TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Tennis · resolved market

Will Nadal win a gold medal in Paris?

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Noof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$74,687
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$79,933

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $74,687 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 130 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Tennis
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x8e0b…9e5cbacked Yes8c8,061$645 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$644.8613934.5%48 W · 91 L+4.7wins+0.03per pick31cpaid+14.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xdcaf…9916backed No79c6,787$5,380 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,406.911100%1 W · 0 L+0.2wins+0.21per pick79cpaid+26.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9c82…1f13backed Yes17c4,076$679 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$678.7311343.4%49 W · 64 L-4.5wins-0.04per pick47cpaid-9.3%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xb33b…092fbacked Yes35c3,107$1,089 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,088.65250%1 W · 1 L+0.3wins+0.14per pick36cpaid+35.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6fbb…4a54backed Yes20c2,498$495 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$494.8620%0 W · 2 L-0.3wins-0.14per pick14cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x302f…d81fbacked Yes28c2,270$640 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$64010%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.28per pick28cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4c03…0cc1backed Yes18c1,944$359 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$358.614837.5%18 W · 30 L+1.6wins+0.03per pick34cpaid-31.8%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xf8cc…5a82backed Yes25c1,800$450 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4501464.3%9 W · 5 L+4.0wins+0.29per pick36cpaid+76.5%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0xbd93…990dbacked Yes25c1,611$400 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40010%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.25per pick25cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x93d0…0c2ebacked Yes20c1,569$314 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$313.8922.2%2 W · 7 L-1.7wins-0.19per pick41cpaid-69.6%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x2f91…907fbacked No61c1,537$938 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$599.51861.1%11 W · 7 L+3.2wins+0.18per pick43cpaid+39.3%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xe077…8ee3backed Yes17c1,442$241 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$240.991612.5%2 W · 14 L+0.7wins+0.04per pick8cpaid-20.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6b48…51d0backed No79c1,342$1,061 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$281.111100%1 W · 0 L+0.2wins+0.21per pick79cpaid+26.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xbaf2…b7bcbacked No76c1,333$1,009 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$323.861100%1 W · 0 L+0.2wins+0.24per pick76cpaid+32.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x824b…8939backed Yes15c1,300$195 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19510%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.15per pick15cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe8b9…acecbacked No80c1,200$960 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$240250%1 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.06per pick56cpaid-37.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7012…14a4backed Yes35c1,169$409 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$409.1530%0 W · 3 L-1.1wins-0.36per pick36cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x2efc…5686backed Yes18c1,098$203 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$202.5620%0 W · 2 L-0.6wins-0.28per pick28cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9733…f034backed No75c1,041$785 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$256.344944.9%22 W · 27 L-2.5wins-0.05per pick50cpaid-20%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xda08…72d4backed Yes20c1,040$204 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$203.9540%0 W · 4 L-1.0wins-0.24per pick24cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x3502…16dcbacked No76c1,000$760 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$240250%1 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.20per pick70cpaid-34.2%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x26e5…7c2fbacked Yes22c913.42$201 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$200.95333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.1wins-0.02per pick36cpaid-29.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x91ea…be3ebacked Yes10c774.61$76 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$75.6410%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.10per pick10cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe411…04c5backed Yes24c764.67$185 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$184.666136.1%22 W · 39 L-2.4wins-0.04per pick40cpaid-7.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x893e…a75bbacked Yes10c700$72 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$72425%1 W · 3 L0.0wins0.00per pick25cpaid-47.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb9e5…f82ebacked No73c689.99$503 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$187.31100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.27per pick73cpaid+37.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x65df…052dbacked Yes11c660$70 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$70.32944.4%4 W · 5 L+0.4wins+0.05per pick40cpaid+20%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc357…3684backed Yes4c573.42$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23.957546.7%35 W · 40 L+1.0wins+0.01per pick45cpaid-10.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0d92…3852backed No71c536.88$384 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$153.18425%1 W · 3 L-0.9wins-0.22per pick47cpaid-65%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x89b5…ab4cbacked Yes19c512.99$98 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$97.9210%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.19per pick19cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xdd8e…f023backed Yes11c500$55 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5557249.5%283 W · 289 L-32.8wins-0.06per pick55cpaid-13.9%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xa1cc…e226backed Yes31c479.8$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15060%0 W · 6 L-1.7wins-0.28per pick28cpaid-100%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x97b2…1c44backed Yes21c469.99$99 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$98.73548.6%17 W · 18 L-0.1wins0.00per pick49cpaid-8.