La Liga · resolved market
Real Sociedad de Fútbol B vs. SD Eibar: O/U 1.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x978333632de7d96247b071fece58d5e363af34d859a6bcd1d4515a7c33002a74
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- La Ligaevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $11,771
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $11,479
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $11,771 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 44 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in La Liga is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in La Liga | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x1ad6…caadbacked Over | 70c | 4,021$2,833 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,832.82 | 14 | 42.9%6 W · 8 L | -2.4wins | -0.17per pick | 60cpaid | -41.9%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Under | 27c | 3,537$972 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,564.82 | 3,444 | 43%1,482 W · 1,962 L | +31.8wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xeda0…7dffbacked Over | 16c | 867.11$136 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$136.06 | 128 | 21.1%27 W · 101 L | -12.2wins | -0.10per pick | 31cpaid | -51.7%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 31c | 718.86$226 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$493.01 | 4,729 | 47.1%2,225 W · 2,504 L | -24.0wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Under | 57c | 472.13$271 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$200.76 | 1,798 | 51.4%924 W · 874 L | +6.3wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked Under | 27c | 423.86$115 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$308.63 | 2,339 | 48.5%1,135 W · 1,204 L | +1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8a81…a86bbacked Over | 67c | 348.39$232 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$231.75 | 174 | 66.1%115 W · 59 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 67cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb44e…c2c6backed Over | 77c | 250$193 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$192.5 | 34 | 41.2%14 W · 20 L | -3.9wins | -0.12per pick | 53cpaid | -28.8%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Under | 67c | 207.71$139 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$68.85 | 1,018 | 53.1%541 W · 477 L | -24.8wins | -0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd179…361ebacked Over | 27c | 184.91$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 29 | 72.4%21 W · 8 L | +7.0wins | +0.24per pick | 48cpaid | +39.9%equal weight | 64+0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x024f…5857backed Over | 75c | 178.88$135 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$135 | 31 | 54.8%17 W · 14 L | +0.9wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +15.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8c0d…b612backed Over | 57c | 175.44$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 223 | 57%127 W · 96 L | +1.8wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed Under | 28c | 141.99$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$101.69 | 1,559 | 51.6%804 W · 755 L | -9.3wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Under | 21c | 135.6$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$107.68 | 1,497 | 38.6%578 W · 919 L | +12.4wins | +0.01per pick | 38cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe1e3…4f06backed Over | 69c | 133.9$92 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$92.39 | 21 | 61.9%13 W · 8 L | +0.6wins | +0.03per pick | 59cpaid | -11%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0a76…b30fbacked Over | 45c | 111.11$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 153 | 44.4%68 W · 85 L | +2.1wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf2ba…4028backed Over | 77c | 100$77 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$77 | 627 | 44.3%278 W · 349 L | -2.2wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3482…fa0ebacked Over | 41c | 100$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41 | 14 | 42.9%6 W · 8 L | -1.1wins | -0.08per pick | 51cpaid | -19%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x447d…bd4abacked Over | 52c | 96.15$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 42 | 38.1%16 W · 26 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x806b…cccabacked Under | 29c | 94.72$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$67.06 | 18 | 38.9%7 W · 11 L | -0.7wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -20.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4820…c613backed Over | 27c | 81.71$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.35 | 11 | 27.3%3 W · 8 L | -1.4wins | -0.13per pick | 40cpaid | -41.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdaf9…1646backed Over | 74c | 79.73$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59 | 22 | 59.1%13 W · 9 L | -1.3wins | -0.06per pick | 65cpaid | -14.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3622…083dbacked Over | 28c | 71.43$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 32 | 53.1%17 W · 15 L | +3.0wins | +0.09per pick | 44cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0293…f15bbacked Over | 73c | 71.23$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52 | 26 | 69.2%18 W · 8 L | +0.7wins | +0.03per pick | 67cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfbeb…1b63backed Over | 74c | 67.57$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.14per pick | 64cpaid | -22.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc003…47a8backed Over | 70c | 65.84$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.09 | 21 | 47.6%10 W · 11 L | +0.5wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdbde…8320backed Over | 76c | 65.79$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 15 | 53.3%8 W · 7 L | -0.5wins | -0.03per pick | 57cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x16b4…168fbacked Over | 43c | 63$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.09 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -15.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdc32…00bfbacked Over | 49c | 61.22$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 101 | 55.4%56 W · 45 L | +4.9wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +9.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7502…c66abacked Under | 26c | 46.77$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.77 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.7wins | +0.43per pick | 32cpaid | +138.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xbe81…0dbcbacked Over | 27c | 42.99$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.55 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.8wins | +0.17per pick | 43cpaid | +22.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Under | 73c | 40.77$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.01 | 284 | 46.5%132 W · 152 L | -16.8wins | -0.06per pick | 52cpaid | -13.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd2ea…05b8backed Over | 72c | 38.89$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28 | 16 | 62.5%10 W · 6 L | -1.4wins | -0.09per pick | 71cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5929…4684backed Under | 73c | 37.44$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.11 | 50 | 36%18 W · 32 L | -8.5wins | -0.17per pick | 53cpaid | -44.3%equal weight | 37-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xfa99…cf1fbacked Over | 72c | 34.72$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 25 | 72%18 W · 7 L | +0.6wins | +0.02per pick | 70cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xac27…18e7backed Over | 74c | 34.55$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.57 | 35 | 77.1%27 W · 8 L | +3.0wins | +0.09per pick | 68cpaid | +13.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf788…6f86backed Over | 71c | 28.17$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 107 | 61.7%66 W · 41 L | -7.2wins | -0.07per pick | 68cpaid | -10%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5d13…b939backed Over | 72c | 27.78$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 53 | 71.7%38 W · 15 L | +1.0wins | +0.02per pick | 70cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe824…65b4backed Over | 72c | 27$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.44 | 118 | 55.9%66 W · 52 L | -1.8wins | -0.01per pick | 57cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x14f2…2cb0backed Under | 40c | 25$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | +0.3wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x97b2…1c44backed Over | 50c | 20$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 64 | 50%32 W · 32 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5d84…7b78backed Over | 76c | 16.46$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.51 | 27 | 59.3%16 W · 11 L | -0.7wins | -0.03per pick | 62cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9eae…98a5backed Over | 73c | 15.07$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 117 | 69.2%81 W · 36 L | +0.9wins | +0.01per pick | 68cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd891…c65ebacked Over | 73c | 14.97$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.93 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.11per pick | 61cpaid | 0%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in La Liga and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 8 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Real Sociedad de Fútbol B vs. SD Eibar: O/U 1.5this page
- Real Sociedad de Fútbol B vs. SD Eibar: Both Teams to ScoreNo won
- Real Sociedad de Fútbol B vs. SD Eibar: O/U 2.5Under won
- Real Sociedad de Fútbol B vs. SD Eibar: O/U 3.5Under won
- Real Sociedad de Fútbol B vs. SD Eibar: O/U 4.5Under won
- Spread: Real Sociedad de Fútbol B (-2.5)SD Eibar won
- Spread: SD Eibar (-1.5)Real Sociedad de Fútbol B won
- Spread: SD Eibar (-2.5)Real Sociedad de Fútbol B won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.