TailMyPicks

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Tennis · resolved market

Wimbledon, Qualification ATP: Mackenzie McDonald vs Felipe Meligeni Alves

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Mackenzie McDonaldof Mackenzie McDonald, Felipe Meligeni Alves
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$114,482
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$120,640

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $114,482 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 87 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Tennis
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x2005…75eabacked Mackenzie McDonald73c37,520$27,457 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10,062.711,43543.4%4,959 W · 6,476 L+17.8wins0.00per pick43cpaid-20.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x26b4…b8a9backed Felipe Meligeni Alves43c14,728$6,297 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6,29736145.2%163 W · 198 L-19.3wins-0.05per pick50cpaid-11.1%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x84d0…95babacked Felipe Meligeni Alves21c13,651$2,900 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,9006418.8%12 W · 52 L-0.9wins-0.01per pick20cpaid-8.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe3dc…eaa8backed Felipe Meligeni Alves38c10,420$3,938 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,93811342.5%48 W · 65 L-0.8wins-0.01per pick43cpaid+2.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5c50…e0c9backed Felipe Meligeni Alves3c9,161$319 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$318.7642131.6%133 W · 288 L-10.7wins-0.03per pick34cpaid-17.4%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x5ccf…c116backed Felipe Meligeni Alves15c6,814$990 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9905435.2%19 W · 35 L+2.1wins+0.04per pick31cpaid+0.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xb4d2…ce99backed Felipe Meligeni Alves26c2,978$767 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$766.534,92138.7%1,905 W · 3,016 L-20.0wins0.00per pick39cpaid-7.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xdb83…1e50backed Mackenzie McDonald60c2,568$1,530 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,037.843,66145.2%1,654 W · 2,007 L-8.7wins0.00per pick45cpaid-12.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4411…985ebacked Mackenzie McDonald69c1,899$1,307 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$592.242,14554.2%1,162 W · 983 L-1.6wins0.00per pick54cpaid-2.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6318…46b1backed Felipe Meligeni Alves4c1,521$61 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$60.825,26128.8%1,514 W · 3,747 L-19.4wins0.00per pick29cpaid-1.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xfe78…0319backed Mackenzie McDonald78c1,500$1,177 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$322.758,82836.1%3,190 W · 5,638 L-193.3wins-0.02per pick38cpaid-27.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xde9f…d43cbacked Felipe Meligeni Alves18c1,352$243 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$242.956,59950.7%3,343 W · 3,256 L+259.7wins+0.04per pick47cpaid-4.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x9b2c…2151backed Felipe Meligeni Alves10c1,257$120 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12038911.6%45 W · 344 L+4.7wins+0.01per pick10cpaid+22.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Felipe Meligeni Alves13c1,146$153 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$153.378,21745.5%3,737 W · 4,480 L+166.6wins+0.02per pick43cpaid-16.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0c99…0c88backed Mackenzie McDonald80c1,000$799 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$200.839,28644.3%4,110 W · 5,176 L-245.7wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-12.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xbcb8…3058backed Felipe Meligeni Alves21c915.16$192 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$192.187865.4%51 W · 27 L+5.3wins+0.07per pick59cpaid+6.9%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x99fb…acbabacked Mackenzie McDonald80c896.03$717 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$179.2125764.6%166 W · 91 L-9.1wins-0.04per pick68cpaid-7.2%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x64f4…b38ebacked Felipe Meligeni Alves12c833.33$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10027732.5%90 W · 187 L-9.9wins-0.04per pick36cpaid-22.1%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x710c…78eabacked Mackenzie McDonald78c805.5$627 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$178.231,04058.2%605 W · 435 L-17.6wins-0.02per pick60cpaid-7.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe0b0…5294backed Felipe Meligeni Alves17c779.99$132 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$131.8645850.7%232 W · 226 L-1.7wins0.00per pick51cpaid-0.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x42c9…9623backed Felipe Meligeni Alves14c779.98$106 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$105.684,70349.4%2,323 W · 2,380 L+166.5wins+0.04per pick46cpaid-3.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xa599…5230backed Felipe Meligeni Alves4c765.66$28 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28.426121.3%13 W · 48 L+1.3wins+0.02per pick19cpaid-7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x64ae…23c4backed Felipe Meligeni Alves14c719.42$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1002828.6%8 W · 20 L-1.0wins-0.04per pick32cpaid-27.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x22b8…8b13backed Felipe Meligeni Alves4c636.86$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.296619.7%13 W · 53 L-1.3wins-0.02per pick22cpaid-17.9%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xc367…a0b4backed Mackenzie McDonald79c629.35$497 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$132.1646435.3%164 W · 300 L-19.0wins-0.04per pick39cpaid-8.7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xc7d0…1f8abacked Mackenzie McDonald73c584$424 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$160.311,00843.8%442 W · 566 L-2.6wins0.00per pick44cpaid-12.