TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

CS2 · resolved market

Counter-Strike: MOUZ vs Legacy - Map 1 Winner

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
MOUZof MOUZ, Legacy
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$364,392
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$440,771

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $364,392 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 283 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in CS2
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x56c9…0d9ebacked MOUZ79c35,773$28,141 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7,632.1822468.8%154 W · 70 L-8.2wins-0.04per pick72cpaid-6.9%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xfe78…0319backed Legacy25c28,851$7,087 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7,087.021,40738.9%547 W · 860 L-41.9wins-0.03per pick42cpaid-29.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x67bb…b6efbacked Legacy47c19,239$9,109 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9,108.8976058%441 W · 319 L+3.8wins+0.01per pick58cpaid-1.4%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x33d3…bf38backed MOUZ53c18,097$9,585 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8,511.5410560%63 W · 42 L+6.8wins+0.06per pick54cpaid+11.1%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xdfa6…6c6cbacked Legacy44c14,000$6,100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6,099.992356.5%13 W · 10 L+2.4wins+0.10per pick46cpaid+20.7%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x880b…c98bbacked MOUZ62c13,114$8,092 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,022.4141040%164 W · 246 L-2.9wins-0.01per pick41cpaid+1.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x96f7…d6aebacked Legacy28c10,874$2,992 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,991.9422129.9%66 W · 155 L+3.7wins+0.02per pick28cpaid-15%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe907…cff6backed Legacy32c8,339$2,676 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,675.92,32645.1%1,049 W · 1,277 L-62.2wins-0.03per pick48cpaid-16.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x7e5e…7315backed Legacy30c7,500$2,250 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,25022943.7%100 W · 129 L-4.5wins-0.02per pick46cpaid-1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x98e5…f069backed MOUZ59c7,107$4,182 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,924.8414763.9%94 W · 53 L+6.2wins+0.04per pick60cpaid+13.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xdc84…04b2backed Legacy21c6,190$1,287 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,287.25444.4%24 W · 30 L+0.3wins+0.01per pick44cpaid+2.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd27c…c081backed MOUZ51c5,322$2,740 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,581.837766.2%51 W · 26 L+0.7wins+0.01per pick65cpaid+1.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x97fd…3313backed Legacy47c5,000$2,350 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,349.9911439.5%45 W · 69 L+1.4wins+0.01per pick38cpaid+20.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0111…1071backed MOUZ52c4,837$2,505 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,332.092564%16 W · 9 L+1.8wins+0.07per pick57cpaid+31.3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xb754…96dfbacked Legacy15c4,000$600 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6003839.5%15 W · 23 L-1.4wins-0.04per pick43cpaid-15.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc3df…9945backed Legacy41c3,878$1,600 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,60015155%83 W · 68 L+1.8wins+0.01per pick54cpaid-2.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9625…5bb7backed MOUZ50c3,823$1,912 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,911.595459.3%32 W · 22 L+2.1wins+0.04per pick55cpaid+6.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xf3ef…ca6bbacked MOUZ62c3,170$1,966 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,203.551,51357.2%865 W · 648 L+65.4wins+0.04per pick53cpaid+0.3%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x0257…22b2backed MOUZ52c3,000$1,560 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,44045455.1%250 W · 204 L+3.6wins+0.01per pick54cpaid-2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf424…9723backed Legacy13c2,914$375 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$374.5721135.5%75 W · 136 L-6.9wins-0.03per pick39cpaid-22.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x5b10…9659backed Legacy49c2,850$1,397 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,396.646749.7%232 W · 235 L-12.4wins-0.03per pick52cpaid-6.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x7767…4fb2backed MOUZ62c2,801$1,735 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,065.6712259.8%73 W · 49 L+7.0wins+0.06per pick54cpaid+11.7%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x1eab…4822backed Legacy15c2,733$400 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40011551.3%59 W · 56 L+1.5wins+0.01per pick50cpaid-1.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa27c…ab67backed MOUZ62c2,000$1,245 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$754.9945058.9%265 W · 185 L-5.7wins-0.01per pick60cpaid-3.