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa7cc…4952backed Yes13c458.76$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$60.261936.8%7 W · 12 L-2.3wins-0.12per pick49cpaid-31.8%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x357c…2531backed Yes21c402.45$84 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$83.9910%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.21per pick21cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x45cc…6400backed No65c400$260 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1402437.5%9 W · 15 L-2.1wins-0.09per pick46cpaid-47.2%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x1389…357fbacked No79c373.65$295 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$78.471100%1 W · 0 L+0.2wins+0.21per pick79cpaid+26.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1cc1…b8dfbacked Yes21c338.2$70 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$70.0210%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.21per pick21cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xef20…b10abacked Yes28c332.22$92 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$91.5820%0 W · 2 L-0.7wins-0.33per pick33cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xde32…7b53backed No77c329.89$254 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$76.06540%2 W · 3 L+0.5wins+0.10per pick30cpaid+14.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x311e…62a8backed No78c319.6$250 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$69.63100%3 W · 0 L+1.3wins+0.45per pick55cpaid+138.6%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xa346…baefbacked Yes23c308.31$72 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$71.9910%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.23per pick23cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe58a…aed9backed No80c307.27$246 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$61.45333.3%1 W · 2 L-1.0wins-0.34per pick67cpaid-58.3%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x80a4…22ccbacked Yes16c295.11$49 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$48.672142.9%9 W · 12 L+1.0wins+0.05per pick38cpaid+36.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3399…e5fbbacked No78c260.49$202 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$58.24771.4%5 W · 2 L+2.4wins+0.34per pick37cpaid+127.4%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xa9ee…2c30backed Yes23c259.84$59 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$59.0610%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.23per pick23cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x95e5…e2d4backed No79c252.85$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$52.851100%1 W · 0 L+0.2wins+0.21per pick79cpaid+26.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xef94…502ebacked Yes13c249.57$31 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$31.3333.3%1 W · 2 L+0.2wins+0.07per pick26cpaid-46.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x22db…190fbacked Yes18c240$44 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$44540%2 W · 3 L0.0wins0.00per pick40cpaid-42.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x54fb…d592backed Yes21c233.54$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5010%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.21per pick21cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x611e…e3cebacked Yes43c232.56$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10020%0 W · 2 L-0.4wins-0.22per pick22cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x336b…1233backed No67c230.08$154 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$75.8857939.7%230 W · 349 L-0.5wins0.00per pick40cpaid-5.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3b21…bf50backed No80c227.05$182 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$45.411100%1 W · 0 L+0.2wins+0.20per pick80cpaid+25%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6b7e…4562backed Yes15c223.78$34 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$33.991136.4%4 W · 7 L-0.8wins-0.08per pick44cpaid-30.3%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xfd95…6a7fbacked No76c222$169 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$53.3250%1 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.13per pick63cpaid-34.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4fe9…7041backed Yes24c209.82$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5010%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.24per pick24cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe32e…8c24backed Yes35c205.25$72 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7210%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.35per pick35cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x07fc…dfbdbacked Yes18c200$36 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3610%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.18per pick18cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xcd71…d127backed Yes14c194.64$28 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28.1630%0 W · 3 L-1.5wins-0.48per pick48cpaid-100%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x6788…79d6backed No76c180.81$138 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$42.811100%1 W · 0 L+0.2wins+0.24per pick76cpaid+31%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9c63…ab50backed No76c180.55$137 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$43.33560%3 W · 2 L+0.4wins+0.08per pick52cpaid-18.6%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x0232…9391backed Yes24c180$42 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$42.41050%5 W · 5 L0.0wins0.00per pick50cpaid-2.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2539…71a2backed Yes13c178.7$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.0210%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.13per pick13cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x581d…bdabbacked No77c170$131 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$39.11100%1 W · 0 L+0.2wins+0.23per pick77cpaid+29.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x182b…f022backed Yes19c168.18$31 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$31.32030%6 W · 14 L-0.4wins-0.02per pick32cpaid-23.