CS2 · resolved market
Games Total: O/U 2.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x466467f3bfe67b861336a7ec8443a27ab3e487cda7a8fcdb5979c901793b2f5d
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $11,933
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $12,036
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $11,933 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 53 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in CS2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x4337…8882backed Under | 51c | 2,082$1,062 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,020.04 | 882 | 42.3%373 W · 509 L | -13.0wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdbca…ca8dbacked Over | 49c | 2,060$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 51 | 35.3%18 W · 33 L | -6.1wins | -0.12per pick | 47cpaid | -22.9%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x4bb6…50fcbacked Under | 52c | 836.15$438 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$397.99 | 140 | 44.3%62 W · 78 L | -4.7wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1b39…3234backed Over | 49c | 600$294 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$294 | 313 | 45%141 W · 172 L | -9.4wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x09b2…a017backed Under | 52c | 500$260 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$240 | 27 | 44.4%12 W · 15 L | -0.9wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -15.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb7ab…16d0backed Under | 76c | 462.21$352 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$110.63 | 1,365 | 66.3%905 W · 460 L | +76.1wins | +0.06per pick | 61cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x39e9…e2dfbacked Over | 51c | 399.99$204 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$204 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | -0.6wins | -0.05per pick | 47cpaid | -23.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa76e…dcb6backed Under | 52c | 331.42$172 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$159.08 | 1,310 | 53.7%703 W · 607 L | +32.0wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaf1a…ba1ebacked Over | 11c | 278.73$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.66 | 45 | 44.4%20 W · 25 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2ca6…6a20backed Over | 47c | 276.6$130 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$130 | 474 | 47.5%225 W · 249 L | -12.7wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6376…0d2abacked Under | 53c | 276.6$147 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$130 | 892 | 48%428 W · 464 L | -13.2wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa19d…3909backed Over | 39c | 265.64$104 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$104.28 | 285 | 49.5%141 W · 144 L | +1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1e67…8b45backed Over | 48c | 260.42$125 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$125 | 122 | 52.5%64 W · 58 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7462…3ac3backed Under | 49c | 227.43$111 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$115.99 | 257 | 47.5%122 W · 135 L | +1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x71a5…b594backed Over | 46c | 211.93$97 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97.49 | 179 | 46.4%83 W · 96 L | -2.1wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2284…e326backed Over | 48c | 208.42$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 174 | 56.9%99 W · 75 L | +8.6wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa5a8…bf60backed Over | 52c | 190.74$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 988 | 56.1%554 W · 434 L | +21.8wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbb42…6e09backed Under | 54c | 162.96$88 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$74.96 | 379 | 49.3%187 W · 192 L | -5.9wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8e34…4480backed Under | 46c | 160.83$74 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$86.85 | 499 | 35.1%175 W · 324 L | -5.7wins | -0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x33bc…37dcbacked Over | 46c | 157.85$73 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72.61 | 812 | 44.3%360 W · 452 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4f87…f04ebacked Under | 74c | 152.73$113 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.13 | 266 | 53.4%142 W · 124 L | +4.6wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8725…eb10backed Over | 47c | 150$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70.2 | 854 | 46.4%396 W · 458 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbbb4…0060backed Over | 37c | 103.84$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.42 | 172 | 51.2%88 W · 84 L | +13.3wins | +0.08per pick | 43cpaid | +13.7%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x911f…5ed0backed Over | 49c | 101.59$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.78 | 199 | 39.2%78 W · 121 L | +1.1wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -4%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcfde…8ad8backed Under | 49c | 97.96$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.96 | 75 | 46.7%35 W · 40 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5b5f…3397backed Over | 47c | 97$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.59 | 277 | 44.4%123 W · 154 L | -8.7wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x51da…a701backed Over | 52c | 96.15$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 121 | 57.9%70 W · 51 L | +0.9wins | +0.01per pick | 57cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1cdd…e595backed Over | 37c | 81.54$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.08 | 2,468 | 24.6%607 W · 1,861 L | -317.8wins | -0.13per pick | 37cpaid | -51.7%equal weight | 36-0.13 edge/pick |
