TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

La Liga · resolved market

Real Sociedad de Fútbol B vs. SD Eibar: O/U 2.5

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Underof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
La Ligaevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$66,849
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$67,867

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $66,849 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 94 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in La Liga is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in La Liga
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x3b14…5301backed Over0c30,023$36 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$35.554712.8%6 W · 41 L-2.5wins-0.05per pick18cpaid-65.9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xd6a3…9489backed Under52c6,907$3,620 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,287.4469142.5%294 W · 397 L-21.4wins-0.03per pick46cpaid-14%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Under60c4,718$2,819 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,898.633,44943%1,484 W · 1,965 L+32.1wins+0.01per pick42cpaid-10.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x144e…eca0backed Over48c4,110$1,973 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,972.61333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.6wins-0.20per pick53cpaid-39.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1ad6…caadbacked Over46c3,883$1,772 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,771.671442.9%6 W · 8 L-2.4wins-0.17per pick60cpaid-41.9%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x2ec7…db02backed Over48c3,494$1,678 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,678.05837.5%3 W · 5 L-1.0wins-0.12per pick50cpaid-27.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xe524…d34fbacked Under51c3,133$1,598 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,535.053839.5%15 W · 23 L+0.4wins+0.01per pick38cpaid+1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xfe78…0319backed Under52c2,777$1,454 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,323.3183444.6%372 W · 462 L+14.9wins+0.02per pick43cpaid+7.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Under57c2,534$1,457 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,076.974,74047%2,230 W · 2,510 L-23.9wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-10.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4f42…8bbcbacked Over35c2,035$715 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$71517731.1%55 W · 122 L-3.5wins-0.02per pick33cpaid-3.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8e5a…154cbacked Over42c1,545$649 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$648.8612650.8%64 W · 62 L+3.5wins+0.03per pick48cpaid+2.1%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xc95b…f819backed Over49c1,535$751 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7512250%11 W · 11 L+0.3wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+5.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd871…6bbabacked Over49c1,491$731 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$730.655341.5%22 W · 31 L-0.4wins-0.01per pick42cpaid-14.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xeda0…7dffbacked Over31c1,264$389 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$388.9312821.1%27 W · 101 L-12.2wins-0.10per pick31cpaid-51.7%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked Under57c1,188$680 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$507.741,79851.4%924 W · 874 L+6.3wins0.00per pick51cpaid-2.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9541…3b71backed Under53c1,109$588 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$521.232100%2 W · 0 L+0.8wins+0.38per pick62cpaid+64.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x46cf…42eabacked Over49c1,099$538 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$538.471643.8%7 W · 9 L-1.7wins-0.10per pick54cpaid-21.8%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x1aa2…30ccbacked Over48c829.08$400 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4005149%25 W · 26 L-0.9wins-0.02per pick51cpaid-2.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9f7e…c230backed Over48c628.71$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30012445.2%56 W · 68 L+1.7wins+0.01per pick44cpaid+1.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7ea5…de7bbacked Over47c554.17$261 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$260.912,34348.5%1,137 W · 1,206 L+1.9wins0.00per pick48cpaid-2.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xad18…0b4fbacked Over40c530.61$212 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$212.244344.2%19 W · 24 L+3.1wins+0.07per pick37cpaid+33.2%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xfbb5…2b6abacked Over43c513.9$220 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22022729.1%66 W · 161 L+8.7wins+0.04per pick25cpaid-3.9%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xc1d4…8e51backed Over42c500$210 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2101952.6%10 W · 9 L+2.1wins+0.11per pick41cpaid+23.4%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xd06f…0263backed Over47c415.89$195 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$195.473655.6%20 W · 16 L+1.2wins+0.03per pick52cpaid+9.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xbf9c…3648backed Under52c384.62$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$184.623873.7%28 W · 10 L+6.8wins+0.18per pick56cpaid+31.5%equal weight62+0.11 edge/pick
0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Under52c363.71$189 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$174.5850149.5%248 W · 253 L+4.7wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x11e1…8d38backed Over9c355.73$33 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$331428.6%4 W · 10 L-0.7wins-0.05per pick34cpaid-57.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2d6a…8addbacked Over47c318.92$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$149.8775451.2%386 W · 368 L+3.8wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+0.4%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x8c0d…b612backed Over49c306.12$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15022357%127 W · 96 L+1.8wins+0.01per pick56cpaid+3.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc74b…9089backed Under53c284.06$150 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$134.06580%4 W · 1 L+1.4wins+0.29per pick51cpaid+54.3%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xfce1…4f4cbacked Under62c268.46$167 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$101.486982.6%57 W · 12 L+15.0wins+0.22per pick61cpaid+37%equal weight68+0.16 edge/pick