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x46f1…f937backed Felipe Meligeni Alves5c560.4$28 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28.026630.3%20 W · 46 L-3.7wins-0.06per pick36cpaid-2.9%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xc470…c792backed Felipe Meligeni Alves13c554.07$74 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$74.421,50435.1%528 W · 976 L+12.5wins+0.01per pick34cpaid+0.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x292b…bf0ebacked Mackenzie McDonald79c511.6$406 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$105.493354.5%18 W · 15 L-0.1wins0.00per pick55cpaid+3.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9c29…8c43backed Felipe Meligeni Alves4c493.33$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$206923.2%16 W · 53 L+4.3wins+0.06per pick17cpaid+7.2%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x34f9…12ebbacked Felipe Meligeni Alves20c470.8$94 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$94.1618430.4%56 W · 128 L-1.4wins-0.01per pick31cpaid-1.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xda77…683fbacked Mackenzie McDonald77c453.11$347 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$106.215,41648.6%2,633 W · 2,783 L+14.5wins0.00per pick48cpaid-9.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf970…f7f6backed Felipe Meligeni Alves5c400$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$202,48535.9%893 W · 1,592 L-28.5wins-0.01per pick37cpaid-5.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x01c7…e995backed Felipe Meligeni Alves5c374.08$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.72,46238.5%948 W · 1,514 L+93.1wins+0.04per pick35cpaid+13.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x91b6…4b40backed Felipe Meligeni Alves27c367.65$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10030625.8%79 W · 227 L-28.6wins-0.09per pick35cpaid-29.9%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0x1ba4…6de0backed Felipe Meligeni Alves15c364.31$56 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$56.2528048.9%137 W · 143 L-14.9wins-0.05per pick54cpaid-17.4%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x4748…9666backed Felipe Meligeni Alves29c343.26$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10048440.3%195 W · 289 L-4.3wins-0.01per pick41cpaid-5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe907…cff6backed Felipe Meligeni Alves26c339.62$90 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$89.942,85439.5%1,126 W · 1,728 L-83.5wins-0.03per pick42cpaid-22.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x8ad5…ccdebacked Felipe Meligeni Alves6c330.33$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.3255032.7%180 W · 370 L-6.7wins-0.01per pick34cpaid-8.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x985d…33c9backed Felipe Meligeni Alves4c285.18$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.411,30036.9%480 W · 820 L-34.2wins-0.03per pick40cpaid-4.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x1dcd…0320backed Felipe Meligeni Alves36c278.59$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1004141.5%17 W · 24 L+3.3wins+0.08per pick33cpaid+17.3%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x18a4…3a31backed Felipe Meligeni Alves15c274.14$42 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$42.3180341.8%336 W · 467 L-20.6wins-0.03per pick44cpaid-18.9%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xf96d…20bebacked Felipe Meligeni Alves4c270.5$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.5248214.1%68 W · 414 L-14.8wins-0.03per pick17cpaid-29.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x7495…7fcfbacked Felipe Meligeni Alves5c249.99$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.519411.9%23 W · 171 L-1.6wins-0.01per pick13cpaid-8.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9ab3…3044backed Felipe Meligeni Alves17c243.14$42 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$42.4830132.9%99 W · 202 L-2.8wins-0.01per pick34cpaid-5.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xbca6…6d74backed Felipe Meligeni Alves21c240.38$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50.487129.6%21 W · 50 L-0.3wins0.00per pick30cpaid-12.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5fe6…a99fbacked Felipe Meligeni Alves18c235.19$43 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4375312.2%92 W · 661 L-21.3wins-0.03per pick15cpaid-25.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x0374…1782backed Felipe Meligeni Alves9c214.51$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$202615.4%4 W · 22 L+0.5wins+0.02per pick13cpaid-25.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x50b9…4467backed Felipe Meligeni Alves26c213.71$56 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$55.7338033.9%129 W · 251 L+0.1wins0.00per pick34cpaid-3.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x80d8…b703backed Mackenzie McDonald79c199.52$158 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$41.374,76547%2,238 W · 2,527 L-82.2wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-9.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2ba1…b0b6backed Mackenzie McDonald70c194.98$136 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$59.09560%3 W · 2 L-0.2wins-0.03per pick63cpaid-15.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb155…ca84backed Felipe Meligeni Alves16c185.99$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29.5292046.6%429 W · 491 L-14.2wins-0.02per pick48cpaid-9.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xbb91…dd87backed Felipe Meligeni Alves27c183.09$49 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$494012.5%5 W · 35 L-4.6wins-0.12per pick24cpaid-52%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x3cdd…db30backed Felipe Meligeni Alves26c163.09$43 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4318724.6%46 W · 141 L-5.5wins-0.03per pick28cpaid-8.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x39dc…fc23backed Felipe Meligeni Alves34c150$51 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$51.411,86144.4%827 W · 1,034 L-15.1wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-5.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9c26…d474backed Mackenzie McDonald72c139.64$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$39.6488935.2%313 W · 576 L+1.6wins0.00per pick35cpaid+2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6c5c…91fcbacked Felipe Meligeni Alves38c129.97$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5044751.7%231 W · 216 L-2.8wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-3.