Other European Leagues · resolved market
Will FC Nordsjælland win on 2026-03-22?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x8d9e21c82e81d8cc7dcede35b0f1a515bea012829c726cea646120eaa6819665
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Other European Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- Polymarket published no figure
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $77,495
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $77,495 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 52 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Other European Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Other European Leagues | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x80cf…427dbacked Yes | 47c | 12,000$5,617 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,383.17 | 194 | 45.9%89 W · 105 L | +3.4wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed No | 53c | 4,671$2,464 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,464.15 | 7,889 | 45.4%3,579 W · 4,310 L | +11.2wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xee19…555ebacked Yes | 46c | 3,367$1,549 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,818.11 | 55 | 45.5%25 W · 30 L | -3.1wins | -0.06per pick | 51cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9fad…5a9fbacked Yes | 45c | 1,995$898 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,096.99 | 376 | 41.5%156 W · 220 L | -17.5wins | -0.05per pick | 46cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9cb4…8285backed Yes | 73c | 1,723$1,267 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$456.74 | 1,159 | 60.7%703 W · 456 L | +68.5wins | +0.06per pick | 55cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked No | 45c | 1,561$700 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$700.28 | 5,604 | 42%2,356 W · 3,248 L | +75.1wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe35b…d8d0backed Yes | 46c | 916.44$417 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$499.1 | 14 | 35.7%5 W · 9 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 35cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked No | 39c | 786.11$304 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$304.47 | 2,179 | 48%1,046 W · 1,133 L | -26.7wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -12%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2302…d6d2backed No | 56c | 742.84$414 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$413.64 | 306 | 56.2%172 W · 134 L | +1.6wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8929…733ebacked Yes | 45c | 681.75$308 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$373.68 | 70 | 24.3%17 W · 53 L | -3.6wins | -0.05per pick | 29cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd3d1…f540backed No | 54c | 454$245 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$245.16 | 16 | 37.5%6 W · 10 L | -1.2wins | -0.08per pick | 45cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5444…bbdabacked Yes | 47c | 426.89$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$226.89 | 10 | 70%7 W · 3 L | +1.4wins | +0.14per pick | 56cpaid | +24.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4133…5e70backed No | 53c | 345.39$181 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$181.48 | 2,130 | 45.8%975 W · 1,155 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2a67…5d96backed Yes | 45c | 274.71$124 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$151.09 | 12 | 33.3%4 W · 8 L | -2.4wins | -0.20per pick | 53cpaid | -44.9%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xdf3d…fd74backed No | 54c | 250.69$135 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$134.75 | 39 | 43.6%17 W · 22 L | -3.1wins | -0.08per pick | 51cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0f6e…84b4backed No | 50c | 250$125 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$125 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +1.5wins | +0.21per pick | 51cpaid | +44.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1f62…76f6backed Yes | 50c | 250$125 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$125 | 1,467 | 48%704 W · 763 L | +3.7wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed No | 33c | 218.43$73 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$73.02 | 2,640 | 35.7%942 W · 1,698 L | -15.8wins | -0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x718d…2b46backed No | 59c | 169.49$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 81 | 58%47 W · 34 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 57cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x29c0…efaabacked Yes | 49c | 166.11$81 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$84.8 | 1,441 | 51.1%736 W · 705 L | -16.4wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7a49…d9f5backed No | 47c | 158.14$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$74.69 | 940 | 43.7%411 W · 529 L | -10.1wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3abf…b143backed No | 56c | 113.8$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63.98 | 341 | 58.9%201 W · 140 L | +25.9wins | +0.08per pick | 51cpaid | +17.5%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x4488…579cbacked No | 56c | 88$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.28 | 39 | 53.8%21 W · 18 L | -0.8wins | -0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5814…229abacked No | 49c | 81.63$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 27 | 40.7%11 W · 16 L | -0.5wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed No | 54c | 75$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.5 | 2,543 | 52.4%1,333 W · 1,210 L | +18.3wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1813…4dfebacked