0x82de…1337backed Under76c255.38$194 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$61.8222758.1%132 W · 95 L+9.3wins+0.04per pick54cpaid+4.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xc629…5e51backed Over40c252.54$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10010547.6%50 W · 55 L+0.3wins0.00per pick47cpaid+0.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x199a…b9d4backed Under33c250.33$83 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$167.72333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.1wins-0.03per pick36cpaid+1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd809…6542backed Under76c244.45$185 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$59.7820360.1%122 W · 81 L+8.5wins+0.04per pick56cpaid+6.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x2373…a1f3backed Under74c216.18$160 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$56.2617659.7%105 W · 71 L+8.2wins+0.05per pick55cpaid+8.1%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x2060…9186backed Over49c204.08$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10019344.6%86 W · 107 L+1.0wins+0.01per pick44cpaid+4.2%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x2652…2a1dbacked Under59c199.17$118 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$81.441,01853.1%541 W · 477 L-24.8wins-0.02per pick56cpaid-9.8%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x2ee7…4c1abacked Under53c195.53$104 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$91.866373%46 W · 17 L+7.3wins+0.12per pick61cpaid+15.9%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xd51e…ac0cbacked Under69c176.34$122 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$54.6217856.7%101 W · 77 L+4.1wins+0.02per pick54cpaid+3.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xcf73…0215backed Over47c172.34$81 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8169750.8%354 W · 343 L+3.0wins0.00per pick50cpaid-0.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x86fb…03d4backed Under69c168.98$116 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$52.7422455.8%125 W · 99 L-1.7wins-0.01per pick57cpaid-3.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9902…34b3backed Under52c158.85$83 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$75.774440.9%18 W · 26 L+1.3wins+0.03per pick38cpaid-11.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc291…5d74backed Under46c154.01$72 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$82.421,50838.7%583 W · 925 L+12.4wins+0.01per pick38cpaid+0.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe6a3…04bebacked Under66c150.9$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$50.910957.8%63 W · 46 L+0.9wins+0.01per pick57cpaid-2.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x30db…44e1backed Under56c145.12$81 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$63.8911266.1%74 W · 38 L+6.9wins+0.06per pick60cpaid+3.5%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xd01c…7f9dbacked Over47c128.54$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$60.4289050%445 W · 445 L+24.8wins+0.03per pick47cpaid+3.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x3c7f…4c60backed Over45c113.64$51 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50.99050%45 W · 45 L+1.5wins+0.02per pick48cpaid-5.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf38c…d9f2backed Over49c107.39$53 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$52.6212044.2%53 W · 67 L-3.8wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-5.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x8193…8c82backed Over49c102.04$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$503540%14 W · 21 L-1.1wins-0.03per pick43cpaid-11.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x033a…586dbacked Over43c100.34$43 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$43.4310041%41 W · 59 L-13.6wins-0.14per pick55cpaid-26.5%equal weight38-0.11 edge/pick
0xf2ba…4028backed Over42c100$42 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4262744.3%278 W · 349 L-2.2wins0.00per pick45cpaid-5.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc9b7…93ebbacked Under53c94.34$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$44.343979.5%31 W · 8 L+7.1wins+0.18per pick61cpaid+28.8%equal weight62+0.11 edge/pick
0x200f…7a96backed Under54c91.75$49 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$42.481,56651.6%808 W · 758 L-8.8wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-0.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x948b…a188backed Under53c90.75$48 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$42.6533161.3%203 W · 128 L+12.1wins+0.04per pick58cpaid+3.7%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xa64e…5d27backed Over48c90.63$44 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$43.5837.5%3 W · 5 L-1.9wins-0.23per pick61cpaid-36.9%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x0576…6232backed Under57c80.01$45 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$34.5518747.1%88 W · 99 L-3.3wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-3.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5aea…eff2backed Over47c77.36$36 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$36.361435.7%5 W · 9 L-1.6wins-0.12per pick47cpaid-23.8%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x8e1c…a9a5backed Under44c69.89$31 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$39.296136.1%22 W · 39 L-4.6wins-0.07per pick44cpaid-11.1%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xc119…7d4dbacked Over45c66.7$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3032444.8%145 W · 179 L-2.1wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-0.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8a81…a86bbacked Over69c61.47$42 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$42.317466.1%115 W · 59 L-1.1wins-0.01per pick67cpaid-0.