 2025 Miami GP pole?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x316906354a4f19da8a2c7771983328f7be0aa4de9f65f34aa4cac1faa93aa3ee
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- F1every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $12,532
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $18,064
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $12,532 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 19 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in F1 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in F1 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x6485…be05backed Yes | 17c | 600$99 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$501 | 62 | 25.8%16 W · 46 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 26cpaid | +4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xde53…e5bebacked No | 79c | 382.56$303 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$302.8 | 27 | 66.7%18 W · 9 L | +1.2wins | +0.04per pick | 62cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2707…0afabacked Yes | 26c | 250$66 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$184.16 | 125 | 23.2%29 W · 96 L | -5.4wins | -0.04per pick | 28cpaid | -30.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3c0a…99d0backed Yes | 16c | 222.5$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$187.5 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.84per pick | 16cpaid | +535.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x727b…d1a2backed Yes | 17c | 200$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$166.21 | 92 | 19.6%18 W · 74 L | -3.0wins | -0.03per pick | 23cpaid | -32.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x83f2…85babacked Yes | 17c | 147.06$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$122.06 | 21 | 28.6%6 W · 15 L | +0.7wins | +0.03per pick | 25cpaid | +24%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x477f…6c45backed Yes | 23c | 122.1$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$94.45 | 63 | 31.7%20 W · 43 L | +2.2wins | +0.03per pick | 28cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe1a8…1b38backed Yes | 42c | 119.4$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69.4 | 61 | 36.1%22 W · 39 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 36cpaid | -20.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc86b…c364backed Yes | 23c | 110.04$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$85.25 | 10 | 20%2 W · 8 L | -0.3wins | -0.03per pick | 23cpaid | -28.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf3bc…927abacked Yes | 48c | 107.36$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.36 | 15 | 46.7%7 W · 8 L | +1.3wins | +0.08per pick | 38cpaid | -20.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2847…5439backed Yes | 18c | 104.06$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$85.54 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -0.8wins | -0.08per pick | 42cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xce16…52eabacked Yes | 20c | 100$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$80 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.4wins | +0.70per pick | 30cpaid | +277%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2e60…b440backed Yes | 11c | 100$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$89 | 124 | 19.4%24 W · 100 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 19cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa50d…286fbacked Yes | 20c | 99$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$79 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.04per pick | 29cpaid | +23.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x88b0…b118backed Yes | 14c | 87.05$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$74.86 | 32 | 50%16 W · 16 L | +1.9wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | +30.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5c47…9b02backed Yes | 25c | 84$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | +0.2wins | +0.03per pick | 30cpaid | +9.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x76dc…17b4backed Yes | 23c | 60$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.38 | 126 | 46.8%59 W · 67 L | +10.3wins | +0.08per pick | 39cpaid | +35.9%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x9c66…6b66backed No | 65c | 50$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.5 | 28 | 3.6%1 W · 27 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 4cpaid | -91.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3a48…22e8backed No | 74c | 21$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.54 | 22 | 59.1%13 W · 9 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 59cpaid | -13.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in F1 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 9 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Max Verstappen win the 2025 Miami GP pole?this page
- Will Andrea Antonelli win the 2025 Miami GP pole?No won
- Will Charles Leclerc win the 2025 Miami GP pole?No won
- Will Gabriel Bortoleto win the 2025 Miami GP pole?No won
- Will George Russell win the 2025 Miami GP pole?No won
- Will Lando Norris win the 2025 Miami GP pole?No won
- Will Lewis Hamilton win the 2025 Miami GP pole?No won
- Will Nico Hülkenberg win the 2025 Miami GP pole?No won
- Will Oscar Piastri win the 2025 Miami GP pole?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.