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc2d3…b132backed No79c157.5$125 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$32.51100%1 W · 0 L+0.2wins+0.21per pick79cpaid+26%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa779…5772backed Yes21c150$32 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3210%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.21per pick21cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9dce…6d56backed Yes14c150$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2110%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.14per pick14cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x09c0…ee77backed Yes10c150$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15366.7%2 W · 1 L+1.3wins+0.43per pick24cpaid+120.8%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x3b22…9ec7backed No63c149.96$94 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$55.48250%1 W · 1 L+0.3wins+0.15per pick35cpaid-20.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4842…7c89backed Yes27c140.95$38 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$38.06250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins+0.02per pick48cpaid-27.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xbc3e…ee8fbacked No76c140$107 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$335100%5 W · 0 L+1.9wins+0.38per pick62cpaid+99.8%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x104c…cf33backed Yes36c138.89$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5010%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.36per pick36cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x8621…b0c5backed Yes11c135.43$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.410%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.11per pick11cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xde77…65d2backed No79c126.58$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$26.581915.8%3 W · 16 L-1.9wins-0.10per pick26cpaid-60.7%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x5554…498dbacked No79c126.06$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$26.06580%4 W · 1 L+1.8wins+0.36per pick44cpaid+86.6%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xe01d…e79fbacked No79c125.03$99 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$26.261100%1 W · 0 L+0.2wins+0.21per pick79cpaid+26.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd2e5…925fbacked Yes44c114.81$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5010%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.44per pick44cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1bbb…a8fbbacked Yes32c110$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$35.2757.1%4 W · 3 L+0.1wins+0.02per pick55cpaid+1.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x05db…5676backed No79c107.59$85 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22.591100%1 W · 0 L+0.2wins+0.21per pick79cpaid+26.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x06b7…ae50backed Yes14c106.57$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1510%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.14per pick14cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe0e3…abb8backed Yes13c100$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13250%1 W · 1 L+0.6wins+0.29per pick21cpaid+72.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa11b…63d5backed No80c100$80 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$201100%1 W · 0 L+0.2wins+0.20per pick80cpaid+25%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x57cd…ea68backed Yes11c100$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1110%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.11per pick11cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe50a…7c29backed Yes13c100$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13520%1 W · 4 L+0.1wins+0.02per pick18cpaid-41.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8959…6f77backed No80c100$80 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$201100%1 W · 0 L+0.2wins+0.20per pick80cpaid+25%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9cb0…eea0backed No64c99.98$63 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$36.491100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.36per pick64cpaid+57.5%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x2ab3…d47cbacked No73c99.96$73 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$26.9911143.2%48 W · 63 L+7.4wins+0.07per pick37cpaid+21.7%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x6d3a…1ab8backed No63c99.95$63 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$36.982100%2 W · 0 L+0.9wins+0.44per pick56cpaid+81.4%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x86e4…5d8abacked Yes16c96.16$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.7310%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.16per pick16cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6863…f17bbacked Yes32c93.75$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30250%1 W · 1 L+0.3wins+0.14per pick36cpaid+25%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc162…a7fbbacked Yes12c90$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.810%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.12per pick12cpaid-100%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x73b4…09a3backed No80c87.5$70 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17.51100%1 W · 0 L+0.2wins+0.20per pick80cpaid+25%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3258…9e52backed Yes30c84$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25.171233.3%4 W · 8 L-0.4wins-0.03per pick36cpaid-45.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xff0d…3d76backed Yes21c80$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.810%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.21per pick21cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3b23…cc14backed Yes27c73.81$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2010%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.27per pick27cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xbdfb…e569backed No68c73.53$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$23.531275%9 W · 3 L+1.4wins+0.12per pick63cpaid+4.6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x670b…cb5bbacked Yes27c70.96$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.1620%0 W · 2 L-1.0wins-0.51per pick51cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xf5b1…a12ebacked Yes29c70$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.310%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.29per pick29cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf6d6…d67abacked No74c65.89$49 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17.291100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.26per pick74cpaid+35.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.