Ncaa Basketball · resolved market
Milwaukee Panthers vs. Green Bay Phoenix
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x65f1f659716afd91cf12c805f33c72096b4ee31d3161fd225d79aadd1c0cc42a
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Green Bay Phoenixof Milwaukee Panthers, Green Bay Phoenix
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Ncaa Basketballevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $26,353
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $28,435
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $26,353 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 48 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ncaa Basketball is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Milwaukee Panthers | 24c | 4,387$1,072 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,071.75 | 5,946 | 49.3%2,932 W · 3,014 L | +163.0wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Green Bay Phoenix | 60c | 2,012$1,214 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$798.03 | 3,905 | 58.8%2,298 W · 1,607 L | +165.3wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Green Bay Phoenix | 41c | 1,725$704 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,020.77 | 12,422 | 49.8%6,191 W · 6,231 L | +118.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x36c8…53a9backed Milwaukee Panthers | 46c | 1,578$732 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$731.6 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | -0.4wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -18.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9030…4a23backed Green Bay Phoenix | 73c | 1,369$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$369.38 | 45 | 48.9%22 W · 23 L | -2.3wins | -0.05per pick | 54cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x29c0…efaabacked Green Bay Phoenix | 46c | 1,200$556 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$643.41 | 1,391 | 44.1%613 W · 778 L | -10.6wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Milwaukee Panthers | 51c | 1,038$530 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$529.9 | 5,553 | 47.4%2,634 W · 2,919 L | +26.3wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Milwaukee Panthers | 56c | 935.86$524 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$524.24 | 4,848 | 52.2%2,532 W · 2,316 L | +139.2wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3da4…28d7backed Milwaukee Panthers | 42c | 656$273 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$273.33 | 158 | 61.4%97 W · 61 L | +7.7wins | +0.05per pick | 57cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x20ae…f107backed Green Bay Phoenix | 20c | 521.57$106 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$415.5 | 423 | 27.2%115 W · 308 L | -10.9wins | -0.03per pick | 30cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x24d8…e8a8backed Milwaukee Panthers | 51c | 500$255 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$255 | 123 | 54.5%67 W · 56 L | +3.4wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa00f…8e56backed Milwaukee Panthers | 37c | 479.42$177 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$177.4 | 735 | 49.1%361 W · 374 L | -14.6wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3a09…f9f7backed Milwaukee Panthers | 22c | 405.1$91 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90.57 | 490 | 43.1%211 W · 279 L | -3.9wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe60a…6a47backed Milwaukee Panthers | 55c | 362.28$199 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$198.97 | 2,579 | 47.3%1,221 W · 1,358 L | -42.7wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0f8e…3082backed Milwaukee Panthers | 17c | 345.62$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.75 | 3,684 | 42.8%1,576 W · 2,108 L | +32.6wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6d01…0ab1backed Green Bay Phoenix | 42c | 300$126 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$174 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | +0.5wins | +0.07per pick | 36cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9cf7…e5a5backed Green Bay Phoenix | 58c | 258.62$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$108.62 | 126 | 42.1%53 W · 73 L | +1.5wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | +2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xee20…5b37backed Milwaukee Panthers | 37c | 203.7$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75.37 | 190 | 50.5%96 W · 94 L | +15.7wins | +0.08per pick | 42cpaid | +19.2%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x9dd9…08bdbacked Milwaukee Panthers | 14c | 187.27$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.34 | 1,951 | 45.1%880 W · 1,071 L | -19.9wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x84f7…ade1backed Milwaukee Panthers | 11c | 187$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.25 | 1,074 | 47%505 W · 569 L | +1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe53f…62d7backed Milwaukee Panthers | 38c | 179.58$69 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69 | 114 | 39.5%45 W · 69 L | -1.3wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -19.