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0c99…0c88backed MOUZ59c1,900$1,129 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$770.332,43444.6%1,085 W · 1,349 L-64.0wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-13.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x841d…f06ebacked Legacy27c1,782$478 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$478.081741.2%7 W · 10 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick42cpaid-25.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3471…f17ebacked MOUZ63c1,675$1,052 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$622.111,05449%516 W · 538 L+38.1wins+0.04per pick45cpaid-10.3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x82dc…5700backed MOUZ52c1,662$866 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$796.8687047.9%417 W · 453 L+15.6wins+0.02per pick46cpaid-14%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x904e…0becbacked Legacy20c1,578$317 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$316.884,93337.4%1,844 W · 3,089 L-249.2wins-0.05per pick42cpaid-32.2%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xd528…a2d2backed Legacy40c1,546$618 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$618.418056.7%102 W · 78 L+8.0wins+0.04per pick52cpaid+2.3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x014c…f5b6backed Legacy28c1,533$426 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4269044.4%40 W · 50 L+2.5wins+0.03per pick42cpaid+4.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa9ca…6a8bbacked Legacy23c1,505$341 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$340.6475245.5%342 W · 410 L-21.8wins-0.03per pick48cpaid-6.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x0bb8…aa5fbacked Legacy1c1,500$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20812.5%1 W · 7 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick14cpaid-68.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x177e…c244backed Legacy15c1,400$210 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21016633.7%56 W · 110 L-5.9wins-0.04per pick37cpaid-10.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x29b5…cc6cbacked MOUZ54c1,368$742 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$626.585,05055.1%2,781 W · 2,269 L+117.2wins+0.02per pick53cpaid+5.1%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x0ee5…e798backed Legacy23c1,342$308 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$308.3618837.2%70 W · 118 L-1.1wins-0.01per pick38cpaid-9.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x14e7…a32cbacked Legacy36c1,296$463 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$462.981,30241.2%536 W · 766 L-50.1wins-0.04per pick45cpaid-24.1%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x969f…cbdcbacked Legacy21c1,293$274 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$273.5562738.8%243 W · 384 L-31.2wins-0.05per pick44cpaid-30%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x1d8e…b1c7backed Legacy42c1,283$539 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$539.054551.1%23 W · 22 L+0.4wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+0.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd8a5…26a1backed Legacy21c1,282$268 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$268.315749.7%78 W · 79 L-1.1wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-6.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1cc7…43e5backed Legacy8c1,266$96 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$95.997716.9%13 W · 64 L-6.0wins-0.08per pick25cpaid-48%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xccec…1dfcbacked Legacy20c1,219$239 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$239.2721146%97 W · 114 L-6.5wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-11.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x84ad…bfb7backed MOUZ59c1,201$703 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$497.481,08854.2%590 W · 498 L+39.3wins+0.04per pick51cpaid-8.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x8056…b64dbacked Legacy20c1,105$222 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2221,62344.9%728 W · 895 L+4.4wins0.00per pick45cpaid-5.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3d2b…afc5backed MOUZ55c1,087$597 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$489.9119659.2%116 W · 80 L+18.2wins+0.09per pick50cpaid+2.3%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x5b62…d87fbacked Legacy46c1,016$463 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$463.139548.6%192 W · 203 L+4.9wins+0.01per pick47cpaid+1.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa97f…a818backed Legacy43c1,000$427 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$427.3214847.3%70 W · 78 L+5.3wins+0.04per pick44cpaid+5.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xc564…e89dbacked MOUZ50c1,000$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$50020944.5%93 W · 116 L-5.0wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-12.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1f2d…2b35backed Legacy51c1,000$510 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$51015251.3%78 W · 74 L-3.8wins-0.03per pick54cpaid-6.