Premier League · resolved market
Swansea City AFC vs. Coventry City FC: O/U 2.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x26d184e3ed7f678d2ff59b50f21f209b535750be5b5af195a5f8fab7cb185413
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Premier Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- Polymarket published no figure
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $18,023
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $18,023 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 26 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Premier League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Premier League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xa1f3…d99cbacked Under | 50c | 5,314$2,657 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,656.79 | 59 | 47.5%28 W · 31 L | -1.1wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9fad…5a9fbacked Over | 50c | 5,000$2,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,500 | 506 | 44.3%224 W · 282 L | -14.0wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 58c | 3,232$1,864 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,864.13 | 6,117 | 45.8%2,803 W · 3,314 L | -28.6wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Over | 42c | 1,888$801 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,086.91 | 4,768 | 41.8%1,993 W · 2,775 L | +28.2wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2ea1…f17ebacked Under | 2c | 999.99$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16 | 8 | 12.5%1 W · 7 L | +0.8wins | +0.10per pick | 3cpaid | +212.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x77bc…b91bbacked Over | 44c | 716.22$317 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$398.78 | 1,938 | 42.5%823 W · 1,115 L | -41.5wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -17.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa557…5e8abacked Under | 2c | 700$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 93 | 3.2%3 W · 90 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 3cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed Over | 51c | 535.71$273 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$262.5 | 1,004 | 46.3%465 W · 539 L | +25.8wins | +0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7333…ca16backed Under | 2c | 437.67$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.38 | 30 | 3.3%1 W · 29 L | -1.5wins | -0.05per pick | 8cpaid | -93.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0c84…a8edbacked Under | 50c | 387.6$193 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$193 | 102 | 46.1%47 W · 55 L | -2.9wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6bb8…a6fabacked Over | 51c | 337.25$172 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$165.25 | 157 | 72%113 W · 44 L | +2.7wins | +0.02per pick | 70cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4306…618abacked Under | 49c | 234.69$115 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$115 | 90 | 53.3%48 W · 42 L | -2.1wins | -0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9cf7…e5a5backed Over | 48c | 208.33$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$108.33 | 167 | 31.7%53 W · 114 L | -18.5wins | -0.11per pick | 43cpaid | -26.6%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xe761…8a64backed Under | 49c | 156.29$77 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$76.58 | 19 | 42.1%8 W · 11 L | -1.7wins | -0.09per pick | 51cpaid | -19.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked Under | 49c | 135.95$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66.62 | 2,558 | 47.7%1,221 W · 1,337 L | +44.2wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x04b7…7491backed Over | 50c | 100$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50 | 33 | 42.4%14 W · 19 L | -3.0wins | -0.09per pick | 52cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf2ba…4028backed Over | 35c | 100$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$65 | 596 | 45.5%271 W · 325 L | +3.8wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf38c…d9f2backed Over | 44c | 90.91$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.91 | 177 | 45.2%80 W · 97 L | -7.6wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Under | 65c | 87.44$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.84 | 2,212 | 49.3%1,091 W · 1,121 L | -9.3wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4a4b…bbcabacked Over | 51c | 79.99$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.2 | 559 | 55.1%308 W · 251 L | +9.5wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8dec…60c2backed Over | 50c | 62.95$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.48 | 50 | 52%26 W · 24 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf059…6dd9backed Under | 50c | 60$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 65 | 67.7%44 W · 21 L | +12.6wins | +0.19per pick | 48cpaid | +41%equal weight | 66+0.14 edge/pick |
| 0xc770…8dbbbacked Over | 51c | 50$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.5 | 88 | 58%51 W · 37 L | -5.2wins | -0.06per pick | 64cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb6c5…20d0backed Under | 50c | 38.15$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.08 | 53 | 50.9%27 W · 26 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x90df…a209backed Under | 63c | 31.54$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 30 | 63.3%19 W · 11 L | +3.0wins | +0.10per pick | 53cpaid | +14.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3abf…b143backed Under | 60c | 26.39$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.77 | 497 | 53.7%267 W · 230 L | +27.6wins | +0.06per pick | 48cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Premier League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 8 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Swansea City AFC vs. Coventry City FC: O/U 2.5this page
- Spread: Coventry City FC (-1.5)Coventry City FC won
- Spread: Coventry City FC (-2.5)Coventry City FC won
- Spread: Swansea City AFC (-1.5)Coventry City FC won
- Swansea City AFC vs. Coventry City FC: Both Teams to ScoreNo won
- Swansea City AFC vs. Coventry City FC: O/U 1.5Over won
- Swansea City AFC vs. Coventry City FC: O/U 3.5Under won
- Swansea City AFC vs. Coventry City FC: O/U 4.5Under won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.