La Liga · resolved market
Spread: SD Eibar (-1.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x8eb1de80d02dbc34d47cb5b1c4c5d24e9fe9f62bec5d04afa7365eb1556efb1b
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Real Sociedad de Fútbol Bof SD Eibar, Real Sociedad de Fútbol B
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- La Ligaevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $3,092
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $3,285
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $3,092 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 12 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in La Liga is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in La Liga | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x9902…34b3backed SD Eibar | 19c | 1,109$211 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$210.63 | 44 | 40.9%18 W · 26 L | +1.3wins | +0.03per pick | 38cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Real Sociedad de Fútbol B | 79c | 865.87$688 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$177.59 | 4,740 | 47%2,230 W · 2,510 L | -23.9wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe35b…d8d0backed SD Eibar | 40c | 211.13$84 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$83.73 | 37 | 48.6%18 W · 19 L | +1.1wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +9.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Real Sociedad de Fútbol B | 60c | 160.13$96 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$64.05 | 3,449 | 43%1,484 W · 1,965 L | +32.1wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xab90…a576backed Real Sociedad de Fútbol B | 62c | 160.01$99 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60.8 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.39per pick | 62cpaid | +62.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa162…366bbacked SD Eibar | 19c | 98.21$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.66 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.23per pick | 23cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed SD Eibar | 20c | 93.29$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.96 | 1,508 | 38.7%583 W · 925 L | +12.4wins | +0.01per pick | 38cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7113…dba4backed SD Eibar | 37c | 81.08$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 204 | 41.7%85 W · 119 L | -3.3wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x873d…f7a9backed SD Eibar | 20c | 73.24$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 20 | 50%10 W · 10 L | -2.0wins | -0.10per pick | 60cpaid | -18.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed Real Sociedad de Fútbol B | 80c | 38$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.6 | 1,566 | 51.6%808 W · 758 L | -8.8wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9bd9…084fbacked Real Sociedad de Fútbol B | 61c | 30$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.7 | 69 | 50.7%35 W · 34 L | -2.8wins | -0.04per pick | 55cpaid | -16.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1d94…9100backed Real Sociedad de Fútbol B | 70c | 18.39$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.52 | 791 | 33%261 W · 530 L | -8.9wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in La Liga and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 8 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spread: SD Eibar (-1.5)this page
- Real Sociedad de Fútbol B vs. SD Eibar: Both Teams to ScoreNo won
- Real Sociedad de Fútbol B vs. SD Eibar: O/U 1.5Under won
- Real Sociedad de Fútbol B vs. SD Eibar: O/U 2.5Under won
- Real Sociedad de Fútbol B vs. SD Eibar: O/U 3.5Under won
- Real Sociedad de Fútbol B vs. SD Eibar: O/U 4.5Under won
- Spread: Real Sociedad de Fútbol B (-2.5)SD Eibar won
- Spread: SD Eibar (-2.5)Real Sociedad de Fútbol B won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.