CS2 · resolved market
Map Handicap: MOUZ (-1.5) vs Legacy (+1.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xfd6b9fa8075c0eb2a9a5f34eaaceb4c78f50d0b4464febf9be537764df6846de
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- MOUZof MOUZ, Legacy
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $20,230
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $24,251
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $20,230 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 78 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in CS2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x29b5…cc6cbacked MOUZ | 34c | 5,351$1,815 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,535.91 | 5,050 | 55.1%2,781 W · 2,269 L | +117.2wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed MOUZ | 33c | 3,999$1,335 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,663.97 | 2,624 | 51.8%1,359 W · 1,265 L | +18.1wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1ae1…c891backed Legacy | 67c | 1,958$1,306 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,306.08 | 111 | 51.4%57 W · 54 L | +5.6wins | +0.05per pick | 46cpaid | +9.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4bb6…50fcbacked Legacy | 66c | 1,266$836 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$835.72 | 140 | 44.3%62 W · 78 L | -4.7wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xaa5e…1468backed Legacy | 66c | 1,072$708 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$707.55 | 85 | 40%34 W · 51 L | -8.5wins | -0.10per pick | 50cpaid | -17.9%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xc34b…9296backed MOUZ | 34c | 1,023$346 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$677.45 | 2,009 | 53.9%1,082 W · 927 L | +7.6wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x21ff…0d71backed Legacy | 67c | 959.82$638 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$638.48 | 266 | 50.8%135 W · 131 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2662…3f84backed Legacy | 67c | 746$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$499.82 | 209 | 58.9%123 W · 86 L | +1.4wins | +0.01per pick | 58cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf56d…9eeabacked Legacy | 67c | 656.2$440 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$439.65 | 148 | 53.4%79 W · 69 L | +2.6wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +8.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x50ac…a924backed Legacy | 67c | 652.27$437 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$437.02 | 138 | 50%69 W · 69 L | -5.9wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x42b7…77dcbacked MOUZ | 40c | 649.99$257 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$392.5 | 352 | 42.9%151 W · 201 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x07f9…1513backed Legacy | 66c | 552.56$365 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$364.99 | 443 | 43.3%192 W · 251 L | -7.1wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6401…f240backed Legacy | 38c | 536.69$204 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$203.94 | 350 | 54.6%191 W · 159 L | +17.3wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +16.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe41f…d9dcbacked MOUZ | 58c | 507.33$294 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$213.08 | 656 | 50.3%330 W · 326 L | -15.4wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3c27…97c2backed Legacy | 67c | 500$335 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$335 | 55 | 38.2%21 W · 34 L | -7.6wins | -0.14per pick | 52cpaid | -23.2%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x80d8…b703backed Legacy | 44c | 500$218 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$218.5 | 1,676 | 51.1%857 W · 819 L | +21.2wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1025…7e11backed Legacy | 67c | 499.99$335 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$334.99 | 559 | 41%229 W · 330 L | +4.3wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x972f…65bdbacked MOUZ | 63c | 476.56$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$176.56 | 391 | 57.5%225 W · 166 L | +4.0wins | +0.01per pick | 57cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe419…f6c4backed Legacy | 65c | 394.32$256 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$256.31 | 59 | 44.1%26 W · 33 L | -2.7wins | -0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7029…1136backed Legacy | 65c | 338.19$220 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$219.82 | 213 | 51.2%109 W · 104 L | +9.2wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +12%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd0cc…ce77backed Legacy | 65c | 324.8$211 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$211.12 | 114 | 35.1%40 W · 74 L | -3.0wins | -0.03per pick | 38cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xace6…5556backed MOUZ | 62c | 322.98$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$122.98 | 676 | 51.8%350 W · 326 L | +2.7wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x98e5…f069backed MOUZ | 30c | 321.21$98 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$223.4 | 147 | 63.9%94 W · 53 L | +6.2wins | +0.04per pick | 60cpaid | +13.