Ncaa Basketball · resolved market
Vanderbilt Commodores vs. Memphis Tigers
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x46732ef7118840554f0affa9a2893f918d7600637d5c5da34da84b30da236f02
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Vanderbilt Commodoresof Vanderbilt Commodores, Memphis Tigers
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Ncaa Basketballevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $51,146
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $52,963
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $51,146 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 75 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ncaa Basketball is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x067f…e041backed Memphis Tigers | 19c | 5,000$950 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$950 | 301 | 39.2%118 W · 183 L | -1.7wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Memphis Tigers | 17c | 4,992$829 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$828.6 | 12,422 | 49.8%6,191 W · 6,231 L | +118.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb13d…2e90backed Memphis Tigers | 29c | 4,220$1,203 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,202.98 | 556 | 57.4%319 W · 237 L | +20.3wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xee14…8055backed Vanderbilt Commodores | 79c | 2,009$1,596 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$412.51 | 77 | 58.4%45 W · 32 L | +2.5wins | +0.03per pick | 55cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Memphis Tigers | 42c | 1,429$595 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$595.12 | 3,905 | 58.8%2,298 W · 1,607 L | +165.3wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd1ed…d7cbbacked Memphis Tigers | 16c | 1,306$203 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$202.83 | 1,540 | 41.3%636 W · 904 L | +4.7wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -16.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Vanderbilt Commodores | 75c | 1,306$981 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$324.13 | 5,553 | 47.4%2,634 W · 2,919 L | +26.3wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6239…c24fbacked Memphis Tigers | 21c | 1,029$216 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$216.07 | 163 | 41.7%68 W · 95 L | -1.3wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5aa0…fbbdbacked Memphis Tigers | 2c | 1,000$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 9 | 0%0 W · 9 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Vanderbilt Commodores | 69c | 984.33$679 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$305.3 | 2,555 | 41.6%1,062 W · 1,493 L | -15.9wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -20.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xea81…eeaebacked Memphis Tigers | 23c | 800$184 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$184 | 1,227 | 27.8%341 W · 886 L | -0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 28cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x93bc…8ca3backed Memphis Tigers | 18c | 783.94$144 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$144.11 | 96 | 41.7%40 W · 56 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -11.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x781c…db68backed Memphis Tigers | 14c | 564.88$82 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$81.84 | 1,420 | 43.9%623 W · 797 L | +8.4wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf41a…ea2bbacked Memphis Tigers | 18c | 511.92$91 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90.68 | 2,687 | 48.5%1,303 W · 1,384 L | +4.8wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x12fe…38cfbacked Memphis Tigers | 20c | 500$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 1,260 | 43.3%545 W · 715 L | +34.8wins | +0.03per pick | 40cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5aa9…febebacked Memphis Tigers | 26c | 495.62$130 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$130.14 | 318 | 37.7%120 W · 198 L | -10.1wins | -0.03per pick | 41cpaid | -26.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc3bf…31b9backed Memphis Tigers | 19c | 483$92 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$91.77 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -24.7%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1758…5d73backed Memphis Tigers | 49c | 405.53$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 23 | 34.8%8 W · 15 L | -1.0wins | -0.04per pick | 39cpaid | -29.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1d94…9100backed Memphis Tigers | 25c | 354.24$88 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$88.16 | 2,048 | 32.7%670 W · 1,378 L | -16.2wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9f78…d7c1backed Memphis Tigers | 19c | 311.69$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 20 | 30%6 W · 14 L | -1.0wins | -0.05per pick | 35cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd6…ab3dbacked Memphis Tigers | 19c | 299.98$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58 | 1,487 | 43%639 W · 848 L | +50.8wins | +0.03per pick | 40cpaid | +11.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6bf2…24d7backed Memphis Tigers | 33c | 297.73$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98.15 | 34 | 29.4%10 W · 24 L | -2.1wins | -0.06per pick | 36cpaid | -27.