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf876…1deebacked Legacy48c1,000$480 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$48019546.2%90 W · 105 L-2.6wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-4.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x53e9…5ef8backed Legacy21c999.99$207 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$207.532136.8%118 W · 203 L+3.0wins+0.01per pick36cpaid-9.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x33bc…37dcbacked Legacy47c999.95$470 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$469.9881244.3%360 W · 452 L-0.3wins0.00per pick44cpaid+2.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x48e0…826dbacked Legacy51c980.39$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5009454.3%51 W · 43 L+3.4wins+0.04per pick51cpaid+4.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xf32d…bbbbbacked MOUZ51c957.27$490 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$467.4360953.4%325 W · 284 L-31.0wins-0.05per pick58cpaid-11.5%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xaa6c…a9b3backed MOUZ53c944.11$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$444.111,16354.3%631 W · 532 L-38.8wins-0.03per pick58cpaid-6.9%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x2d39…6053backed MOUZ55c929.22$513 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$416.3888746.7%414 W · 473 L+8.9wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-15.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3bf6…2d98backed MOUZ50c898$449 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4491866.7%12 W · 6 L+3.3wins+0.18per pick49cpaid+43%equal weight58+0.08 edge/pick
0x9d94…017dbacked Legacy13c838.01$113 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$112.582,22141.3%917 W · 1,304 L-22.6wins-0.01per pick42cpaid-19.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x51db…f9b3backed Legacy24c831.4$199 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$198.86,48042.9%2,782 W · 3,698 L-79.1wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-21.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf1ee…519cbacked Legacy35c809.12$280 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$280.053,20245.6%1,459 W · 1,743 L-79.3wins-0.02per pick48cpaid-16%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xee80…f34ebacked Legacy48c800$384 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$38435460.7%215 W · 139 L+10.4wins+0.03per pick58cpaid+5.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xa474…32cbbacked Legacy44c741.83$330 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$329.8725846.1%119 W · 139 L+9.6wins+0.04per pick42cpaid+3.3%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x180c…cd04backed Legacy31c726.19$227 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$227.544939.2%176 W · 273 L-0.4wins0.00per pick39cpaid-3.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x04db…7703backed Legacy10c700$69 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6941645.9%191 W · 225 L+22.3wins+0.05per pick41cpaid+2.3%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x0f0b…f901backed Legacy45c699.99$318 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$31835953.2%191 W · 168 L+14.0wins+0.04per pick49cpaid+10.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xdf37…47fcbacked Legacy46c696.96$320 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3208942.7%38 W · 51 L-1.7wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-11.3%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x4713…4d21backed Legacy28c684$193 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$193.335,28731.3%1,657 W · 3,630 L-383.3wins-0.07per pick39cpaid-37.1%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x41f7…9bf9backed Legacy44c681.82$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3007748.1%37 W · 40 L+1.8wins+0.02per pick46cpaid-4.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x65c4…3c1abacked Legacy17c650$108 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$108.457424.3%18 W · 56 L-5.7wins-0.08per pick32cpaid-29.1%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x00cb…3992backed Legacy48c616.62$296 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$295.986536.9%24 W · 41 L-9.3wins-0.14per pick51cpaid-30.9%equal weight38-0.10 edge/pick
0x4063…ea8dbacked Legacy20c616.4$121 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$120.758344.6%37 W · 46 L+2.0wins+0.02per pick42cpaid-6.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5113…b692backed MOUZ50c603.54$302 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$301.863652.8%19 W · 17 L-0.5wins-0.01per pick54cpaid-5.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7353…b476backed Legacy50c600$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3009246.7%43 W · 49 L-0.4wins0.00per pick47cpaid-3.