La Liga · resolved market
Deportivo Alavés vs. Girona FC: O/U 3.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x83260888a3e6409293258bcce8f3789e0656bec120fc9d492ed45ffa4dc6a28f
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- La Ligaevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $32,339
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $35,458
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $32,339 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 77 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in La Liga is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in La Liga | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xba5a…344cbacked Over | 39c | 3,320$1,311 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,009.38 | 31 | 61.3%19 W · 12 L | +1.7wins | +0.05per pick | 56cpaid | +8.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Under | 78c | 1,737$1,352 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,352.04 | 501 | 49.5%248 W · 253 L | +4.7wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Over | 27c | 1,702$457 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,244.42 | 4,729 | 47.1%2,225 W · 2,504 L | -24.0wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdfe7…820fbacked Under | 74c | 1,500$1,113 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,113 | 14 | 57.1%8 W · 6 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | +2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Over | 33c | 1,348$451 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$897.12 | 1,798 | 51.4%924 W · 874 L | +6.3wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4133…5e70backed Under | 79c | 1,282$1,013 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,012.84 | 908 | 43.6%396 W · 512 L | -9.4wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Over | 41c | 804.52$329 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$475.49 | 3,444 | 43%1,482 W · 1,962 L | +31.8wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7da6…4ff3backed Under | 63c | 700$441 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$441 | 28 | 46.4%13 W · 15 L | +0.7wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe1f1…3a05backed Under | 52c | 660.75$341 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$341.29 | 137 | 28.5%39 W · 98 L | -5.5wins | -0.04per pick | 32cpaid | -32.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa0dc…586cbacked Under | 48c | 604.17$290 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$290 | 102 | 45.1%46 W · 56 L | +6.9wins | +0.07per pick | 38cpaid | +10.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x394c…158cbacked Under | 80c | 600$478 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$478 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.8wins | -0.80per pick | 80cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x77bc…b91bbacked Over | 39c | 534.31$207 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$327.33 | 1,651 | 43.9%724 W · 927 L | -21.6wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9670…6589backed Under | 10c | 500$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | +1.3wins | +0.16per pick | 9cpaid | +233.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7236…c20dbacked Over | 21c | 478.81$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$378.81 | 41 | 36.6%15 W · 26 L | +2.5wins | +0.06per pick | 31cpaid | +20.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9075…cfe8backed Over | 27c | 340.03$93 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$247.42 | 339 | 49.9%169 W · 170 L | +16.1wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed Under | 59c | 335.58$198 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$197.58 | 1,418 | 45.6%646 W · 772 L | -10.2wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfea6…d837backed Under | 12c | 330$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.5 | 6 | 0%0 W · 6 L | -1.1wins | -0.19per pick | 19cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2db3…667abacked Under | 63c | 309.05$195 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$194.7 | 11 | 63.6%7 W · 4 L | +0.7wins | +0.06per pick | 58cpaid | +13.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcb9a…412ebacked Over | 33c | 303.03$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$203.03 | 20 | 40%8 W · 12 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -18.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe220…f862backed Over | 41c | 300$123 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$177 | 25 | 48%12 W · 13 L | +0.4wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa5b8…99f3backed Under | 10c | 300$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 13 | 15.4%2 W · 11 L | +0.8wins | +0.06per pick | 9cpaid | +113.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe50b…c2a8backed Over | 37c | 300$111 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$189 | 240 | 52.9%127 W · 113 L | +2.5wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9a3b…b968backed Under | 59c | 288.14$170 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$170 | 24 | 45.8%11 W · 13 L | -3.3wins | -0.14per pick | 60cpaid | -24.1%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x69dd…1964backed Under | 77c | 259.74$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 93 | 48.4%45 W · 48 L | -3.3wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x34a9…d343backed Over | 46c | 250.97$116 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$134.97 | 26 | 53.8%14 W · 12 L | +2.3wins | +0.09per pick | 45cpaid | +24.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7d0c…a3b7backed Under | 79c | 248.16$196 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$196.04 | 1,081 | 50.6%547 W · 534 L | +11.7wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2060…9186backed Over | 19c | 210.53$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$170.53 | 193 | 44.6%86 W · 107 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2c2e…a948backed Over | 48c | 200.73$96 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$104.38 | 175 | 41.1%72 W · 103 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7205…3377backed Over | 31c | 200$62 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$138 | 47 | 48.9%23 W · 24 L | +1.7wins | +0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7839…54cbbacked Over | 52c | 192.31$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$92.31 | 14 | 57.1%8 W · 6 L | +1.0wins | +0.07per pick | 50cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xefde…6505backed Under | 78c | 179.42$140 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$139.95 | 325 | 45.2%147 W · 178 L | -4.2wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa60b…c728backed Over | 46c | 158.96$72 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$86.51 | 176 | 48.3%85 W · 91 L | -6.4wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Over | 19c | 142$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$115.02 | 1,497 | 38.6%578 W · 919 L | +12.4wins | +0.01per pick | 38cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa97e…7753backed Over | 45c | 139.99$64 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$76.39 | 114 | 48.2%55 W · 59 L | -5.3wins | -0.05per pick | 53cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x216b…fe46backed Over | 44c | 130.99$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$73.04 | 67 | 52.2%35 W · 32 L | +3.5wins | +0.05per pick | 47cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfb20…3b5cbacked Under | 78c | 128.21$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 231 | 52.8%122 W · 109 L | +3.7wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf226…9c0fbacked Over | 24c | 121.54$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$92.37 | 53 | 49.1%26 W · 27 L | +3.4wins | +0.06per pick | 43cpaid | +11.