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa4bd…e8a2backed Green Bay Phoenix | 58c | 150.17$88 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62.34 | 1,985 | 64.1%1,273 W · 712 L | +144.2wins | +0.07per pick | 57cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xe88b…fa5abacked Milwaukee Panthers | 36c | 120$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.9 | 346 | 49.1%170 W · 176 L | +9.0wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc5b5…7e80backed Milwaukee Panthers | 39c | 116.71$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.24 | 2,003 | 53.7%1,076 W · 927 L | +101.7wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3a56…387cbacked Green Bay Phoenix | 79c | 105$83 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.6 | 323 | 43%139 W · 184 L | -18.5wins | -0.06per pick | 49cpaid | -23%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x13fa…3facbacked Green Bay Phoenix | 38c | 103.23$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$64 | 200 | 26%52 W · 148 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 26cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf33f…085cbacked Green Bay Phoenix | 40c | 100$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60 | 181 | 29.3%53 W · 128 L | -3.1wins | -0.02per pick | 31cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x12fe…38cfbacked Green Bay Phoenix | 40c | 100$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60 | 1,260 | 43.3%545 W · 715 L | +34.8wins | +0.03per pick | 40cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Green Bay Phoenix | 68c | 91.27$62 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.21 | 2,555 | 41.6%1,062 W · 1,493 L | -15.9wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -20.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfefb…4b5dbacked Milwaukee Panthers | 64c | 91.17$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58 | 1,887 | 45.2%853 W · 1,034 L | +6.5wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -15.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1d94…9100backed Milwaukee Panthers | 55c | 85.07$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.46 | 2,048 | 32.7%670 W · 1,378 L | -16.2wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb4f9…5526backed Milwaukee Panthers | 52c | 81$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.12 | 73 | 46.6%34 W · 39 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7602…2775backed Milwaukee Panthers | 53c | 79.98$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.39 | 112 | 50%56 W · 56 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3880…ab7dbacked Milwaukee Panthers | 33c | 74.71$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 235 | 44.7%105 W · 130 L | +1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf588…2b81backed Green Bay Phoenix | 55c | 74.35$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.54 | 2,124 | 50.4%1,070 W · 1,054 L | +40.6wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9de1…f272backed Green Bay Phoenix | 49c | 61.26$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.26 | 70 | 40%28 W · 42 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -20.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfee4…d386backed Milwaukee Panthers | 51c | 54.86$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.98 | 148 | 46.6%69 W · 79 L | -4.5wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf10b…2041backed Milwaukee Panthers | 57c | 52.63$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 74 | 52.7%39 W · 35 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +3%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8a23…97a7backed Green Bay Phoenix | 40c | 43.13$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.88 | 215 | 35.3%76 W · 139 L | -3.8wins | -0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd5ad…5a42backed Green Bay Phoenix | 50c | 40$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20 | 32 | 43.8%14 W · 18 L | -1.4wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x72ea…d4f2backed Green Bay Phoenix | 50c | 40$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20 | 217 | 46.1%100 W · 117 L | -6.6wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf06a…cfdabacked Green Bay Phoenix | 48c | 34$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.68 | 31 | 61.3%19 W · 12 L | +2.3wins | +0.07per pick | 54cpaid | +20.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9731…9b35backed Milwaukee Panthers | 53c | 31.72$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.74 | 1,633 | 47.3%773 W · 860 L | +25.5wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc9d9…6febbacked Green Bay Phoenix | 48c | 28$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.56 | 34 | 67.6%23 W · 11 L | +4.1wins | +0.12per pick | 55cpaid | +27.6%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Milwaukee Panthers | 44c | 26$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.44 | 1,531 | 50.1%767 W · 764 L | +34.6wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe897…fc6bbacked Green Bay Phoenix | 55c | 25.45$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.45 | 13 | 61.5%8 W · 5 L | +1.3wins | +0.10per pick | 51cpaid | +20.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb694…023ebacked Green Bay Phoenix | 65c | 20$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7 | 17 | 58.8%10 W · 7 L | -1.6wins | -0.10per pick | 69cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3703…b879backed Green Bay Phoenix | 76c | 13.33$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.2 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.25per pick | 75cpaid | -34.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Milwaukee Panthers vs. Green Bay Phoenixthis page
- Milwaukee Panthers vs. Green Bay Phoenix: O/U 144.5Over won
- Spread: Milwaukee Panthers (-1.5)Green Bay Phoenix won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.