CS2 · resolved market
ESL Counter-Strike Quarterfinals: G2 vs Liquid
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xba331cde8cbd490e69dfd0569e01a1cfced4199ccc904d0a67edc0b08a4ee0f2
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- G2of G2, Liquid
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $50,675
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $46,310
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $50,675 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 59 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in CS2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x2227…b572backed Liquid | 14c | 8,949$1,248 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,248.14 | 20 | 35%7 W · 13 L | +2.1wins | +0.10per pick | 25cpaid | 0%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xee00…cea1backed Liquid | 19c | 6,254$1,174 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,173.81 | 233 | 55.4%129 W · 104 L | +7.9wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4c03…0cc1backed Liquid | 10c | 4,017$411 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$410.82 | 23 | 30.4%7 W · 16 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 29cpaid | -42.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfd13…e6f1backed Liquid | 1c | 2,136$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.36 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.2wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0034…2f36backed G2 | 63c | 1,631$1,028 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$603.47 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.09per pick | 57cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8f69…7df1backed Liquid | 14c | 1,507$218 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$217.64 | 753 | 50.5%380 W · 373 L | +16.6wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x339a…1eaebacked G2 | 62c | 1,015$632 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$382.54 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.43per pick | 57cpaid | +78.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa8f7…039abacked Liquid | 36c | 999.93$360 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$359.98 | 7 | 0%0 W · 7 L | -1.8wins | -0.26per pick | 26cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xaeb5…58e2backed Liquid | 39c | 507.07$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 463 | 40.8%189 W · 274 L | -9.8wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc95a…5c65backed Liquid | 38c | 444.36$168 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$168.43 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.2wins | -0.40per pick | 40cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9733…f034backed Liquid | 14c | 434.88$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60.74 | 74 | 50%37 W · 37 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x013d…3e88backed Liquid | 13c | 414.99$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.95 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.08per pick | 8cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7a3b…ffcebacked Liquid | 8c | 383.59$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.53 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.14per pick | 14cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xecbe…42ffbacked G2 | 63c | 375.54$238 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$137.86 | 17 | 23.5%4 W · 13 L | -1.0wins | -0.06per pick | 29cpaid | -50%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb295…4ee4backed G2 | 70c | 365.9$255 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$110.84 | 19 | 57.9%11 W · 8 L | +1.3wins | +0.07per pick | 51cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x726f…e3cebacked Liquid | 38c | 353.99$135 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$134.52 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.38per pick | 38cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x04ad…f10cbacked G2 | 62c | 322$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$122.36 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.38per pick | 62cpaid | +61.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x025c…b4b4backed G2 | 62c | 307.5$190 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$117.42 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.38per pick | 62cpaid | +61.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb24c…c868backed G2 | 62c | 290.32$180 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$110.32 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.38per pick | 62cpaid | +61.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf0b0…8cabbacked Liquid | 12c | 289.07$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.27 | 295 | 47.8%141 W · 154 L | +10.7wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb8e4…2daebacked Liquid | 9c | 271.53$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.63 | 127 | 36.2%46 W · 81 L | +4.2wins | +0.03per pick | 33cpaid | -20.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4ee2…46e1backed Liquid | 24c | 261.58$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63.41 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.24per pick | 24cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc233…2c29backed Liquid | 38c | 259.63$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98.66 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.9wins | -0.44per pick | 44cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x151a…7176backed G2 | 64c | 259.38$166 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$93.38 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.36per pick | 64cpaid | +56.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6b55…02f8backed Liquid | 14c | 249.99$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.79 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | +1.2wins | +0.10per pick | 40cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb115…502bbacked Liquid | 38c | 246.58$93 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$92.55 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.38per pick | 38cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x95b3…0a31backed Liquid | 38c | 226.03$86 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$85.89 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.38per pick | 38cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xda7e…f487backed Liquid | 38c | 219.11$83 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$83.26 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.38per pick | 38cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x01a6…6440backed G2 | 62c | 200.16$124 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$76.06 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.38per pick | 62cpaid | +61.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x467c…6213backed Liquid | 38c | 195.7$74 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$74.37 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.38per pick | 38cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x22db…190fbacked Liquid | 30c | 165$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.31 | 20 | 30%6 W · 14 L | +0.6wins | +0.03per pick | 27cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4eca…9b3bbacked G2 | 64c | 155.47$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.97 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.41per pick | 59cpaid | +69%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5697…cddfbacked G2 | 71c | 141.52$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.52 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.29per pick | 71cpaid | +41.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0937…9a0fbacked Liquid | 39c | 141.03$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.39per pick | 39cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x33bc…37dcbacked G2 | 61c | 134.27$82 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.36 | 812 | 44.3%360 W · 452 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8b32…5950backed Liquid | 35c | 131.9$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.16 | 116 | 54.3%63 W · 53 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6761…a94fbacked G2 | 62c | 126.25$78 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.42 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.4wins | +0.06per pick | 52cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf135…6fa0backed G2 | 62c | 117.56$73 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.67 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.38per pick | 62cpaid | +61.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf0f0…26edbacked G2 | 77c | 107.08$82 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.71 | 21 | 85.7%18 W · 3 L | +3.5wins | +0.17per pick | 69cpaid | +23.3%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xa568…0569backed Liquid | 47c | 106.38$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.7wins | -0.19per pick | 44cpaid | -54.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xad9d…9b95backed Liquid | 29c | 100.57$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29 | 163 | 45.4%74 W · 89 L | -8.7wins | -0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xecb9…1a6fbacked G2 | 70c | 92.84$65 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.85 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.2wins | +0.40per pick | 60cpaid | +82.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9dfe…b3ddbacked G2 | 60c | 80$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32 | 10 | 80%8 W · 2 L | +2.9wins | +0.29per pick | 51cpaid | +51.6%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x1b27…ed84backed G2 | 62c | 79.1$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.06 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.38per pick | 62cpaid | +61.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd5be…8728backed G2 | 64c | 72.56$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.12 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.13per pick | 62cpaid | +23.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2429…06bbbacked G2 | 64c | 72.5$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.4 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | -1.1wins | -0.15per pick | 30cpaid | -77.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd25b…0b53backed Liquid | 40c | 50$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 16 | 43.8%7 W · 9 L | -0.5wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x558c…c433backed G2 | 65c | 49.09$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.18 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.35per pick | 65cpaid | +53.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x061e…8e2fbacked Liquid | 39c | 48.77$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.02 | 12 | 16.7%2 W · 10 L | -2.0wins | -0.16per pick | 33cpaid | -69.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0d36…4a5abacked G2 | 62c | 48.39$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.39 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.38per pick | 62cpaid | +61.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4ef3…3d1bbacked G2 | 62c | 45.27$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.27 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.8wins | +0.21per pick | 54cpaid | +24%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6fdd…0b07backed Liquid | 28c | 40$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.2 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.21per pick | 21cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xee2c…55cfbacked G2 | 64c | 34.36$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.37 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.36per pick | 64cpaid | +56.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa939…adf2backed G2 | 64c | 31.25$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.25 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.29per pick | 71cpaid | +41.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x595d…0a4cbacked G2 | 64c | 31.25$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.25 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.36per pick | 64cpaid | +56.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc2c4…c131backed G2 | 61c | 28.34$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.1 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.44per pick | 56cpaid | +78.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbb6f…328bbacked G2 | 65c | 23.08$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.08 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.07per pick | 57cpaid | -23.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf7c1…651bbacked G2 | 66c | 21.22$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.19 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.34per pick | 66cpaid | +51.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe7c8…9814backed G2 | 65c | 21.22$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.43 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.35per pick | 65cpaid | +53.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.