Premier League · resolved market
Swansea City AFC vs. Coventry City FC: Both Teams to Score
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x4ae80d1a2fe59f958c7deb8aa739f6f359fca3958ebd1e6399be33d55fdd8409
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Premier Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- Polymarket published no figure
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $7,353
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $7,353 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 18 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Premier League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Premier League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x204f…5e14backed No | 53c | 5,428$2,851 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,576.99 | 6,117 | 45.8%2,803 W · 3,314 L | -28.6wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xaebf…e1cabacked Yes | 46c | 4,998$2,319 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,319.07 | 164 | 37.2%61 W · 103 L | -7.4wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe35b…d8d0backed Yes | 51c | 529.1$270 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$269.84 | 16 | 37.5%6 W · 10 L | -1.0wins | -0.06per pick | 44cpaid | -5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8709…7d3dbacked Yes | 57c | 228.07$130 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$130 | 56 | 46.4%26 W · 30 L | -3.1wins | -0.06per pick | 52cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x90df…a209backed No | 56c | 143.57$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.57 | 30 | 63.3%19 W · 11 L | +3.0wins | +0.10per pick | 53cpaid | +14.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked No | 43c | 116.66$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66.5 | 2,550 | 47.8%1,218 W · 1,332 L | +45.2wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa580…a6febacked No | 44c | 113.64$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.64 | 8 | 75%6 W · 2 L | +1.8wins | +0.22per pick | 53cpaid | +46.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x05d3…c06abacked Yes | 50c | 100$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 50 | 48%24 W · 26 L | -1.7wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4a4b…bbcabacked Yes | 55c | 80$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44 | 556 | 54.9%305 W · 251 L | +8.0wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3d9f…77aebacked Yes | 57c | 70.18$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | -1.4wins | -0.14per pick | 54cpaid | -23.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc770…8dbbbacked Yes | 57c | 50$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.5 | 88 | 58%51 W · 37 L | -5.2wins | -0.06per pick | 64cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3abf…b143backed No | 55c | 47.83$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.47 | 497 | 53.7%267 W · 230 L | +27.6wins | +0.06per pick | 48cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x380c…1099backed Yes | 48c | 41.83$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 180 | 59.4%107 W · 73 L | -6.9wins | -0.04per pick | 63cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7f2d…fbf5backed Yes | 46c | 30$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.8 | 162 | 51.2%83 W · 79 L | +1.3wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Yes | 56c | 23.61$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.22 | 1,662 | 34.9%580 W · 1,082 L | -32.0wins | -0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked No | 47c | 21.94$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.58 | 4,744 | 41.8%1,983 W · 2,761 L | +28.2wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0079…b852backed Yes | 50c | 20$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 57 | 57.9%33 W · 24 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 59cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xee45…e055backed Yes | 57c | 20$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.4 | 82 | 58.5%48 W · 34 L | +1.3wins | +0.02per pick | 57cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Premier League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 8 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Swansea City AFC vs. Coventry City FC: Both Teams to Scorethis page
- Spread: Coventry City FC (-1.5)Coventry City FC won
- Spread: Coventry City FC (-2.5)Coventry City FC won
- Spread: Swansea City AFC (-1.5)Coventry City FC won
- Swansea City AFC vs. Coventry City FC: O/U 1.5Over won
- Swansea City AFC vs. Coventry City FC: O/U 2.5Over won
- Swansea City AFC vs. Coventry City FC: O/U 3.5Under won
- Swansea City AFC vs. Coventry City FC: O/U 4.5Under won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.