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x29c0…efaabacked Vanderbilt Commodores | 76c | 284$217 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66.92 | 1,391 | 44.1%613 W · 778 L | -10.6wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfd08…0635backed Vanderbilt Commodores | 65c | 277$179 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$97.64 | 78 | 64.1%50 W · 28 L | +3.3wins | +0.04per pick | 60cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Memphis Tigers | 22c | 256.73$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.87 | 4,848 | 52.2%2,532 W · 2,316 L | +139.2wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2a5f…3670backed Memphis Tigers | 41c | 253.92$103 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$103.43 | 13 | 7.7%1 W · 12 L | -1.1wins | -0.09per pick | 16cpaid | -75.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa965…3565backed Vanderbilt Commodores | 72c | 250$180 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70 | 497 | 46.5%231 W · 266 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3cf3…50d9backed Memphis Tigers | 20c | 241.6$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48 | 40 | 42.5%17 W · 23 L | +2.9wins | +0.07per pick | 35cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf18b…05eabacked Vanderbilt Commodores | 73c | 233.2$170 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.21 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 35cpaid | -55.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Memphis Tigers | 21c | 210$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44 | 1,531 | 50.1%767 W · 764 L | +34.6wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x811f…8200backed Memphis Tigers | 38c | 209.55$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -0.6wins | -0.13per pick | 33cpaid | -63%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3ae9…74acbacked Memphis Tigers | 24c | 197.35$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.26 | 159 | 39%62 W · 97 L | -3.1wins | -0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3a09…f9f7backed Memphis Tigers | 21c | 153.29$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.83 | 490 | 43.1%211 W · 279 L | -3.9wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf37c…3c74backed Memphis Tigers | 35c | 142.86$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 218 | 30.7%67 W · 151 L | -10.6wins | -0.05per pick | 36cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x58c8…0300backed Memphis Tigers | 22c | 139.7$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.98 | 456 | 44.5%203 W · 253 L | -16.8wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -19.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0f8e…3082backed Memphis Tigers | 14c | 130.35$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.09 | 3,684 | 42.8%1,576 W · 2,108 L | +32.6wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1b44…d8debacked Memphis Tigers | 41c | 125$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.65 | 191 | 53.9%103 W · 88 L | +10.6wins | +0.06per pick | 48cpaid | +10%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4a1e…86d3backed Memphis Tigers | 23c | 124.51$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.64 | 55 | 43.6%24 W · 31 L | -1.8wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x23fe…9788backed Vanderbilt Commodores | 74c | 120.34$90 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.73 | 100 | 37%37 W · 63 L | -8.6wins | -0.09per pick | 46cpaid | -30.6%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xc71f…bd62backed Memphis Tigers | 23c | 112$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.83 | 132 | 27.3%36 W · 96 L | -2.8wins | -0.02per pick | 29cpaid | -23.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfd14…5ab9backed Memphis Tigers | 19c | 112$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.28 | 72 | 45.8%33 W · 39 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb4f9…5526backed Memphis Tigers | 20c | 109$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.8 | 73 | 46.6%34 W · 39 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x87a4…953ebacked Memphis Tigers | 15c | 100$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 40 | 47.5%19 W · 21 L | -2.4wins | -0.06per pick | 53cpaid | -21.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe14b…1ad3backed Memphis Tigers | 34c | 100$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34 | 7 | 85.7%6 W · 1 L | +2.0wins | +0.28per pick | 58cpaid | +40%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe30e…4eedbacked Memphis Tigers | 10c | 100$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 85 | 18.8%16 W · 69 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 19cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc54f…dce8backed Memphis Tigers | 12c | 100$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 643 | 22.9%147 W · 496 L | -17.1wins | -0.03per pick | 26cpaid | -27.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3f08…ed44backed Memphis Tigers | 39c | 99$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.26 | 464 | 46.8%217 W · 247 L | +6.4wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc5b5…7e80backed Memphis Tigers | 18c | 98.65$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.05 | 2,003 | 53.7%1,076 W · 927 L | +101.7wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x38e9…e56bbacked Vanderbilt Commodores | 78c | 89$69 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.58 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.22per pick | 78cpaid | +28.