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4a86…d3e0backed Under | 76c | 121.54$92 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$92.37 | 428 | 51.4%220 W · 208 L | -2.3wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x418b…a741backed Over | 45c | 111.11$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.11 | 168 | 65.5%110 W · 58 L | +8.5wins | +0.05per pick | 60cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x35e7…54d2backed Over | 24c | 100$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$76 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | +1.4wins | +0.12per pick | 38cpaid | +13.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd12f…e80dbacked Over | 35c | 100$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$65 | 75 | 53.3%40 W · 35 L | +5.8wins | +0.08per pick | 46cpaid | +12%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3f53…d57bbacked Over | 24c | 100$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$76 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | -1.1wins | -0.10per pick | 47cpaid | -20.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4ee7…0ba8backed Under | 79c | 94.94$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75 | 25 | 52%13 W · 12 L | -2.0wins | -0.08per pick | 60cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc8e6…d96bbacked Over | 32c | 90$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.2 | 63 | 46%29 W · 34 L | +2.9wins | +0.05per pick | 41cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf4f8…5bf1backed Under | 54c | 89$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.04 | 192 | 47.4%91 W · 101 L | +2.1wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3a46…ba91backed Under | 61c | 88.03$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.94 | 123 | 44.7%55 W · 68 L | -11.9wins | -0.10per pick | 54cpaid | -24.7%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x1f62…76f6backed Under | 80c | 85$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68 | 1,035 | 47.9%496 W · 539 L | +15.8wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x02ea…220cbacked Under | 60c | 83.33$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 58 | 41.4%24 W · 34 L | +2.1wins | +0.04per pick | 38cpaid | +19.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3880…ab7dbacked Over | 31c | 80.65$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.65 | 174 | 58.6%102 W · 72 L | +3.2wins | +0.02per pick | 57cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf292…1cc7backed Over | 46c | 71.74$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.74 | 148 | 50.7%75 W · 73 L | +7.9wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +13.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x213b…cd48backed Over | 22c | 69.48$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.19 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.78per pick | 22cpaid | +354.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x976a…e8ecbacked Under | 66c | 66$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.56 | 141 | 40.4%57 W · 84 L | -5.8wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -17.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfc8a…1fb3backed Over | 43c | 65.05$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.05 | 41 | 46.3%19 W · 22 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbf57…ecc4backed Over | 29c | 59.42$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.31 | 113 | 54.9%62 W · 51 L | +1.8wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb2b7…37d5backed Over | 39c | 58.97$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.97 | 36 | 58.3%21 W · 15 L | +5.5wins | +0.15per pick | 43cpaid | +22.4%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xc519…348abacked Under | 54c | 53.77$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.99 | 101 | 43.6%44 W · 57 L | -2.4wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x77d5…eacebacked Over | 38c | 52.63$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.63 | 15 | 20%3 W · 12 L | +0.4wins | +0.03per pick | 17cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcff1…f8debacked Over | 20c | 50$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40 | 11 | 27.3%3 W · 8 L | -0.9wins | -0.08per pick | 35cpaid | -17.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6894…59d8backed Under | 79c | 49.65$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.22 | 10 | 70%7 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 71cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Under | 50c | 49.12$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.71 | 836 | 40%334 W · 502 L | -19.9wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -15.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0ac5…f963backed Under | 66c | 46.93$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31 | 64 | 45.3%29 W · 35 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1d94…9100backed Under | 56c | 46.81$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.45 | 791 | 33%261 W · 530 L | -8.9wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbff7…554fbacked Under | 25c | 41.41$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.48 | 16 | 68.8%11 W · 5 L | +2.3wins | +0.14per pick | 54cpaid | +20.2%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x98e2…658bbacked Under | 62c | 40.32$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 69cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x79fd…78cebacked Under | 63c | 38.1$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24 | 52 | 32.7%17 W · 35 L | -10.3wins | -0.20per pick | 52cpaid | -51.7%equal weight | 35-0.13 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed Under | 67c | 38.09$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.52 | 691 | 42.5%294 W · 397 L | -21.4wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -14%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa870…2cd1backed Under | 80c | 36.76$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.41 | 95 | 70.5%67 W · 28 L | -5.4wins | -0.06per pick | 76cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb089…a271backed Over | 48c | 35$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.2 | 53 | 43.4%23 W · 30 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc119…7d4dbacked Over | 43c | 34.92$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.92 | 324 | 44.8%145 W · 179 L | -2.1wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd37a…2358backed Under | 77c | 32.95$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.37 | 922 | 54.1%499 W · 423 L | +1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x43e8…af56backed Over | 32c | 31.25$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.25 | 64 | 42.2%27 W · 37 L | +2.0wins | +0.03per pick | 39cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf60b…ff5fbacked Under | 65c | 30.77$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 31 | 48.4%15 W · 16 L | -2.0wins | -0.06per pick | 55cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xda4f…65babacked Under | 66c | 23.61$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.56 | 35 | 45.7%16 W · 19 L | -0.7wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1f18…c075backed Under | 71c | 22.54$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.3wins | -0.63per pick | 63cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x91b5…4a34backed Under | 54c | 20.37$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.02 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.1wins | -0.53per pick | 53cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8b1f…4eebbacked Under | 58c | 20$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.6 | 53 | 58.5%31 W · 22 L | -2.4wins | -0.04per pick | 63cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x71d4…77e8backed Under | 54c | 18.55$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +13.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in La Liga and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 6 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Deportivo Alavés vs. Girona FC: O/U 3.5this page
- Deportivo Alavés vs. Girona FC: Both Teams to ScoreYes won
- Deportivo Alavés vs. Girona FC: O/U 1.5Over won
- Deportivo Alavés vs. Girona FC: O/U 2.5Over won
- Deportivo Alavés vs. Girona FC: O/U 4.5Under won
- Spread: Deportivo Alavés (-1.5)Girona FC won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.