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5b5f…3397backed Legacy | 66c | 314.38$207 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$207.49 | 277 | 44.4%123 W · 154 L | -8.7wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2b35…0bfebacked Legacy | 65c | 299.99$195 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$194.83 | 919 | 45.8%421 W · 498 L | -10.1wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd055…28d0backed Legacy | 66c | 291.79$193 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$192.58 | 655 | 46.9%307 W · 348 L | +18.4wins | +0.03per pick | 44cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x58d6…e718backed Legacy | 66c | 288.97$191 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$190.72 | 52 | 53.8%28 W · 24 L | +2.9wins | +0.06per pick | 48cpaid | +8.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2903…9203backed Legacy | 62c | 282.26$175 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$175 | 203 | 53.2%108 W · 95 L | +1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf95e…53ffbacked MOUZ | 59c | 275.16$162 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$112.81 | 198 | 49.5%98 W · 100 L | +7.7wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +13.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6376…0d2abacked Legacy | 43c | 266.13$114 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$113.63 | 892 | 48%428 W · 464 L | -13.2wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0c99…0c88backed Legacy | 51c | 245.45$125 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$125.35 | 2,434 | 44.6%1,085 W · 1,349 L | -64.0wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc2b4…2ce6backed MOUZ | 34c | 235.29$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$155.29 | 297 | 57.6%171 W · 126 L | +12.0wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe4dd…4f27backed Legacy | 66c | 235.29$155 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$155.29 | 509 | 47%239 W · 270 L | +11.3wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9e04…28a9backed Legacy | 36c | 226.56$82 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$81.56 | 366 | 45.4%166 W · 200 L | +5.3wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc59f…954ebacked Legacy | 66c | 224.7$149 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$149 | 216 | 53.2%115 W · 101 L | +9.7wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +13.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6e31…0e6ebacked Legacy | 70c | 214.29$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 446 | 75.3%336 W · 110 L | +10.9wins | +0.02per pick | 73cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x61e9…b13abacked Legacy | 66c | 212.39$140 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$140.48 | 199 | 54.3%108 W · 91 L | -2.1wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5537…f9c8backed Legacy | 68c | 199.99$136 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$135.99 | 302 | 59.3%179 W · 123 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 59cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbbb4…0060backed Legacy | 36c | 199.99$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$71.99 | 172 | 51.2%88 W · 84 L | +13.3wins | +0.08per pick | 43cpaid | +13.7%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xa0bd…5f54backed MOUZ | 62c | 193.55$120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$73.55 | 93 | 38.7%36 W · 57 L | +3.6wins | +0.04per pick | 35cpaid | +16.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb7ab…16d0backed MOUZ | 64c | 169.99$109 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.19 | 1,365 | 66.3%905 W · 460 L | +76.1wins | +0.06per pick | 61cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2a09…db1cbacked Legacy | 66c | 151.99$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100.31 | 82 | 61%50 W · 32 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 61cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8286…6aa5backed Legacy | 55c | 150$83 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$82.5 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +1.3wins | +0.18per pick | 53cpaid | +47.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe41c…afabbacked Legacy | 69c | 144.93$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 496 | 51.2%254 W · 242 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdfb6…67edbacked MOUZ | 34c | 137.18$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$90.54 | 152 | 46.7%71 W · 81 L | +8.5wins | +0.06per pick | 41cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x68e9…845cbacked MOUZ | 33c | 105.59$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70.59 | 302 | 36.8%111 W · 191 L | -12.4wins | -0.04per pick | 41cpaid | -15.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4836…859bbacked MOUZ | 34c | 99.99$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$65.99 | 491 | 49.9%245 W · 246 L | -7.1wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3600…f72bbacked MOUZ | 34c | 88.97$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.97 | 319 | 50.5%161 W · 158 L | -3.2wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x312c…0f42backed MOUZ | 34c | 88.24$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.24 | 210 | 53.8%113 W · 97 L | +3.1wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcfde…8ad8backed Legacy | 62c | 80.65$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 75 | 46.7%35 W · 40 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc263…1e83backed MOUZ | 35c | 70.19$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.9 | 347 | 50.7%176 W · 171 L | -7.7wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0d6b…a307backed MOUZ | 43c | 69$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39 | 120 | 46.7%56 W · 64 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +10.