No | 44c | 72.65$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.61 | 283 | 49.1%139 W · 144 L | -8.3wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa509…ae46backed No | 47c | 71.75$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.47 | 986 | 53.2%525 W · 461 L | +22.4wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x972b…78babacked No | 54c | 65$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.1 | 1,143 | 53.2%608 W · 535 L | +44.9wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x67e6…86edbacked No | 54c | 60.46$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.65 | 149 | 54.4%81 W · 68 L | +4.2wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaea0…0decbacked Yes | 77c | 60$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.8 | 58 | 65.5%38 W · 20 L | +6.0wins | +0.10per pick | 55cpaid | +11.3%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x1a29…16c5backed Yes | 46c | 54.35$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.35 | 320 | 51.9%166 W · 154 L | +11.1wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +10.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd28e…a78fbacked Yes | 46c | 54.35$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.35 | 131 | 51.1%67 W · 64 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x15ee…512dbacked Yes | 46c | 54$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.16 | 163 | 46.6%76 W · 87 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf39a…fe47backed Yes | 52c | 50.06$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.23 | 673 | 48.1%324 W · 349 L | -22.1wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2b76…4f2dbacked Yes | 42c | 47.62$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.62 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.1wins | +0.56per pick | 44cpaid | +127.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1121…6604backed Yes | 46c | 43$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.22 | 86 | 43%37 W · 49 L | -6.1wins | -0.07per pick | 50cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xcf02…3a63backed Yes | 46c | 43$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.22 | 41 | 36.6%15 W · 26 L | -4.0wins | -0.10per pick | 46cpaid | -23.5%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x993f…35cbbacked No | 53c | 42.44$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.56 | 15 | 53.3%8 W · 7 L | -0.4wins | -0.03per pick | 56cpaid | -11.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0e72…54f0backed No | 59c | 42.37$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 57 | 63.2%36 W · 21 L | +4.0wins | +0.07per pick | 56cpaid | +18.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xbed0…3c7dbacked Yes | 43c | 42.09$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.09 | 328 | 35.4%116 W · 212 L | -12.7wins | -0.04per pick | 39cpaid | -16.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0e4a…fcd8backed No | 56c | 40.66$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.77 | 18 | 61.1%11 W · 7 L | +0.7wins | +0.04per pick | 57cpaid | +8.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xef18…4d70backed Yes | 47c | 35.38$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.75 | 338 | 58.6%198 W · 140 L | +30.9wins | +0.09per pick | 49cpaid | +31.5%equal weight | 59+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x6b4c…a32ebacked Yes | 76c | 32.89$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.89 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.23per pick | 77cpaid | +29.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1508…5760backed No | 54c | 32.74$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.68 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | -1.3wins | -0.12per pick | 57cpaid | -17.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x97a8…078dbacked No | 57c | 31.02$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.58 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | -2.1wins | -0.18per pick | 59cpaid | -39.4%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x50e9…5efebacked Yes | 45c | 30$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.5 | 60 | 51.7%31 W · 29 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9e5c…d8e6backed No | 54c | 30$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.2 | 86 | 51.2%44 W · 42 L | +3.1wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x06fc…4fb6backed No | 54c | 30$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.2 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.10per pick | 43cpaid | +38.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2f31…e2b6backed No | 54c | 25$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.5 | 111 | 63.1%70 W · 41 L | -1.8wins | -0.02per pick | 65cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed No | 52c | 20$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.4 | 834 | 40.8%340 W · 494 L | -35.3wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3d90…3bbdbacked No | 56c | 20$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.1 | 29 | 55.2%16 W · 13 L | -1.4wins | -0.05per pick | 60cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf4f8…5bf1backed Yes | 76c | 18.24$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.38 | 138 | 60.1%83 W · 55 L | +8.5wins | +0.06per pick | 54cpaid | +33.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Other European Leagues and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will FC Nordsjælland win on 2026-03-22?this page
- Will FC Nordsjælland vs. Sønderjyske Fodbold end in a draw?No won
- Will Sønderjyske Fodbold win on 2026-03-22?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.