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9559…9fd7backed Legacy49c600$294 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2945343.4%23 W · 30 L-4.8wins-0.09per pick52cpaid-22.3%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x180e…b3a6backed MOUZ51c588.24$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$288.2412535.2%44 W · 81 L-5.8wins-0.05per pick40cpaid-20.2%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x614b…ca37backed MOUZ60c585$351 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$23411959.7%71 W · 48 L+7.4wins+0.06per pick53cpaid+5.2%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xb61f…976abacked Legacy52c576.92$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30014563.4%92 W · 53 L-0.2wins0.00per pick64cpaid-3.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x86af…f384backed MOUZ52c565.81$294 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$271.599764.9%63 W · 34 L+4.2wins+0.04per pick61cpaid+7.5%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x75c7…909dbacked Legacy26c553.85$144 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1446643.9%29 W · 37 L-2.8wins-0.04per pick48cpaid-13.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x3818…9797backed MOUZ77c519.48$400 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$119.488361.4%51 W · 32 L+4.2wins+0.05per pick56cpaid+4.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xc34b…9296backed MOUZ53c518.37$275 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$243.322,00953.9%1,082 W · 927 L+7.6wins0.00per pick53cpaid+2.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5846…0388backed Legacy30c506.8$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1505729.8%17 W · 40 L+0.8wins+0.01per pick28cpaid-22.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x240b…c32abacked MOUZ71c500$355 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14514543.4%63 W · 82 L-7.5wins-0.05per pick49cpaid-22.1%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xb410…e482backed MOUZ52c473.87$246 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$227.611258.3%7 W · 5 L+0.2wins+0.02per pick56cpaid-1.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xad4b…e93dbacked MOUZ53c473.54$250 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$223.549050%45 W · 45 L+6.2wins+0.07per pick43cpaid+10.9%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x1492…a2c9backed MOUZ53c471.7$250 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$221.73452.9%18 W · 16 L+1.7wins+0.05per pick48cpaid+8.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xd32f…1496backed MOUZ51c466.36$238 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$228.5212759.1%75 W · 52 L+12.0wins+0.09per pick50cpaid+2.6%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xec98…afcdbacked MOUZ64c456.33$292 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$164.761,61145.4%731 W · 880 L+30.0wins+0.02per pick44cpaid-14.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1c4c…9f95backed MOUZ49c449.99$220 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$229.4914242.3%60 W · 82 L-5.6wins-0.04per pick46cpaid-17.1%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xe41f…d9dcbacked Legacy43c441.86$190 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19065650.3%330 W · 326 L-15.4wins-0.02per pick53cpaid-7.5%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x93bc…8ca3backed MOUZ50c426.04$213 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$213.021,25942.5%535 W · 724 L+20.6wins+0.02per pick41cpaid+3.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6df5…6430backed Legacy23c415$96 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$95.941,27821.9%280 W · 998 L-24.3wins-0.02per pick24cpaid-16.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8a70…0519backed Legacy50c408.04$204 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$204.0238835.6%138 W · 250 L-1.9wins-0.01per pick36cpaid-5.4%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0xd468…f6febacked Legacy17c400$68 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6846042.8%197 W · 263 L+16.6wins+0.04per pick39cpaid+1.7%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x473f…9892backed Legacy38c394$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$149.7220344.3%90 W · 113 L-4.4wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-9.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2067…7350backed Legacy51c393.88$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20027657.6%159 W · 117 L+11.4wins+0.04per pick53cpaid+7.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xe401…5c4cbacked MOUZ77c388.84$299 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$89.4313350.4%67 W · 66 L-0.8wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-4.4%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0xb6ce…7a7dbacked MOUZ52c388.76$202 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$187.071,25646.7%587 W · 669 L+17.3wins+0.01per pick45cpaid-16%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe283…7190backed Legacy51c382.35$195 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19596545.7%441 W · 524 L+10.9wins+0.01per pick45cpaid-2.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x34d5…e0c1backed Legacy35c374.55$130 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13036555.9%204 W · 161 L+13.4wins+0.04per pick52cpaid+2.9%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 8 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.