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1a59…a57ebacked Mackenzie McDonald63c120.15$75 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$44.8485449.6%424 W · 430 L+21.3wins+0.02per pick47cpaid+0.6%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x9c8d…4f5cbacked Mackenzie McDonald79c116.41$92 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$24.4513040%52 W · 78 L-6.3wins-0.05per pick45cpaid-17%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x99bc…4f35backed Mackenzie McDonald74c109.56$81 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$28.491,37916.4%226 W · 1,153 L-108.5wins-0.08per pick24cpaid-49.2%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0xb4ec…1cc8backed Felipe Meligeni Alves17c109.31$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1932333.4%108 W · 215 L-7.7wins-0.02per pick36cpaid-6.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7a18…61a0backed Felipe Meligeni Alves19c101.31$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1952155.3%288 W · 233 L+27.3wins+0.05per pick50cpaid+4%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x6796…453fbacked Felipe Meligeni Alves39c100$39 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$39.594447.7%450 W · 494 L+34.5wins+0.04per pick44cpaid+2.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xb37a…d90fbacked Felipe Meligeni Alves19c100$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$191145.5%5 W · 6 L-0.8wins-0.07per pick52cpaid-26.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x561d…4134backed Mackenzie McDonald61c100$61 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3944949.4%222 W · 227 L+23.1wins+0.05per pick44cpaid+3.6%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x2f26…0d8fbacked Felipe Meligeni Alves17c87$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$151,53240.7%624 W · 908 L-48.7wins-0.03per pick44cpaid-20.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xe368…e9edbacked Felipe Meligeni Alves26c75.82$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2037436.4%136 W · 238 L-16.2wins-0.04per pick41cpaid-15.5%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x23df…640abacked Mackenzie McDonald72c70.94$51 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20.2247857.9%277 W · 201 L+24.2wins+0.05per pick53cpaid+7.5%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x6fb2…bd2dbacked Mackenzie McDonald79c68.61$54 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14.6316549.7%82 W · 83 L+0.4wins0.00per pick49cpaid-2.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa99f…164bbacked Felipe Meligeni Alves24c63.72$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1527528.4%78 W · 197 L-1.4wins-0.01per pick29cpaid-7.5%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x0195…9f64backed Mackenzie McDonald79c63.29$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13.2925768.9%177 W · 80 L-5.1wins-0.02per pick71cpaid-3.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0eca…c56abacked Felipe Meligeni Alves40c60$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2479052.9%418 W · 372 L+24.0wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+2.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x071f…92bdbacked Mackenzie McDonald78c54.23$43 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11.711,07673.8%794 W · 282 L+41.1wins+0.04per pick70cpaid+5.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xfd51…ce69backed Mackenzie McDonald77c50.41$39 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11.7237156.3%209 W · 162 L+11.0wins+0.03per pick53cpaid-0.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x9bbf…49c1backed Mackenzie McDonald78c49.99$39 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10.7514852%77 W · 71 L+0.9wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+0.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xfc5e…f0c5backed Mackenzie McDonald74c47.95$36 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12.3123272.8%169 W · 63 L-4.7wins-0.02per pick75cpaid-2.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1c70…b25ebacked Mackenzie McDonald76c39.6$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9.659965.8%394 W · 205 L+4.1wins+0.01per pick65cpaid-1.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2be0…75b0backed Mackenzie McDonald77c38.72$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8.722584%21 W · 4 L+3.1wins+0.12per pick72cpaid+25.1%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xd93e…7434backed Mackenzie McDonald58c32.83$19 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13.799450%47 W · 47 L+3.8wins+0.04per pick46cpaid+4.9%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x14f3…0796backed Mackenzie McDonald80c28.26$23 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5.691,23446.3%571 W · 663 L+8.7wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-4.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xddfc…cd9ebacked Mackenzie McDonald77c25.75$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$66259.7%37 W · 25 L+1.5wins+0.02per pick57cpaid+3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf799…9451backed Mackenzie McDonald75c25$19 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6.17475%3 W · 1 L+0.4wins+0.09per pick66cpaid+14.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x782d…8211backed Mackenzie McDonald76c23.42$18 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5.6870456.8%400 W · 304 L-20.1wins-0.03per pick60cpaid-5.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x53e2…c81fbacked Mackenzie McDonald74c20.13$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5.138762.1%54 W · 33 L+0.7wins+0.01per pick61cpaid+2.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0c0b…c814backed Mackenzie McDonald67c20$13 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6.638459.9%230 W · 154 L+29.8wins+0.08per pick52cpaid+17.4%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x3308…f04bbacked Mackenzie McDonald63c20$13 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7.463144.1%278 W · 353 L-0.3wins0.00per pick44cpaid-12.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x349e…867bbacked Mackenzie McDonald79c16.98$13 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3.5675350.5%380 W · 373 L+5.7wins+0.01per pick50cpaid-0.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.