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Memphis Tigers | 21c | 85.02$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.76 | 1,910 | 49.6%947 W · 963 L | +30.4wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Vanderbilt Commodores | 49c | 79.05$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.32 | 5,946 | 49.3%2,932 W · 3,014 L | +163.0wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1ada…43b0backed Vanderbilt Commodores | 72c | 75$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.75 | 55 | 70.9%39 W · 16 L | +7.4wins | +0.13per pick | 57cpaid | +23.8%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x65ea…223fbacked Memphis Tigers | 19c | 75$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.25 | 82 | 52.4%43 W · 39 L | +4.8wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +14.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa00f…8e56backed Vanderbilt Commodores | 76c | 70.94$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.03 | 735 | 49.1%361 W · 374 L | -14.6wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3fa2…6f8cbacked Memphis Tigers | 19c | 67$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.73 | 63 | 47.6%30 W · 33 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x156f…6887backed Vanderbilt Commodores | 79c | 63.29$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.29 | 31 | 58.1%18 W · 13 L | -2.3wins | -0.08per pick | 66cpaid | -16.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2d4c…2e02backed Vanderbilt Commodores | 80c | 62.5$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.5 | 18 | 61.1%11 W · 7 L | -0.7wins | -0.04per pick | 65cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7944…4f13backed Vanderbilt Commodores | 64c | 62.5$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.5 | 15 | 53.3%8 W · 7 L | +0.5wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x945a…a48cbacked Memphis Tigers | 25c | 57.31$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.18 | 94 | 12.8%12 W · 82 L | -3.5wins | -0.04per pick | 17cpaid | -44.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe18c…37c1backed Vanderbilt Commodores | 72c | 55.8$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.8 | 15 | 20%3 W · 12 L | -2.6wins | -0.17per pick | 37cpaid | -67%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x34fa…f491backed Memphis Tigers | 21c | 50$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.5 | 1,070 | 46.9%502 W · 568 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x83e8…d95dbacked Memphis Tigers | 23c | 47.4$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.9 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -2.0wins | -0.33per pick | 50cpaid | -74%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x61b9…f46abacked Vanderbilt Commodores | 77c | 47.4$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.9 | 22 | 68.2%15 W · 7 L | +2.3wins | +0.10per pick | 58cpaid | +28.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4f47…d903backed Memphis Tigers | 23c | 46.99$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.81 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.15per pick | 35cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x11c1…7fe5backed Memphis Tigers | 35c | 44.44$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.42 | 39 | 53.8%21 W · 18 L | +1.0wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc42a…bf40backed Memphis Tigers | 24c | 42$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.08 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.24per pick | 24cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf102…1348backed Memphis Tigers | 24c | 42$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.08 | 658 | 25.7%169 W · 489 L | -4.7wins | -0.01per pick | 26cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x426a…128bbacked Vanderbilt Commodores | 79c | 36.74$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.86 | 26 | 46.2%12 W · 14 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -15.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc34b…2f86backed Vanderbilt Commodores | 80c | 34$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.8 | 34 | 55.9%19 W · 15 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbc16…8505backed Vanderbilt Commodores | 78c | 32.67$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.19 | 18 | 55.6%10 W · 8 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8639…fb86backed Vanderbilt Commodores | 79c | 30$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.3 | 177 | 40.7%72 W · 105 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe897…fc6bbacked Vanderbilt Commodores | 79c | 25.32$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.32 | 13 | 61.5%8 W · 5 L | +1.3wins | +0.10per pick | 51cpaid | +20.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1c8c…237dbacked Vanderbilt Commodores | 62c | 20$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.6 | 175 | 46.3%81 W · 94 L | -2.8wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x12af…0730backed Vanderbilt Commodores | 80c | 18$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.6 | 21 | 52.4%11 W · 10 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2bb7…8745backed Vanderbilt Commodores | 80c | 16$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.2 | 26 | 30.8%8 W · 18 L | -6.2wins | -0.24per pick | 55cpaid | -52.5%equal weight | 37-0.12 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.