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xab12…764ebacked Legacy | 67c | 60.61$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.61 | 222 | 66.7%148 W · 74 L | +12.0wins | +0.05per pick | 61cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8234…bfd0backed MOUZ | 33c | 60.61$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.61 | 96 | 54.2%52 W · 44 L | -1.3wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4337…8882backed MOUZ | 32c | 56.97$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.74 | 882 | 42.3%373 W · 509 L | -13.0wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdb25…eb12backed MOUZ | 35c | 53.69$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.1 | 500 | 51.4%257 W · 243 L | -6.1wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe50b…c2a8backed Legacy | 67c | 50$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.5 | 248 | 50.4%125 W · 123 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x989e…6529backed MOUZ | 61c | 50$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.5 | 130 | 40%52 W · 78 L | -4.8wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -15.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe803…b60ebacked Legacy | 67c | 49.01$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.84 | 324 | 58%188 W · 136 L | +7.5wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6795…4a4cbacked MOUZ | 62c | 45.16$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.16 | 43 | 39.5%17 W · 26 L | -3.7wins | -0.09per pick | 48cpaid | -22.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd95d…2ab5backed Legacy | 67c | 44$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.48 | 325 | 44.3%144 W · 181 L | +3.1wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | 0%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x60b8…d47dbacked MOUZ | 45c | 42.03$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.03 | 608 | 57.2%348 W · 260 L | -7.4wins | -0.01per pick | 58cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf99e…bde6backed MOUZ | 63c | 39.99$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.8 | 587 | 62.2%365 W · 222 L | +20.9wins | +0.04per pick | 59cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8c97…5c66backed Legacy | 61c | 38$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.18 | 33 | 63.6%21 W · 12 L | +3.9wins | +0.12per pick | 52cpaid | +22.9%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x3cf0…e384backed Legacy | 67c | 37.31$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 331 | 53.5%177 W · 154 L | -0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2f3c…c98cbacked Legacy | 68c | 36.76$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 24 | 37.5%9 W · 15 L | -3.6wins | -0.15per pick | 53cpaid | -35.9%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xf898…e720backed MOUZ | 62c | 35$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.24 | 1,378 | 45.2%623 W · 755 L | +17.9wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7b25…10aabacked MOUZ | 33c | 33.33$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.41 | 850 | 54.4%462 W · 388 L | +15.7wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x06de…cf4cbacked Legacy | 67c | 32.01$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.45 | 47 | 57.4%27 W · 20 L | +1.8wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xea6a…f194backed MOUZ | 32c | 31.25$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.25 | 186 | 43.5%81 W · 105 L | -8.9wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1941…48e0backed MOUZ | 34c | 30$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.8 | 113 | 41.6%47 W · 66 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2ca8…7e67backed Legacy | 67c | 30$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.1 | 123 | 43.9%54 W · 69 L | +3.3wins | +0.03per pick | 41cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa372…65bbbacked Legacy | 67c | 29.85$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 30 | 60%18 W · 12 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 61cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x54e0…b02cbacked Legacy | 39c | 29.49$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.44 | 1,650 | 32.7%540 W · 1,110 L | -49.1wins | -0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x22af…e660backed Legacy | 67c | 25$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.75 | 33 | 54.5%18 W · 15 L | -1.6wins | -0.05per pick | 59cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0947…f948backed Legacy | 68c | 20$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.6 | 91 | 62.6%57 W · 34 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 63cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcd37…e117backed Legacy | 68c | 20$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.6 | 134 | 35.8%48 W · 86 L | -6.0wins | -0.04per pick | 40cpaid | -19%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5210…bd53backed Legacy | 66c | 18.59$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.27 | 1,848 | 47.6%879 W · 969 L | -55.8wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 8 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Map Handicap: MOUZ (-1.5) vs Legacy (+1.5)this page
- Counter-Strike: MOUZ vs Legacy (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3MOUZ won
- Counter-Strike: MOUZ vs Legacy - Map 1 WinnerMOUZ won
- Counter-Strike: MOUZ vs Legacy - Map 2 WinnerMOUZ won
- Games Total: O/U 2.5Under won
- Map 1 Rounds Handicap: MOUZ (-3.5) vs Legacy (+3.5)MOUZ won
- Map 2 Rounds Handicap: MOUZ (-3.5) vs Legacy (+3.5)MOUZ won
- Map 2 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.5Under won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.