| 0xd0ad…bce9backed Over | 54c | 68.24$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.85 | 95 | 52.6%50 W · 45 L | -5.4wins | -0.06per pick | 58cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2da3…f258backed Under | 59c | 60.71$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.77 | 686 | 59.5%408 W · 278 L | +65.9wins | +0.10per pick | 50cpaid | +13.2%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x4f65…a0adbacked Over | 46c | 58.33$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.02 | 111 | 50.5%56 W · 55 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe76d…5a75backed Over | 39c | 57.38$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.38 | 534 | 44.9%240 W · 294 L | +11.2wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf898…e720backed Under | 50c | 55$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.37 | 1,378 | 45.2%623 W · 755 L | +17.9wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8b10…89b6backed Over | 49c | 51.02$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 41 | 61%25 W · 16 L | +3.4wins | +0.08per pick | 53cpaid | +15.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x26c2…0cdfbacked Over | 33c | 48.53$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.83 | 675 | 47.3%319 W · 356 L | -9.6wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6a65…5864backed Over | 52c | 48.08$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 53 | 49.1%26 W · 27 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x80d8…b703backed Under | 48c | 48.08$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25 | 1,676 | 51.1%857 W · 819 L | +21.2wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8b2a…0f79backed Over | 48c | 41.67$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 37 | 43.2%16 W · 21 L | -4.8wins | -0.13per pick | 56cpaid | -22.8%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x2ca8…7e67backed Under | 52c | 40$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.2 | 123 | 43.9%54 W · 69 L | +3.3wins | +0.03per pick | 41cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4a19…eb54backed Over | 52c | 38.46$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 97 | 62.9%61 W · 36 L | +7.9wins | +0.08per pick | 55cpaid | +9.7%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8649…ba57backed Under | 54c | 37.04$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.04 | 126 | 54.8%69 W · 57 L | +11.3wins | +0.09per pick | 46cpaid | +19.5%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x8714…c965backed Under | 60c | 35.78$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.38 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.1wins | +0.37per pick | 63cpaid | +61.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x92e6…8222backed Over | 58c | 34.48$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 222 | 59.9%133 W · 89 L | -7.3wins | -0.03per pick | 63cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcc2b…d422backed Under | 42c | 34.48$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20 | 191 | 52.9%101 W · 90 L | +9.9wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +7.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4feb…6239backed Over | 47c | 31.91$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 19 | 57.9%11 W · 8 L | +0.9wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | +5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0f86…404ebacked Under | 53c | 31.91$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15 | 61 | 55.7%34 W · 27 L | +5.2wins | +0.09per pick | 47cpaid | +14.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x187d…9b50backed Over | 49c | 30.61$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 52 | 44.2%23 W · 29 L | -2.8wins | -0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x66da…69b0backed Over | 48c | 29.99$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.4 | 280 | 42.5%119 W · 161 L | -7.5wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdd5e…9040backed Over | 48c | 27$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.96 | 284 | 55.6%158 W · 126 L | +15.4wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked Over | 40c | 26.07$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.43 | 3,910 | 36.6%1,431 W · 2,479 L | -197.6wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -29.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa0f5…57e2backed Over | 49c | 25.51$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.5 | 331 | 56.5%187 W · 144 L | -1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4c94…1b47backed Under | 54c | 24.07$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.07 | 81 | 60.5%49 W · 32 L | +2.1wins | +0.03per pick | 58cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3389…2411backed Over | 51c | 20$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.2 | 25 | 56%14 W · 11 L | +1.8wins | +0.07per pick | 49cpaid | +16.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 8 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Games Total: O/U 2.5this page
- Counter-Strike: MOUZ vs Legacy (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3MOUZ won
- Counter-Strike: MOUZ vs Legacy - Map 1 WinnerMOUZ won
- Counter-Strike: MOUZ vs Legacy - Map 2 WinnerMOUZ won
- Map 1 Rounds Handicap: MOUZ (-3.5) vs Legacy (+3.5)MOUZ won
- Map 2 Rounds Handicap: MOUZ (-3.5) vs Legacy (+3.5)MOUZ won
- Map 2 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.5Under won
- Map Handicap: MOUZ (-1.5) vs Legacy (+1.5)MOUZ won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.