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3622…083dbacked Over42c57.14$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$243253.1%17 W · 15 L+3.0wins+0.09per pick44cpaid+5.6%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x6924…1455backed Under54c55.56$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$25.561163.6%7 W · 4 L+2.4wins+0.21per pick42cpaid+50.5%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0x7113…dba4backed Over57c54.91$31 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$31.320441.7%85 W · 119 L-3.3wins-0.02per pick43cpaid-6.1%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x806b…cccabacked Over43c54.26$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23.551838.9%7 W · 11 L-0.7wins-0.04per pick43cpaid-20.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb06a…1924backed Under53c51.58$27 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$24.24475%3 W · 1 L+1.1wins+0.28per pick47cpaid+61.6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x67e6…86edbacked Under52c50$26 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2420245.5%92 W · 110 L-10.4wins-0.05per pick51cpaid-12.7%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x0c1c…dd59backed Over30c49.7$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$151216.7%2 W · 10 L-2.0wins-0.17per pick34cpaid-49.2%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x1d94…9100backed Under55c48$26 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21.679133%261 W · 530 L-8.9wins-0.01per pick34cpaid-8.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8217…4936backed Under53c46.55$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21.8812156.2%68 W · 53 L+5.8wins+0.05per pick51cpaid+3.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x0095…42c1backed Over46c43.48$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2022157%126 W · 95 L+6.2wins+0.03per pick54cpaid+4.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x024f…5857backed Over49c40.82$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$203154.8%17 W · 14 L+0.9wins+0.03per pick52cpaid+15.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe29c…a31dbacked Over29c40.67$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.864443.2%19 W · 25 L+2.8wins+0.06per pick37cpaid+16.7%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xaab6…607ebacked Under54c40.2$22 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18.4924546.9%115 W · 130 L-8.5wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-9.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x3123…b44dbacked Under55c40$22 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$182254.5%12 W · 10 L0.0wins0.00per pick54cpaid+4.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x423d…c621backed Over39c38.93$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$156450%32 W · 32 L+1.4wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+6.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe24f…d68abacked Under54c37.04$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17.043171%22 W · 9 L+5.0wins+0.16per pick55cpaid+30.8%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x9b89…99e2backed Under52c37$19 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17.7630749.2%151 W · 156 L+0.7wins0.00per pick49cpaid-1.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb089…a271backed Over42c35.95$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$155343.4%23 W · 30 L-0.4wins-0.01per pick44cpaid+5.1%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0xb1cc…1958backed Under52c30.4$16 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14.593369.7%23 W · 10 L+2.4wins+0.07per pick62cpaid+6.6%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x2463…f5b5backed Under60c30$18 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1213760.6%83 W · 54 L+2.8wins+0.02per pick59cpaid+6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x97f7…ada9backed Under52c28.85$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13.851850%9 W · 9 L-0.6wins-0.03per pick53cpaid-15.7%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xaa0f…574cbacked Under55c28.01$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12.585671.4%40 W · 16 L+6.3wins+0.11per pick60cpaid+9%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x380c…1099backed Over72c27.78$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2022366.8%149 W · 74 L+5.5wins+0.02per pick64cpaid+3.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7d29…c9eebacked Over60c25.06$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$153164.5%20 W · 11 L+1.1wins+0.04per pick61cpaid-2.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x16fe…9496backed Over62c25$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.520947.4%99 W · 110 L+1.8wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-0.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x65b3…7fc9backed Under60c23.31$14 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9.313345.5%15 W · 18 L-2.3wins-0.07per pick52cpaid-20.8%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x3d9d…7d9ebacked Under52c23.08$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11.085054%27 W · 23 L+3.6wins+0.07per pick47cpaid+8.4%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x858e…a4abbacked Over57c20$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.47946.8%37 W · 42 L-0.4wins-0.01per pick47cpaid+0.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x36cb…5bb7backed Under59c20$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8.24100%4 W · 0 L+1.2wins+0.31per pick69cpaid+45.9%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x72f5…a2e2backed Under52c19.32$10 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9.271100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.48per pick52cpaid+92.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x66e8…c0e2backed Under60c18.88$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7.551266.7%8 W · 4 L+1.2wins+0.10per pick57cpaid+14%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x3abf…b143backed Under73c16.35$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4.3841147.9%197 W · 214 L-9.3wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-6.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xda35…b894backed Over72c15.19$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.946963.8%44 W · 25 L+7.3wins+0.11per pick53cpaid+16.7%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in La Liga and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 8 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.